2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

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StatiSense 2017 PROPOSED BUDGET : ANALYSIS OF SECTORAL ALLOCATIONS

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Page 1: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

StatiSense

2017 PROPOSED BUDGET:

ANALYSIS OF SECTORAL

ALLOCATIONS

Page 2: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

SECTORAL ALLOCATIONS

The Federal Government of Nigeria categorizes its

Budgetary allocations into five distinct sectors:

ADMINISTRATION

SECTORECONOMIC

SECTOR

INFRASTRUCTURE

SECTOR

SECURITY

SECTOR

SOCIAL

SECTOR

ALLOCATIONS TO THESE SECTORS SOMEHOW SHOW GOVERNMENT’S

PRIORITY AND COMMITMENT TO THE COUNTRY’S DEVELOPMENT.

Page 3: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

N177.46 billion

N1.66 trillion

N2.98 trillion

N2.24 trillion

N419.02 billion

2017 PROPOSED BUDGET COMPONENT

STATUTORY TRANSFER

DEBT SERVICES

RECURRENT EXPENDITURE

CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

SINKING FUNDS*

*Inclusive of Statutory Funds

Page 4: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

CATEGORIZING MINISTRIES BY SECTOR

Sector Ministries, Department & Agencies

Administration

Auditor-General for the Federation, Budget & National Planning, Code of Conduct Bureau, Code of Conduct Tribunal, Federal Character Commission, Federal Civil Service Commission, Finance, Fiscal Responsibility Commission, Foreign Affairs, Independent Corrupt Practices and Related Offences Commission, Infrastructural Concession Regulatory Commission, Justice, National Population Commission, National Salaries, Incomes and Wages Commission, Office of the Head of Service of the Federation, Office of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Presidency, Revenue Mobilisation Fiscal & Allocation Commission, Special Duties

EconomicAgriculture & Rural Development, Petroleum Resources, Solid Minerals Development, Trade & Investment

Infrastructure

Communication Technology, Environment, Federal Capital Territory Administration, Niger Delta, Science & Technology, Transport, Water Resources, Works, Power & Housing

SecurityDefence, Interior, Office of the National Security Adviser, Police Formation & Command, Police Service Commission

SocialEducation, Health, Information & Culture, Labour and

Employment, Women Affairs, Youth Development

Page 5: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

BUDGETARY ALLOCATION BY SECTORS

No. SECTOR AMOUNT %

1 Administration 3,424,077,649,240 50

2 Economic 307,928,224,477 4

3 Infrastructure 1,115,919,421,988 16

4 Security 1,123,576,411,662 16

5 Social 907,985,354,364 13

THESE TWO SECTORS; ECONOMIC AND

SOCIAL HAVE THE LOWEST ALLOCATIONS

Page 6: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

ALLOCATION: RECURRENT EXPENDITURE

No. SECTOR AMOUNT %

1 Administration 2,934,633,208,923 61

2 Economic 115,428,159,755 2

3 Infrastructure 114,046,068,186 2

4 Security 875,847,245,411 18

5 Social 780,542,800,960 16

THIS SHOWS THAT THE ADMINISTRATION SECTOR

ALLOCATION CONTRIBUTES 61% TO THE RECURRENT

EXPENDITURE WHICH IS USED FOR SALARIES & BENEFITS

Page 7: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

ALLOCATION: CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

No. SECTOR AMOUNT %

1 Administration 489,444,440,314 24

2 Economic 192,500,064,713 9

3 Infrastructure 1,001,873,353,794 49

4 Security 247,729,166,249 12

5 Social 127,442,553,375 6

THE INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR ALLOCATION CONTRIBUTES

49% TO CAPITAL EXPENDITURE, WHILE BOTH SOCIAL &

ECONOMIC SECTORS CONTRIUTE LESS THAN WHAT THE

ADMINISTRATION SECTOR CONTRIBUTES

Page 8: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

ALLOCATION: RECURRENT & CAPITAL

No. SECTOR RECURRENT % CAPITAL %

1 Administration 2,934,633,208,923 86 489,444,440,314 14

2 Economic 115,428,159,755 37 192,500,064,713 63

3 Infrastructure 114,046,068,186 10 1,001,873,353,794 90

4 Security 875,847,245,411 78 247,729,166,249 22

5 Social 780,542,800,960 86 127,442,553,375 14

THIS TABLE REPRESENTS THE PERCENTAGE CONTRIBUTION OF

RECURRENT & CAPITAL EXPENDITURE OF SECTOR.

