20171013 物聯網網哪走?iot總體趨勢面面觀
TRANSCRIPT
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碩士班、博士班、EMBA班等,已畢業校友會(非營利組織)
政大科技管理研究所與智慧財產研究
所為強化與校友間的連繫,於2002年共
同成立政大科管所暨智財所校友會。為
求校友會得以永續經營發展,便向內政
部申請成立正式的社團法人,2004年4月10日「崇智協會」正式獲准立案。
崇智「科技參謀室」,係由崇智科技產業
組所籌辦,每個月選擇一個科技主題,
每雙週聚會一次的產業知識與情報交
流、討論的活動,以聯絡校友情誼。(也
開放給非校友人士參加)
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今日焦點IoT/Internet of Everything
The Quest for IoT Value, 2016-11-2, 2:11 https://youtu.be/Pa6_a4Lbek0
SAP IoT - Hamburg Port Authority CEO Video, 2017-01-04, 2:48, https://youtu.be/1CWzjsCn6Do
SAP IoT and Nanjing - Smart Cities, 2017-01-04, 2:14 https://youtu.be/Gn6KXCLzMZs
Smart Cities USA: San Jose, CA | Intel, 3:30 https://youtu.be/1Pxuk_SLUdI
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下次活動 Oct. 27 焦點:IoT x Blockchain
IoT x Medical
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Back to FutureY2015 我們曾經嘗試
2015 July ~ 2015 Oct歷經 4 個月,10 場 TED-like 論壇與 2015 Oct. 3 一整天的非學術
Conference
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Agenda
新知情報1 新知情報2
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新知情報1
Jeremy Rifkin on the Fall of Capitalism and the Internet of Things, 2014-04-22, 10:28 https://youtu.be/3xOK2aJ-0Js
一個值得思考的問題,當 Internet of Everything - IoT 實現的時候,已知的「經濟法則」,還成立嗎?
World Economic Forum - What is the internet of things? 2016-01-21, 1:26 https://youtu.be/NnB-iSrqbFY世界經濟論壇的 IoT 影片
Frost&Sullivan - internet of things? 2016-02-12, 2:12 https://youtu.be/71YV0xF-1Ic 知名消費性科技市場研究公司,Frost & Sullivan 的 IoT 影片
Spotlight on the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), 2016-08-16, 5:34, https://youtu.be/YjSOcvDWbD0 IoT 應用在工業 4.0
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「The Internet of Things」,2010-03-15,5:24 https://youtu.be/sfEbMV295Kk 這是七年前, IoT 概念剛出現不久,Youtube 上的一段視頻。在當時,還沒有「Platform」的概念,當時的焦點在於「Sensors」以及 Sensor 所產生的 Data.
「How It Works: Internet of Things」,2015-09-03,3:38 https://youtu.be/QSIPNhOiMoE 這是2年前,IoT Platform 概念開始浮現, IBM 在Youtube 上發佈的一段視頻。科技具頭廠商開始鼓吹 Common Platform 所謂「共通」「平台」的觀念了。
https://youtu.be/YeMQiFOUR4I IoT 與 RFID 的關係密切。幾乎可以說 RFID 是 IoT 的前身,而 IoT 是 RFID 的更擴大的科技應用。由RFID 晶片與行動科技,催生出各式各樣的感測器應用。非科技背景的朋友,看這段視頻的前 3:30 的說明,就可以了。
「Intel IoT -- What Does The Internet of Things Mean?」,2014-03-12,3:16 https://youtu.be/Q3ur8wzzhBU 這是3年前,Intel 在Youtube 上發佈的一段視頻。當中融合了雲計算、System of Systems 的概念
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http://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/top-trends-in-the-gartner-hype-cycle-for-emerging-technologies-2017/
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往前回溯
2010 年時的 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technology 圖中,還未出現有 IoT
但是,實現 IoT 的重要基礎科技,RFID、Mesh Sensor Network 技術,在 2010 年時,已經接近考驗成熟時期了。(RFID 在2008 Hype Cycle)
這,為 IoT 的「浮出水面」打下了基礎
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往前回溯
2011 年時的 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technology 圖中,首次出現 IoT。位置處於 Technology Trigger 階段
「Internet of Things」在當時還只是「觀念宣導期」
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往前回溯
