2q13 mobile software ecosystem, valuation and m&a trends

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Mobile Software Landscape – Select Companies Marketing & Advertising Commerce & Payments Content & Entertainment Social & Messaging Enterprise Health Infrastructure Development Platforms Security Converged Communications Analytics LBS Acquired Public

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2Q13 Mobile Software Ecosystem, Valuation and M&A Trends

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  • MobileSoftwareLandscape SelectCompaniesMarketing&AdvertisingMarketing&Advertising Commerce&PaymentsCommerce&Payments Content&EntertainmentContent&Entertainmentyy

    Social&MessagingSocial&Messaging EnterpriseEnterprise HealthHealth

    InfrastructureInfrastructure

    Development Platforms Security Converged Communications

    AnalyticsLBS

    Acquired Public

  • BriefMobileSoftwareMarketUpdate&Ecosystem

    2Q132Q13

    B dW kBradWeekesVicePresident

  • Disclaimer

    TheinformationcontainedinthisReportisobtainedfromsourceswebelievetobereliable,butnorepresentationorguaranteeis, p gmadeabouttheaccuracyorcompletenessofsuchinformation,ortheopinionsexpressedherein.NothinginthisReportisintendedt b d ti f ifi ittobearecommendationofaspecificsecurityorcompanyorintendedtoconstituteanoffertobuyorsell,orthesolicitationofanoffertobuyorsell,anysecurity.SoftwareEquityGroupLLCmayy , y y q y p yhaveaninterestinoneormoreofthesecuritiesorcompaniesdiscussedherein.FinancialdataprovidedbyCapitalIQ.

  • MobileSoftwareLandscape SelectCompaniesMarketing&AdvertisingMarketing&Advertising Commerce&PaymentsCommerce&Payments Content&EntertainmentContent&Entertainmentyy

    Social&MessagingSocial&Messaging EnterpriseEnterprise HealthHealth

    InfrastructureInfrastructure

    Development Platforms Security Converged Communications

    AnalyticsLBS

    Acquired Public

  • PublicMarketPerformanceofSelectMobileSoftwareProviders

    14.5x ObservationsObservations

    EV/RevM lti lEV/RevM lti l

    Majorityofhighperformingmobilecompanieshavedemonstratedanabilitytomonetizethroughadvertisingandstandtobemajorbeneficiariesoftheforecastedgrowthinmobileadvertisingspend

    14.5x13.7x

    9.6x8.1x

    7.1x 6.7xMultipleMultiple

    MillennialMediasEV/Revenue(2.9x)hascomedownconsiderablyfromitsIPOwhenithit17.9x,ascompetitionwithGoogleandFacebookformobileaddollarsintensifies

    4.7x3.9x 3.9x 3.3x 2.9x 2.9x 2.8x

    1.5x 1.2x 0.8x 0.6x 0.5x 0.3x 0.1x 0.1x

    Securityfirmsareperformingextremelywell,benefitingfromenterprisesecurityconcernsasBYOD continuestogainmomentum

    122%

    TTMTTM

    Operahassucceededwhilemanyofitspeers,whowerealsoalreadyinmobilebeforeAppledramaticallyalteredthemobileecosystemwiththeiPhone,failedmiserably.Operahaspivoteditsbusiness

    d l ff tti d li i it l73% 69% 66%55%

    42% 36% 36% 34%23% 19% 19% 16% 12% 11%

    TTMRevenueGrowth

    TTMRevenueGrowth

    model,offsettingdeclinesinitslegacybusinessofmobilebrowserswithrapidlygrowingadvertisingandbandwidthmanagementrevenue

    Gameprovidersarestrugglingdueto0% 0% 0%

    3%11%

    34%

    inconsistentperformance,lackofdifferentiationanddifficultyinmonetizingmobileaswellastheyhavehistoricallydoneontheweb

    Some legacy mobile software providersSomelegacymobilesoftwareprovidersarestrugglingtoadjusttheirbusinessmodelsfromcarriercentrictoappstore/OEMcentric

