2021 mathematical methods-nht written examination 2

33
MATHEMATICAL METHODS Written examination 2 Monday 31 May 2021 Reading time: 10.00 am to 10.15 am (15 minutes) Writing time: 10.15 am to 12.15 pm (2 hours) QUESTION AND ANSWER BOOK Structure of book Section Number of questions Number of questions to be answered Number of marks A 20 20 20 B 5 5 60 Total 80 Students are permitted to bring into the examination room: pens, pencils, highlighters, erasers, sharpeners, rulers, a protractor, set squares, aids for curve sketching, one bound reference, one approved technology (calculator or software) and, if desired, one scientific calculator. Calculator memory DOES NOT need to be cleared. For approved computer-based CAS, full functionality may be used. Students are NOT permitted to bring into the examination room: blank sheets of paper and/or correction fluid/tape. Materials supplied Question and answer book of 29 pages Formula sheet Answer sheet for multiple-choice questions Instructions Write your student number in the space provided above on this page. Check that your name and student number as printed on your answer sheet for multiple-choice questions are correct, and sign your name in the space provided to verify this. Unless otherwise indicated, the diagrams in this book are not drawn to scale. All written responses must be in English. At the end of the examination Place the answer sheet for multiple-choice questions inside the front cover of this book. You may keep the formula sheet. Students are NOT permitted to bring mobile phones and/or any other unauthorised electronic devices into the examination room. © VICTORIAN CURRICULUM AND ASSESSMENT AUTHORITY 2021 SUPERVISOR TO ATTACH PROCESSING LABEL HERE Victorian Certificate of Education 2021 STUDENT NUMBER Letter GOLD STRIPE

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MATHEMATICAL METHODSWritten examination 2

Monday 31 May 2021 Reading time: 10.00 am to 10.15 am (15 minutes) Writing time: 10.15 am to 12.15 pm (2 hours)

QUESTION AND ANSWER BOOK

Structure of bookSection Number of

questionsNumber of questions

to be answeredNumber of

marks

A 20 20 20B 5 5 60

Total 80

• Studentsarepermittedtobringintotheexaminationroom:pens,pencils,highlighters,erasers,sharpeners,rulers,aprotractor,setsquares,aidsforcurvesketching,oneboundreference,oneapprovedtechnology(calculatororsoftware)and,ifdesired,onescientificcalculator.CalculatormemoryDOESNOTneedtobecleared.Forapprovedcomputer-basedCAS,fullfunctionalitymaybeused.

• StudentsareNOTpermittedtobringintotheexaminationroom:blanksheetsofpaperand/orcorrectionfluid/tape.

Materials supplied• Questionandanswerbookof29pages• Formulasheet• Answersheetformultiple-choicequestions

Instructions• Writeyourstudent numberinthespaceprovidedaboveonthispage.• Checkthatyournameandstudent numberasprintedonyouranswersheetformultiple-choice

questionsarecorrect,andsignyournameinthespaceprovidedtoverifythis.• Unlessotherwiseindicated,thediagramsinthisbookarenot drawntoscale.• AllwrittenresponsesmustbeinEnglish.

At the end of the examination• Placetheanswersheetformultiple-choicequestionsinsidethefrontcoverofthisbook.• Youmaykeeptheformulasheet.

Students are NOT permitted to bring mobile phones and/or any other unauthorised electronic devices into the examination room.

©VICTORIANCURRICULUMANDASSESSMENTAUTHORITY2021

SUPERVISOR TO ATTACH PROCESSING LABEL HEREVictorian Certificate of Education 2021

STUDENT NUMBER

Letter

GO

LD

S

TR

IPE

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 2

SECTION A – continued

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Question 1Thegraphbelowshowsonecycleofacircularfunction.

x

y

4

2

O

–2

1

TheruleforthefunctioncouldbeA. y=3sin(x)+1

B. y x= −

+3

21sin

π

C. y=−3cos(2π x)+1

D. y=3sin(2π x)−1

E. y=−3sin(2π x)+1

Question 2If3f (x)=f(3x)forx>0,thentheruleforfcouldbe

A. f (x)=3x

B. f x x( ) = 3

C. 3

( ) =3xf x

D. ( ) log3exf x =

E. f (x)=x−3

SECTION A – Multiple-choice questions

Instructions for Section AAnswerallquestionsinpencilontheanswersheetprovidedformultiple-choicequestions.Choosetheresponsethatiscorrectforthequestion.Acorrectanswerscores1;anincorrectanswerscores0.Markswillnotbedeductedforincorrectanswers.Nomarkswillbegivenifmorethanoneansweriscompletedforanyquestion.Unlessotherwiseindicated,thediagramsinthisbookarenotdrawntoscale.

