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    Indonesian Infrastructure Five Years and Beyond

    Key Themes and Priorities for the 2015

    19Development Plan

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    Indonesian Infrastructure

    Five Years and BeyondKey Themes and Priorities for the 2015 19Development Plan

    TECHNICAL REPORT

    December 2013

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    INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE INITIATIVE

    This document has been published by the Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative (IndII), afacility operated by SMEC on behalf of the Government of Australia. IndIIs mission isto promote economic growth in Indonesia by enhancing the relevance, quality andquantum of infrastructure investment.

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

    One behalf of IndII, we would like to thank both our partners within the Governmentof Indonesia and the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade/Government of Australiafor their support. Communications Adviser Carol Walker served as lead editor of thistechnical report. Editorial and production support were also provided by EleonoraBergita, Annetly Ngabito, and Pooja Punjabi of IndIIs communications team.Translation and Indonesian copyediting were provided by Ignatia Indrastuti, ShirleyMM Oroh, Adrian Prasetya, Belinda Gunawan, Mia Malik and Aris Martanto.

    Authors:

    David Ray , IndII Facility Director

    John Lee , Technical Director for Transport

    Suyono Dikun , Lead Advisory Support Unit (LASU)

    Jim Coucouvinis , Technical Director for Water and Sanitation

    Joel Friedman , Institutional Development Advisor, Water and Sanitation

    Jakarta, December 2013

    IndII 2013

    All original intellectual property contained within this document is the property of the IndonesiaInfrastructure Initiative (IndII). It can be used freely without attribution by consultants and IndII partners inpreparing IndII documents, reports designs and plans; it can also be used freely by other agencies ororganisations, provided attribution is given.

    Every attempt has been made to ensure that referenced documents within this publication have beencorrectly attributed. However, IndII would value being advised of any corrections required, or adviceconcerning source documents and/or updated data.

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    ACRONYMS ............................................................................................................ III

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................. 1

    1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 1

    2. C ROSS -C UTTING C ONCERNS .................................................................................. 1

    3. T RANSPORT S ECTOR C HALLENGES A ND S TRATEGIES .................................................... 2

    3.1 An Overarching Policy Framework ............................................................... 3

    3.2 Meeting the Sectors Challenges .................................................................. 4

    4. W ATER A ND S ANITATION S ECTOR C HALLENGES A ND S TRATEGIES .................................. 6

    4.1 Creating Investment Incentives for Local Governments .............................. 6

    4.2 Strengthening Local Government Institutional Capacities ........................... 7

    4.3 Improving Funding Mechanisms and Local Government AssetManagement ................................................................................................ 8

    5. C ONCLUSION ................................................................................................... 8

    CROSS-SECTORAL THEMES AND PRIORITIES .............................................................. 9

    1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 9

    2. A SSET M ANAGEMENT ........................................................................................ 10

    3. D ECENTRALISATION ........................................................................................... 12

    4. P RIVATE S ECTOR P ARTICIPATION .......................................................................... 15

    5. P ERFORMANCE B ASED INCENTIVES ....................................................................... 17

    6. C ONCLUSION ................................................................................................. 18

    INDONESIAS TRANSPOR T SECTOR: CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES ........ ........ ........ . 19

    1. C RITICAL ISSUES ............................................................................................... 19

    2. K EY P RINCIPLES : T HE O VER -A RCHING P OLICY F RAMEWORK ........................................ 21

    2.1 Institutional Principles ................................................................................ 21

    2.2 Investment Principles ................................................................................. 23

    2.3 Regulatory Principles .................................................................................. 25

    2.4

    Pricing Principles......................................................................................... 25

    3. M EETING T HE S ECTOR S C HALLENGES .................................................................... 26

    3.1 Supporting Economic Growth .................................................................... 26

    3.2 Raising Infrastructure Quality ..................................................................... 26

    3.3 Improving Service Efficiency ....................................................................... 29

    3.4 Dealing With Urban Congestion ................................................................. 30

    3.5 Reducing Regional Disparities .................................................................... 31

    3.6 Funding Needed Investments..................................................................... 32

    3.7 Saving Lives ................................................................................................. 34

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    4. C ONCLUSION ................................................................................................. 35

    NEW DIRECTIONS FOR I NDONESIAS WATER AND SANITATION SECTOR .................. 36

    1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 36 2. C REATING LOCAL INCENTIVES T O INVEST IN INFRASTRUCTURE ..................................... 37

    3. S TRENGTHENING INSTITUTIONAL C APACITIES O F LOCAL GOVERNMENTS ......................... 39

    4. IMPROVING F UNDING M ECHANISMS A ND A SSET M ANAGEMENT ................................. 42

    5. C ONCLUSION ................................................................................................. 43

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    ACRONYMS

    APBD Anggaran Pendapatan Belanja Daerah, or Local BudgetAPBN Anggaran Pendapatan Belanja Negara, or National Budget

    BRT Bus Rapid Transit

    D/C/O/M Design/Construct/Operate/Maintain

    DAK Dana Alokasi Khusus, or Special Allocation Funds

    DGH Directorate General of Highways

    GDP Gross Domestic Product

    GoI Government of Indonesia

    IDR Indonesian Rupiah

    KPI Key Performance Indicator

    LG Local Government

    MDG Millennium Development Goals

    MPW Ministry of Public Works

    O&M Operations and Maintenance

    PBAS Performance Based Annuity Scheme

    PBC Performance Based Contract

    PDAM Perusahaan Daerah Air Minum, or Local water supply company

    PPP Public Private Partnership

    PPSP Percepatan Pembangunan Sanitasi Permukiman, or Program toAccelerate Urban Sanitation

    PRIM Provincial Road Improvement and Maintenance

    RENSTRA Rencana Strategis, or strategic plan

    RPJMN Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Nasional, or NationalFive Year Development Plan

    RPJPN Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Panjang Nasional, or National LongTerm Development Plan

    RTTF Road Traffic and Transport Forum

    RUNK Rencana Umum Nasional Keselamatan, or Road Safety Action Plan

    sAIIG Australia Indonesia Infrastructure Grants for Sanitation

    SANIMAS Sanitasi Masyarakat, or community sanitation program

    SOE State-Owned Enterprise

    SPM Standard Pelayanan Minimal, or Minimum Service Standards

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    SSK Strategi Sanitasi Kota/Kabupaten, or City Sanitation Strategy

    TP Tugas Pembantuan, or co-assistance funding

    USD United States DollarsVfM Value for Money

    VGF Viability Gap Funding

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    INDONESIAN INFRASTRUCTURE FIVEYEARS AND BEYONDKey Themes And Priorities For The2015 19 Development Plan

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1. INTRODUCTION

    The Government of Indonesia (GoI) is now hard at work on its Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Nasional (RPJMN, or National Medium Term Development Plan) forthe period 2015 2019. This is the third five-year plan that is part of a larger, 20-yearplanning effort first undertaken in 2005. The 20-year planning effort sees the Indonesiaof 2025 as a competitive country with integrated, reliable transport networks andadequate water and sanitation infrastructure for all citizens. Much work remains to bedone to achieve this vision, and the next RPJMN will serve as a key policy frameworkfor the next national government.