  • TTMTTM

    RevenueTTM

    GrossTTM

    EBITDA EV/ EV/Forward

    EV/Forward

    EV/YTD

    Stock

    PublicMarketPerformanceofSelectMobileSoftwareProviders

    Company Ticker Market Cap EVTTM

    RevenueRevenue

    GrowthGross

    MarginEBITDA Margin

    EV/ Revenue

    EV/ EBITDA

    EV/ Revenue

    EV/ EBITDA

    StockReturn

    Bango BGO $127.9 $124.6 $17.6 -34.4% 19.1% -22.1% 7.1x n/a n/a n/a -7.7%BSQUARE BSQR $30.6 $11.2 $96.7 0.3% 18.2% 1.5% 0.1x 7.6x n/a n/a -9.5%Glu Mobile GLUU $151.3 $130.1 $85.1 19.3% 90.2% -10.4% 1.5x n/a 1.4x n/a -6.0%Google GOOG $292,076.9 $249,354.9 $53,499.0 33.8% 57.7% 31.4% 4.7x 14.8x 4.0x 10.9x 21.7%Gree TSE:3632 $2 070 0 $1 918 9 $1 648 9 11 5% 85 7% 40 4% 1 2x 2 9x n/a n/a -40 2%Gree TSE:3632 $2,070.0 $1,918.9 $1,648.9 11.5% 85.7% 40.4% 1.2x 2.9x n/a n/a -40.2%Facebook FB $60,157.5 $52,946.5 $5,489.0 35.9% 72.7% 23.9% 9.6x 40.4x 7.4x 14.2x -11.1%Millennial Media MM $692.8 $559.3 $194.2 68.7% 40.9% -0.9% 2.9x n/a 1.9x 27.8x -33.2%Myriad Group MYRN $154.2 $156.6 $54.5 -2.9% 22.7% -11.1% 2.9x n/a n/a n/a -3.9%NQ Mobile NQ $419.0 $304.3 $109.0 122.4% 69.9% 5.5% 2.8x 51.2x 1.5x 4.9x 34.0%OpenTable OPEN $1,457.0 $1,360.4 $167.8 15.6% 74.5% 29.2% 8.1x 27.8x 7.0x 15.4x 24.5%Opera OB:OPERA $942 3 $890 9 $231 1 35 9% 43 9% 27 2% 3 9x 14 2x n/a n/a 34 8%Opera OB:OPERA $942.3 $890.9 $231.1 35.9% 43.9% 27.2% 3.9x 14.2x n/a n/a 34.8%Qihoo 360 Technology QIHU $5,668.4 $5,367.4 $369.6 72.6% 89.4% 17.9% 14.5x 81.0x 8.1x 29.6x 55.0%Pandora Media P $3,216.4 $3,140.9 $471.9 55.2% 32.0% -8.2% 6.7x n/a 4.6x 121.3x 93.9%SmithMicro SMSI $39.5 $11.2 $44.8 -10.5% 80.6% -42.8% 0.3x n/a 0.2x n/a -34.2%Synchronoss Technologies SNCR $1,184.7 $1,127.4 $287.4 19.4% 58.5% 21.8% 3.9x 18.0x 3.1x 9.2x 42.7%Tangoe TNGO $575.7 $545.3 $165.2 41.5% 54.2% 8.7% 3.3x 38.1x 2.7x 16.4x 20.0%TeleCommunication Systems TSYS $137 1 $237 8 $482 1 10 8% 33 5% 7 9% 0 5x 6 3x 0 5x 5 0x 9 7%TeleCommunication Systems TSYS $137.1 $237.8 $482.1 10.8% 33.5% 7.9% 0.5x 6.3x 0.5x 5.0x -9.7%TeleNav TNAV $207.5 $20.0 $209.2 0.4% 68.9% 11.3% 0.1x 0.8x 0.1x 3.0x -34.5%Velti Plc VELT $127.0 $157.9 $259.6 22.8% 51.6% -1.9% 0.6x n/a 0.7x 17.2x -70.5%Yelp YELP $2,240.6 $2,146.1 $156.3 66.0% 92.9% -2.8% 13.7x n/a 8.9x 74.8x 76.5%Zynga, Inc ZNGA $2,207.0 $1,038.3 $1,223.9 0.5% 72.9% 11.7% 0.8x 7.2x 1.2x 20.9x 16.3%

