2018 ifrs financial results -...
TRANSCRIPT
Resources create opportunitiesResources create opportunities
2018 IFRS Financial Results14 March 2019
2
Disclaimer
The following USD/RUB exchange rates were used for the presentation of those financial results:
Average over the period1: Q1 2017 – 58.8442; Q2 2017 – 57.1451; Q3 2017 – 59.0195; Q4 2017 – 58.4080;
Q1 2018 – 56.8803; Q2 2018 – 61.7998; Q3 2018 – 65.5323; Q4 2018 – 66.4822;
End of the period: 2017 – 57.6002; 2018 – 69.4706.
This presentation of Metalloinvest’s financial results for FY 2018 (the “Presentation”) contains certain forward-looking statements, particularly those relating to anticipated
demand and consumption, global economic conditions, commodity prices, management aims and objectives, strategy, production, anticipated investments and
anticipated completion of previously announced transactions. Metalloinvest will not update these statements to reflect events and circumstances occurring after the date
hereof. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the
future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements depending on a variety of factors, including future levels of industry product supply, demand and
pricing, operational problems, general economic conditions, political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world, changes in laws and governmental
regulations, exchange rate fluctuations, development and use of new technology, changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions, the actions of
competitors, natural disasters and adverse weather conditions, wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage, other factors discussed elsewhere in this document, as well as
other risks affecting Metalloinvest and its operations.
The contents of this Presentation do not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to issue, sell, purchase, exchange or transfer or
any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Metalloinvest in any jurisdiction, nor shall this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its
presentation, communication or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any foreign securities which are
mentioned in this Presentation are not and will not be registered in the Russian Federation by any state authority responsible for registration of such securities and such
securities shall not be admitted to subscription nor shall be publicly available in the Russian Federation and cannot be the subject of any offer in the Russian Federation,
except in the cases permitted by the law of the Russian Federation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by Metalloinvest, its affiliates or any of their
respective advisers, officers, employees or agents, as to the accuracy of the information or opinions or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of
these materials or their contents.
Notes:1 Income and expenses for the years ended 31 December 2017 and 31 December 2018
were translated to presentation currency at quarterly average exchange rates
3
Contents
I. Key Highlights………...….……….………………..…………………………………........................... 4
II. Operational Results..…….....………………………………………………………………………………... 7
III. Financial Results …...…………………………………………………………………........................... 11
IV. Debt & Ratings…………………….………………………………………….….................................. 15
V. Subsequent Events…………………………………………………………………………………………….. 19
Appendix…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 22
4
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
5
35
55
75
95
Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018 Jan 2019
Iron ore index (62% Fe, CFR China)
6972
59
Highlights
Key financialsUSD mn 2018 2017 Change
Revenue 7,187 6,231 15.3%
Gross profit 3,919 3,161 24.0%
EBITDA1 2,934 2,120 38.4%
EBITDA margin 40.8% 34.0% 6.8 p.p.
