2016 q1 investor presentation · • expected operating results, such as improved store efficiency...
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1 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
INVESTORPRESENTATION
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2 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
DISCLOSUREForward-Looking StatementsThis presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the "Safe-Harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward looking statementsinclude statements regarding our goals, plans, projections and guidance regarding our financial position, results of operations, market position, pending and potential future acquisitions andbusiness strategy, and often contain words such as “project,” “outlook,” "expect," "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "believe," “estimate,” “may,” "seek," “would,” “should,” “likely,” “goal,” “strategy,”“future,” “maintain,” “continue,” “remain,” “target” or "will" and similar references to future periods. Examples of forward-looking statements in this press release include, among others,statements regarding:
• Expected operating results, such as improved store efficiency and performance; generating 2016 second quarter earnings per share of $1.86 to $1.90 per diluted share and 2016full year earnings of $7.30 to $7.50 per diluted share and all projections;
• The increase in our annual revenues that we estimate will result from dealerships that we acquired;• Anticipated ability to improve store performance; • Anticipated additions of dealership locations to our portfolio in the future; and• Anticipated availability of liquidity from our credit facility and unfinanced operating real estate.
By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events that depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and our actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and development of the industry in which we operate maydiffer materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements in this press release. The risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially fromestimated or projected results include, without limitation, future economic and financial conditions (both nationally and locally), changes in customer demand, our relationship with, and thefinancial and operational stability of, vehicle manufacturers and other suppliers, risks associated with our indebtedness (including available borrowing capacity, compliance with financialcovenants and ability to refinance or repay indebtedness on favorable terms), government regulations, legislation and others set forth throughout Part II, Item 7. Management's Discussionand Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, and from time to time in our other filingswith the SEC. We urge you to carefully consider this information and not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. We undertake no duty to update our forward-looking statements,including our earnings outlook, which are made as of the date of this release.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted net income and diluted earnings per share, adjusted SG&A as a percentage of revenues and gross profit, adjustedoperating margin, adjusted operating profit as a percentage of gross profit, and adjusted pre-tax margin. Non-GAAP measures do not have definitions under GAAP and may be defineddifferently by and not comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. As a result, we review any non-GAAP financial measures in connection with a review of the mostdirectly comparable measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. We caution you not to place undue reliance on such non-GAAP measures, but also to consider them with the most directlycomparable GAAP measures. We present cash flows from operations in the attached tables, adjusted to include the change in non-trade floor plan debt to improve the visibility of cash flowsrelated to vehicle financing. As required by SEC rules, we have reconciled these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in the attachments to this release. We believethe non-GAAP financial measures we present improve the transparency of our disclosures; provide a meaningful presentation of our results from core business operations, because theyexclude items not related to core business operations and other non-cash items; and improve the period-to-period comparability of our results from core business operations. Thesepresentations should not be considered an alternative to GAAP measures.
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3 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
LITHIA MOTORS OVERVIEWNationwide Geographic Footprint
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4 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
▪ Two growth paths: exclusive markets for Lithia,metro markets for DCH
▪ Performance-based entrepreneurial culture
LITHIA MOTORS OVERVIEW138 Dealerships in the United States
NATIONAL MARKETSHARE LITHIA NEW VEHICLE UNIT MIX
Import 47% 55%
Honda 20%
Toyota 19%
Subaru 7%
Nissan 4%
Other Import* 5%
Domestic 45% 33%Chrysler 19%
GM 9%
Ford 5%
Luxury 8% 12%
BMW 5%
Mercedes 1%
Lexus 1%
Other Luxury** 5%Note: 2015 national market share for March 2016 from the “Auto Unit Sales & SAAR” report published by Stephens Inc.; Lithia market share based on new vehicle unit sales for the three months endedMarch 31, 2016.
* Other import includes Hyundai, Volkswagen, Kia, Mazda and Mitsubishi
** Other luxury includes Porsche and Volvo
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5 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
CORNERSTONES OF SUCCESS
OPERATIONALGROWTH
New vehicle recovery continues
Used market 3x bigger than newmarket
Service work driven by SAARrecovery
ACQUISITIONOPPORTUNITIES
Unconsolidated industry
Target 20% after tax ROE peryear
FINANCALDISCIPLINE
Balance investment andshareholder return
Ample liquidity to deploy
Path to $8.00 Earnings Per Share
OPERATIONALGROWTH
FINANCIAL
DISCIPLINE ACQ
UISI
TIO
N
OPP
ORT
UNIT
IES
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6 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
Milestone 5$5.1
GROWTH MILESTONES
▪ Achieved withorganic growth andacquisitions
▪ Completed firstMilestone in 2013;Milestone 2 in2014; Milestones 3and 4 in 2015
▪ Target completingMilestone 5 in 1-3years
Delivers $8.00 Earnings Per Share
Note: See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted earnings per share.
ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE
ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH ($B)
ACQUISITION REVENUE GROWTH ($B)
Milestone 1$4.00
Milestone 2$5.00
Milestone 3$6.00
Milestone 4$7.00
Milestone 5$8.00
Milestone 1$4.0
Milestone 2$4.3
Milestone 3$4.5
Milestone 4$4.9
Milestone 1$.01
Milestone 2$1.0
Milestone 3$2.3
Milestone 4$3.1
Milestone 5$4.1
$2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00
FCST 2016
FY 2015
FY 2014
2012 Base
$7.50$7.02
$5.11$2.72
$3.0 $3.5 $4.0 $4.5 $5.0
FCST 2016
FY 2015
FY 2014
2012 Base
$5.1$4.8
$4.5$3.4
$0.0 $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0
FCST 2016
FY 2015
FY 2014
2012 Base
$3.4$3.1
$0.9
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OPERATIONALGROWTH
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8 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
STABLE, PROFITABLE INDUSTRYFour Separate Diversified Businesses
▪ Recession-tested
▪ Variable coststructure
▪ Diverse andcomplimentarygross profit mix
▪ Service businessconsistent
Note: Used vehicles includes both used retail and wholesale vehicles.
YTD 2016 RevenueMix
YTD 2016 GrossProfit Mix
New vehicles 55% 22%
Used vehicles 30% 22%
Service, body and parts 10% 31%
F&I and other 5% 25%
PROFITABILITY MIX
PROFITABILITY AND SAAR
Peer Group PTI % SAAR Growth Rate
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2.0% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8%
-3%
-18%-21%
11% 11% 13%7% 6% 6%
Note: Margin based on reported adjusted pre-tax income as a percentage of revenue. Peer group average includes Lithia,AutoNation, Sonic, Asbury, Penske, and Group 1.
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9 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
CA NJ/NY OR TX MT WA NV AK ID HI IA ND NM MA
27%
21%
13% 13%
6%4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
NEW VEHICLE MARKETOpportunities Remain Despite Recovery
▪ After recessionaryperiods, SAARperformed abovethe long-runaverage
▪ Geographic andeconomicdiversification
YTD 2016 NEW VEHICLE UNIT MIX
HISTORICAL NEW VEHICLE SAAR PERFORMANCE
Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, data as of February 3, 2016
Recovery spikes above long-run average
SAAR Trend Live
20
15
10
1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
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10 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
PrivateParty, 29%
IndependentDealers, 32%
FranchisedDealers,37%
CarMax,2%
New Used
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
12.8 14.4 15.4 16.4 17.4
38.8 40.5 42.038.8 39.4
USED VEHICLE MARKETLargest Future Opportunity
▪ Used vehiclemarket 2.5x largerthan new
▪ Franchiseddealers 37% ofused vehiclemarket
▪ 72% of 2015 usedretail salesoriginate from newvehicle sale
Source: WardsAuto Group “U.S. Market Used Vehicle Sales“ report
USED MARKET SIZE USED MARKET SHARE
Source: 2015 data from WardsAuto Group “U.S. Market Used VehicleSales“ report
LITHIA USED WATERFALL
Same store sale in Units Retail Sale Retailed Trade-ins% Sold w/
Retailed Trade
2015 New Vehicles 31,779 12,712 40%
1st Trade-in Retailed 12,712 4,767 15%
2nd Trade-in Retailed 4,767 1,589 5%
3rd Trade-in Retailed 1,589 636 2%
Aggregate Retailed Trades 19,0682015 Used Retail 26,531
72%
Ret
ail U
nits
sol
d(in
Mill
ions
)
3.0x 2.8x 2.7x 2.4x 2.3x
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11 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
<=25 26-25 51-75 76-100 100+
Store Distribution of Average Used retail Units Sold per Month
14
48
33 29
14
CPO Core Value Auto
Same Store Revenue Growth
15%
12%
7%
YTD 2016 USED MIX DETAILS
USED VEHICLE GROWTH
▪ Achieving 75 unitgoal increases unitsales 17%
▪ 68% of stores sellless than 75 unitgoal
Target 75 Used Units Per Store Per Month
YTD 2016 AVERAGE USED RETAIL UNITS SOLD PER MONTH
Average:64 units
YTD 2016 SAME STORE USED UNIT MIX
CPO: Manufacturer certified pre-owned vehiclesCore: 3 to 7 year old vehiclesValue Auto: Vehicles over 80,000 miles
Goal:75 units
Core,50%
ValueAuto,23%
CPO,27%
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12 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
Lithia Peer Average
$1,196
$1,337
* Total vehicle metrics include sales and gross profit for new, used retail, used wholesale and F&I and new and used retail units
2013 2014 2015
Service Contracts Lifetime Oil Contracts
42%
36%
43%
32%
44%
33%
VEHICLE SALES GROWTH
▪ F&I per unit $141lower than peeraverage
▪ F&I productsincrease serviceretention
▪ Total gross profitper unit of $3,507up $72 from 2015
Opportunity Exists in F&I
Note: Peer average includes AutoNation, Sonic, Asbury,Penske, and Group 1.