2014 年時的 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technology 圖中, IoT - Interent of Things 已經處於 Hype 的頂點位置
國外的各大科技廠商、科技媒體,都大力鼓吹
** 2015 年與 2014 年 IoT 在 Gartner Hype Cycle 中位置類似
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這是 2014 年 CISCO 就提出來的參考架構。「Edge Computing」隨之在 2016 年出現。
https://www.slideshare.net/Cisco/building-the-internet-of-things-an-iot-reference-model
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http://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/7-technologies-underpin-the-hype-cycle-for-the-internet-of-things-2016
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往前回溯
2016 年時的 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technology 圖中出現了變化。
IoT 消失,而由她所演化出另外兩個新的科技:● Connected
Home● IoT Platform
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLq41T-I9oejrv_CXZR16WfS4ho_scQrTn 2016 CES Show,「Next Gen Home Experience」playlist 有一系列的影片
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IoT/IoE 可見的 未來發展趨勢
Gartner 2016 IoT Hype Cycle 途中,顯示了很多關於IoT的未來發
展線索。Edge/Sensor、Network、Cloud 、
Application Develop/Deploy、Integration/Crossing 等等都朝向
「平台化」
2015IoT/IoE
B2C MarketConnected Home/Human (Wearable)/Personal Healthcare
B2B MarketConnected Car/Smart Factory (Industrial 4.0)
Platform-ized by-Cloud/Edge Computing-Big Data/Analytics/AI-New Network Infrast.Standards
M&A** Other emerging tech wil join such as Robotics/BC/AI
Security Niche
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問題:2015 到 2016 年,IoT 科技在擴散上,遭遇了什麼困難?
她演化成了哪些子科技?
More Important, 台廠的機會與挑戰!
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新知情報2
Internet of Things IoT Overview by Cisco, 2016 Mar. 9, 1:53 https://youtu.be/IuuUX34Kno0
https://youtu.be/1CWzjsCn6Do 這個專案有許多科技巨頭的參與,不只 SAP 而已。
port of hamburg IoT solution
https://youtu.be/FrIZsfnp358
https://youtu.be/Gn6KXCLzMZs
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來自 Forrester Group Research - 產業大金剛
source : http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20161115006565/en/PTC-Named-Leader-IoT-Software-Platforms-Top
source : https://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2016/01/27/internet-of-things-iot-predictions-from-forrester-machina-research-wef-gartner-idc/#7cb5d621110a
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IoT Platform/Edge Computing/Cloud BackendWithin 2 years time span. IIoT Demands Strong.
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IoT Platform 大金剛與科技趨勢
● IBM● Microsoft● AWS● SAP● CISCO** Google/Intel/Apple/Oracle are not in ?
IoT Platform for
● Connectivity Management● Device/Gateway Management● Application Develop/
Management● Event Management● API Management● Analytics
** CISCO 的 IoT Reference Architecture 提供非常好的「地圖」
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2016/02/05/cisco-takes-a-leap-in-iot-with-jasper-acquisition/#108fb9e43658
Founded in 2004, Jasper partners with over 120 mobile operator networks to serve IoT and machine-to-machine (M2M) companies across a wide range industries including: automotive, home security and automation, agriculture, food/beverage, wearable technology, healthcare, advertising and industrial equipment.