    The Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative (IndII), a facility operated by SMEC on behalf ofthe Government of Australia, is working with counterparts at Bappenas and variousline agencies on their strategic plans for the 2015 19 period. The process affords anopportunity to think strategically not only over a five-year horizon, but to 2025 andbeyond. In recognition of this, IndII is dedicating its End-of-Year event in 2013 to thetheme, Five Years and Beyond: Challenges and Priorities for Indonesias 2015 -2019Development Plan.

    The papers that are being presented at the event covering cross-cutting themes, thetransport sector, and the water and sanitation sector draw on IndIIs experienceassisting Indonesia to explore new strategies for strengthening service delivery

    modalities, improving governance, and ensuring that expenditures on infrastructuredevelopment achieve the maximum possible impact. Hopefully, the ideas andobservations that these papers contain will assist government officials as they makeplans to meet the nations needs for transportation networks and water and sanitationservices.

    2. CROSS-CUTTING CONCERNS

    If Indonesia is to meet its goal of a mature infrastructure sector by 2025, its 2015-2019development plan (RPJMN) should go beyond business as usual. The currentinstitutional structure lends itself to a sector-focused approach to addressingproblems. But addressing four cross-cutting themes asset management,decentralisation, private sector participation, and performance-based incentives cansignificantly enhance the effectiveness of the RPJMN.

    Asset management guides the planning, acquisition, operation and maintenance,renewal and disposal of assets, with the objective of maximising service delivery whilemanaging risks and minimising costs over the assets economic life. Current budgeting,planning and investment decisions generally do not include proper asset managementstrategies, particularly with regard to maintenance and renewal. As a result, efforts toincrease the stock of productive infrastructure are undermined by the rapiddepreciation and premature failure of existing assets. The cost to government and in

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    particular to users is high. Across sectors, poor asset management can be largelyattributed to two causes: the lack of incentive structures that reward goodmanagement, and the lack of accountability that punishes poor management.

    Decentralisation is commonly seen as challenge to overcome rather than as anopportunity an understandable view given the declining state of road networks, lackof improvement in water services, and sub-national focus on administrativeexpenditures. But the model of central provision has not always been effective either,particularly when assets are centrally provided but neglected or unused by LocalGovernments (LGs) that have no ownership of them. Grants for infrastructure fundedby the Government of Australia and implemented by IndII can help change perceptionsabout the effectiveness of decentralised funding instruments. These grants alignincentives across all levels of government and have demonstrated that LGs are keen totake ownership of investments rather than having them imposed from above.

    Private sector participation through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) has beenencouraged in recent years but progress in engaging the private sector has been slow.Many reasons for this are recognised. This paper draws attention to two importantissues that are often neglected: the dynamics of risk transfer and the need toemphasise value for money (VfM). Ideally, risks should be transferred to those bestplaced to handle them. But a common problem in Indonesia is that contractingagencies place so many restrictions, conditions and expectations of risk transfer on theprivate sector that it becomes difficult to structure financially feasible deals. Thisrelates to the second issue, which is the governments focus on the private sectormerely as a source of funding rather than as a means to incentivise better service

    delivery and performance.

    Performance-based incentives have enormous potential. Current planning anddelivery systems are input-based, and often characterised by inefficiency and waste.The requirement that performance indicators or outputs are achieved before paymentis made is a powerful tool that minimises risk and promotes transparency.Performance incentives could be mainstreamed into much of the infrastructureplanning and delivery process, including in inter-government grants to improve publicinvestment efficiency. Competitively awarded performance based contracts in keyareas such as operations and maintenance (O&M) also offer considerable promise forimproved service delivery.

    3. TRANSPORT SECTOR CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES

    There is a significant infrastructure delivery gap in Indonesias tr ansport sector:demand exceeds supply, congestion is increasing, and there are significant regionaldisparities in access to and cost of transport. Some of the legal framework to supportreform is in place, but implementation has been slow. There are barriers to privatesector investment. Assets, particularly roads, are not managed with a life-cycleapproach to development and maintenance, raising costs to government andespecially to users. These are problems that need to be addressed in the next five-yeardevelopment plan, with a view not only to the 2014-2019 period but for decades to

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    come. The necessary policy framework should address institutional, investment,regulatory, and pricing principles.

    3.1 An Overarching Policy Framework

    Institutional Principles: There is a need for clear guidance on competition, therespective roles of the public and private sectors, and the organisation of public sectorfunctions. Government decision-makers should determine the appropriate roles of thepublic and private sector and how best to organise the functions that remain withingovernment. International experience points to the need to facilitate private-sectorcompetition and eliminate regulations that inhibit private investment. Rather thansupply services itself, government can promote delivery by a competitive privatesector under performance-based delivery models. When it is involved in providingservices, government should establish arms length separation between its

    policy/planning/regulatory functions and service-supplier role.

    Investment Principles: Government should consider the rules it will impose for privateinvestment and the criteria it will apply to public investment. As recent changes in thelaws acknowledge, foreign investment may have a role to play in promoting services tousers, heightening domestic industry standards, and offering better VfM. Publicinvestment should also be driven by VfM, including decisions regarding how best toimplement non-economic investments essential for national security reasons.

    In the assignment model, State -Owned Enterprises (SOEs) take responsibility formanaging PPP, but the private market regards this as adding risk. Better governanceand transparency arrangements, procurement procedures, anti-corruption measures,and levels of technical competence will build private sector confidence aboutmanaging these risks.

    Central government should also clarify its role regarding the sub-national transportsystem. Rather than trying to reclaim functions that have been decentralised, centralagencies should find a way to incentivise better sub-national decision-making andperformance.

    Regulatory Principles: The aim of regulation should be to facilitate private investment,encourage fair competition, and protect safety and the environment. Through a criticalreview of the existing framework, government can remove restrictions on privatesector involvement and facilitate private participation in non-commercial activities. Atthe same time, it can tighten and enforce regulations that promote public well-being,safety, and the environment.

    Pricing Principles: In the interests of efficiency, the prices users pay for transportinfrastructure and services should generally reflect the costs incurred. Ideally these aredetermined through competition; if subsidies are required they should be limited bycompetitively-tendered performance-based contracts. Government can then set pricesto reflect social goals while costs are contained by competition.

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    3.2 Meeting t he Sectors Challenges

    Supporting Economic Growth: Agencies should plan activities and measure results in

    terms of outcomes that lead to economic growth (for example, improved access andreduced travel time) rather than, as has been done in the past, inputs (for example,meters of wharf constructed).