3 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

SECTION A – continuedTURN OVER

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Question 3

Thefunctionf : D → R, f x x x x x( ) = − − +4 3 2

4 39

29 willhaveaninversefunctionfor

A. D = RB. D=(–3,1)C. D=(1,∞)D. D=(–∞,0)E. D=(0,∞)

Question 4Thegraphoff :R → R,f (x)=x3+ax2+bx+chasaturningpointatx=3anday-interceptaty=9.Thevaluesofa,bandccouldbe,respectivelyA. −5,3and9

B. 7,−15and−9

C. − −2 32

9, and

D. 5,−3and−9

E. −1,−3and9

Question 5

Theexpression log3 25

q p

isequivalentto

A. log3(5)–log3(q)–log3(p)

B. 12

5 2 23 3 3log ( ) log ( ) log ( )− −q p

C. 12

5 23 3 3log ( ) log ( ) log ( )− −q p

D. 2 log3(5)–2 log3(q)–log3(p)

E. 2 log3(5)–2 log3(q)–2 log3(p)

Question 6Thesumofthefirstfourpositivesolutionstotheequationtan(2x)−1=0is

A. 32π

B. 52π

C. 2π

D. 72π

E. 4π

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 4

SECTION A – continued

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Question 7Partofthegraphofy = f′(x)isshowninthediagrambelow.

3

2

1

–1O 3

2

1–1 4

y

x

Giventhatf(0)=1,thecorrespondingpartofthegraphofy = f(x)couldbe

2

–2

1O 2 3 4

y

x

2

–2

1O 2 3 4

y

x

2

–2

1O 2 3 4

y

x

2

–2

1O 2 3 4

y

x

2

–2

1O 2

3

4

y

x

A. B.

C. D.

E.

1

1

1

1

1

–1–1

–1–1

–1–1

–1–1

–1–1

5 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

SECTION A – continuedTURN OVER

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Question 8

Partofthegraphofapolynomialfunctionf isshownbelow.Thisgraphhasturningpointsat − −( )2 2 1, and 2 2 1, −( ).

y

x–4 4O

f(x)isstrictlydecreasingfor

A. x ∈(–∞,–4]∪[4,∞)

B. x ∈[–4,4]

C. x∈ −2 2 2 2,

D. x∈ −∞ −( ∪

, ,2 2 0 2 2

E. x∈ − ∪ ∞

)2 2 0 2 2, ,

Question 9Thecontinuousanddifferentiablefunctionf :R → R hasrootsatx=1andx=6andarepeatedrootatx=4.

Giventhat4

1( )f x dx a=∫ and

6

4( )f x dx b=∫ ,wherea,b ∈ R, f x dx( ) +( )∫ 1

1

6isequalto

A. a+b+1B. a–b+1C. a+b+5D. a–b–5E. a–b

Question 10Considerthegraphoff:R → R,f (x)=– x2–4x+5.Thetangenttothegraphoff isparalleltothelineconnectingthenegativex-interceptandthey-interceptoffwhenxisequaltoA. −3

B. −52

C. −32

D. −1

E. −12

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 6

SECTION A – continued

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Question 11Asurveyofalargerandomsampleofpeoplefoundthatanapproximate95%confidenceintervalfortheproportionofpeoplewhoownedayellowrubberduckwas(0.6299,0.6699).ThenumberofpeopleintherandomsampleisclosesttoA. 569B. 1793C. 2108D. 2179E. 2185

Question 12ThetransformationT :R2 → R2mapsthegraphofy = x3−xontothegraphofy=2(x −1)3−2(x −1)+4.ThetransformationTcouldbegivenby

A. Txy

xy

=

+

1 00 2

14

B. Txy

xy

=

+

1 0

0 12

14

C. Txy

xy

=

+

2 00 1

12

D. Txy

xy

=

+

12

0

0 1

12

E. Txy

xy

=

+

1 00 2

12

Question 13

Forthefunctionp (x)=ke−k x,wherex≥0andk>0,thevalueof aforwhich p a p( ) ( )=12

0 is

A. 1 1

2k elog

B. 1 2k elog ( )

C. kloge (2)

D. k elog 12

E. kkelog 1

2

7 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

SECTION A – continuedTURN OVER

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Question 14Acontinuousrandomvariable,X,hastheprobabilitydensityfunction

f xe x

x

x

( ). .

