25-apr-021 dr. douglas c. engelbart bootstrap alliance, usa improving our ability to improve: a...
TRANSCRIPT
25-Apr-02 1
Dr. Douglas C. Engelbart Bootstrap Alliance, USA
www.bootstrap.org
Improving Our Ability to Improve:A Call for Investment in a New Future
Large scale Facilitated Evolution
Of our Improvement Infrastructure
25-Apr-02 2
The World in the 21st CenturyCreating the Infocomm Future
• Building New Capabilities and Leveraging Innovation for Key Growth Areas
• Using Infocomm Technologies to Build New Capability and Capacity
• Being Proactive and Responsive• Re-inventing Government in the Digital Economy
Proposing our Shared Strategic Objectives
… these objectives are the focus of my talk
25-Apr-02 3
My goal this lecture ...
is to help you see these objectives in a new light, understanding them as truly:
• long term• deeply strategic• transformative• open ended
25-Apr-02 4
A “What If” Experiment
Imagine that it is the late 1980s
• the Internet exists (the basic capability to support the “Web” is already in place)
• but the World Wide Web is still in the future
• which means that the field is open for Your Organization or Your Country to take a leading position in the technical revolution that is about to happen
What would your organization or your country need to be doing to grasp this opportunity?
25-Apr-02 5
Not an idle question ...
The real impact of the Net and Web is just beginning to be felt.
Some candidate “next big things …”
• the Semantic Web
• the shift in the value of content
• ubiquitous computing
How can your organization learn enough, fast enough, to grasp the next transformative opportunity?
25-Apr-02 6
Disruptive Innovation
Existing Capability
Requirements ofEstablished Market
Increased capability always outruns typical requirements
as described by Clayton Christensen - “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
25-Apr-02 7
Disruptive Innovation
New Capability New Requirementsin new, emergingmarket
Disruptive innovations start out offering less capability
as described by Clayton Christensen - “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
25-Apr-02 8
Disruptive Innovation
But, over time, the new innovation can meet established market requirements, displacing existing market market structure
as described by Clayton Christensen - “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
Disruption Starts Here
25-Apr-02 9
Disruptive Innovation
Innovations thatNever find a market
Of course, not all emerging innovations work out …
as described by Clayton Christensen - “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
25-Apr-02 10
Back to our WWW example ...
The challenge for your organization
• acquire the capability in the disruptive innovations
• invest broadly enough to encompass disruptive innovations as well as innovations that don’t move forward
• avoid getting “boxed in” with established approaches
25-Apr-02 11
• Building New Capabilities• Being Pro-active
A plan to boost “Collective IQ”
How to do this?
Understood broadly, goals of “building new capability” and “being proactive” can address this challenge -- but only if placed within a structure of planned, facilitated evolution of your organization or your country’s collective ability.
25-Apr-02 12
Agenda
1. Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas
2. Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution
3. The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure
4. Collective Effort and Collective IQ
5. Scale Issues
6. Networked Improvement Communities
7. Functional Requirements
8. Application to Your Organization
9. The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 13
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas
– “Augmentation” vs. “Automation”
– “Human” vs. “Mechanistic”
– Growing Knowledge Professionals
– “Capabilities Infrastructure”
– “Human Systems” and “Tool Systems”
– Co-evolution
25-Apr-02 14
“Augment” vs. “Automate”
• Automate – It’s why we use computers today
– Replace us in work we used to do
• Augment– As the plow augmented our ability to cultivate
– Extend us to solve problems we have not been able to address yet, to take on work we need to do
Despite US $Billions invested in computer development,
recent events sadly have reminded us of what we can’t do…..