F&I PENETRATION RATES
Note: Penetration rates are on a same store basis. 2015 LOF penetration ratesdiluted by DCH, as product offering at DCH stores started in 2015.
2015 F&I PER UNIT
YTD 2016 VEHICLE SALES SAME STORE DETAILS
RevenueGrowth Unit Growth
Gross ProfitGrowth
GP per RetailUnit
GP per RetailUnit
Y-o-Y Change
New 6% 5% 6% $2,040 $24
Used retail 12% 11% 6% $2,357 $(105)
F&I 17% NA 17% $1,292 $111
Total vehicle* 8% 7% 10% $3,507 $72
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13 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
10 - Year Avg SB&P Y-o-Y SS Sales Growth*
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
74,825 74,668 75,025 76,220 79,14985,431
95,145 112,268
-4.4%
0.7%
4.5%6.3% 6.4%
11.3% 10.3%7.5%
SERVICE MARKETTailwind as Units in Operation Expand
▪ Service growthcorrelated withSAAR growth
▪ Increasing servicework as installedunits grow
Note: Forecasted same store service, body and parts growth for 2016E
TRAILING SAAR/SERVICE GROWTH
LITHIA MARKET UIO OPPORTUNITY
Trailing 5-year SAAR Growth Trailing 3-year Industry SB&P Growth
15
10
5
0
-5
-101981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
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14 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
Avg GPAcross AllUnits Sold
Avg GPper Sold
UnitsRetained
$76
$193
$140
$265
$126
$284
$105
$298
$86
$311
$75
$314
$64
$312
$52
$310
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
46%
65%
56%
45%
35%30%
26%21%
32%39%
31%25%
20% 17% 14% 11%
SERVICE GROWTHImproving Retention Increases Service Revenue
▪ Average 41% newand 24% usedretention in serviceover 8 years
▪ Across all vehiclessold, cumulativeservice GP per unitis $724
▪ Ex defections,cumulative GP perunit is $2,287
% NewVehicle
% Used Vehicle
Total$724
Total$2,287
% OF VEHICLES SOLD RETURNING FOR SERVICE
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
CUMULATIVE SERVICE GROSS PROFIT PER VEHICLE
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15 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
4.1 4.4 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0
SERVICE GROWTHRetaining Customers Longer
▪ Service revenueincreasing due tomore units inoperation
▪ Average age ofvehicles servicedincreased 1 yearsince 2008
SAME STORE SALES YEAR-OVER-YEAR COMPARISON
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Customer Pay 4.9% 4.0% 6.8% 4.7% 9.1% 8.3%
Warranty (8.1)% (4.2)% (2.9)% 13.4% 23.0% 25.2%
Wholesale Parts (0.7)% 9.3% 8.4% 7.2% 8.2% 4.2%
Body Shop (2.2)% 14.0% 15.1% 3.8% 10.5% 5.0%
Total 0.7% 4.5% 6.3% 6.4% 11.3% 10.3%
Avg # of Veh Srvper month 0-1 Yrs 2-3 Yrs 4-5 Yrs 6-7 Yrs 8-9 Yrs 10+ Yrs
2012 67,695 24% 16% 21% 16% 10% 13%
2013 71,957 26% 18% 15% 16% 11% 14%
2014 78,288 27% 20% 12% 15% 11% 15%
2015 83,357 28% 22% 13% 10% 11% 17%
Serv
iced
Vehi
cle
Mix
AVERAGE AGE OF VEHICLES SERVICED
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16 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
LEVERAGING COST STRUCTURE
▪ Throughput isincremental % ofgross profit tooperating incomeafter SG&Aexpenses
▪ 2014 and 2015SG&A as a % ofgross profitimpacted by DCHacquisition
Target Throughput of 45% to 50% on a Same Store Basis
$MM YTD 2016 % of GP YTD 2015 % of GP $ Change
Personnel $149 48.4% $133 48.7% $16
Advertising 19 6.3 15 5.6 4
Rent 6 2.1 6 2.2 —
Facility Cost 9 3.0 12 4.3 (3)
Other 35 11.3 29 10.6 6
Total $218 71.1% $195 71.3% $23
Gross Profit $307 $273 34
Throughput % 32%Same store throughput % 37%
ADJUSTED SG&A DETAILS
Note: See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted SG&A expense
Target45-50%
ADJUSTED SG&A AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT SAME STORE THROUGHPUT
Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016
68.5%
71.3% 71.1%
2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016
51%43%
50.4%
37%
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ACQUISITIONOPPORTUNITIES
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18 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
UNCONSOLIDATED INDUSTRY
▪ Over 18,000dealerships in thecountry
▪ 10 largest dealersown 1,225 stores
Abundant Acquisition Opportunities
DEALERSHIPS IN THE US
HIGHLY FRAGMENTED MARKET
Source: Automotive News, number of Light Vehicle Dealerships in the U.S.
Source: Automotive News 2015 Top 150 Dealership Groups
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
20,45318,607 17,653 17,858 17,760 17,875 18,000 18,058
Top 10Dealers
7%
All Other93%
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19 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
FUTURE GROWTH STRATEGYTwo Growth Paths, Over Double the Acquisition Targets
Micro Small Medium Large Extra Large Mega
Vehicle Registrations in Market 0-5K 5K-25K 25K-50K 50K-100K 100K-200K 200K+
Est. Store Count in US 3,950 3.5 1,600 1,700 2,400 4,650
Domestic
Import
Luxury
Est. Acq Targets 210 680 310 30 470 960
1,230 1,430
▪ Lithia: exclusive franchises in medium markets for domestic/importstores and large markets for luxury stores
▪ DCH: extra large and mega markets to cluster domestic, import andluxury stores
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20 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
5%23%
41%57%
89%
211%
ACQUISITION GROWTH
▪ 75-100% 5-year aftertax ROE
▪ 3x-5x EV/EBITDA
▪ 10%-20% of annualrevenues
Targeting 20% After Tax Return on Equity
ACCUMULATED RETURN ON EQUITY
INVESTMENT METRICS
▪ Improveperformancethrough commonsystems andmeasurements
*Equity defined as investment costs, excluding new vehicles and assuming all real estate is leased at actual rent or if owned, a 7% capitalization rate**Assumes steady state revenues 2 years after acquisition, EBITDA adjusted to include flooring interest as an operating expense
2012 2013 2014 2015
$MM Multiple $MM Multiple $MM Multiple $MM Multiple
# of Store 6 8 36 8
Equity* $26 $33 $320 $31
Est. EBITDA** $8 3.1x $9 3.7x $69 4.7x $8 3.7x
Est. Rev** $265 10% $273 12% $2,715 12% $270 12%
ACQUISITION METRICS
Note: Return based on net income assuming all real estate is leased at actual rent or, if owned, at 7% capitalization rate. Years are based oncalendar years. Acquisition year reflects partial year results from acquisition date forward and most recent period results are year-to-datethrough March 31, 2016.
Year 6
Year 5
Year 4
Year 3
Year 2
Year 1
Acq Year
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FINANCIALDISCIPLINE
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22 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
65.0%
55.0%
45.0%
35.0%
25.0%
Deb
tto
Tota
lCap
ital
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Deb
t/A
djus
ted
EBIT
DA
2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016
41%32%
49%44% 44%
$(M
illio
ns)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Beyond
$—$23 $30 $34 $26 $29
$252
FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
▪ Leverageincreased in 2014due to DCHacquisition
▪ Ample liquiditylevels with minimalnear term debtmaturities
Positioned for Continued Growth
FUNDS FOR GROWTH
$MM Q1 2016
Cash and Cash Equivalents $22
Availability on Line of Credit 149
Unfinanced Real Estate* 150
Total $321
BALANCE SHEET LEVERAGE
FUTURE MORTGAGE MATURITIES
*Unfinanced real estate represents 80% of the net book value of unfinanced realestate used in operations.
