2020 6 months investor presentation · 3 ereğli demir Çelik fabrikaları t.a.Ş. (erdemir) may,...

32

Upload: others

Post on 16-Aug-2020

8 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,
Page 2: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

2020 6 MonthsInvestor Presentation

07.08.2020

Page 3: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

3

Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbalannouncements about forward-looking information, expectations, estimates, targets, assessments andopinions. Erdemir has made the necessary arrangements about the amounts and results of suchinformation through its Disclosure Policy and has shared such policy with the public through the Erdemirwebsite, in accordance with the Capital Markets Board regulations. As stated in related policy, informationcontained in forward-looking statements, whether verbal or written, should not include unrealisticassumptions or forecasts. It should be noted that, actual results could materially differ from estimatestaking into account the fact that they are not based on historical facts but are driven from expectations,beliefs, plans, targets and other factors which are beyond the control of our Company. As a result, forward-looking statements should not be fully trusted or taken as granted. Forward-looking statements should beconsidered valid only considering the conditions prevailing at the time of the announcement. In caseswhere it is understood that forward-looking statements are no longer achievable, such matter will beannounced to the public and the statements will be revised. However, the decision to make a revision is aresult of a subjective evaluation. Therefore, it should be noted that, when a party is coming to a judgementbased on estimates and forward-looking statements, our Company may not have made a revision at thatparticular time. Our Company makes no commitment to make regular revisions which would fully coverchanges in every parameter. New factors may arise in the future which may not be possible to foresee atthis moment in time.

Disclaimer

Page 4: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

2020 Market Overview

Page 5: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

5

Crude Steel ProductionChina Crude Steel Production (% yoy)EU28 Crude Steel Production (% yoy)

CIS Crude Steel Production (% yoy)

0.0%

-15.0%

-25.0%

5.0%

-5.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

-30.0%

Feb.

19

Mar

.20

Jun.

18Ju

l. 18

Jan.

20

Aug.

18

Sep.

18

Oct

. 18

Nov

. 18

Jan.

19

Mar

.19

Apr.1

9M

ay.1

9Ju

n.19

Jul.

19Au

g. 1

9Se

p. 1

9O

ct. 1

9

Jun.

20

Nov

. 19

Dec

. 19

Feb.

20

Apr.2

0M

ay.2

0

Dec

. 18

20.0%

10.0%

-5.0%

5.0%

0.0%

15.0%

Jan.

19

Jun.

18Ju

l. 18

Aug.

18

Jun.

19

Sep.

18

Oct

. 18

Nov

. 18

Dec

. 18

Feb.

19

Mar

.19

Feb.

20

Apr.1

9

Aug.

19

May

.19

Jul.

19

Jan.

20

Sep.

19

Oct

. 19

Nov

. 19

Dec

. 19

Mar

.20

Apr.2

0M

ay.2

0Ju

n.20

0.0%

-10.0%

-15.0%

-5.0%

5.0%

Jun.

18

Dec

. 18

Nov

. 19

Jun.

20

Jan.

20

Aug.

19

Jul.

18Au

g. 1

8Se

p. 1

8

Sep.

19

Oct

. 18

Nov

. 18

Jan.

19

Dec

. 19

Feb.

19

Mar

.19

Apr.1

9M

ay.1

9Ju

n.19

Jul.

19

Mar

.20

Oct

. 19

Apr.2

0

Feb.

20

May

.20

Source: Worldsteel

Page 6: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

6

Coking Coal, Iron Ore & Scrap PricesIron Ore Prices

(IODEX 62% Fe CFR North China Mid)Coking Coal Prices

(HCC Peak Downs Region FOB Australia)

Scrap Prices(HMS CFR Turkey Mid)

