2018 financial results 2018 q4 earnings presentation.pdf · - in tv segment, the companyimproved...
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2018
Financial Results
January 30, 2019
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• International organic growth, YoY depreciation of TRY and price adjustments led to
30% top-line growth YoY
• Flat gross profit margin QoQ as increasing domestic profitability offsetted the negative
impact of TRY appreciation on international margins
• Relief in raw material prices started to help margins in 4Q18
• Strict opex management with 160 bps QoQ improvement in Opex-to-Sales ratio
• Slight market share losses in Europe compared to 9M18
• TRY appreciationand strong collection performance helped WC/Sales ratio
• Leverage declined thanks to strong EBITDAgeneration and TRY valuation
2018 Q4 Summary
Net Sales
TRY 7.4 bln.
EBITDA
Margin
12.2%
Leverage
2.4X
WC / Sales
28.0%
2
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Key Factors Impacting Revenues
2018 Q4 Sales Performance
International
GrowthOrganic growth (~6%) continued in 4Q18 thanks to strong
performance in Europe, ASEAN and MENA
Currency ImpactTRY’s YoY depreciation against hard currencies (€, $, £) and
some emerging market currencies (PLN, ZAR, RUB)
Domestic DemandDespite the new SCT Incentive and a favorable base,
domestic sell-in demand remained weak
Pakistan MarketMainly due to macro developments, Pakistani market had a
slower quarter
3
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Key Factors Impacting Margins
2018 Q4 Margin Performance
Price AdjustmentsEarlier price adjustment in Turkey, Pakistan and MENA region
led to expansion in profit margins
OPEX ManagementThanks to strict OPEX management during the quarter,
Opex-to-Sales ratio improved by 160bps QoQ
Raw MaterialBoth plastic and metal prices continued to decline
during the quarter
TRY AppreciationTRY appreciationhad a negative impact on international
profitability through sales of pre-purchased inventory but wassupportive for domestic margins
4
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2018 Q4 Performance - Turkey
Market*
• Despite the SCT incentive and low base of 2017, sell-in market contracted by 22% in 4Q. However, retail demand was positive in the last 2 months due to SCT break.
• A/C demand declined by 15% during the quarter.
• Retail demand for TV decreased sharply by 24% (YoY) in the quarter (9M: +0,9%)
Turkish Market by Product Type
(MDA 6)Turkish MDA6 Total Market
YoY Change
* MDA and A/C figures are based on BESD data.
TV figures are based on retail panel of a market research company for Jan-Dec ‘18 period
5
-16% -17%-23%
-20%
9%
-8%
3%
-22%
-38%
-29%
-21%-15%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jan
Fe
b
Ma
r
Apr
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016 2017 2018
('000 Units) 4Q18 4Q17 YoY 4Q16 vs. 4Q16
Refrigerator 312 388 -20% 487 -36%
Freezer 6 46 -87% 58 -89%
Washing M. 401 518 -23% 555 -28%
Dryer 47 45 3% 38 23%
Dishwasher 298 357 -16% 423 -30%
Oven 178 240 -26% 278 -36%
Total 1,242 1,594 -22% 1,839 -32%
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2018 Q4 Performance - Turkey
Arçelik A.Ş.
• Topline decline realized at 3% YoY mainly due to fragile demand environment
- In MDA, unit sales was better than the market in 4Q18. (Market: -22%, Arcelik -18%)
- A/C unit sales also outperformed the market as volumes remained flat YoY.
- In TV segment, the company improved its position and performance in the market in Q4
and it continued to enjoy the second position in FY with ~25% market share.
15%
TV
Sales
Washing
Machine Sales
Underperformers Outperformers
-68%
Cash Register
Sales
6
4Q18 DomesticRevenue Growth
(YoY): -3.0%
17
%
Cooler
Sales
-26%
2%
Air
ConditionerSales
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1.0%
1.9% 2.0%
2.4%
1.7%
0.9%
1.6%1.5%
2.0%
Wa
shin
g M
.
Dry
er
Dis
hw
asher
Coo
ler
Fre
eze
r
Ove
n
TO
TA
L
Fre
e S
tandin
g
Built
-in
2018 Q4 Performance - International
Market*
Market Unit Growth in Major Markets (%)
(MDA 6)
European Market Unit Growth by Product Type
(12M18) (%)
7
• West Europe improved slightly in 4Q18 but closed year with ~1% decline.
- UK, Spain and Italy were the source of improvement (QoQ) while Germany and France were weak.
• East Europe enjoyed another strong quarter as yearly growth reached 8%.