Net Income 1,647 1,406 17.1%
Capex 441 489 (9.8%)
USD mn, eop 31.12.2018 31.12.2017 Change
Total Debt 4,051 4,446 (8.9%)
Short-term debt 221 413 (46.5%)
Cash & equivalents 693 390 77.7%
Net Debt 3,358 4,056 (17.2%)
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.1x 1.9х (0.8x)
Notes:1Hereinafter EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details please refer to IFRS Statements
Net Debt/ EBITDA has an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation
USD/ t
Source: Bloomberg
Global iron ore prices
4,261
6,2317,187
Revenue2016 2017 2018
1,258
2,120
2,934
EBITDA2016 2017 2018
Net Debt/EBITDA
2.5x
1.9x
1.1x
USD mn
6
• Steel prices increased in the first half of 2018 due to the global growth in demandfor steel products and the decreasein China steel product exports
• The the second half of 2018 was characterised by slowing demand and flattening Chinese exports with negative dynamics in steel prices
Iro
n o
re &
p
ell
ets
Me
tall
ics
(pig
iro
n &
HB
I)S
tee
l p
rod
uct
s
Main drivers
• Closure of high-cost and polluting plantsin China1 has a positive impact onachieving balance in the market
• Largest market players (Australia and Brazil) demonstrate a balanced approachto investing in new capacities
• Significant increase in price premiumsfor iron ore and pellets quality
• Environmental protection measuresin China resulted in an import ban for allsecondary resources, including steel scrap
• Deficit of DR grade pellets combined with growing DRI production has led to moderate growth of metallic prices
2.002.05
2.16
2.052.11 2.15
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2016 2017 2018Demand Supply
Iron ore products market balance, bn t
Market trends
85.6 94.4 97.6
12.8 12.2 14.27.3 10.3 11.5105.7
116.9 123.3
0
50
100
150
2016 2017 2018Scrap Pig iron HBI/DRI
0.68 0.74 0.78
0.84 0.86 0.88
1.52 1.60 1.66
0.0
0.7
1.4
2.1
2016 2017 2018China RoW
Price dynamics
Trade of metallics, mn t
Steel product consumption, bn t
20
70
120
170
Pellets, 65% Iron ore, 62% Iron ore, 65%
2016 2017 2018
USD/t, CFR China, indices
150
240
330
420
01/01/2016 01/01/2017 01/01/2018HBI, import Italy Pig iron, FOB Black Sea
USD/t, indices
2016 2017 2018
1Closure of ‘illegal’ furnaces and reduction of installed capacities by 35 mn t in 2018
Source: data provided by analytical industry agencies, ISSB, WSA
150
300
450
600
01/01/2016 01/01/2017 01/01/2018Steel billet, FOB Black Sea
Market review
2016 2017 2018
USD/t, index
7
OPERATIONAL RESULTS
8
40.7
25.2
5.7
3.0
4.7
40.3
25.1
7.0
2.7
4.8
40.4
27.7
7.8
3.0
5.1
Iron ore
Pellets
HBI/DRI
Hot metal
Crude steel
2016 2017 2018
+6.2%
x%
2018 key developments
• Iron ore production volumes remained almost flat1 y-o-y
and totalled 40.4 mn tonnes
• Pellet production rose by 10.2% y-o-y to a record high of
27.7 mn tonnes following the growth in market demand
and increased productivity of production facilities after
major maintenance works of PP-1 and PP-32 held at LGOK
in 2017
• HBI/DRI output increased by 12.1% y-o-y driven by the
launch of the HBI-3 Plant at LGOK in July 2017 and the
increase in productivity of the DRI unit #2 at OEMK after
modernisation held in 2017
• Hot metal production increased by 12.6% to
3.0 mn tonnes due to the launch of ASU3 #5 at Ural Steel
• Crude steel production rose by 6.2% to 5.1 mn tonnes,
largely supported by the increase in production and