100

50

150

200

250

Aug-

18Ju

l-18

Sep-

18O

ct-1

8

Jun-

19

Nov

-18

Dec

-18

Jan-

19Fe

b-19

Mar

-19

Apr-1

9

Sep-

19

May

-19

Jul-1

9

Jun-

20

Aug-

19

Oct

-19

Dec

-19

Nov

-19

Jan-

20Fe

b-20

Mar

-20

Apr-2

0M

ay-2

0

Jul-2

0 50

110

607080

120

90100

May

-19

Jul-1

8

Nov

-18

Aug-

18Se

p-18

Dec

-19

Oct

-18

Mar

-19

Jul-1

9

Jan-

19Fe

b-19

Apr-1

9

Jun-

19

Aug-

19Se

p-19

Oct

-19

Nov

-19

Jan-

20Fe

b-20

Mar

-20

Apr-2

0M

ay-2

0Ju

n-20

Jul-2

0

Dec

-18

400

150

200

250

300

350

Jul-2

0

Aug-

18

Dec

-18

Jul-1

8

Sep-

18

Oct

-18

Sep-

19

Nov

-18

Jan-

19

Dec

-19

Feb-

19

Mar

-19

Aug-

19

Apr-1

9

May

-19

Jun-

19

Jul-1

9

Jun-

20

Oct

-19

Nov

-19

Jan-

20

Feb-

20

Mar

-20

Apr-2

0

May

-20

Source: Platts / IODEX

Page 7: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

7

Turkish Steel Production & Consumption

Source: TSPA

Production (mn tons)

Consumption (mn tons)

25.926.5

10.4

2015

13.136.9

10.9

2019

13.5

26.0

20172016

13.9

24.7

36.9

2018

20.2

39.0 38.633.7

Flat Long2018

18.1

17.8

17.9

35.9

2016

16.5

15.4

15.3

2015

16.5

17.6

2017

15.2

10.8

2019

34.4 34.130.7

26.0

6M 2019

6.6

9.8

6.6

10.2

6M 2020

16.4 16.8+2.4%

7.0

5.3

6M 2019

7.4

6M 2020

6.0

12.3 13.4+8.9%

Page 8: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

8

Turkish Steel Exports & ImportsExports (mn tons)

Imports (mn tons)

0.3 0.8

2015

10.2

2.60.3

9.310.0

3.1

2016

4.3

2017 2018

1.0

6.1

10.7

1.3

5.8

10.5

2019

13.1 13.4 14.417.617.8

Flat SteelSemi-Product (Slab+Billet) Long Steel

7.9

8.7

2015

8.6

20191.6

6.2

1.6 1.12016

4.8

9.0

12.0

18.1

1.52017

4.8

7.5

1.32018

3.4

7.5

16.5 15.313.6

Source: TSPA

6M 2019

2.83.10.9

5.1

0.4

4.7

6M 2020

9.1 7.9

3.5

2.01.4

6M 20190.6

3.60.5

6M 2020

5.5 6.1+10.9%

Page 9: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

2020 6M Results

Page 10: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

10

Operational and Financial HighlightsOperational Highlights 2018 2019 6M 2019 6M 2020 Growth (YoY)

Liquid Steel Production (000 tons) 9,322 8,787 4,516 4,257 -5.7%

Flat Steel Production* (000 tons) 7,743 7,257 3,740 3,546 -5.2%

Long Steel Production (000 tons) 980 1,026 522 450 -13.8%

Flat Steel Shipments (000 tons) 7,482 7,250 3,782 3,490 -7.7%

Long Steel Shipments (000 tons) 919 1,057 540 453 -16.1%

Financial Highlights 2018 2019 6M 2019 6M 2020 Growth (YoY)

Net Sales Revenue (USD mn) 5,598 4,844 2,601 2,128 -18.2%

EBITDA (USD mn) 1,720 974 622 381 -38.7%

Net Profit** (USD mn) 1,160 585 411 134 -67.4%

All figures are on IFRS consolidated basis unless stated otherwise.(*) Total flat steel production of Ereğli and İskenderun Plants.(**) It demonstrates Net Profit of Equity Holders of the Parent.

Page 11: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

11

Liquid Steel Production (000 tons)

2019

9,392

2017

9,322

2018

8,787

Q2 2020

2,2842,147

Q2 2019 Q1 2020

1,973

4,257

6M 2019

4,516

6M 2020

Page 12: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

12

Crude Steel Capacity Utilization Ratio

2017

97%

2015

96%

2014

100%97%

2016

97%

2018

87%

91%

2019 6M 2020

Erdemir

Page 13: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

13

Production (000 tons)

Slab production for 3rd parties was included in HRC production.