25-Apr-02 15
An Example: GDINThe Global Disaster Information Network
• Disasters require collaborative response
• To respond to disasters– Which can range from small to VAST SCALE – new teams of strangers collaborate – must learn to adapt– ingest and act on new information quickly
• It’s Very Hard to Automate – getting Right Information – at Right Time– to the Right Place – globally to Ad Hoc teams
25-Apr-02 16
Infrastructure of Capabilities Example: An Internet Service
Provider
CapabilityInfrastructure
CapabilityInfrastructure
Capability to operate an ISP
Capability to highbandwidth access
Capability to speak, read, write, give and follow directions, fit into culture
Higher Levels Depend on Lower Levels
Capability to providecustomer support
Capability to handlebilling for use
Capability to plan for growth
25-Apr-02 17
Extended CapabilitiesDepend in turn on Tool System
CapabilityInfrastructure
CapabilityInfrastructure Tool SystemTool System
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
Consider the impact of the invention of the tool: The Plow
25-Apr-02 18
Impact of the Plow
• Hunter Gatherer nomadic lives changed
• Plow allowed settling down
• Lead to importance of land ownership
• Inheritance laws
• Villages Towns Cities
• Commerce, Social Cultural Life sprang up
• Each addition to Tool System leads to changes in the Human System
25-Apr-02 19
“Human System” Appeared before the Artifacts (tools)
did
CapabilityInfrastructure Tool System
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
Human System
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
In the 20th Century the world’s work began shifting from Agriculture to Manufacturing. In the 21st Century, to Knowledge
25-Apr-02 20
Co-Evolution of the Human and Tool System
• The Plow didn’t automate existing work – it augmented human’s ability, opened possibilities
• Think about the invention of – Spoken Language
– Alphabet
– Printing Press
• All changed the human system over 100’s of years and triggered the invention of more tools– Triggering changes in human paradigms and culture
– Triggering more tools…… and so on
25-Apr-02 21
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 22
CapabilityInfrastructure
The Augmentation SystemAugments Basic Human Capabilities
Human Interface
Sensory Perception
Motor & Mental Skills
SkillsTrainingConditioning
SkillsTrainingConditioning
Tool System
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
Human System
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
25-Apr-02 23
Augmentation vs. Automationof Human Capabilities
Start from basic human ability– Sensory Perception– Mental Skills– Motor Skills
Add – Skills– Training– Conditioning……….
SkillsTrainingConditioning
CapabilityInfrastructure Tool System
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
Human System
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
Sensory Perception
Motor & Mental Skills
Our basic human abilities harnessed the plow. Millennia later ….who could have imagined the changes?
Digital Technology offers so much flexibility, as we start toHarness it, its clear: We have a long long way to go
25-Apr-02 24
Why Co-Evolution?
We need to:• develop new ways to
share knowledge in the Human System
• extend the Tool System
• extend the Capability Infrastructure
Moving forward on all of these fronts concurrently – as they feed back to each other – goes beyond our ability to design …
It is a PROCESS that EVOLVES …
SkillsTrainingConditioning
CapabilityInfrastructure Tool System
MediaPortrayTravel, ViewStudyManipulateRetrieveComputeCommunicate
Human System
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
ParadigmsOrganizationProceduresCustomsMethodsLanguageAttitudes
Sensory Perception
Motor & Mental Skills
25-Apr-02 25
Improvement Infrastructure for New, Discontinuous
Innovation
• Requires conscious collective investment
• Requires whole Augmentation system perspective - human and tool co-evolution
Over 50 years ago, I saw the frontier differently from those around me
25-Apr-02 26
Where is your Organization?
Tool System Utilization
Hu
man
Sys
tem
Dev
elo
pm
ent
20 Years20 Y
earsAnticipatable
Tod
ay
The World’s Organizations in Human-Tool Space
25-Apr-02 27
20 Years
20 Years
Anticipatable Tod
ay
Tool System Utilization
Hu
man
Sys
tem
Dev
elo
pm
ent
Co-Evolution Frontier Outposts and Scouts
Outposts &Scouts toScout out theFrontier
PioneeringOrganization
25-Apr-02 28
Tools and Means for High Performance Teams
• “Equip” teams to gear up for high performance, high leverage, group-capability enhancing work
• “Knowledge Containers” with a high degree of mobility and knowledge transferability
• “Integration” of historic, current, geographically dispersed knowledge
• “Contests” for best Knowledge teams
• “Compete” to set up best Knowledge models
25-Apr-02 29
Developing Knowledge Pro’s a “Learned” skill like reading
• What does it take to “Grow” Novices to Pro’s– Develop skills till they’re done unconsciously
– Coaching
– Role models
– Purposeful usage
– Real goals that stretch abilities
• Strategic “Frameworks” that ease the learning
– Start from regular work, evolve in smooth stages
– Provide choices: Entry level to Pro level knowledge tools
25-Apr-02 30
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 31
• B Activity - improves product cycle time and quality
• A Activity - serves the customer
Customer
Organization
A Core
Business Activity
B Improves
A Capability
ABC’s of Improvement Infrastructure
“How can we improve our ability to improve?”