On May 2, 2014, the company formerly called Jasper Wireless, Inc., announced a new company name: Jasper Technologies, Inc. The company attributed the change to more accurately representing the company’s product offerings.
source : wikipedia
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CISCO Jasper IoT Platform
Cisco Jasper at MWC 2017 - IoT platform for the Connected Car, 2017-03-27, 2:27 https://youtu.be/LrjZxxIlHGI
**China Unicom & Jasper launch IoT/M2M platform to automate IoT services, 2015-07-16, 5:28 https://youtu.be/ls1-Rl8hAhs
https://www.slideshare.net/funk97/jasper-internet-of-things
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IBM Watson IoT Platform
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IBM Watson IoT PlatformIBM Watson IOT Platform Overview, 2016-09-30, 18:46, 從 09:53 開始看 https://youtu.be/gx1snYL50vY
IBM Watson Internet of Things Tutorial Playlist 有6 部影片 https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL8csgbeJzWvQhn_FEd7CIE0mIfECYyLo3
** IBM 在Youtube 上有大量
的影片給 Developer
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Microsoft Azure IoT PlatformAzure IoT Developer Overview, 2016-12-01, 1:53 https://youtu.be/oMYef9EaZpk
Berendsen: Microsoft Azure and IoT Case Study full length, 2017-2-5, 3:39 https://youtu.be/3qLBfzLZkEs
Predictive maintenance with Azure IoT, 2017-1-12 1:16 https://youtu.be/k2BvGsq9K9c
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Microsoft Azure IoT Platform** Scott Hanselman’s best demo! IoT, Azure, Machine Learning & more, 2015-11-09, 14:30, https://youtu.be/u5oTz1e5qqE 非常棒的 Live DEMO
Microsoft IoT Platform: Architecture Overview, 2014-11-09, 1:11:14 https://youtu.be/q6lYuUJ1mO4 這是 MS 一開始 IoT Platform 架構在 TechED 上的簡報** MS 在 Youtube 上公布了非常多在它的 TechED 活動中 IoT 的簡報,都很 Tech/Developer
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AWS IoT PlatformAWS re:Invent 2015: Introducing AWS IoT - Internet of Things on Amazon Web Services, 2015-10-12, 13:23 https://youtu.be/N3-Az0OH5WM AWS 幾乎可以說是第一
個宣稱「Platform」的廠商
IoT (Internet Of Things) Getting Started - Part 1, 2016-09-04, 5:27, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sq_l2J4oyLU 可以在 AWS Tutorial 的官網上找到一
系列的教育訓練影片
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AWS IoT Platform不只 Amazon 官方宣傳 AWS IoT,其他巨頭也是。
**Accenture IoT & AI on AWS, 2017-7-26, 4:05, 自然
語音處理、結合AWS Echo/ Alexa與企業資訊系統 https://youtu.be/2iCeiIljlxY
Create, with Intel, an IoT Gateway and Establish a Data Pipeline to AWS IoT, 2017-06-13, 36:04 https://youtu.be/ORBYNJY8iRI
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SAP HANA IoT PlatformSAP HANA Academy - IoT Services: Getting Started, 這是一個有17個影片的 Playlist https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiIInSB8pFk&list=PLkzo92owKnVxzjoxwJdaa400E_UqkzE8J
SAP IoT Application Services Overview, 2016-9-16, 2:27, https://youtu.be/FPDBd_Qggv8 不 Techie 的行銷影片
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SAP HANA IoT PlatformSAP Technology 的Youtube官方頻道,有大量的教育影
片,包含 IoT/HANA …. https://www.youtube.com/user/saptechnology/playlists
SAP Leonardo IoT Training https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCxXiY6OL34&list=PLWV533hWWvDnP5S4PLiC1d-J7hj1sjZn6
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關鍵的是,在 IoT 的價值鏈上,「利潤」是如何分布?不同角色的廠商,又是如何分配 /取得利潤的?這跟 Business Model (IoT Business Model) 有關。
左圖的 Source : http://www.telecomcircle.com/2016/05/internet-of-things-business-models/
「Business Models and the Internet of Things」, University of St.Gallen, 7:17 https://youtu.be/kYQ_PHOCjyg
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問題:IoT 科技在分化中(B2C 市場、B2B市場),而其他的新科技也在平行地浮現中,例如
:AI(NLP/Visual/Cognitive Computing)、Data Science(ML/DL)、Blockchain、AR/MR/VR、5G、新的電池科技、低功率 Wireless ……
台廠如何選擇?如何切入?
To Be or Not To Be ?
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Appendix
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