    M $292 076 9 $249 354 9 $53 499 0 122 4% 92 9% 40 4% 14 5x 81 0x 8 9x 121 3x 93 9%Max $292,076.9 $249,354.9 $53,499.0 122.4% 92.9% 40.4% 14.5x 81.0x 8.9x 121.3x 93.9%Median: $692.8 $559.3 $209.2 19.4% 58.5% 7.9% 2.9x 14.8x 2.3x 15.9x -3.9%Average $17,804.0 $15,311.9 $3,107.8 27.8% 58.6% 6.6% 4.2x 23.9x 3.3x 26.5x 7.6%Min $30.6 $11.2 $17.6 -34.4% 18.2% -42.8% 0.1x 0.8x 0.1x 3.0x -70.5%

    PublicmobilesoftwaremedianandaverageEV/Revenuemultiplesasof2Q13were2.9xand4.2x,respectably

    Leadingfirmswithstrongmobileofferings(Yelp,Facebook,Pandora,Opera,OpenTable,Google)aretradingnotablyhigher,withmedianandaverageEV/Revenuemultiplesof7.4xand7.8x,respectably

    YoY revenuegrowthforleadingmobilesoftwarefirmsisinexcessof30%,andinsomecasesapproaching100%

  • MobileSoftwareM&AVolume

    M&A Volume by YearM&A Volume by Year MobilesoftwareM&Aishittinganotherinflectionpointand M&AVolumebyYearM&AVolumebyYearisonpacetoreach338transactionsin2013,up44%YoY

    MobilesoftwareM&Aiscurrentlydrivenby: Therapidlyevolvingandfragmentedmobileadtechl d d i b i t ti ith d

    338

    landscape,drivenbyexperimentationwithnewadformatsandtheemergenceofprogrammaticbuying

    Theneedformobileadtechproviderstoachievescaleand reach 113

    224 235

    andreach

    BringYourOwnDevice(BYOD)anditsimpactontheenterprise

    2010 2011 2012 2013(F)

    M&AVolumebyProductCategoryasa%ofTotalMobileSoftwareM&AM&AVolumebyProductCategory

    asa%ofTotalMobileSoftwareM&A

    Exponentialincreasesinmobiledataconsumption,drivingtheneedforbandwidthmanagement

    Recognitionthatmobileisnotjustanotherchanneld h i li d d i l bil l i

    ( )

    andthatspecializedandexceptionalmobiletalentisneededtofullyleverageitspotentialandnavigateitscomplexities

    Traditional software providers seeking solutions that31% 22%

    24%

    10%11% 17%

    5% 9% 6%Social&Messaging

    OtherApps(includingmobileappdevelopers)

    Marketing&Advertising

    Traditionalsoftwareprovidersseekingsolutionsthatcomplementtheirexistingofferings

    Mobilefirstsoftwareproviderslookingtoextendtheirleadershippositionbyexpandingtheirsoftwaresuite 24%

    7%14% 8%

    15% 22%18%

    24%Infrastructure

    Enterprise

    Content&Entertainment

    p p y p gwithcomplementaryproductofferings

    8% 8% 8%

    24%16% 18%

    2011 2012 2013YTD

    Commerce&Payments

  • MobileSoftwareM&AExitMultiples

    R fl ti th k t i t it d t ti l it lti l f bil ft i Reflectingthemarketimmaturityandpotential,exitmultiplesformobilesoftwarecompaniesvarydramatically