25-Apr-02 32
• C Activity - improves improvement cycle time and quality
• B Activity - improves product cycle time and quality
• A Activity - serves the customer
Customer
Organization
A Core
Business Activity
B Improves
A Capability
C Improves
B Capability
Readying the Organization for Frontier Penetration -- more
complete picture.
25-Apr-02 33
Investing in “A” “B” and “C” Activities
• “A” activity improved productivity comes from investment made in “B” activities
• “B” investments fund most of the new activities in developing IT infrastructure
How to maximize the Payoff from investment in “B” activities?
We are asking how we improve our ability to improve
• “C” investments which scope out the frontier, define metrics, drive improved productivity in the “B” activity
25-Apr-02 34
Is your organizationan Example of “C” Work ?
• Discuss write about Prospects for changes– Why argue for this or that change?
– How to go about proposing changes?
• Review goals, scenarios, plans– Think about setting up prototypes, pilot operations
– Develop assessments, metrics
• Consider tools to Augment “C” Work– Collect & Integrate Knowledge
– Build Knowledge Repository & Distribute Access
25-Apr-02 35
Invest Wisely in Improvement
Don’t Go It Alone, Look for Other Organizations
on the Frontier Heading the Same Way . . .
. . …improving a similar set of capabilities
B
Customers
C
AOrg 1
Customers
C
Customers
C
...AOrg 2
BB
AOrg n
25-Apr-02 36
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 38
RecordedDialog
IntelligenceCollection
KnowledgeProduct
Concurrently:IntegratingCollaboratingDevelopingLearning(Re)using
ScanningInteracting
Ingesting
External Environment
Collective IQ An especially Important Untapped Capability
Dynamic
Knowledge
Repository
25-Apr-02 39
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 40
Concurrency and InteroperabilityConcurrency and Interoperability
6000+ Companies, 6000+ Companies, Concurrently Evolving Concurrently Evolving their Knowledge Repositoriestheir Knowledge Repositories
Designing, Developing,Designing, Developing,Tracking ProgressTracking Progressand Changesand Changes
……then add,then add,customers,customers,teaming partners...teaming partners...
(2000+ people)
(4000) 3rd Tier Suppliers
(2000) 2nd Tier Suppliers
AerospaceFirm
(200) 1st Tier Suppliers
25-Apr-02 41
In the US, the Office of Homeland Response prepared a chart of the organizations involved in responding to Chemical and Biological Warfare threats.
This organizational structure -not unusual for sophisticatedorganizations and ambitiouscooperative efforts, illustrateshow complexity scales up.
Uggrh!
25-Apr-02 42
Huge strategic factor: The matter of SCALE!
• The scale of the capability-evolution challenge transcends what any one company, any one Explicit Plan, could formulate and accomplish.
• So, get serious about developing an appropriate Evolutionary Environment!
• Perhaps even, about evolving an appropriate Evolutionary Environment?
25-Apr-02 43
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 44
B
Customers
C
AOrg 1
Customers
C
Customers
C
...AOrg 2
BB
AOrg n
What is an Improvement Community ?A “C” Community
“C” Community
Each “C” member actively serves their respective “B” initiatives
• Common challenges, issues, requirements• Share advice, strategies, lessons learned
Common “Customer Group” -- the “Bs”
25-Apr-02 45
What is a Networked Improvement Community ?
Or NIC
C
“C” 1
C C
...“C” 2 “C” n
Networked Improvement Community
A C Community that is an explicit pilot-practitioner of the
best Collective IQ capability the community can muster
25-Apr-02 46
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 47
Dynamic Knowledge Repositories
Central to Explicitly Tapping Collective IQ • In a structured navigable way, keep track of
– Recorded Dialog
– External Intelligence Collection
– Knowledge Product
• “Integration” – Tough Hard Problem– Within purposeful working environments involving diverse
people in multiple organizations
• “Concurrency” – Tough Hard Problem– If our two organizations have interdependencies, then my
Repository needs to “concur” with yours within our cooperation domain
25-Apr-02 50
The Tool-System Target -- an Open Hyperdocument System
(OHS)
• Critical Requirement: Establishing an initial, “OHS-Launch Base” upon which to start serious co-evolution.