- After a weak 9M, Romania also contributed to region’s performance
• S. African retail demand grew significantly as demand shifted from Q3 to Q4.• s
• Mainly due to macro conditions, Pakistan slowed down in 4Q18.
• Figures are based on retail panel of a market research company.
-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
RussiaPoland
RomaniaUkraine
United KingdomGermany
FranceItaly
Spain
South Africa
9M 12M
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2018 Q4 Performance - International
Arçelik A.Ş.
46%
SDA
Sales
73
%
Grundig MDA
Sales
58%
Built-in
Sales
52%
Free Standing
Sales
Underperformers Outperformers
8
4Q18 International Revenue Growth (YoY):
+46.4%
33
%
TV
Sales
• TRY depreciationand organic growth led to ~46% increase in international sales.
- Share of built-in improved ~100bps YoY to ~20%.
- Grundig sales increased more than 70%.
- SDA had another strong quarter with 52% revenue growth.
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2.5
0.40.7 0.6
-0.2
0.4
-0.7
0.7
-0.3
0.7 0.7 0.6
UK Spain Italy France Germany Romania Poland Russia Ukraine EU23Total
EU23 F/S
EU23 B/I
2018 Q4 Performance - International : Europe
Arçelik A.Ş.
Arçelik Group
Unit Market Share Gains (YoY) (points) - MDA 6*
9
• Slight market share losses in Q4 after an exceptionally strong 9M18.
- Throughout 2018, Beko has reached highest ever market shares (monthly) in WE total, UK,
France, Spain, Romania and Russia.
• TRY is still supportive albeit to a lesser extent compared to 3Q18.
• In some Western European markets, promotional activity was reduced to focus more
on profitability.
* Figures are based on retail panel of a market research company for Jan-Dec 18 except EU23 region, which is based on Jan-Oct
Market Share (%)
20.4 7.7 8.4 7.6 5.5 40.1 15.2 5.5 4.9 10.1 11.2 7.0
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2018 Q4 Performance – International : Asia & Africa
Arçelik A.Ş.
10
ASEAN
• Sales in ASEAN region was ~USD23mn in 4Q18. (USD135mn YTD*)
• Refrigerator production in Thailand was ~345 K units, up by 30%.
• Market share gains go on in the region.
• Sell-in sales were weak as retail demand is expected to be sluggish in 1H19 in S. Africa.
S. Africa & Sub-Sahara
Pakistan
• In line with sluggish market conditions, Dawlance recorded low single digit revenue
growth in local currency.
• Price adjustments continued in all product categories in Q4.
India
• Plant construction is going on as the JV is building up distribution, including listing on
Tata CliQ.
• With the initial product launch, sales to the JV reached TRY 120 million.
* In previous quarters, direct sales to India were included in ASEAN sales. As VoltBek started trading operations, FY figure excludes sales to India.
1,1 1,00,7
1,51,7 1,8
Malaysia Thailand Vietnam
Unit Market Share in Cooling
2017 2018
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60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Jan-1
6
Apr-
16
Jul-1
6
Oct
-16
Jan-1
7
Apr-
17
Jul-1
7
Oct
-17
Jan-1
8
Apr-
18
Jul-1
8
Oct
-18
4Q Average Plastics Price Index (Market)
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Jan-1
6
Apr-
16
Jul-1
6
Oct
-16
Jan-1
7
Apr-
17
Jul-1
7
Oct
-17
Jan-1
8
Apr-
18
Jul-1
8
Oct
-18
4Q Average Metals Price Index (Market)
Trends in Raw Material Prices
Metal Prices Index - Market
11
Metal Prices Index Quarterly Average - Market
Source: Steel BB, Steel Orbis
Index includes: CRC, HRC, Galvanized Steel, Stainless Steel, Copper, Aluminium
Plastic Prices Index - Market
Source: ICIS - Chemical Industry News & Chemical Market Intell igence
Index includes: ABS, Polystyrene, Polyurethane, Polypropylene
Plastic Prices Index Quarterly Average - Market
-6%
-9%
3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
85 90 94 93 90 85
3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
119 123 128 125 121 111
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2018 Q4 Other Developments
12
A new R&D Center, Arch R&D Co. Ltd., was launched in High-Tech Development Zone,in Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Beko Spain received recognition for its career in Spain by the Secretary of State for Energyas Beko has been the fastest growing brand in Spain on the MDA6 sector in the last decade.
The launch of the new Grundig concept store took place in November in S. Africa. The B2Bsolution for architects, designers and interior decorators is a first of its kind in the country.