shipments of cast billets from CCM4-1
Production volumes
mn t
Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel
Iron ore refers to iron ore concentrate and sintering ore1 Hereinafter comparison with 20172 Pellet Plant #1 and Pellet Plant #33 Air separation unit4 Steel billet continuous casting machine
+0.2%
+10.2%
+12.1%
+12.6%
y-o-y change
9
10.4 7.6
12.814.0
3.64.2
2017 2018
Other
HBI/DRI
Pellets
Iron ore
26.8 25.9
1.0 1.11.4 1.11.4 1.5
6.7 5.5
16.3 16.8
2017 2018
Russia
Europe
MENA
Asia
Others
26.8 25.9
2.1 2.3
0.3 0.41.5 1.1
0.9 1.1
1.8 1.9
2017 2018
Shipment structure
Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel
Shipment of iron ore products by region
Shipment of iron ore products
6.5 6.8
Mining Segment Steel Segment
Shipment of steel products
Shipment of pig iron and steel products by region
mn t
mn t
mn t
mn t
61%71%
HVAshare
2.2 2.3
0.3 0.31.0 1.10.3 0.30.6 0.6
2017 2018
Plate HVA
Plate
SBQ HVA
Semi-finished product HVA
Semi-finished product
4.4 4.6
10
Capital expenditure breakdown in 2018
290
489441
550 area
2016 2017 2018 2019F
USD mn
The Company is undertaking its Industry 4.0 business
transformation programme. Progress in 2018 included:
• Start of the operations of the integrated financial andbusiness management system, using the SAP S/4HANAbusiness suite at LGOK and MGOK in July 2018
• Preparations to commence the integration of the financialand business management system at OEMK and Ural Steelin 2019
• Construction of data centre in Stary Oskol
USD 29 mn
Mining Segment
Construction of HBI-3 Plant at LGOK (+1.8 mn t of HBI)
Steel Segment
USD 38 mn
Purchase of new high productivity mining vehicles at LGOK & MGOK
USD 54 mn
Construction of conveyor facilitiesat LGOK & MGOK
USD 27 mn
Complex programme of SBQ development at OEMK
USD 18 mn
Reconstruction of EAFs1
at Ural Steel USD 3 mn
Construction of Roller Treatment Furnace #1 and Heat Treatment Machine #1 at Ural Steel
USD 6 mn
Notes:
Capex data on the graph for 2016, 2017, 2018 refers to IFRS Statements,
all other figures reflect management accounting1 Electric Arc Furnace
Project to develop external power supply system at LGOK
USD 8 mn
Construction of medium pressure boilers for the thermal power plant at Ural Steel
USD 12 mn
11
FINANCIAL RESULTS
12
2,525
1,409
247
853
1,197
2,880
1,632
421
782
1,471
Russia
Europe
Asia
Middle East
Other
countries
2017
2018
Revenue composition
2018 Revenue: USD 7,187 mn
USD mn
11%
20%
14%12%
40%
3%
7%
20%
18%
12%
41%
2%
Iron ore Pellets
HBI Pig iron
Steel products Other revenue
2018 – outer circle2017 – inner circle
Revenue by region
Export share60% in 2018
vs.59% in 2017
1 Others include Americas and CIS countries
1
13
967
301
1,742
406
2,267
654
Mining Steel
2016 2017 2018
2,120
2,934
956
27
32
(199)
(2)
EBITDA 2017
Revenue
Cost of sales
Distribution
expenses
G&A expenses
Other
EBITDA 2018
EBITDA y-o-y dynamics
EBITDA composition
2018 EBITDA: USD 2,934 mn
USD mnSupportive market conditions and change in product
mix towards high value-added products resulted in
a considerable increase in EBITDA (by 38.4% y-o-y)
EBITDA by segment dynamics
40.8%
34.0%
EBITDA margin
USD mn
14
802
1,2131,324
2,120
411
2,934
69
(325)
(372)
(113)
(489)
(19)
(317)
(460)
(461)
(441)
EB
ITD
A
Inte
rest
Taxe
s
Ch
g.
in N
WC
Ca
pe
x
Oth
ers
FCF
Dis
po
sal o
f fi
na
nci
al
ass
ets
FCF
aft
er
dis
po
sal o
f fi
na
nci
al a
sse
ts
EB
ITD
A
Inte
rest
Taxe
s
Ch
g.