    Acrossthespectrumofdealsizes,multiplesrangedfrom1.3xto8.6xTTMrevenue

    Generallyspeaking,transactionsinexcessof$50Mexhibitedthestrongest,mostconsistentexitmultiples,rangingfrom4.7x 6.5xTTMrevenue

    Note,atthelowend,TTMrevenueinthissegmentrangesfromapproximately$7M $10M

    Inaggregate,2012averageandmedianEV/Revenueexitmultipleswere4.0xvs.2.7x,respectably

    EV/RevenueExitMultiplesbyTransactionSizeEV/RevenueExitMultiplesbyTransactionSizeEV/RevenueExitMultiplesEV/RevenueExitMultiples

    Median Average Median Average

    2.9x2 7x

    4.5x4.0x

    3 5X4.7X 5.0X

    5.6X

    8.6X

    6.4X 6.5X

    2.7x

    1.3X 1.6X

    3.5X

    1.6X

    EV$10&

    EV>$20&

    EV>$50&

    EV>$100

    2011 2012

    &EV

  • SelectActiveMobileSoftwareBuyers(Last2Years)

    B T t N tBuyer Targets Notes

    2Q11 2Q132Q11 2Q13

    Primarilytalentacquisitionsofverysmallmobilestartups,whoseserviceswereoftenshutdownshortlyafteracquisition

    Ahandfulofacquisitions,namelySummly andGhostBird,willdirectlyhelpenhanceexistingYahooproducts

    MostnotableistherecentWaze acquisitionforaapproximately$1B dollars.Waze enhancesGooglesindustryleadingmobilemapsoffering

    Otheracquisitionsfocusedondrivinglocalcommerce(Zagat,Zave,TxVia),productivity(QuickOffice,Sparrow,Wavii)andanalytics(Behavio)

    Much like Yahoo Zynga is using acquisitions to quickly

    MostnotablewastheInstragram acquisitionfor$1B i ff i (i h t

    MuchlikeYahoo,Zyngaisusingacquisitionstoquicklyenhanceitsmobilecapabilities

    OMGPOP,makerofDrawSomethingwasthemostexpensiveacquisition($183M)butwasshutdownafter15monthsduetomassivelosses

    Otheracquisitionsfocusedprimarilyonsocialgaming

    ~$1B,servingasanoffensive(improvephotocapabilities)anddefensivemove(removethreatofInstagram itselfandotherswhomayacquireit)

    WiththeacquisitionofParse,Facebookentersanewrealmofhelpingdevelopersmonetizemobile

    Operahasusedacquisitionstoenternewmarketsasitslegacymobilebrowserbusinessdeclines

    Advertising came with the acquisition of 4th screen Advertisingcamewiththeacquisitionof4th screenandmobiletheory,announcedonthesameday

    BandwidthmanagementwithSkyfire,foraheftyexitmultiple(~>30x)

    Tangoe hasusedacquisitionstoconsolidatethetelecomexpensemanagement(TEM)market

    Aftermakingfouracquisitionsinaspanofnineth di i A t 2012 T h bmonthsendinginAugust2012,Tangoe hasbeen

    inactiveontheM&Afront,focusedonintegratingitsproducts

  • Top10MobileSoftwareM&ATransactionsbyEnterpriseValue(EV)

