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©2014 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.

Creating cost effective low carbon futures using GI data

Grant BourhillDirector – Smart Systems and Heat


Innovating to deliver affordable, secure, sustainable low carbon energy for the UK

ETI Technology Programme areasSecureAffordable Sustainable

• UK energy system modelling and pathway analysis

• Technology development and demonstration

• Support 3rd party commercialisation


Domestic heating – largest contributor to UK emissions

Energy use per person in UK


Domestic heating – potential transition pathway

prepare

20502040203020202010

UK space heat production

oil

gas

Air source heat pump

DHN (>25% electric source)

No targets-80% CO2

TWh

Electric resistive


The Smart Systems and Heat (SSH) programme

People and buildings Networks Integration

2013-2016: Develop design tools, deployment solutions and small-scale validation2017-2021: At-scale demonstration


EnergyPath Operations – designing ICT linking physical assets with business models and market structures

• Dynamic simulation

• Define architecture

• Cost of ICT


EnergyPath Networks: Generating bespoke local area transitions

Hot water

Town centres - 21% Villages - 15% Suburban - 61% Rural - 3%

Gas H2 Electricity

Current population & dwelling split

(English Housing Survey 2010)


EnergyPath Networks design tool – creating economic and future-proof local energy system designs

Improvements to building

fabric

Heating system changes

Energy infrastructure

transition

Input• Today’s local area• …and how that

could change

Choices• Potential transition

options;• costs, impact on

residents, ‘what if’ scenarios

Transition plan

Stakeholder engagement

• There is not a ‘one size fits all’ solution

• The transition plan unlikely to be “least cost”



fabric


Energy Infrastructure

transition

• UK has diverse and generally poor housing stock

• Need to understand cost, performance, time of fabric retrofit

• Improving building fabric efficiency compensates for potential heating system performance gaps

• No guarantee less energy will be used….that isn’t the aim

• Potential to help those in fuel poverty

• Domestic resident’s perspective is important




fabric



transition


• Reinforcement, repurposing, extension, decommissioning, new build ….all options

• Sources of heat to meet demand

• Local resource availability (e.g. biomass)

• External sources of energy (e.g. CHP plant in a neighbouring location)

• Planning for residents to transition from one network to another



fabric



transition


• In the UK, gas boilers most prevalent technology

• Demand generally driven by ‘willingness to pay’, rather than constraints of the network

• Challenge transitioning to new domestic solution


EnergyPath Networks design tool - mock outputs

Year: 2014 Location: Area Y by zoneView: GIS / Total annual heat demand

Incr

easi

ng

Dem

and

Each zone ~1000 buildings in 2014

18-20 GWh / yr15-17 GWh / yr12-14 GWh / yr9-11 GWh / yr

Map adapted from Girardian et al (2010) A GIS based system for the evaluation of integrated energy conversion systems in urban areas,

Energy 35 (2010) 830-840


Year: 2030 Location: Area Y by zoneView: GIS / Total heat demand + Heat network capacity

Heat source external to area boundary

CHPX MW

Heat network (thicker = greater pipe diameter)

Incr

easi

ng

Dem

and 18-20 GWh / yr

15-17 GWh / yr12-14 GWh / yr9-11 GWh / yr



Energy 35 (2010) 830-840


Year: 2035 Location: Area Y by zoneView: GIS / Total heat demand + Heat network capacity

X MW

Y MW

Z MW

Heat source external to area boundary

CHP

Heat Network (thicker = greater pipe diameter)

Incr

easi

ng

Dem

and 18-20 GWh / yr

15-17 GWh / yr12-14 GWh / yr9-11 GWh / yr



Energy 35 (2010) 830-840


Using EnergyPath design tools with local areas

• Engagement with LAs and DNOs

• Now working closely with 3 areas to generate first outputs

• Aim to make design tool accessible as widely as possible

Aberdeen

Bridgend

Cornwall

Greater London

Isle of Wight

Leeds

Greater Manchester

Newcastle

Sheffield

Camden IslingtonHaringey

Hull

Leicester

January 2013All UK LAs invited

to engage with SSH

March 2013SSH working with

40 LAs

Summer 201411 LAs prioritised

for further engagement

NowPrioritising 3 LAs


For more information about the ETI visit www.eti.co.uk

For the latest ETI news and announcements email [email protected]

The ETI can also be followed on Twitter @the_ETI

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For all general enquiries telephone the ETI on 01509 202020.

©2014 energy technologies institute llp ©2014 energy ... · ©2014 energy technologies institute...

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