=≥<

−0 2 00 0

0 2

ThevarianceofXisA. 25B. 12.5C. 6.25D. 3.125E. 0

Question 15Thegraphsoffunctionsfandgareshownbelow.Bothfunctionshavethesamedomainof[0,b],where b>0,andthesameaveragevalue.

O

2b

f

y

xb O

g

y

xb

8

ThevalueofbisA. 1B. 2C. 4D. 8E. 16

Question 16Inaparticularcity,itisknownthat70%ofalladultsgettheirhaircuteverymonth.Arandomsampleof 720adultsfromthiscityisselected.Fromthissample,theprobabilitythattheproportionofadultswhogettheirhaircuteverymonthisgreaterthan0.72isA. 0.2104B. 0.1359C. 0.1187D. 0.0847E. 0.0392

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 8

SECTION A – continued

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Question 17Partofthegraphofthefunctionf isshownbelow.Thesmallestpositivex-interceptofthegraphoccursatx = a.Thehorizontallineisatangenttofatthelocalminimum b f b, ( )( ).Theshadedareaistheareaboundedbythegraphoff,thex-axis,they-axisandthegraphofy = f (b).

( ), ( )b f b

(a, 0)

y

Ox

Theareaoftheshadedregionis

A. a f b f x dxa

b( ) ( )+ ∫

B. a f b f x dxa

b( ) ( )− ∫

C. f x dx b f ba

b( ) ( )+∫

D. b f b f x dxa

b( ) ( )− ∫

E. f x dx b f ba

b( ) ( )−∫

Question 18

Giventhatd x x

dxx x x

cos( )cos( ) sin( )( )

= − , sin( )x x dx∫ isequalto

A. cos(x)−xcos(x)

B. cos cos( ) ( )x x x dx+ ∫C. x x x dxcos( ) cos( )− ∫D. cos cos( ) ( )x dx x x−∫E.

−x xx

cos( )cos( )

9 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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END OF SECTION ATURN OVER

Question 19Acubicpolynomialfunctionf :R → Rhasrootsatx=1andx=3onlyanditsgraphhasay-interceptat y =3.Whichoneofthefollowingstatementsmustbetrueaboutthefunctiong,whereg x f x( ) ( )= ?A. Thefunctionghasalocalmaximumatx = 2B. g(2)=1C. Thedomainofgdoesnotincludetheinterval(1,3)D. Thedomainofgincludestheinterval(1,3)E. Thedomainofgdoesnotincludetheinterval(3,∞)

Question 20TheprobabilitydistributionforthediscreterandomvariableX,whereb ∈ R,isshowninthetablebelow.

x 0 1 2 3

Pr(X = x) 45

110

3− b 15 250

2b − 9 550b +

ThevalueofbisA. –0.4B. –0.3C. –0.2D. 0.2E. 0.5

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 10

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SECTION B – Question 1–continued

Question 1 (11marks)Let f R R f x x x: , ( ) cos( ) cos( )→ = − +( )2 4 andg :R → R,g (x)=2cos(x).

a. Statetheperiodandtheamplitudeofg. 1mark

b. Findthevalueofcforwhichf(c)=0,wherec∈

0

2, π . 1mark

c. Findtheminimumvalueoff. 1mark

SECTION B

Instructions for Section BAnswerallquestionsinthespacesprovided.Inallquestionswhereanumericalanswerisrequired,anexactvaluemustbegivenunlessotherwisespecified.Inquestionswheremorethanonemarkisavailable,appropriateworkingmust beshown.Unlessotherwiseindicated,thediagramsinthisbookarenotdrawntoscale.