    Raising Infrastructure Quality: Current incentives are perverse. Neglectingmaintenance, skimping on quality, and imposing delays on users can actually rewardproviders. Instead, strategies that incentivise better quality should be implemented.This can be done through:

    Performance-based schemes for capital and O&M projects

    Imposing quality and performance standards on concessionaires

    Specifying Key Performance Indicators for other outsourced infrastructure/services(eg, maintenance, or essential services to remote areas) and imposing penalties forfailure to meet them

    Strengthening works supervision, tightening liability and imposing sanctions forfailure to impose standards or meet contract conditions

    Revising procurement rules to give more weight to output quality

    At the sub-national level, introducing conditional, performance-based grants forselected infrastructure and services

    Empowering users, the media and the public to scrutinise and influence planningdecisions and delivery performance

    Improving Service Efficiency: Efficiency is another key ingredient for growth, and it canbe fostered through the pressures of competition. Strategies include dismantlingmonopolies and preparing SOEs for competition; removing restrictions on market entryand constraints that inhibit responses to commercial opportunities; and promotingcompetition for the right to provide services and giving flexibility to adjust services tomeet users need s. For activities that are still managed by the public sector, efficiencycan be encouraged by setting progressively higher targets for performance,productivity, and profitability. In some instances, allowing private-sector equity wouldalso help pressure management to perform better.

    Dealing with Urban Congestion: Steps that can address urban congestion includeintroducing disincentives to use private vehicles during peak periods, improving trafficefficiency (through strategies such as developing alternate routes, removingbottlenecks, and educating traffic police) and providing more attractive publictransport options. These efforts will require strong leadership at the LG level. Nationalagencies can help by enforcing requirements for urban transport plans and requiringthese plans as a prerequisite for national budget support; facilitating the earmarking ofrevenues from road users for public transport; developing model approaches to servicelicensing; and helping to share knowledge about best practices.

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Reducing Regional Disparities: Poor transport infrastructure and services in less-developed regions is the result of insufficient demand to justify commercialoperations. There are strong reasons why government should try to reduce disparities.

    Rather than providing open-ended subsidies, the strategy should be to focus on targetoutcomes. Options to achieve the desired outcomes include raising the percentage ofproject costs that can be borne by Infrastructure Guarantee Fund/viability gap funding;specifying a lower Economic Internal Rate of Return for government investments;introducing competitively-tendered, performance-based contracts; and providingconditional, performance-based grants to LGs in the region. But before undertakingany of these options, government should ask: why are services not currently providedby the private sector? If removing constraints will allow the private sector to operate,then this may be the best approach.

    Funding Needed Investments: Government needs to understand what motivates

    private sector investors. It needs to offer a delivery model that is transparent,predictable, reliable and reasonable, and in line with best practice. Critical first stepstoward achieving this are to:

    Narrow the pipeline of candidate projects to a limited number of simple,manageable, viable schemes that have been largely de-risked.

    Carry out a VfM analysis to demonstrate whether the life-cycle economies ofprivate provision exceed the extra costs of private financing.

    Consider whether demand/revenue risk should be transferred to the private sector.

    Set clear output standards to judge performance and set penalties.

    Adopt a transparent, interactive procurement process to test bidders' risk appetiteand explore innovative design/delivery options.

    Maintain competitive tension right through to preferred bidder stage.

    The approach needs experienced legal, technical, financial, procurement, banking andinsurance advisors, a solid, confidence-building feasibility study and VfM comparison,and a reliable, familiar regulatory framework that facilitates procurement of thechosen delivery model and gives confidence that there won't be any unexpectedchanges.

    Saving Lives: The RPJMN should acknowledge Indonesias serious transport s afetyissues and commit to improving Indonesias record, particularly with respect to roadsafety. Some 3 percent of GDP is lost to road crashes and the social cost is enormous.The five pillars of Indonesias Road Safety Action Plan (more integrated road safetymanagement, safer roads, safer vehicles, safer road users, and better post-crashresponse) are a good start. What is needed is heightened understanding of the urgencyof the problem, strengthened commitment, and a higher profile for road safetyactivities. Among other strategies, agencies must be held directly accountable forsafety performance; the public should be engaged in advocacy and education forgreater safety; safety standards need to be upgraded; audits should be mandated; andblackspots , locations where a high number of road crashes occur, be addressed.

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    For non-roads subsectors, efforts should focus on technical standards, strengtheningthe role of independent safety regulators, and penalties including loss of license orrevenue.

    4. WATER AND SANITATION SECTOR CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES

    Indonesias current Long -Term Development Plan (RPJPN) targets full access to basicservices by 2019. But current and projected outputs in the development of water andsanitation infrastructure seem unlikely to keep up with population growth and thedepreciation of assets. This is particularly true in the sanitation sector, which haslagged behind the water sector in terms of investments and coverage.

    GoI is pursuing increased sanitation investment through its program to acceleratesanitation development, Percepatan Pembangunan Sanitasi Permukiman (PPSP). It has

    increased the budget of the Ministry of Public Works by approximately 100 percent forthe five year development period 2010 14, to approximately USD 360 million per year.With overall estimates of sanitation investment requirements of USD 1.4 billion peryear to meet the established sanitation development targets, LGs must investapproximately one billion dollars. This is funding that will need to be mobilised at thelocal level as well as provided by central government sources.

    To translate these investments into greater coverage rates, new approaches toincentivising LGs need to be embraced, institutional capacity at the local level must bedeveloped, and LGs should develop new approaches to asset management to retainthe use of investments in assets.

    4.1 Creating Investment Incentives for Local Governments

    Utilising Output-Based Grant Mechanisms: Output-based grants are provided directlyto LGs through a legally binding grant agreement between the LG head and theMinster for Finance. During IndIIs Phase 1, output -based grants strengthened LGcommitments and leveraged an estimated 60 percent of the grants as contributionsfrom LGs. Scaled up grants in Phase 2 include governance targets and performancelinkages to other Government programs to increase the impact and penetration of theprogram. Output based grants are a vehicle which donors can use to channel fundsdirectly to LGs.

    Shifting Toward Special Allocation Grants and On-Granting: USD 360 million ofnational funding of LG sanitation facilities is channeled through Tugas Pembantuan (TP) co-assistance. A limited amount of direct funding, USD 42 million, is budgetedfrom the special allocation fund ( Dana Alokasi Khusus , or DAK). Recent analyses ofspending on infrastructure show that the DAK leverages more funding from LGs thandoes the TP. Preliminary results from the IndII Water Hibah program suggest that theHibah is even more efficient in leveraging investments at the local level. Similar resultscan be anticipated for sanitation. On-granting mechanisms offer the greatest potentialfor increased funding.

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    4.3 Improving Funding Mechanisms and Local Government Asset Management

    Replace Direct GoI funding of Local Assets with Grants: When assets are built and

    owned by the central government, LGs have no incentive to maintain them, causingrapid deterioration and replacement and leading to unsustainably low tariffs forservices. Under on-granting programs, LGs own the assets and are liable for theirmaintenance and replacement. While it is too early to determine the impact, evidenceto date points to increased sustainability of assets.

    Formally Transfer Assets Developed by Central Government to LGs: Sometimescentral government funding for local infrastructure is warranted. In any case it is likelyto continue for some time. Meanwhile it is important that LG agencies own sanitationinfrastructure. This builds their commitment to properly operate and maintain it.Further, LGs can only raise budgets to operate and maintain assets that they own.

    Therefore the central government should promptly transfer assets to the localagencies that will use them.

    5. CONCLUSION

    In conclusion, RPJMN 2015-2019 should introduce more radical reforms than pastplans; business-as-usual will not suffice. As the agency responsible for nationaldevelopment and planning, Bappenas (with the support of a President with vision andcourage) can lead the necessary reforming policies and strategies.