Note: Total capital includes outstanding debt excluding vehicle floor plan financing and total shareholder’s equity. Adjusted EBITDA is definedas earnings before interest excluding floor plan interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Debt to adjusted EBITDA calculation is based onoutstanding debt as of the end of the period and TTM adjusted EBITDA
Note: Outstanding mortgage amounts as of March 31, 2016
2.5x1.9x
2.5x
1.8x 1.9x
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23 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
Free Cash Flow** Acquisition Equity Value
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$28 $34
$130$87
$164
$41 $26 $33
$320
$31
FINANCIAL DISCIPLINEBalance Investment and Shareholder Return
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
DIVIDENDS PAID
FREE CASH FLOW AND ACQUISITIONS
SHARE REPURCHASES
$MM 2013 2014 2015 FCST2016
Post-Acq. Improv. $12 $21 $33 $22
Facilities for Open Points 5 7 3 —
Lease Buy-outs 7 25 10 27
Existing Facility Improv. 14 20 20 39
Maintenance 12 13 17 26
Total $50 $86 $83 $114
# of Shares 848,092 127,900 226,729*Q4’12 dividend was accelerated and paid in December 2012 rather in2013. Data has been normalized to include the $0.10 dividend in 2013
**Free cash flow defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) add backstock compensation less cash paid for taxes, interest, dividends and capital expenditures.
712,486
Dividends Paid Dividend per Share
$20.0
$15.0
$10.0
$5.0
$0.0
$MM
$0.8
$0.6
$0.4
$0.2
$0.0
$pe
rSha
re
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
$7$10
$13$16
$20$0.26$0.37
$0.49
$0.61
$0.76
306,386
Share Repurchases Price per Share
$70.0
$60.0
$50.0
$40.0
$30.0
$20.0
$10.0
$0.0
$MM
$120
$100
$80
$60
$40
$20
$0
$pe
rSha
re
2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016
$21$5
$16$32
$58$24.41
$40.76
$70.52
$102.84
$81.05
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Q1 2016 UPDATE
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25 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
Gross Profit($MM)
Q1 2015 Q1 2016
$273$307
Revenue ($MM)
Q1 2015 Q1 2016
$1,789
$1,983
Income Statement SummaryQ1’16 FINANCIAL RESULTS
▪ Increased revenue11% and EPS 12%
▪ Grew total samestore sales 8%
Revenue Gross Profit
New vehicles 6.2% 5.8%
Used retail vehicles 12.4 6.0
F&I 17.4 17.4
Service, parts and body 10.4 11.0
Total 8.2% 9.8%
SAME STORE QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER GROWTH
Q1 2016 HIGHLIGHTS
12% 12% 11%
Note: See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted diluted EPS
Adjusted DilutedEPS
Q1 2015 Q1 2016
$1.39 $1.55
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26 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
(80)
Asbury Lithia AutoNation Group1 Penske Sonic
68.6%
71.3%69.7%
74.6%
77.7%
80.6%
69.4%71.1% 71.3%
74.8%
77.2%
80.6%
Q1’16 FINANCIAL RESULTS
SAME STORE GROSS PROFIT GROWTH
SAME STORE SALES GROWTH
ADJUSTED NET PROFIT MARGIN
ADJUSTED SG&A AS A % OF GROSS PROFIT
Note: See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted net profit margin
LAD ABG AN GPI PAG SAH
New Vehicles 6.2% 1.2% (4.4)% (1.1)% 1.6% (2.1)%
Used Vehicles 12.4% 0.3% (3.6)% 6.1% 3.3% 2.3%
F&I 17.4% 7.3% 2.5% 2.2% 5.9% 9.7%
SB&P 10.4% 8.3% 4.6% 5.4% 3.7% 9.1%
Total 8.2% 7.9% (2.0)% 1.4% 2.7% 1.2% bps reduction(increase)
20 (160) (20)
Note: See appendix for reconciliation of adjusted SG&A
Peer Comparisons
50 -
Q1 2015 Q1 2016
Lithia Sonic Asbury Group1 Penske AutoNation
9.8%
4.2%2.3% 1.4% 1.0%
(2.0)%
Asbury Lithia AutoNation Penske Group1 Sonic
2.1% 2.0% 1.9%
1.6%1.4%
0.8%
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27 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
2016 GUIDANCE
▪ Q2’16: $1.86 - $1.90▪ FY’16: $7.30 - $7.50
PROJECTED EARNINGS RANGE*:
2016 PERFORMANCE ASSUMPTIONS:
*Excludes the impact of future acquisitions, dispositions and any potential non-core items
Annual Assumptions
Total Revenues $8.5 to $8.6 billion
New vehicle sales increase 4.5%
Used vehicle sales increase 9.5%