11 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – Question 1–continuedTURN OVER

Partsofthegraphsofthefunctionsoffandgareshownbelow.

Thegraphsoffandgtouch,butdonotcross,atthepoints(p, q)and π3

, v

.

y

xO

g

(p, q)

f

,3

d. Findthevaluesofpandq. 2marks

e. i. Findthevalueofthederivativeoffandthevalueofthederivativeofg at x = π3. 2marks

ii. Findtheequationofthetangenttothegraphsoffandg at x = π3. 1mark

iii. Findtheequationofthelineperpendiculartothegraphsoffandg at x = π3. 1mark

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 12

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SECTION B – continued

f. Theareaboundedbythegraphsoffandgisshadedinthediagrambelow.

y

xO

g

f

Findtheareaoftheshadedregion. 2marks

13 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – continuedTURN OVER

CONTINUES OVER PAGE

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 14

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SECTION B – Question 2–continued

Question 2 (10marks)

Thefunctionh xx

x xe( ) log , [ , ]=−( )

32005

54

10 502 where ,modelstherateatwhichheatislost

fromthewaterinahot-waterpipewithinsulation,whereh(x) istherateatwhichunitsofheatarelostfromthewaterandx istheradiusofthehot-waterpipewithitsinsulation,inmillimetres.Thediagrambelowshowsacross-sectionofthepipewithitsinsulation.

radius of pipewith insulation

radius of pipe

O

x

Theradiusofthepipewithoutitsinsulationis10mm.Thegraphoftherateofheatlostfromthewateroverthegivendomainisshownbelow.

O

40

30

20

10

10 20 30 40 50x

h

a. Findtherateatwhichheatislostfromthewaterinapipewithnoinsulation,correcttothreedecimalplaces. 1mark

15 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – Question 2–continuedTURN OVER

b. i. Statethederivativeofh (x). 1mark

ii. Findthemaximumrateatwhichheatislostfromthewater,correcttothreedecimalplaces. 1mark

c. Aparticularinsulatedpipehasthesamerateofheatlostfromthewaterasapipewithnoinsulation.

Findthethicknessofinsulationforthispipe,inmillimetres,correcttothreedecimalplaces. 1mark

d. i. Ifboththeradiusofthepipewithoutinsulationandtheradiusofthepipewithinsulation,asshowninthediagramonpage14,aredoubled,showthattherateofheatlostfromthewater,h1,isnowgivenby

h x xx e1 212 800 10

810( ) log=

−( )

andstatethedomainofh1. 2marks

ii. Describethetransformationthatmapsthegraphofhtothegraphofh1. 1mark

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 16

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SECTION B – continued

e. i. Findtheareabetweenthegraphofh1andthehorizontalaxisoveritsdomain.Giveyouranswercorrecttothreedecimalplaces. 2marks

ii. Lettheareafoundinpart e.i.beA.

Determinetheareabetweenthegraphofh andthehorizontalaxisoveritsdomain,intermsofA. 1mark

17 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – continuedTURN OVER

CONTINUES OVER PAGE

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 18

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SECTION B – Question 3–continued

Question 3 (10marks)Theparabolicarchofatunnelismodelledbythefunctionf:[−c,c] → R,f(x)=ax2+b,where a < 0,b ∈ Randc>0.Letxbethehorizontaldistance,inmetres,fromtheoriginandletybetheverticaldistance, inmetres,abovethebaseofthearch.Thegraphoff isshownbelow,wherethecoordinatesofthey-interceptare(0,k)andthecoordinatesofthex-interceptsare(−c,0)and(c,0).

y

c–c O

k

x

f

a. Expressa andb intermsofc andk. 2marks

19 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – Question 3–continuedTURN OVER

Aparticulartunnelhasanarchmodelledbyf.Ithasaheightof6matthecentreandawidthof 8matthebase.

b. i. Findtheruleforthisarch. 1mark

ii. Atruckthathasaheightof3.7mandawidthof2.7mwillfitthroughthearchwiththefunctionf foundinpart b.i.

y

x

k

–c cO

d

truck

f

Assumingthatthetruckdrivesdirectlythroughthemiddleofthearch,letdbetheminimumdistancebetweenthearchandthetopcornerofthetruck.