    Across sectors, it will be useful to pay close attention to improving asset management,effective implementation of decentralisation, encouraging private sector participation,and utilising performance-based incentives. In transport, policy makers should think interms of outcomes, efficiencies, and remedies for perverse incentives. Urbancongestion, regional disparities, and transport safety are substantive areas that shouldbe addressed. In water and sanitation, issues of investment incentives for LGs,institutional capacity building, and ownership of assets assume particular importance.

    Implementation of reforms will be incremental and will require close coordinationamong concerned agencies at all levels. The process will certainly not be problem-free,but the rewards, in terms of greater progress toward meeting Indonesias transportneeds and providing access for all citizens to basic water and sanitation services, willrender the efforts worthwhile.

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    CROSS-SECTORAL THEMES AND PRIORITIES

    CROSS-SECTORAL THEMES AND PRIORITIES

    1. INTRODUCTION

    Indonesias five -year development plan (RPJMN) for the 2015-19 period is now beingprepared and will provide the central policy framework for the next nationaladministration, to be installed following the presidential election in October 2014.

    This upcoming RPJMN represents the third five-year segment of the 20-year long termdevelopment plan (RPJPN). By 2025, the RPJPN articulates ambitious plans for a well-established and mature infrastructure sector, able to fully support the countryseconomic and social needs. Given the 10 year time frame to achieve these objectivesthere is now a growing sense that a business as usual approach is no longer anoption. Indonesias infrastructure deficit is growing and important changes arerequired in the policy, planning and delivery framework. The RPJMN can provide avision and rationale for those changes.

    This paper is not intended to comprehensively assess the previous RPJMN documents,nor to identify every gap and what associated remedial actions are required. It will,however, highlight one area where the Infrastructure chapter of the RPJMN documentcan be strengthened: by emphasising a number of key cross-sectoral themes andpriorities.

    There are a broad range of problems and issues that impact all sectors of Indonesian

    infrastructure, from land access to regulatory uncertainty to continuing State-OwnedEnterprise (SOE) dominance to institutional capacity constraints. These and many othercross-sectoral issues tend to be dealt with at the sector level by the relevant sectionswithin the line ministries and/or the sector-focused divisions within the coordinatingministries such as the Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs and Bappenas. This isnot to suggest that there is no desire to consider these issues in a more cross-sectoralmanner. However, the current institutional structure tends toward vertical rather thanhorizontal treatment of infrastructure problems.

    This is also true of the RPJMN process. The infrastructure chapters of the RPJMNdocuments tend to have a strong sectoral focus with less discussion of problems and

    issues from a cross-sectoral perspective. In each of the main sections of the documentthe bulk of the discussion is at the sectoral level, covering water resources, transport,housing and settlements, telecommunications and energy.

    Drawing upon key lessons learned through the IndII experience, this paper proposesfour key cross-sectoral themes to potentially frame much of the discussion with theRPJMN infrastructure chapter:

    Asset management

    Decentralisation

    Private sector participation

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    Performance based incentives

    This covers a broad range of policy issues and challenges for the next national

    government. While it is not an exhaustive list, these four themes should be prioritisedbecause they link to actionable, achievable measures that can significantly enhance theeffectiveness of the RPJMN. Moreover as will be seen in the discussion below thesethemes are somewhat inter-related and mutually reinforcing. For example, use ofperformance-based delivery systems through the engagement of the private sectorcould be an important policy tool for improved asset management by LocalGovernment (LG) agencies.

    2. ASSET MANAGEMENT

    Asset management is a systematic process to guide the planning, acquisition, operation

    and maintenance, renewal and disposal of assets. Its primary objective is to maximiseservice delivery potential and manage related risks and costs over the economic life ofan asset. 1

    Asset management, in particular its maintenance and renewal dimensions, is arguablythe crucial missing ingredient in much of the policy and public discourse on Indonesiasinfrastructure. There is little awareness and understanding of the economic benefits ofwhole-of-life management of assets. As a result, budgeting, planning and investmentdecisions are typically taken with little regard for on-going maintenance of the assetsbeing procured. A basic regulatory framework for asset management is in place. 2 Beyond compliance with this framework, this is little real commitment. Few if anyagencies, at any government level, have well-articulated and/or functioning assetmanagement policies, plans and strategies. In addition, a major central policystatement with guiding principles for asset management does not exist. For manyofficials, at both the national and local level, asset management extends only as far asdeveloping a registry of assets; and many agencies (perhaps most) have difficultyidentifying their list of assets.

    Much of the general narrative on Indonesias infrastructure problems centres on theneed for new investment. However, major efforts to increase the stock of productiveinfrastructure are being undermined by the rapid depreciation and premature failureof installed assets. To borrow a local term, Indonesian infrastructure is to a large extent

    jalan di tempat (showing no progress): just as fast as new infrastructure comes online,existing capacity is lost elsewhere. As noted in the following watsan paper, over thepast decade and a half, despite substantial increases in investment particularly at the

    1 Sustaining Local Assets: Local Government Asset Management Policy Statement Departmentfor Victorian Communities, State Government of Victoria, December 2003.

    2 For example: Government Regulation no. 6/2006 and 38/2008 regarding managing stateassets, and Ministry of Home Affairs Regulation 17/2007 regarding management of LocalGovernment assets.

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    national level there has been little change in installed productive capacity in thewater sector (measured in litres of water per second).

    Public frustration with the poor standard of infrastructure provision is often moreassociated with the rapid decay of existing infrastructure, rather than the need for newinvestment. Key examples include the annual outcry over the poor standard of localand national roads to accommodate the large movement of people of to/from thecities during Idul Fitri, as well as catastrophic events such as the collapse of the KutaiKertanegara bridge in 2011, just 10 years after initial construction.

    Poor asset management translates into high costs for government and users. Lack ofeffective maintenance on assets (typically coupled with poor initial construction workand often inappropriate design standards) shortens economic lives, resulting ininefficient and wasteful spending on new construction and rehabilitation. In the case of

    local roads, for example, pavements often start failing within two to three years,instead of the 10 or more usually assumed when roads are better managed. Moreover,underinvestment in ongoing maintenance makes eventual road construction three tofive times more expensive. But such costs are dwarfed by the costs to users,particularly if a road is left in disrepair for an extended period. IndII analysis has shownthat if the response time to repair a road stretches to 12 months rather than two, thenoverall additional costs to road users could be 10 times that of the additional roadagency costs.

    Such findings are applicable to most other infrastructure sectors. A 2008 study on assetmanagement by PDAMs (water utilities) in 15 locations found there to be a clear lack ofinstitutional commitment and organisational capacity with regard to assetmanagement. The study concludes that on average every USD 100 invested in assetmanagement improvement would generate future savings of approximately USD 900(dependent on the level of asset management implementation and acceptance by themanagement of the PDAMs and their government colleagues).

    A broad range of factors contribute to Indonesias infrastructure asset managementproblem, many of which are sector-specific, eg in roads: overloading and inappropriatedesign standards. Discussed below are two common themes, drawn from differenttechnical contexts, relating to incentives and accountability.