Beko “Eat Like A Pro” campaign with FC Barcelona won the “Best Brand Activation involvinga Club” category along with a silver award in “Partnership of the Year” at Football BusinessAwards in London.
Thanks to its accomplishments in sustainability, Arçelik won the first prize in the"Management" category of the European Business Awards for the Environment. It is the first-ever Turkish company to receive the award in its industry.
Sardis, the new generation mobile payment terminal developed by Token, the financialtechnologies spin-off company, won the Innovation Award by Consumer TechnologyAssociation at CES.
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Sales Performance
13
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8,125 8,425
12,716
18,479
20,841
26,904
2017 2018
Turkey International
1,903 1,845
3,802
5,570
5,706
7,414
2017 Q4 2018 Q4
39.0%
29.7%
13.2%
6.8%
2.7%
4.4%
4.2%
31.3%
33.6%
15.7%
7.2%
2.2%4.3%
5.6%
Turkey Western Europe
CIS&Eastern Europe Africa
Middle East Pakistan
Other
33.4%
33.6%
15.7%
7.8%
2.4%
3.5%
3.6%
24.9%
39.7%
17.3%
7.9%
2.1%3.2%
4.9%
Turkey Western Europe CIS&Eastern Europe
Africa Middle East Pakistan
Other
2017
2018
+30%
-3%
+46%
Sales by Region
2017 Q4
2018 Q4
14
+29%
+4%
+45%
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Sales Bridge
15
2018 Q4 Organic Currency Effect TOTAL
Domestic Growth -3.1% 0.0% -3.1%
International Growth 5.7% 40.8% 46.5%
Total Growth 2.7% 27.2% 29.9%
1,903 1,844
3,802
5,570
-59216
1552
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2017 Q4 TR - Organic INT - Organic INT - FX Impact 2018 Q4
Turkey International Impact on Rev
TL mn
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Financial Performance
16
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* EBIT w as calculated by deducting the impact of foreign exchange gains and losses arising from trade receivables and payables, credit
f inance income and charges and cash discount expense and adding income and expenses from sale of property plant and equipment.
** Net income before minority
Income Statement
17
TL mn 2018 Q4 2017 Q4 2018 Q3
Δ%
YoY
Δ%
QoQ 2018 2017
Δ%
YoY
Revenue 7,414 5,706 7,696 30 -4 26,904 20,841 29
Gross Profit 2,410 1,749 2,511 38 -4 8,546 6,506 31
margin 32.5 30.7 32.6 31.8 31.2
EBIT * 713 282 603 153 18 2,107 1,406 50
margin 9.6 4.9 7.8 7.8 6.7
Profit Before Tax 270 112 332 141 -19 949 821 16
margin 3.6 2.0 4.3 3.5 3.9
Net Income** 281 90 253 212 11 856 845 1
margin 3.8 1.6 3.3 3.2 4.1
EBITDA* 908 426 787 113 15 2,797 1,954 43
margin 12.2 7.5 10.2 10.4 9.4
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654
873
699
33.7
35.3
39.2
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
2017 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4
Revenue Gross Margin (%)
885
663
808
23.724.8
19.5
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2017 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4
Revenue Gross Margin (%)
4,167
6,1615,907
31.7
33.1 33.5
25.0
27.0
29.0
31.0
33.0
35.0
37.0
39.0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2017 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4
Revenue Gross Margin (%)
5,706
7,6967,414
30.7
32.6 32.5
25.0
26.0
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
31.0
32.0
33.0
34.0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2017 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q4
Revenue Gross Margin (%)
Revenue and Gross Profit by Segment
18
Consolidated
White Goods Consumer Electronics Other
Change
in Sales
(YoY)
(QoQ)
(30%)
(-9%)
(42%)
(-4%)
(-9%)
(22%)
(7%)
(-20%)
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Balance Sheet
19
TL mn 31.12.2018 31.12.2017 31.12.2018 31.12.2017
Current Assets 19,196 13,501 Current Liabilities 12,497 8,403
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,342 2,582 ST Bank Borrowings 5,517 3,262
Trade Receivables 7,756 6,518 Trade Payables 4,734 3,576
Inventories 5,088 3,780 Provisions 582 431
Other 1,011 622 Other 1,663 1,135
Non-current Assets 9,172 6,935 Non-current Liabilities 7,652 5,118
Property, Plant and Equipment 4,534 3,265 LT Bank Borrowings 6,432 4,114
Intangible Assets 3,109 2,578 Other 1,221 1,004
Financial Investments 348 285
Other 1,181 807 Equity 8,219 6,915
Total Assets 28,368 20,436 Total Liabilities 28,368 20,436
31.12.2018 31.12.2017 31.12.2016 31.12.2015
Net Financial Debt/Equity 0.80 0.69 0.69 0.70
Total Liabilities/Total Assets 0.71 0.66 0.66 0.66