Finddandthevalueofxforwhichthisoccurs,correcttothreedecimalplaces. 3marks

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 20

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SECTION B – Question 3–continued

Adifferenttunnelhasasemicirculararch.Thisarchcanbemodelledbythefunctiong R g x r x: [ , ] , ( )− → = −6 6 2 2 ,wherer > 0.Thegraphofgisshownbelow.

6

x6O–6

y

g

c. Statethevalueofr. 1mark

21 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – continuedTURN OVER

d. Twolightshavebeenplacedonthearchtolighttheentranceofthetunnel.Thepositionsofthelightsare −( ) ( )11 5 11 5, ,and .Theareathatislitbytheselightsisshadedinthe

diagrambelow.

6

x6O–6

y

( )11, 5− ( )11, 5

Determinetheproportionofthecross-sectionofthetunnelentrancethatislitbythelights.Giveyouranswerasapercentage,correcttothenearestinteger. 3marks

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 22

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SECTION B – Question 4–continued

Question 4 (17marks)Aparticularpetrolstationhastwoairpumps,AandB,toinflatetyres.Eachinflationofatyreisindependentofanyotherinflationofatyre.WhenpumpAissetto320kilopascals(kPa),thepressurethatthetyreswillbeinflatedtofollows anormaldistributionwithameanof320kPaandastandarddeviationof10kPa.

a. Findtheprobabilitythatatyrewillbeinflatedtoapressuregreaterthan330kPawheninflatedbypumpA,correcttofourdecimalplaces. 1mark

b. TheprobabilitythatatyreisinflatedbypumpA toapressuregreaterthanais0.9

Findthevalueofa,correcttothenearestkilopascal. 2marks

WhenpumpBissetto320kPa,thepressurethatthetyreswillbeinflatedtoismodelledbythefollowingprobabilitydensityfunction.

b xx x x

( )( ) ( )

=− − ≤ ≤

340000

310 330 310 330

0

2

elsewhere

c. DeterminethemeantyrepressurefortyresinflatedbypumpB. 2marks

d. ArandomlyselectedtyreisinflatedbypumpB.

FindtheprobabilitythatthistyrewillbeinflatedtoapressuregreaterthanthemeantyrepressureoftyresinflatedbypumpB,correcttofourdecimalplaces. 2marks

23 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – Question 4–continuedTURN OVER

e. TheprobabilitythatatyreisinflatedbypumpB toapressurelessthankis0.95

Findthevalueofk,correcttothenearestkilopascal. 2marks

f. AmotoristisequallylikelytouseeitherpumpAorpumpBtoinflateoneoftheircar’styres.

FindtheprobabilitythatthemotoristhasusedpumpAgiventhatthetyreisinflatedtoapressuregreaterthan325kPa.Giveyouranswercorrecttofourdecimalplaces. 2marks

Thecompanythatmanufacturesthepumpstestsallofitspumpsandremovesthosethataredefective.Theprobabilitythatarandomlyselectedpumpisdefective,fromallofthepumpstested,is0.08

g. Findtheprobabilitythatfourpumpsaredefectivefromasampleof25randomlyselectedpumps,correcttofourdecimalplaces. 2marks

h. Forrandomsamplesof25pumps,P̂ istherandomvariablethatrepresentstheproportionof pumpsthataredefective.

FindtheprobabilitythatP̂ isgreaterthan15%,correcttofourdecimalplaces. 2marks

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 24

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SECTION B – continued

i. Forrandomsamplesofnpumps,P̂ nistherandomvariablethatrepresentstheproportionofpumpsthataredefective.

Findtheleastvalueofnsuchthat 1ˆPr 0.15nPn

< <

2marks

25 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – continuedTURN OVER

CONTINUES OVER PAGE

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 26

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SECTION B – Question 5–continued

Question 5 (12marks)

Let f R R f xx

g R R g x x: , ( ) : , ( )+ → = − → = −1

565

452 and .

Partsofthegraphsoffandgareshownbelow.