    StockBuyer TargetDate EV EV/Rev Cash Earnout

    5/12/2010 $5,423 4.5x $5,423

    10/13/2009 $2,420 7.9x $2,420

    2/04/2013 $1 645 6 0x $1 6452/04/2013 $1,645 6.0x $1,645

    7/12/2011 $1,301 7.5x $651 $100 $550

    6/14/2011 $1,150 1.5x $1,150

    11/14/2011 $1,050 5.5x $1,050

    4/09/2012 $1,000 $300 $700

    6/11/2013 $966 $9666/11/2013 $966 $966

    6/24/2008$790 $790

    12/8/2005 $705 10.7x $705

  • Top10MobileSoftwareM&ATransactionsbyEV/RevenueMultiple

    9/20/2010 $42 66.9x $0.5 $16.5 $25

    StockBuyer Target EV EV/Rev Cash EarnoutDate

    2/15/2013 $147 35.0x $76 $71

    10/13/2010 $70 25.0x $70 10/13/2010 $70 25.0x $70

    1/31/2012 $70 20.0x $70

    11/09/2009 $674 15.0x $674

    1/31/2011 $150 11.2x $100 $50

    12/08/2005 $705 10.7x $705

    $ $6/07/2012 $435 10.0x $435

    3/26/2012 $144 10.0x $144

    12/22/2011 $279 8.9x

    *Note: List excludes transactions where target revenue was withheld or less than $0 (i.e. Facebook/Instagram, Google/Waze) **Note: Akamai/Cotendo multiple is an estimate

  • ForFurtherDiscussion.

    Todiscussthemobileecosystem,M&Atransactionsand/or your mobile business, please contact me:and/oryourmobilebusiness,pleasecontactme:

    Brad WeekesBradWeekes

    P:858.509.2800

    C: 858.945.3032C:858.945.3032

  • BriefSoftwareEquityGroupOverviewp

  • LeadersinSoftware&TechnologyAdvisoryServices

    Twentyoneyear,exclusivefocusonsoftwareadvisoryservicestolowermiddlemarket(i.e.,clientrevenue$5 $50M)representingcompaniesseeking:

    StrategicexitFocusonAdvice

    Growthcapital Buyout Inorganicgrowthviaacquisition Fairnessopinionsandvaluations

    B d d i i Advisory Boardadvisoryservices

    Clientsspanvirtuallyeverytechnology,productcategory,deliverymodelandverticalmarket

    Multi Focuson

    AdvisoryBoutiques

    Globalpresenceprovidingadviceandguidancetomorethan2,000privateandpubliccompaniesthroughoutUS,Canada,Europe,AsiaPacific,AfricaandIsrael

    Industry Software

    BulgeBracketFirms IPOBoutiques

    Strongcrossfunctionalteamleveragingtransaction,operating,legalandengineeringexperience

    g

    Unparalleledsoftwareindustryreputation,trackrecordandindustryresearch

    Highlyreferenceablebaseofpastclientsandbuyers/investors

    Multiservice

    investors

  • ExtensiveGlobalReach

    CurrentSellsideRepresentation

    SEGcurrentlyrepresentssoftwarecompaniesintheUnitedStates,Canada,France,Germany,Australia&Saudi Arabia

    RecentSellsideRepresentation

    SaudiArabia

    Inadditiontothecountrieslistedabove,SEGhasrecentlyrepresentedsoftwarecompaniesintheUnitedKingdom,France,Netherlands,Israel,andSouthAfrica

    SEGResearchDistribution

    SEGsQuarterlyandAnnualSoftwareIndustryEquityReportsandMonthlyFlashReportsaredistributedtoan

    l f 5 bl foptinlistof50,000publicsoftwarecompanyCEOs,softwareentrepreneurs,privateequitymanagingdirectors,VCs,hightechcorporatelawyers,publicaccountants,etc.in76countries.

  • Alittleaboutme

    O 15 f ti l d i t t b ki Over15yearsofoperationalandinvestmentbankingexperienceinmobile,wirelessandsoftwaresectors

    Nearly10yearsofoperationalexperienceinmobiley y p pspecifically,workingcloselywithanumberofvendorsinthespace

    P d t l d f d i i bil i i Productleadforawardwinningmobilemusicservice Strategicconsultantformobilebrowserandwidget

    runtimeproviderp

    MBA,UCLAAndersonSchoolofManagementM.Eng,ElectricalEngineering,UCSDB S C t E i i UCSDB.S.,ComputerEngineering,UCSD

  • Todiscussthemobileecosystem,M&Atransactionsand/or your mobile business, please contact me:and/oryourmobilebusiness,pleasecontactme:

    Brad WeekesBradWeekes

    P:858.509.2800

    C: 858.945.3032C:858.945.3032