in N
WC
Ca
pe
x
Oth
ers
FCF
Positive free cash flow
USD mn
2017 2018
Notes:1Proceeds from the disposal of MMC Norilsk Nickel’s ADRs
EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details, please refer to IFRS Statements
1
15
DEBT & RATINGS
16
Debt profile as of 31 December 2018
Sources: IFRS data, management accounts1 PXF – pre-export finance facility2 Undrawn credit lines
Cash
USD mn
Cash
*
0.7 0.0 0.20.5 0.3
0.62
0.40.2
0.7 0.4
0.9
0.2
0.6 0.7 0.70.5
1.2
0.3
Liquidity 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 After 2024
RUBUSD/EUR
Debt maturity schedule as of 31 December 2018
USD bn
4,1834,446
4,051
3,194
4,056
3,358
2.5x
1.9x
1.1x
31 Dec. 2016 31 Dec. 2017 31 Dec. 2018
Total Debt Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA
Cash
2018 key developments
• January: Refinancing of USD 240 mn pre-export credit facilities (PXF) with a new PXFraised in 2018
• February: Keeping the Company’s series 02 and 03 bonds for a total amount ofRUB 10 bn in the market for 5 years with a coupon rate set at 7.65%, following thesuccessful execution of a put option
• June: Signing of a EUR 72 mn credit facility agreement with Crédit Agricole CIBguaranteed by export credit agency (ECA) for financing the purchase of equipment
• August: Improvement of commercial terms under the syndicated loan PXF-2017 forthe amount of USD 800 mn (tranche A)
• September: Partial refinancing of loan portfolio following the new 6-year loanprovided by Gazprombank in the amount of RUB 18.8 bn
• November: Extension and improvement of commercial terms under revolving creditline agreement with ING Bank for the amount of USD 200 mn (or EUR equivalent)
17
Credit ratings as of 31 December 2018
Date
Rating
Outlook
February 2017
BB
STABLE
POSITIVE
Ba2
STABLE
January 2018 July 2018
ruAA-
POSITIVE
STABLE
BB
August 2018
POSITIVE
STABLE
18
In Q4 2018, Metalloinvest received the debut rating of corporate socialresponsibility (CSR) from the international agency EcoVadis. Followingthe assessment, the Company was awarded the "Silver" level ofrecognition of CSR practices.
In particular, the agency’s analysts rated especially highly theCompany's activities around environmental protection, human rightsand the introduction of working and ethical standards at theenterprises.
Among producers rated by EcoVadis globally in the manufacture of basiciron and steel industry (over 900 companies):
Overall score(CSR performance):
Metalloinvest is in the
top 11%
Environment score(part of overall score):
Metalloinvest is in the
top 7%
Debut rating of corporate social responsibility
EcoVadis is an international rating platform that evaluates the management system for corporate and social responsibility ofbusiness. The EcoVadis methodology is based on international CSR standards including the Global reporting initiative, theUN Global compact and ISO 26000, applicable to 190 categories in 150 countries. EcoVadis evaluates 21 criteria in 4 groups:environment, fair labour practices, business ethics and supply chain
19
SUBSEQUENT EVENTS
20
Implementation of new Distribution Policy
The Distribution Policy
is based on the following
key principles:
• Total ratio of distributions is subject to the levelof net leverage
• FCF after distributions should be positive
• The Company is eager to shift to dividend payments as a principle stream of distributions2
• Operating Cash Flow should cover capital expenditure requirements
• Distributions are subject to current and mid-termmarket conditions
In the beginning of 2019, Metalloinvest’s Board of Directors approved a Distribution Policy,
which regulates the Company’s total amount of distributions to shareholders1
1 Both in the form of dividends and loans advanced2 In compliance with applicable laws and accounting standards of the Russian Federation
21
5
6
7
8
9
31/12/2009 31/12/2010 31/12/2011 31/12/2012 31/12/2013 31/12/2014 31/12/2015 31/12/2016 31/12/2017 31/12/2018 31/12/2019
MOODY'S S&P___ FITCH
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Ba2/BB
Ba3/BB–
Ba1/BB+
Rating scale (Moody’s / S&P, Fitch)
Ba3 stable
BB–stable
BB–positive
Ba2 / BBpositive
BB+stable
Metalloinvest’s rating history (for the ratings assigned by Big-3 international agencies)