980

1,822

6,042

2017

1,328

1,637

5,891

8,723

1,701

2018

1,026

5,620

9,041

2019

8,283

377 404 432207 186

1,549

Q2 2019

264

1,310 1,400

Q1 2020 Q2 2020

2,133 1,978 2,018+2.0%

LongHot Cold

781 836

522 450

6M 2019

3,996

2,959 2,710

6M 2020

4,262

Page 14: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

14

Sales Volume (000 tons)

Slab sales for 3rd parties were included in HRC sales.

919

1,908

1,364

1,750

5,686

1,057

2017

5,732

2018

1,696

5,554

2019

8,9588,401 8,307

402422 441267

204

Q1 2020

1,494

Q2 2019

1,234

186

1,393

Q2 2020

1,9232,100 2,020+5.0%

Hot Cold Long

853863

540453

3,943

6M 2019

2,929 2,627

6M 2020

4,322

Page 15: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

15

Net Sales Revenue (USD mn)

733

4,435

1,163

2017

1,030

4,407

2018

3,814

2019

5,1405,598

4,844

914 800

267281

Q2 2020Q1 2020

1,000

Q2 2019

133

1,2671,047 1,081

+3.2%

Export Domestic

620414

1,714

6M 20206M 2019

1,981

2,601

2,128

Page 16: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

16

Flat & Long Steel Domestic Sales Breakdown

57%(1,592)

14%(388)

10%(282)

19%(541)

Pipe&Profile and RollingDistribution Chains

AutomotiveGeneral Manufacturing Industry

Flat Steel Domestic Sales

Long Steel Domestic Sales

2,803K ton6M 2020

45%(190)

20%(82)

35%(147) Rebar and Profile Producers

General Manufacturing IndustryHigh Carbon and Special Qualities

419K ton6M 2020

12%(352)

57%(1,652)

18%(526)

13%(386)

2,916K ton6M 2019

20%(80)

43%(170)

37%(144)

394K ton6M 2019

Page 17: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

17

Export Volume (000 tons)

1,199

2017 2018 2019

1,6311,723

445

209

512

Q1 2020Q2 2019 Q2 2020

+145.0%

19.4%

13.4%

Export Share in Total Sales

25.3%

10.9%

21.2%

20.7%

721

6M 2019 6M 2020

1,012

23.4%

18.3%

Page 18: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

18

EBITDA & Net Profit

974

2018

1,496

2017

1,720

2019

EBITDA (USD mn)

299175 205

Q1 2020Q2 2019 Q2 2020

585

2018

1,030

2017

1,160

2019

Net Profit* (USD mn)

22549 85

Q2 2020Q2 2019 Q1 2020

29.1% 30.7% 20.1%

EBITDA Margin (%)

19.0%23.6% 16.7%

20.0% 20.7%12.1%

Net Profit Margin (%)

4.7%17.7% 7.8%

(*) It demonstrates Net Profit of Equity Holders of the Parent.

411134

6M 2019 6M 2020

15.8% 6.3%

622381

6M 2019 6M 2020

17.9%23.9%

Page 19: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

19

EBITDA Net Profit

381

302

134

20

Investing Activities Inc./(Exp.)

EBITDA6M 2020

Share Transfer Agreement Receivable

Income

(5)(99)

Depreciation Operating Income

(4)

Finance Inc./(Exp.)

(150)

Tax Inc./(Exp.)

(9)

Non-Controlling

Interests

Net Profit6M 2020

Page 20: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

20

EBITDA Net Cash

381

267

333

182

105

Changes in Working

Capital

Net Cash used in Investing

Activities

(172)

Taxes Paid

(96)

Interest Inc./(Exp.)

Net

EBITDA6M 2020

(18)

(10)

Cash Flow from Financial Investments

Free Cash Flow

Credit Usage/(Payment) Net

(39)

Other Change in Cash6M 2020

Page 21: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

21

EBITDA per Ton* (USD/ton)

*One-off income/expense items are excluded.