    First , current incentive structures play a key role in explaining why infrastructure assetstend to be poorly managed. Initial construction is often done by one party, andmaintenance and other downstream renewal work performed by another. Thisincentivises shortcuts during construction, as downstream risks will be borne by others,generating what is known as a moral hazard problem. Moreover, often key assetssuch as roads are maintained by publicly employed swakelola (force account)managers and labourers who lack overall productivity and performance incentives toensure effective maintenance practices.

    One strategy to realise better life-cycle economies of infrastructure investment is toconsider performance-based delivery modalities, including making one partyresponsible for designing, building, operating and maintaining an asset, and

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    periodically remunerating them based on the performance of that asset. For existingassets, performance-based contracting arrangements can be explored for operationsand maintenance tasks. Likewise, performance incentives could be utilised to enhance

    delivery through more traditional public sector procurements; eg remuneratingswakelola road units per unit of output, such as length of drains cleaned or number ofpotholes repaired.

    Also, incentives for improved asset management policies and practices could bemainstreamed into inter-government grant conditionality. Notably, the DAK ( Dana

    Alokas Khusus, or special allocations fund, which is the current main source of locallyimplemented infrastructure grant funding from the centre) does not cover investmentin routine and periodic maintenance.

    Second , lack of accountability and responsibility for asset condition, use and

    performance is another crucial problem undermining asset management.Infrastructure agencies are typically not held accountable for their performance inasset management. Various regulatory and incentive-based options could be used toincrease accountability, including penalties for infrastructure managers that neglect totake reasonable action to preserve the productive capacity of assets under their directcontrol. Transparency-based measures involving community and user groups may alsobe helpful initiatives to promote accountability.

    Confusion or uncertainty as to which agency is responsible for an asset furtherdiminishes accountability. This applies both horizontally across agencies within thesame government and vertically across different levels of government. As an exampleof the former, there is uncertainty over which agency has ownership of, and henceresponsibility for, much of Transjakartas corridor infrastructure, such as shelters,pedestrian bridges and walkways. This in turn diminishes the incentive for preservationof those assets.

    Vertically, a common problem occurs when an infrastructure asset is provided by thecentral government, but with little engagement or ownership by the receiving LG.Moreover, the transfer status is often sufficiently vague that the asset remainsessentially ownerless. LGs often complain of having unwanted or inappropriateinfrastructure assets imposed on them from above, and tend not to provide ongoingbudget support for their maintenance and preservation. A common approach is to letthe asset rapidly deteriorate, and then get a replacement provided from above,perhaps in just a few years. As will be discussed in sections below the on-granting ofperformance-based Hibah grants has been shown to be an effective tool for building LGownership and engagement, and provides an alternative to the model of top -downprovision.

    3. DECENTRALISATION

    In a large and diverse country such as Indonesia, the logic for decentralisation iscompelling. Locally operated agencies should be more transparent and moreresponsive to the needs of the local community. This is particularly the case in

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    infrastructure service delivery, where the responsibility for the delivery of water,sanitation, local roads and transport and other services has been devolved to theregions as part of Indonesias big bang decentralisation effort of the early 2000s.

    However in the narrative regarding Indonesias many infrastructure problems,decentralisation is commonly seen as yet another challenge to overcome. Less oftendo we hear about the opportunities that decentralisation presents for improvinginfrastructure service delivery. This is quite understandable, given what has happenedsince decentralisation. Local road networks have degraded at an alarming rate, theproportion of households with water connections has declined sharply, andinvestments in local sanitation have remained minimal or even non-existent. Also,whilst expenditure on LG services has actually increased, there has been little evidenceof a commensurate increase in the quality of services delivered. Subnational spendingappears to be dominated by expenditure on administration.

    Armed with these observations, its easy to conclude that decentralisation has failedinfrastructure, and the argument, by extension, is that a greater degree of re-centralisation (i.e. top -down infrastructure provision) is required. Increasingly we arehearing that there is now diminishing appetite in central ministries for furtherincreases in transfers to LGs. Even within areas of central government that havetraditionally been more supportive of decentralisation, there are both pro and anti-decentralisation forces, with the latter being driven by a sense of disappointment thatLGs, despite increases in funding, have failed to deliver.

    The main infrastructure line agencies typically favour greater centralisation. There areclearly strong institutional incentives to retain control over the large national budgetfor local infrastructure, rather than devolving implementation responsibility to theregions. This is typically justified on the grounds that LGs lack the necessary capacity todeliver. However, the model of central provision has not always been effective. This isparticularly the case when assets are centrally provided but with little or no ownershipor engagement on the part of the recipient LGs, resulting in rapid depreciation ofassets, or worse non-use.

    The water and sanitation sector is an interesting case in this regard. Despite water andsanitation being defined as a local function, the budget for central governmentimplementation has grown rapidly in recent years, and this has not been matched bygrowth in central transfers for locally implemented infrastructure (i.e. through theDAK). In sanitation, IndII estimates that in aggregate the central government spendsapproximately eight to nine times the amount that is transferred to LGs for localimplemen tation. This and other cases where local functions appear to be funded inlarge part at the central level raises questions for policy makers about the future roleof LGs in local infrastructure service delivery.

    This is perhaps where the Australian-funded Hibah grants for infrastructureimplemented by IndII can play a key role: these grants can change perceptions aboutthe effectiveness of decentralised funding instruments, as well as change nationalattitudes towards LGs regarding infrastructure.

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    An important policy lesson from infrastructure grant programming funded by theGovernment of Australia and operated through IndII is that the Hibah can alignincentives across all levels of government for improved investment in local

    infrastructure. The output-based Hibah grants have demonstrated that LGs are keen totake ownership of these investments rather than having them imposed from above.Moreover, preliminary impact analysis show that the grants have stimulated LG equityinvestments in their water utilities (PDAMs), and that such investments made by Hibahgrantees are significantly more efficient than investments by non-grantees.

    Overall, the grants have also shown to be a useful device for increasing LGcommitments to local water service delivery, and also for pursuing national waterpolicies and priorities at the local level. Such findings, however, need not be restrictedto the water sector. Hibah styled performance grants could also be used to pursuenational objectives in local roads (see accompanying box). Key cross-sectoral policy

    themes such as improved LG commitment to asset management could also be pursuedthrough performance-based grants.

    Box. Performance-Based Hibah Grants for Subnational Roads Maintenance?

    Since decentralisation, local roads have deteriorated. Part of the problem is thatcurrent governance arrangements do not hold subnational agencies accountable fortheir performance in maintaining their network of roads. Outputs often tend to be judged in terms of the visibility of discrete projects, rather than the overall roadnetwork performance. In the post-decentralisation era, planning and budgetingdecisions tend to be subject to few objective criteria but considerable political pressureand manipulation. As a result, relatively simple, but crucially important, routine andperiodic maintenance activities are neglected. Local agencies lack not only the guidingframework, but also the ability to objectively identify road maintenance needs, plan,and program the necessary works. Pre-decentralisation, the guiding framework forbudgeting and planning, including considerable peer review, was provided through thecentral governments so -called SK77 process. However, there is no longer compliancewith this process. The Directorate General of Highways (DGH) continues to listimproved facilitation and support for local roads as one of its key strategic objectives,but lacks the authority to carry out this objective. Further, DGH articulates plans for aroad preservation unit and fund to incentivise LGs to pursue effective maintenancepractices. Such a program could be implemented through a performance-based Hibahthat requires grantees to meet budgeting and planning standards.