S&P upgraded Metalloinvest rating to BB+ with a stable outlook
In February 2019, S&P upgraded the Company’s long-term corporate credit rating to BB+ with a stable outlook from BB/stable
According to S&P, Metalloinvest's rating upgrade reflects the Company’s continuous debt reduction over recent years, as well as strong operating and financial results achieved in 2018
22
APPENDIX
23
Product quality achievements
Coordination meetings
• To increase the efficiency of interaction related to SBQ supplies
• to create stock reserves
• to carry out joint experiments on new steel grades
• To expand supply of pipe billets and flat steel products
• To create a collaborative scientific and engineering centre for the development of new steel grades for LDP1
1Large diameter pipes
Awards
MGOK was named Best Supplier of iron ore pellets to MMK
OEMK was named Best Plant as a supplier of high quality steel rods to Groupe PSA enterprises (whose brands include Peugeot, Citroen, Opel, DS and others)
• To improve quality of railway wheel billets
24
Environment
The Company devotes significant time and efforts to tacklingenvironmental issues
• LGOK's tailings facility in the enterprise's beneficiation plant
is conducting seasonal dust control activities using both
a ground-based irrigation system and light aircraft
• MGOK is modernising its dedusting systems on pellet
overload at open storages
• OEMK is recultivating the second phase of the industrial
waste landfill
• Ural Steel is reconstructing the aspiration system of blast
furnaces #3 and #4 (initial stage)
3322
3642
52
50 3 3 3
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0.420.28
0.45 0.470.62
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Health, Safety & Environment
LTIFR*
Atmospheric emissions**tonnes ‘000
126 124 117 113 117
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Health & Safety
Safety is the Company’s top priority
The Company is committed to a zero fatality rate
Accidents and Fatalities
* LTIFR is calculated on the basis of Metalloinvest major plants (LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel, Ural Scrap Company):
(total number of injuries with loss of labour capacity / number of worked man hours) х 1 mn man hours
** Total amount of pollution emissions into atmosphere from stationary sources (LGOK, MGOK, OEMK and Ural Steel)
Implementation of openness and transparency policy at plants
Slight increase due to launch of
HBI-3 in 2017
25
38% 37%30%
62%63% 70%
2016 2017 2018
USD/EUR
RUB
Debt structure as of 31 December 2018
Sources: IFRS data, management accounts
*Pre-export financing
Breakdown by currency
8% 9% 11%
22% 21% 16%
16% 16%14%
24% 25%28%
31% 29% 32%
2016 2017 2018
PXF*
Eurobonds
RUB bonds
RUB Bank loans
Other
2018 Total Debt: USD 4,051 mn
Breakdown by source
26
Key financial indicators
USD mn H1 2017 H2 2017 FY 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 FY 2018 Y-o-Y
Revenue 3,032 3,199 6,231 3,779 3,408 7,187 15.3%
Gross profit 1,556 1,605 3,161 1,977 1,942 3,919 24.0%
EBITDA 1,061 1,059 2,120 1,491 1,443 2,934 38.4%
EBITDA margin 35.0% 33.1% 34.0% 39.5% 42.3% 40.8% 6.8 p.p.
Net Income 585 821 1,406 870 777 1,647 17.1%
Capex 188 301 489 234 207 441 (9.8%)
Total Debt 4,468 4,446 4,446 4,287 4,051 4,051 (8.9%)
Short-term Debt 289 413 413 581 221 221 (46.5%)
Cash & cash equivalents 866 390 390 477 693 693 77.7%
Net Debt 3,602 4,056 4,056 3,811 3,358 3,358 (17.2%)
Net Debt / EBITDA LTM1 2.0х 1.9х 1.9х 1.5x 1.1x 1.1x (0.8x)
1 Net Debt / EBITDA LTM is calculated based on EBITDA for the last 12 months;
the indicator has an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation
27
Committees
Name Category Company AuditFinance,
Budgeting & Strategy
Remuneration
Ivan StreshinskyChairman
Non-executive
Galina Aglyamova
IndependentValery Kazikaev
Dmitry Tarasov
Gleb Kostikov
Non-executiveIrina Lupicheva
Pavel Mitrofanov
Andrey Varichev Executive
C
C
CMember of a committee Committee Chairman
Board of Directors composition
C
28
Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings Department
Contacts
Artem Lavrischev
Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings
T: +7 (495) 981 55 55, ext. 7243
www.metalloinvest.com