ONLY ECONOMIC & INFRASTRUCTURE SECTORS SPEND MORE ON CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. JUST 14% OF SOCIAL SECTOR ALLOCATION ON CAPITAL INVESTMENT!

Page 9: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

HOW DOES 2017 COMPARES WITH 2016 & 2015

SECTORAL ALLOCATIONS?

Page 10: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

2015 VERSUS 2017 ALLOCATIONS

No. SECTOR RECURRENT % CAPITAL %

1 Administration 1,805,822,892,459 86 302,077,119,325 14

2 Economic 121,148,616,238 90 14,106,000,000 10

3 Infrastructure 185,879,264,669 68 87,742,999,396 32

4 Security 863,372,983,628 91 84,639,999,999 9

5 Social 818,971,255,691 94 51,982,187,897 6

2015

No. SECTOR RECURRENT % CAPITAL %

1 Administration 2,934,633,208,923 86 489,444,440,314 14

2 Economic 115,428,159,755 37 192,500,064,713 63

3 Infrastructure 114,046,068,186 10 1,001,873,353,794 90

4 Security 875,847,245,411 78 247,729,166,249 22

5 Social 780,542,800,960 86 127,442,553,375 14

SECTOR

Administration

Economic

Infrastructure

SECTOR

Security

Social

THERE IS IMPROVEMENT IN

CAPITAL ALLOCATION ON

ALL SECTORS EXCEPT IN

ADMINISTRATION SECTOR!

Page 11: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

2016 VERSUS 2017 ALLOCATIONS

No. SECTOR RECURRENT % CAPITAL %

1 Administration 904,515,175,475 66 470,917,950,866 34

2 Economic 103,799,479,013 61 65,697,815,532 39

3 Infrastructure 106,839,764,874 13 744,355,059,958 87

4 Security 821,624,163,772 79 224,931,433,663 21

5 Social 786,271,692,206 91 81,488,562,014 9

2016

No. SECTOR RECURRENT % CAPITAL %

1 Administration 2,934,633,208,923 86 489,444,440,314 14

2 Economic 115,428,159,755 37 192,500,064,713 63

3 Infrastructure 114,046,068,186 10 1,001,873,353,794 90

4 Security 875,847,245,411 78 247,729,166,249 22

5 Social 780,542,800,960 86 127,442,553,375 14

SECTOR

Administration

Economic

Infrastructure

SECTOR

Security

Social

THERE IS IMPROVEMENT IN

CAPITAL ALLOCATION FOR

ECONOMIC & SOCIAL

SECTORS WITH HUGE INCREASE

IN RECURRENT SPEND FOR

ADMINISTRATION SECTOR

Page 12: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

SECTORAL ANALYSIS: RECURRENT TREND

86%

90%

68%

91%94%

66%

61%

13%

79%

91%

86%

37%

10%

78%

86%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Administration Economic Infrastructure Security Social

2015 2016 2017

A HUGE CUT DOWN ON RECURRENT SPEND FROM THE INFRASTRUCTURE

SECTOR WHILE THE ADMINISTRATION SECTOR GOT A BOOST!

Page 13: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

14%

10%

32%

9%6%

34%

39%

87%

21%

9%

14%

63%

90%

22%

14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Administration Economic Infrastructure Security Social

2015 2016 2017

SECTORAL ANALYSIS: CAPITAL TREND

2017 PROPOSED BUDGET BASICALLY HAS TWO SECTORS IN

FOCUS, THE ECONOMIC & INFRASTRUCTURE SECTORS!

Page 14: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

FOR THE THIRD YEAR RUNNING, THE INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR HAS RECEIVED

THE MOST CAPITAL INVESTMENT!

2017 PROPOSED BUDGET MAKES A PUSH FOR A POSSIBLE RECOVERY OF THE ECONOMY!

Page 15: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

Reference –

2015, 2016, 2017 Budgets, Budget Office of the Federation.

National Assembly Budget & Research Office, NABRO

Public Presentation of the 2017 Budget Proposals

Page 16: 2017 proposed budget analysis - sectoral allocations

Analyst: Wale Micaiah

e: [email protected]

m: 08078001800

w: www.statisense.com

Freely share, freely use and

freely acknowledge the

source – © Wale Micaiah