    Much has been written about the poorly structured incentives in Indonesianintergovernmental fiscal transfers. The dominance of administrative and staffingexpenditure in subnational spending, as noted above, is due in large part to the currentinter-governmental funding arrangements that favour recurrent over capitalexpenditure (i.e. salaries over investment in infrastructure). The Hibah shows thatperformance incentives in centre-to-regional transfers can be effective in improvingoutcomes at the local level, i.e. getting investment into productive infrastructure. Thenext step is to graduate the Hibah from being a useful delivery tool for donors, to

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    becoming a new multi-sector transfer mechanism mainstreamed within the nationalbudgetary process.

    4. PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION

    Despite a number of important Public Private Partnership (PPP)-related policy andinstitutional development measures in recent years, progress in engaging the privatesector in the delivery of infrastructure services in key sectors such as transport andwater and sanitation has been slow. Much has been said about the factors continuingto constrain PPPs, which include institutional coordination and leadership issues, landclearance problems, poor project identification and preparation, and continuingregulatory uncertainty.

    In the interest of extending the discussion further, our focus here is on two other

    important issues that are often neglected in Indonesias continuing struggle to promotePPPs.

    The first relates to risk transfer issues. An important advantage of PPPs is that theyallow the transfer of a number of key risks to the private party. A key factordifferentiating the various PPP models is the level and nature of risk shifted to theprivate sector. At one extreme are service and management contracts where onlylimited risk is transferred. At the other extreme are Build-Own-Operate concessionswhere the investor is remunerated entirely through the collection of tariffs or userfees. This situation transfers substantial risk, particularly demand/revenue risk, fromthe government to the private sector.

    The golden rule in PPPs is that risks are transferred to those best placed to handlethem. However, a common problem in Indonesia (and indeed many other emergingeconomies) is that contracting agencies tend to place so many restrictions, conditionsand expectations of risk transfer on the private sector that it becomes difficult tostructure financially feasible deals.

    A key factor contributing to the problem of risk overload is the common perceptionwithin Indonesia that PPPs are simply financing instruments. Opportunities for privatesector investment through PPPs are typically only conceived of within the context ofthe funding gap, i.e. the gap between infrastructure needs and the financing capacityof government. Hence, if the PPP modality is being considered, the default setting is toassume a full concession model, with most if not all demand and other risks beingtransferred to the private sector.

    This brings us to the second key issue this focus on funding the gap necessarily meansless emphasis on the value for money (VfM) dimensions of PPPs. Internationalexperience has shown that well planned, designed and structured PPPs can incentivisemore efficient delivery and performance than would otherwise be possible throughmore traditional procurement modalities. The potential for improved VfM throughPPPs includes greater chances of on-time and on-budget delivery and of courseimproved standards of service. Moreover, by transferring design, construction,operation and maintenance risks (but not all other risks) to the private sector, PPPs can

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    work to reduce overall life cycle costs. And ultimately it is these life cycle economiesthat outweigh the extra costs of private finance.

    Key to the successful delivery of VfM through PPPs is the alignment of incentives acrossthe various parties. The private sector delivers a service to agreed standards and isremunerated on a performance basis, usually through some kind of periodic unitarycharge. Failure to meet key performance indicators can result in deductions. Thus,downstream pressures from equity holders and lenders also encourage optimum lifecycle performance. Upstream, competition in the procurement process adds additionalincentives for improved VfM.

    For the government, risks are reduced, as work is only paid for when specifications aremet. Moreover, rates are known, which makes budgeting and planning easier. PPPsallow the public sector to spread the publics cost of infr astructure investment over the

    life cycle of the asset, rather than requiring large upfront payments. Hence, projectscan be undertaken more quickly, allowing users to benefit sooner. Most importantly,PPPs allow governments to harness the dynamism and innovative capacity of theprivate sector to promote efficiency and reduce waste.

    However, due to pressures to fund the infrastructure gap, these key VfM messageshave been largely lost in the discussion of PPPs in Indonesia. The prevailing viewremains that the only role for the private sector is when the government hasinsufficient funds. And the partnership with the private sector is mainly about funding,and not improved delivery.

    Moving forward, a more realistic, less ambitious approach to risk transfer coupled witha greater focus on VfM issues would open up a number of opportunities for increasedprivate sector participation in Indonesian infrastructure. The default setting in recentyears has been to focus on large, politically complex signature projects, which typicallyentail considerable risk transfer to the private sector. Whilst this is likely to continue 3,in the short to medium term the approach could also be diversified to focus on somelow hanging fruit where risk transfer is minimised and there are importantopportunities for the private sector to demonstrate VfM by delivering superiorservices. This could include the award of service and management contracts for smallairports/seaports, the provision of routine and periodic road maintenance servicesthrough performance-based contracting arrangements, or possibly the delivery ofmajor new infrastructure such as national roads or even expressways throughavailability or annuity schemes (more commonly referred to in Indonesia as PBAS:performance based annuity schemes).

    3 Note the recent announcement that government will offer up to 30 large infrastructure projects totalingUSD 33 billion, (Source: Govt set to roll out Rp 380t infrastructure projects, Jakarta Post November 14,2013 page 3.)

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    5. PERFORMANCE BASED INCENTIVES

    The most important lesson drawn from the IndII experience to date is the enormous

    potential for performance-based grants, such as the Water Hibah, to improveinfrastructure service delivery at the local level. In schemes such as these, it is theconditionality of payment that serves as a powerful tool for ensuring requiredperformance requirements/outputs are met. Risks are minimised and there is greatertransparency in implementation. Hence the recommendation, as above, to mainstreamperformance incentives into other inter-government transfers for infrastructure.

    Beyond fiscal transfers, performance incentives could play a much greater role in theimproved delivery of Indonesian infrastructure. Current planning and delivery systemscontinue to be input-based, and often characterised by inefficiency and waste. Theprevious section emphasised the key role of performance incentives in private sectordelivery of services. In these instances, remuneration is conditional upon specificationsfor service or standards being met, and risks are transferred to those best able tomanage them. Given the urgent need to develop new infrastructure, there areimportant opportunities to bundle financing, design, construction, operations andmaintenance under performance-based, multi-year contracts. Equally important, andperhaps more achievable in the short to medium term, is to focus on improved assetmanagement and services delivered through performance-based contracts (PBC) toprovide operations and maintenance.

    PBC is a relatively new concept for Indonesia. It can provide key benefits, particularlyfor road agencies. These include the ability to secure longer term funding for aparticular road network, with the understanding that it will be maintained at a pre-determined level of service. DGH recently undertook a trial of PBC as procurementmodality for two segments of the main Java north coast arterial road ( Pantura ).Reviews of the trial to date suggest that PBC was not the optimal choice ofprocurement method, as the works more closely resemble major reconstruction efforts(with extended warranties). That said, one of the projects is considered a success dueto the professionalism of the various parties (contractors, supervisors, andprocurement officials). DGH is considering expanding the PBC concept in otherlocations. Ideally, to capture the longer term performance benefits that PBC enables,the road segments should satisfy minimum length requirements (preferably as anetwork, rather than as a long corridor); the segments should be largely stable (i.e.reconstruction requiring no more than 40 percent of the contract value); and theperiod of the contract should be no less than five years.