85

138

119

174

141 143

179197

223 219

172

139 145124

6795 103

Q1

2020

Q3

2017

Q2

2016

Q2

2017

Q3

2016

Q1

2017

Q4

2016

Q1

2018

Q4

2017

Q2

2018

Q3

2018

Q4

2018

Q1

2019

Q2

2019

Q2

2020

Q3

2019

Q4

2019

Main Product

Page 22: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

22

Financial Figures

Consolidated Net Assets (USD mn) 31.12.2019 30.06.2020 Growth (YoY)

Cash Equivalents and Financial Investments 1,800 2,143 19%

Working Capital 1,729 1,547 -11%

Tangible and Intangible Assets 3,581 3,576 0%

Financial Liabilities (1,296) (1,385) 7%

Provisions and Other (554) (511) -8%

Net Assets 5,260 5,370 2%

Working Capital (USD mn) 31.12.2019 30.06.2020 Growth (YoY)

Trade Receivables 563 504 -10%

Inventories 1,571 1,421 -10%

Trade Payables (494) (422) -15%

Other 89 44 -51%

Working Capital 1,729 1,547 -11%

Page 23: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

23

Financial Borrowings (USD mn)

655 460 362 266 325 305

368 654 829 897 930

(190)

(675)(482) (528)

(769)20182016 2019*

14

2015 6M 2020*2017

1,042

Net Debt Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt

*TFRS 16 Leases are excluded.

Page 24: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

24

Net Debt (USD mn)

528

767

267

Net CashDec. 2019

OtherFree Cash Flow

(28)

Net CashJun. 2020

Page 25: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

25

Borrowings Maturity Profile (USD mn)

322 207

696 284

2021 2025Jun. 2020 Cash

42

17

Jul. - Dec. 2020

12282022

1

2023

1

2024

211110

2,117

755

350

29 13 11

Principal Revolving Trade Financing Loans Interest

Page 26: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

26

Cost of Sales Breakdown* (%)

73 76 75 74

11 9 576 55 5

2017

5 5

2018

775 6

2019

68

6M 2020

Raw MaterialsPersonnel Expenses

Depreciation and Amortization Exp.Purchased Energy Expenses

Other

33 31 35 40

35 35 34 3012 12 11 1120 22 20 19

20192017 2018 6M 2020

Iron Ore&Pellet

ScrapCoal

Other

Raw Materials Breakdown (%)

* Excluding inventory writedowns and provision released.

Page 27: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

27

Capital Expenditures* (USD mn)

5793 83

5580 88

52 4384

35

143

171159

10782

113

110165

132 216

99

2010 20162011 20132012 20172015

200

2014

208

2018 2019

264

8

201

6M 2020

242

162 162 162

216

251

107

Capital Expenditures Fixed Assets Acquisition* Advance payments for capital expenditures are not included.

Page 28: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

28

Number of Employees

2015 2016 2017 Jun. 20202018 2019

12,27712,65911,975 11,607 11,428 11,391

Page 29: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

29

Appendix – EBITDA Detail

Note01.01.2020-30.06.2020

(Thousand USD)

01.01.2020-30.06.2020

(Thousand TRY)

Presentation Currency Translation 2.1 6.4761

Operating Profit 302,149 1,956,754

Depreciation and Amortisation Expenses 98,939 640,743

Cost of Sales 13 91,187 590,538

Marketing Expenses 14 3,474 22,500

General Administrative Expenses 14 3,663 23,725

Research and Development Expenses 6 615 3,980

POA Classification (20,344) (131,762)

Share Transfer Agreement Receivable Income 14 (20,876) (135,193)

Interest Income for Overdue Receivables 14 (508) (3,295)

Rediscount Expenses 14 (15) (95)

Interest Expense for Purchase Contracts with Maturities 14 1,055 6,821

380,744 2,465,735

Page 30: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

2020 Guidance

Page 31: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

31

2020 Guidance

7,2 7,4

1,1 1,18,5

2019 Actual

2020 Projection

8,3

Flat Long

Sales Volume (million tons)

EBITDA Margin2019 actual

2020 projection

20,1%

16-18%

Page 32: 2020 6 Months Investor Presentation · 3 Ereğli Demir Çelik Fabrikaları T.A.Ş. (Erdemir) may, when necessary, make written or verbal announcements about forward-looking information,

32

Erdemir Investor [email protected] https://www.erdemir.com.tr/investor-relations/ +90 216 578 80 61