Service body and parts sales increase 7.5%
Finance and insurance per unit $1,270 to $1,290 per unit
New vehicle margins 5.8% to 6.0%
Used vehicle margins 11.8% to 12.0%
Service body and parts margins 48.8% to 49.0%
Tax rate 39.5%
Average diluted shares outstanding 25.9 million
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APPENDIX
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30 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATIONBalance Sheet
$K As of March 31,2016
As of December 31,
2015
Cash and cash equivalents 21,559 45,008
Accounts receivable 286,292 308,462
Inventories, net 1,541,085 1,470,987
Other current assets 50,473 54,408
Total current assets 1,899,409 1,878,865
Property and equipment, net 882,405 876,660
Goodwill 213,934 213,220
Franchise value 161,668 157,699
Other non-current assets 110,202 100,855
Total assets 3,267,618 3,227,299
$K As of March 31,2016
As of December 31,
2015
Floor plan notes payable 55,836 48,083
Floor plan notes payable: non-trade 1,296,751 1,265,872
Current maturities of long-term debt 33,721 38,891
Trade payables 78,250 70,871
Accrued liabilities 179,145 167,108
Total current liabilities 1,643,703 1,590,825
Long-term debt, less current maturities 595,663 606,463
Deferred revenue 70,066 66,734
Deferred income taxes 59,134 53,129
Other long-term liabilities 84,375 81,984
Total liabilities 2,452,941 2,399,135
Total stockholders’ equity 814,677 828,164
Total liabilities and stockholder’sequity 3,267,618 3,227,299
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31 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2016 Income Statement
$K Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016 FY 2016
New vehicle 1,096,055 1,096,055Used vehicle 532,726 532,726Wholesale used vehicles 65,146 65,146Finance and insurance 77,638 77,638Service, body and parts 196,675 196,675Fleet and other 14,621 14,621 Total revenues 1,982,861 1,982,861
New vehicle 66,766 66,766Used vehicle 64,277 64,277Wholesale used vehicles 1,830 1,830Finance and insurance 77,638 77,638Service, body and parts 96,119 96,119Fleet and other 552 552 Total gross profit 307,182 307,182
Asset impairments 3,498 3,498Selling, general and administrative 219,106 219,106Depreciation and amortization 11,663 11,663 Operating Income 72,915 72,915
Floor plan interest expense 5,909 5,909Other interest expense 5,459 5,459Other expense, net 1,526 1,526 Income before taxes 60,021 60,021Income tax expense 19,751 19,751 Net Income 40,270 40,270
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32 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2015 Income Statement
$K Q4 2015 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2015 FY 2015
New vehicle 1,167,893 1,227,080 1,149,512 1,007,816 4,552,301Used vehicle 469,399 505,885 488,801 462,931 1,927,016Wholesale used vehicles 63,054 69,472 66,796 62,208 261,530Finance and insurance 69,318 76,633 72,463 64,604 283,018Service, body and parts 193,024 189,796 182,695 173,475 738,990Fleet and other 30,594 15,979 36,680 18,144 101,397 Total revenues 1,993,282 2,084,845 1,996,947 1,789,178 7,864,252
New vehicle 72,097 77,157 69,342 61,774 280,370Used vehicle 56,827 62,287 62,693 59,442 241,249Wholesale used vehicles 310 580 1,406 2,161 4,457Finance and insurance 69,318 76,633 72,463 64,604 283,018Service, body and parts 94,783 93,950 90,749 84,439 363,921Fleet and other 88 580 996 955 2,619 Total gross profit 293,423 311,187 297,649 273,375 1,175,634
Asset impairment charges 5,733 4,131 6,130 4,130 20,124Selling, general and administrative 200,219 223,728 195,610 191,618 811,175Depreciation and amortization 11,056 10,531 10,287 9,726 41,600 Operating Income 76,415 72,797 85,622 67,901 302,735
Floor plan interest expense 5,279 4,951 4,655 4,649 19,534Other interest expense 4,791 4,900 4,972 4,828 19,491Other (income) expense, net (25) 307 356 368 1,006 Income before taxes 66,370 62,639 75,639 58,056 262,704Income tax expense (benefit) 18,638 19,248 24,416 17,403 79,705 Income (loss) from continuing operations 47,732 43,391 51,223 40,653 182,999