    Beyond roads, competitively awarded PBCs could be used in a broad range ofcircumstances to improve both the efficiency and quality of infrastructure servicedelivery. For example, they could become a useful device for implementation oftransport subsidies (e.g. for pioneer and Public Service Obligation routes, wheremarket provision is not yet possible). This would enable a move away from the currentinput-based approach, which tends to favour incumbent and largely inefficient state-owned providers, to an output-based arrangement. For example, pioneer servicescould be remunerated based on the availability of seats and/or cargo space on aparticular route, rather than on direct input subsidies such as the provision of a ferry.

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    Other opportunities for PBC could be explored for the management of transport assets,such as airports, seaports and bus terminals; provision of urban transport services; theupstream supply of water for PDAMs; and possibly even downstream distribution on

    behalf of the PDAMs, amongst many others. In short, PBC can be used in a broad rangeof circumstances. It is suitable when government would like to procure a service (asopposed to an asset); when there are opportunities to enhance delivery throughperformance-based incentives, and when the political will is present to enable greaterfront line infrastructure service delivery by the private sector.

    6. CONCLUSION

    The drafting of the RPJMN represents an important opportunity to articulate a numberof key Government of Indonesia themes and priorities for the infrastructure sector as awhole. Drawing upon IndII experience, this paper proposes four key cross-sectoral

    messages: The use of appropriate incentive and accountability measures and a greater

    commitment to asset management at all levels of government will capture betterlife-cycle economies in infrastructure investment.

    Greater use of current decentralisation tools and systems will allow LGs a moreengaged and incentivised role in local infrastructure service delivery.

    A more realistic approach to risk transfer, coupled with a focus on VfM, will enablegreater opportunities for the private sector in infrastructure service delivery.

    Mainstreaming of performance-based incentives into planning and delivery

    systems, including inter-government fiscal transfers, will greatly improve theefficiency and accountability of public investment in infrastructure.

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    INDONESIAS T RANSPORT SECTOR: CHALLENGES AND

    STRATEGIES

    1. CRITICAL ISSUES

    There is a significant infrastructure delivery gap in Indonesias transport sector:demand exceeds supply by a large margin, and this will likely worsen. Increasing road,port and airport congestion; service inefficiencies; and asset deterioration raisetransport costs and reduce competitiveness (see Figure 1), probably knocking apercentage point off the economic growth rate. Indonesia is falling behind its regionalcompetitors.

    Figure 1: Comparison of Logistics Performance Indices

    Source: World Bank, Status of Logistics Indonesia, 2013

    The private-sector-led infrastructure investment and competitive service provision setout in the national long term development plan (RPJPN 2005 2025) has yet tomaterialise indeed, in the transport sector it has hardly begun. Some of the legalframework for railways and ports has been put in place, but implementation has beenslow. Inadequate incentives, unmanageable risk allocation, restrictive regulations,mistrust and vested interests all limit investors appetite and governmental willingnessto reform. Government has yet to learn that private-sector provision of infrastructure,properly incentivised, offers significant value-for-money (VfM) advantages: that is itsmain benefit, not simply providing additional funds.

    In the absence of the private sector, government has not filled the infrastructure gap.Investment levels have been too low (evidenced in inadequate capacity in most sub-sectors) or misdirected (spent on incremental reconstruction or rehabilitation, forexample, instead of new, higher-performing facilities that would offer better VfM). The

    0

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    impacts include low port productivity (see Figure 2), delays at airports, heavy roadcongestion, frequent and expensive rehabilitation cycles and higher prices for domesticand foreign end-users.

    Figure 2: Dwell Time (days) at Tanjung Priok Port, January 2011 to November 2012

    Source: Jakarta International Container Terminal, quoted in World Bank, Status of Logistics Indonesia, 2013

    Especially for roads, total life-cycle costs (including user costs) are high, yet this has notyet spurred government to take a life-cycle approach to optimising infrastructuredevelopment and management. Construction supervision and maintenance planningare weak. A reliance on State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), often directed by government(the assignment delivery model), shields important investment decisions frommarket signals, suppresses the development of competitive private-sector alternatives,

    and usually results in lower-quality facilities and services. SOE operations (eg, railways,ferries, and ports) tend to be inefficient, lacking the pressure of competitive markets.

    Rapid urbanisation, unchecked motorisation, weak land-use planning, ineffectivedevelopment controls and inadequate public transport limit mobility and lower thequality of life in crowded cities. Urgent decisions about managing peak demand andimproving public transport are postponed, making city life unpleasant and longer-termsolutions harder to implement.

    Inter-regional disparities in income and accessibility are inequitable and undermineunity. Prices for manufactured or imported necessities in remote provinces are up toten times more than on Java. Road transport is heavily subsidised, favouring thehigher-income central regions, while maritime transport, the lifeline for easternIndonesia, is not. Other modes railways in particular also suffer from intermodalpricing inconsistencies. Without commercial management, they fail to offer anattractive alternative to road transport for passengers and freight.

    Transport users have little say in determining responses to infrastructureshortcomings: while transparency and consultation are encouraged at a policy level,they are not yet effective in influencing planning decisions, nor in sanctioning poordelivery performance.

    5.25.4

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    Last but by no means least: safety levels in most transport modes are low and in theroads sector are appallingly so, with 32,000 dying o n the roads every year. Indonesiasparticipation in the UN Decade of Action on Road Safety has not yet resulted in

    significant changes.

    Does all this paint an unreasonably black picture? Arguably there are a few brightspots, but its better to address th e needs of the coming five, 10 or 50 years byrecognising and fixing whats wrong than by hoping that more of the same will suffice.

    2. KEY PRINCIPLES: THE OVER-ARCHING POLICY FRAMEWORK

    Indonesias third mid -term development plan (RPJMN III) should not just be a strategyfor fixing existing shortcomings over the next five years, however. It should also startaddressing needs over the coming 30, 40 or even 50 years. RPJMN I and RPJMN II failed

    to do this adequately (See Box 1). RPJMN III, therefore, has an even greater and moreurgent role to play. To be effective, its strategies should be guided by a single set ofoverarching policy principles. Unless these guide all decisions, damaginginconsistencies between institutions, modes and programs will remain.

    Box 1: RPJMN I and RPJMN II Shortcomings

    RPJMN I and RPJMN II were to see the acceleration of transport infrastructuredevelopment through private-sector participation and public private partnerships

    (PPPs). The associated policy, legal, regulatory and institutional frameworks were to bereformed and restructured. Government put in place some of the legal and regulatoryreforms and established institutional arrangements for PPPs, but failed to deliver any

    significant PPP project transactions.

    Source: Ind IIs Support to RPJMN III, Draft Interim Report, Oct 2013.