A

B

y

O

–1

–2

1 2x

f

g

a. Findthecoordinatesofthepointsofintersectionofthegraphsoff andg,labelledAandB inthediagramabove. 2marks

b. DeterminetheareaboundedbythegraphsoffandgbetweenAandB.Giveyouranswerin

theform r s tu+ ,wherer,s,tanduareintegers. 2marks

27 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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SECTION B – Question 5–continuedTURN OVER

Let 21 1 (1 ): , ( ) and : , ( ) for 1a a xp R R p x q R R q x a

ax a a+ + −→ = − → = > .

c. Findthevalueofaforwhichp (x)=f(x)andq (x)=g (x)forallx. 1mark

d. Findthepositivex-interceptofpintermsofa. 1mark

PointMliesonthegraphofy = p (x).Thetangenttop at Misparalleltoq.

e. Findthex-coordinateofMintermsofa. 2marks

2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT) 28

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SECTION B – Question 5–continued

f. i. Findthey-interceptofthetangenttop at Mintermsofa. 1mark

ii. Giventhat 23

2 113

23x x≥ −( ) forx>1,showthatthetangenttop paralleltoqwillhave

anegativey-interceptforalla>1. 1mark

iii. Thetangenttopparalleltoqhasanegativey-intercept.

Explainwhythisimpliespandqwillalwaysenclosearegionboundedbybothgraphsforalla>1. 1mark

29 2021MATHMETHEXAM2(NHT)

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END OF QUESTION AND ANSWER BOOK

g. Partsofthegraphsofpandqareshownbelowforwhena=100.

y

O

–1

1x

p

q

Theshadedareaisboundedbythegraphsofpandq.

Findthesmallestvalue,b,suchthattheshadedareaislessthanbforalla≥100. 1mark

MATHEMATICAL METHODS

Written examination 2

FORMULA SHEET

Instructions

This formula sheet is provided for your reference.A question and answer book is provided with this formula sheet.

Students are NOT permitted to bring mobile phones and/or any other unauthorised electronic devices into the examination room.

Victorian Certificate of Education 2021

© VICTORIAN CURRICULUM AND ASSESSMENT AUTHORITY 2021

MATHMETH EXAM 2

Mathematical Methods formulas

Mensuration

area of a trapezium 12a b h+( ) volume of a pyramid 1

3Ah

curved surface area of a cylinder 2π  rh volume of a sphere

43

3π r

volume of a cylinder π r 2h area of a triangle12bc Asin ( )

volume of a cone13

2π r h

Calculus

ddx

x nxn n( ) = −1 x dxn

x c nn n=+

+ ≠ −+∫ 11

11 ,

ddx

ax b an ax bn n( )+( ) = +( ) −1 ( )( )

( ) ,ax b dxa n

ax b c nn n+ =+

+ + ≠ −+∫ 11

11

ddxe aeax ax( ) = e dx a e cax ax= +∫ 1

ddx

x xelog ( )( ) = 1 1 0x dx x c xe= + >∫ log ( ) ,

ddx

ax a axsin ( ) cos( )( ) = sin ( ) cos( )ax dx a ax c= − +∫ 1

ddx

ax a axcos( )( ) −= sin ( ) cos( ) sin ( )ax dx a ax c= +∫ 1

ddx

ax aax

a axtan ( )( )

( ) ==cos

sec ( )22

product ruleddxuv u dv

dxv dudx

( ) = + quotient ruleddx

uv

v dudx

u dvdx

v

=

2

chain ruledydx

dydududx

=

3 MATHMETH EXAM

END OF FORMULA SHEET

Probability

Pr(A) = 1 – Pr(A′) Pr(A ∪ B) = Pr(A) + Pr(B) – Pr(A ∩ B)

Pr(A|B) = Pr

PrA BB∩( )( )

mean µ = E(X) variance var(X) = σ 2 = E((X – µ)2) = E(X 2) – µ2

Probability distribution Mean Variance

discrete Pr(X = x) = p(x) µ = ∑ x p(x) σ 2 = ∑ (x – µ)2 p(x)

continuous Pr( ) ( )a X b f x dxa

b< < = ∫ µ =

−∞

∫ x f x dx( ) σ µ2 2= −−∞

∫ ( ) ( )x f x dx

Sample proportions

P Xn

=̂ mean E(P̂ ) = p

standard deviation

sd P p pn

(ˆ ) ( )=

−1 approximate confidence interval

,p zp p

np z

p pn

−−( )

+−( )

1 1ˆ ˆ ˆˆˆ ˆ