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33 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2014 Income Statement
$K Q4 2014 Q3 2014 Q2 2014 Q1 2014 FY 2014
New vehicle 1,071,543 732,121 694,484 579,522 3,077,670Used vehicle 409,591 340,522 310,475 301,893 1,362,481Wholesale used vehicles 59,867 48,853 44,286 42,693 195,699Finance and insurance 60,057 46,855 43,838 39,631 190,381Service, body and parts 172,398 120,772 114,337 104,617 512,124Fleet and other 19,851 7,988 14,382 9,750 51,971 Total revenues 1,793,307 1,297,111 1,221,802 1,078,106 5,390,326
New vehicle 65,518 47,648 45,994 39,024 198,184Used vehicle 50,492 43,898 44,067 40,796 179,253Wholesale used vehicles 307 504 1,504 1,331 3,646Finance and insurance 60,057 46,855 43,838 39,631 190,381Service, body and parts 84,301 58,421 56,182 50,832 249,739Fleet and other 446 514 715 447 2,122 Total gross profit 261,121 197,840 192,300 172,061 823,322
Asset impairment charges 1,853 - - - 1,853Selling, general and administrative 184,288 131,627 125,463 121,829 563,207Depreciation and amortization 8,964 6,067 5,825 5,507 26,363 Operating Income 66,016 60,146 61,012 44,725 231,899
Floor plan interest expense 4,535 3,127 3,215 2,984 13,861Other interest expense 4,848 2,051 1,869 1,974 10,742Other income, net (89) (1,027) (1,146) (937) (3,199) Income (loss) before taxes 56,722 55,995 57,074 40,704 210,495Income tax expense (benefit) 15,583 21,458 21,904 16,010 74,955 Income (loss) from continuing operations 41,139 34,537 35,170 24,694 135,540
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34 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATIONQuarterly Same Store Revenue Changes
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY
2016New vehicle 6.2% 6.2%Used vehicle 12.4 12.4Wholesale used vehicles 3.0 3.0Finance and insurance 17.4 17.4Service, body and parts 10.4 10.4Fleet and other (19.6) (19.6) Total revenues 8.2% 8.2%
2015New vehicle 6.5% 11.4% 7.7% 11.5% 8.9%Used vehicle 12.2 12.8 16.3 11.7 13.2Wholesale used vehicles 4.1 11.3 11.6 5.8 8.0Finance and insurance 13.0 16.1 15.3 12.6 14.7Service, body and parts 10.2 10.2 9.6 11.1 10.3Fleet and other 53.7 1.8 53.3 26.2 40.4 Total revenues 8.8% 11.7% 11.0% 11.5% 10.6%
2014New vehicle 12.3% 11.1% 12.1% 10.2% 11.5%Used vehicle 16.7 13.8 11.4 19.3 15.2Wholesale used vehicles 15 6.9 11.2 4.3 9.2Finance and insurance 14.5 16.6 17.5 18 16.6Service, body and parts 12.5 13.1 10.4 9.4 11.4Fleet and other 86.3 2.2 (10.7) 10.8 15.7 Total revenues 14.1% 12% 11.6% 12.5% 12.5%
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35 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATIONQuarterly Gross Margins
Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 FY
2016New vehicle 6.1% 6.1%Used vehicle 12.1 12.1Wholesale used vehicles 2.8 2.8Finance and insurance 100.0 100.0Service, body and parts 48.9 48.9Fleet and other 3.8 3.8 Total revenues 15.5% 15.5%
2015New vehicle 6.2% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2%Used vehicle 12.1 12.3 12.8 12.8 12.5Wholesale used vehicles 0.5 0.8 2.1 3.5 1.7Finance and insurance 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0Service, body and parts 49.1 49.5 49.7 48.7 49.2Fleet and other 0.3 3.6 2.7 5.3 2.6 Total revenues 14.7% 14.9% 14.9% 15.3% 14.9%
2014New vehicle 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4%Used vehicle 12.3 12.9 14.2 13.5 13.2Wholesale used vehicles 0.5 1.0 3.4 3.1 1.9Finance and insurance 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0Service, body and parts 48.9 48.4 49.1 48.6 48.8Fleet and other 2.2 6.4 5.0 4.6 4.1 Total revenues 15.5% 15.5% 15.8% 16.2% 15.8%
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36 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2016 Adjusted Income Statement Details
YTD 3/31/2016
Gain on sale ofstores
EquityInvestment
Legal reserveadjustment
YTD 12/31/2015
$K, except for per share amounts As Reported Q1 Q1 Q1 Adjusted
Asset impairments 3,498 — (3,498) — —
Selling, general and administrative 219,106 1,087 — (1,906) 218,287.