• Basic architecture and implementation must enable smooth transition to very large-scale evolution of document properties and system functionality.
• Critical: Must enable smooth transitioning from legacy systems as shift work dependence onto OHS.
25-Apr-02 51
Concurrency and InteroperabilityConcurrency and Interoperability
6000+ Companies, 6000+ Companies, Concurrently Evolving Concurrently Evolving their Knowledge Repositoriestheir Knowledge Repositories
Designing, Developing,Designing, Developing,Tracking ProgressTracking Progressand Changesand Changes
……then add,then add,customers,customers,teaming partners...teaming partners...
(2000+ people)
(4000) 3rd Tier Suppliers
(2000) 2nd Tier Suppliers
AerospaceFirm
(200) 1st Tier Suppliers
25-Apr-02 52
Stage-1: OHS-HyperScope Browsing -- Over a wide variety of legacy files:
High-resolution linking; many viewing options.
Intermediate “I-File”
Extended XML properties, incl. much newAddr. tagging.
Target Servers
Families ofTranslators
Families of “view Transcoders”
Link db
Browser
And also, hi-resolution linking to audio, video ...
ViewGenerator
Equipped with minimal set of new user controls
25-Apr-02 53
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 54
The World in the 21st CenturyCreating the Infocomm Future
• Building New Capabilities and Leveraging Innovation for Key Growth Areas
• Using Infocomm Technologies to Build New Capability and Capacity
• Being Proactive and Responsive• Re-inventing Government in the Digital Economy
Proposing our Shared Strategic Objectives
… let’s view these goals in terms of facilitated evolution
25-Apr-02 55
Concurrency:Concurrency:
Scaling UpScaling Up -- --
actually, toactually, to
global scope.global scope.
Knowledge Knowledge ProductsProducts
Intelligence Intelligence CollectionCollection
Recorded Recorded DialogDialog
Know-Know-ledgeledge
Intell.Intell.DialogDialog
Critical Factor: “Concurrent” Evolution of Society’s Dynamic
Knowledge Repositories
DKRs
25-Apr-02 56
Key Ideas for Your Organization
• Innovation is NOT chaotic -- you can put in place a plan for facilitation
• Success is collective
• This approach applies not just to IT, but to shipping, governmental operation, and collective IQ in general
• An organization or even an economy that learns to do this well will grow across all sectors
25-Apr-02 57
Agenda
• Some Key Distinctions, Terms, and Ideas• Augmentation Systems and Co-evolution• The ABCs of Improvement Infrastructure• Collective Effort and Collective IQ• Scale Issues• Networked Improvement Communities• Functional Requirements• Application to Your Organization• The Bootstrap Alliance
25-Apr-02 58
Why Bootstrapping?
• We’ve started with a community
• That is focused on providing the tools
• That enable other communities to improve
• Work on getting better at what you’re doing…..
• Do it with others on the same improvement vector
• Then you’ll ALL be even better at getting better
25-Apr-02 59
Member Orgs
B
NIC 1
C
Member Orgs
Member Orgs
B B
...NIC 2
C C
NIC n
B
The Bootstrap Alliance - a “MetaNIC” NICs collectively improving their NIC capabilities
Bootstrap Alliance
MembersGovernanceCommittee
Standards Working
Group
ImprovementEngineeringAssessment & Metrics *
* Through Software.org, the Software Productivity Consortium
25-Apr-02 60
Bootstrap Alliance
• An Improvement Community made up of Networked Improvement Communities
• Improving our capability to improve
• Framework of Tools designed to co-evolve
• Collectively work to augment human capabilities
• Focal point for global improvement communities
25-Apr-02 61
Dr. Douglas C. Engelbart Bootstrap Alliance, USA
www.bootstrap.org
Improving Our Ability to Improve:A Call for Investment in a New Future
Large scale Facilitated EvolutionOf our Improvement Infrastructure