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32.5% 30.9% 30.3% 30.8% 29.3% 32.2% 33.8%
33.5%30.3% 31.6% 32.7% 35.1%
28.0%
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18
9,4147,756
6,201
5,088
6,0454,734
938
751
8,847
7,541
2016 - Assets 2016 - Liabilities 2017 1Q - Assets 20171Q - Liabilities
Trade Rec. Inventory Other Rec. Trade Payables Other Pay. Working Capital
Working Capital / Sales
Working Capital
20
2018 Q3 2018 Q4
Change
19%
30%
31%
18%
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2,886 2,038 1,983 2,582 2,612 2,956 4,225 5,342
-2,770 -2,922 -3,216 -3,262 -3,900 -4,413 -4,687 -5,517
-3,980 -3,874 -3,767 -4,114-4,351
-5,029-6,836 -6,432
2.11
2.52 2.56 2.45
2.833.13 3.15
2.36
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
17 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 18 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4Cash and cash equivalent Short term debt Long term debt Net Debt/EBITDA
TL mn
Debt Maturity Profile
21
Cash Breakdown by Currency
Cash & Debt Profile
Debt profile (as of Dec 31 2018)
Effective mn Original TL mn
Interest Rate p.a. (%) Currency Equivalent
TRY 20.6% 4,640 4,640
EUR 1.1% 262 1,580
ZAR 9.4% 750 275
GBP 1.5% 7 50
RON 4.9% 4 6
PKR 9.3% 16,333 611
Total 7,161
USD 5.1% 505 2,657
EUR 4.0% 353 2,130
Total Eurobond 4,787
Total 11,948
201946%
202011%
202118%
202323%
2023+2%
4%
14%
10%
59%
4%9%
TRY USD GBP EUR RUB Other
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FX Hedging Policy
FX POSITION - CONSOLIDATED
• FX hedging is a strictly pursued policy in Arçeliksince around 30 currencies are activelymanaged in global operations.
• It is a KPI for the company management not tohave an FX exposure exceeding low single-digit% of equity.
• The primary strategy is on balance sheet hedgingmainly through cash, receivables, payables andfinancial liabilities, and the remaining part is hedgedthrough financial derivatives.
* Mainly stemming from Pakistan and Vietnam where hedging is limited
-4.1%
-1.1%
-5.7%
-2.5%-2.1% -2.0%
-3.7%
0.4%
-1.2%
-5.1%
-3.6%
-1.2%
-7.0%
-6.0%
-5.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
-400
-350
-300
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
16 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 17 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 18 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4
Net FX Position Net FX/Equity
(TRYmn)
Before
Hedge
Hedged
Position
Net
Position
EUR 662 -880 -218
USD -2,092 2,222 130
GBP 697 -683 15
Other 984 -1,009 -25
TOTAL 251 -349 -98
-1.2%Net FX Position/Equity
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Sensitivity: Public
Cash Flow
2017
2018
23
TLmn
TLmn
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Sensitivity: Public
2019 Expectations
24
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Sensitivity: Public
Revenue Growth
EBITDA Margin(2019)**
Around 25% in TRY
Around 10,5%
*6 main products, in compliance with WGMA data.
**EBITDA margin calculations are inline with the methodology used in calculation of historical values , and does not include any impact from TFRS 16 implementation
2019 Expectations
25
AR
ÇE
LİK
A.Ş
.
EBITDA (2019)** TRY 3,3-3,7 bln.
MA
RK
ET
White goods market volume
growthGlobal: ~ +2% sales volume
Long-TermEBITDA margin**
Around 11%
The Group is in the process of
assessing the impact of TFRS 16,
which is expected to be accretive to
EBITDA margin in 2019.
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Sensitivity: Public26
www.arcelikas.com
Investor Relations App
Polat Şen
CFO
Tel: (+90 212) 314 34 34
Hande Sarıdal
Finance Director
Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 85
Orkun İnanbil
Investor Relations Manager
Tel: (+90 212) 314 31 14
Contacts for Investor Relations
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Sensitivity: Public
This presentation contains information and analysis on financial statements as well as forward-looking
statements that reflect the Company management’s current views with respect to certain future events.
Although it is believed that the information and analysis are correct and expectations reflected in these
statements are reasonable, they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying
assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Neither Arçelik nor any of its managers or employees nor any other person shall have any liability
whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this presentation.
Disclaimer
27