Income from operations 72,915 (1,087) 3,498 1,906 77,232
Other expense, net (1,526) — 2,066 — 540
Income before income taxes 60,021 (1,087) 5,564 1,906 66,404
Income taxes (19,751) 426 (5,945) (747) (26,017)
Net income 40,270 (661) (381) 1,159 40,387
Diluted earnings per share 1.55 (0.03) (0.01) 0.04 1.55
Diluted share count 25,973
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37 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2015 Adjusted Income Statement Details
YTD 12/31/2015
Gain on sale of stores Asset impairment TransitionAgreement
Equity Investment YTD 12/31/2015
$K, except for per share amounts As Reported Q1 Q2 Q2 Q4 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Adjusted
Asset impairments 20,124 — — (2,000) (1,603) — (4,130) (4,130) (4,131) (4,130) —
Selling, general and administrative 811,175 3,349 2,570 — — (18,296) — — — — 798,798
Income from operations 302,735 (3,349) (2,570) 2,000 1,603 18,296 4,130 4,130 4,131 4,130 253,088
Other income (1,006) — — — — — 1,732 1,733 1,732 1,733 4,165
Income from continuing operationsbefore income taxes
262,704 (3,349) (2,570) 2,000 1,603 18,296 5,862 5,863 5,863 5,863 228,298
Income taxes (79,705) 1,004 1,305 (780) (605) (6,507) (7,250) (7,652) (7,414) (8,516) (88,361)
Net income from continuing operations 182,999 (2,345) (1,265) 1,220 998 11,789 (1,388) (1,789) (1,551) (2,653) 139,937
Diluted earnings per share fromcontinuing operations
6.91 (0.09) (0.05) 0.05 0.03 0.45 (0.05) (0.07) (0.06) (0.10) 7.02
Diluted share count 26,490
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38 LITHIA MOTORS APRIL 2016
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION2014 Adjusted Income Statement Details
YTD 12/31/2014
DisposalGain
Reserveadjustments
EquityInvestment Acquisition expenses Tax Attribute YTD
12/31/2014
$K, except for per share amounts AsReported
Q2 Q1 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Adjusted
Asset impairments 1,853 - - (1,853) - - - - - - -
Selling, general and administrative 563,207 - (3,931) - (163) (883) (819) - - - 557,411
Income from operations 231,899 - 3,931 1,853 163 883 819 - - - 239,548
Other income 3,199 1,160 4,359
Income from continuing operations beforeincome taxes
210,495 - 3,931 3,013 163 883 819 - - - 219,304
Income taxes (74,955) - (1,545) (6,506) (63) (319) (338) (73) (194) (600) (84,593)
Net income from continuing operations 135,540 - 2,386 (3,493) 100 564 481 (73) (194) (600) 134,711
Net income from discontinued operations 3,180 (3,490) - - - - - - - - (310)
Net income 138,720 (3,490) 2,386 (3,493) 100 564 481 (73) (194) (600) 134,401
Diluted earnings per share from continuingoperations
5.14 - 0.09 (0.13) - 0.02 0.02 - (0.01) (0.02) 5.11
Diluted earnings per share from discontinuedoperations
0.12 (0.13) - - - - - - - - (0.01)
Diluted earnings per share 5.26 (0.13) 0.09 (0.13) - 0.02 0.02 - (0.01) (0.02) 5.10
Diluted share count 26,382