    2.1 Institutional Principles

    A paramount need is for clear guidance on competition, the respective roles of thepublic and private sectors and the organisation of public sector functions. Most of theabove problems can be traced to poor institutional structuring and decision-making, alack of clarity about the role of the private sector, and mistrust about the benefits ofcompetition. For RPJMN III, government decision-makers should answer two

    fundamental institutional questions:

    What are to be the respective roles of the public and private sectors in deliveringand operating transport infrastructure and services?

    How best can those functions that remain with government be organised?

    Successful comparable countries have found that most transport infrastructure andservices are best delivered by a competitive, commercially-focused private sector. Witheffective competition, the profit motive incentivises quality, efficiency andperformance much more strongly than any incentives that exist in the public sector.The lessons: facilitate private-sector competition; avoid or eliminate regulations that

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    unnecessarily inhibit private investment and operations; consider very carefullywhether favouring the SOEs promotes efficiency, flexibility and demand-responsiveness; and dont always assume that government knows best.

    What about non-commercial facilities and services? There is no reason why theseshould not also be delivered by a competitive private sector under performance-baseddelivery models (see Figure 3). Rather than supply such services itself, governmentshould set performance standards and let private sector operators bid to supply them.This should ensure that service and quality targets are met at least cost, and make itpossible to judge whether the perceived benefits exceed the explicit subsidies involved.

    Figure 3: Advantages of Performance-Based Delivery Models

    Lastly, central government should adopt a clearer position on its infrastructure role vis--vis the sub-national transport system. The Decentralisation Law gives responsibilityfor non-national infrastructure to lower-level administrations. This is a good thing itbrings decisions about local matters closer to the people but for several reasons ithas resulted in poor-quality infrastructure (see Box 2).

    These considerations highlight governments most important role: strategic planning,setting technical and performance standards, ensuring effective competition, andprotecting public safety and the environment. Where it is involved in providingservices, it should establish arms length separation between itspolicy/planning/regulatory functions and service-supplier role: that way it is better ableto hold providers accountable for quality and performance and eventually divest itscommercial operations to the private sector when appropriate.

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    Box 2: Road Conditions at National and Sub-National Levels

    Roads carry 70 percent of all freight tonne-km and 82 percent of passenger-km

    Of the 477,000 km network in 2010, 49,000 km were provincial roads and 385,000km district roads

    Provincial roads carry 19 percent of all vehicle-km and provide vital links betweendistrict and national networks

    86 percent of national roads were in good/fair (stable) condition in 2010, but forprovincial roads this proportion was only 63 percent. Their condition is notimproving indeed in many provinces it has worsened since decentralisation

    Source: PRIM Program Design Document

    2.2 Investment Principles

    Regarding investment, the key policy questions are:

    What rules should government impose on private sector investment?

    What criteria should apply to investments by the government?

    Where competitive markets exist, private sector investment should be encouraged.Even encouraging foreign investment would be beneficial in the long term, as recentchanges in law recognise: users would enjoy better services, and domestic industrystandards would rise through competition and joint venture links. The primary reasonsfor encouraging private sector investment are quality and VfM. Private providers,acting in competition, are motivated to provide efficient, customer-focused delivery(see Box 3). Private investment should not be viewed as a way of bridging the fundinggap.

    Box 3: Competition and Demand-Responsiveness

    Competition drives performance and innovation. Competing service providers strive toattract customers by raising quality and shaving costs. If they dont, they go out ofbusiness. These same pressures dont apply to the performance of state -ownedoperators or those with a monopoly in the market. Customers lose as a result.

    Competition can drive performance and demand-responsiveness even where servicesare non-commercial. A good example is the supply of perintis services competingproviders could bid on the basis of price to supply services that meet KPIs set byGovernment.

    If, for whatever reason, public-sector investment is deemed necessary say, in roads,rail network expansion, basic port infrastructure it should also be driven by VfM.Public funds are wasted if benefits do not exceed costs and life-cycle costs includinguser costs are not minimised.

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    What about non-economic investments that are deemed essential for strategic, equity,political or other reasons? These too should be subject to benefit/cost appraisal so thatthe costs required to meet these non-economic objectives are clearly identified.

    There is much talk recently about the assignment role of the SOEs (the big state -owned contractors like PT Hutama Karya, PT KAI, PT Pelindo I and II, and Angkasa Pura Iand II). Proposals for delivering the Trans-Sumatera toll-road system, for example,involve an SOE contractor taking responsibility for managing PPP (Public-PrivatePartnership)-like structures with private-sector inputs, just as Pelindo II is using privateoperators to develop Kalibaru port through competitive PPP arrangements.

    Arguably, these SOEs are acting as an agent of government in securing privateinvestment and efficient life-cycle management. But the private market will see thisapproach as adding risk to an already risky investment proposition. Better clarity is

    needed on governance and transparency arrangements, procurement procedures,anti-corruption measures, and levels of technical competence, before the market canfeel confident about managing the associated risks.

    In addition to their role in providing technical guidance, central agencies should find away to incentivise better sub-national decision-making and performance, rather thantry to reclaim decentralised responsibilities. One obvious way would be to make centralgovernment grant transfers conditional on performance outcomes and public scrutiny,as is being trialled under IndIIs Provincial Road Improvement and Maintenance (PRIM)project (see Box 4).

    Box 4 : PRIMs Incentive Structure

    Focus on maintenance

    Use AIIG grant contributions as an incentive to strengthen governance and deliveryon a sustainable basis

    o Grant contributes up to 40 percent of maintenance expenditures if completedworks meet agreed technical and PPB indicators

    o Up to 10 percent of additional grant to reward improved institutionalperformance

    Work through and strengthen existing government procedures

    o Local consultants for design/supervision, local contractors for implementation

    With assistance, RTTF can help hold the road agency accountable for itsperformance

    Strong anti-corruption incentives

    Grant contribution only on satisfactory performance

    Use of Reference Unit Costs (RUCs) to reduce price collusion

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    2.3 Regulatory Principles

    RPJPN 2005-2025 sensibly took the view that expansion of private sector-led

    investment was the key to achieving high growth and living standards. So regulationsought to encourage, not inhibit, this expansion. Governments tend to over-regulate,and Indonesia is no exception. In the transport sector, the aim of regulation should beto facilitate private investment, encourage fair competition, and protect safety and theenvironment. There should therefore be a critical review of the existing regulatoryframework to:

    Remove regulatory and practical restrictions on market entry that suppress privatesector involvement and competition, including any aimed at protecting the SOEs.

    Enable private sector participation in non-commercial activities, such as providingessential services for which fares or tariffs do not cover costs, by facilitating

    performance-based approaches and procuring such services through competitivetender.

    On the other side of the coin, the review should determine how to:

    Tighten and enforce controls over (a) private sector operations that impactnegatively on the public; and (b) regulations designed to protect the environmentand public safety, including technical standards.

    The review of restrictions on private participation should not be confined toregulations governing market entry and competition. It should also encompass rulesabout multi-year contracts (which inhibit the adoption of long-term, life-cycle service

    contracts, even when they offer VfM benefits) and practices like limiting the size ofcontracts to such an extent that larger, more competitive participants find themunattractive and potential economies of scale are foregone.

    2.4 Pricing Principles

    Road transport fuel subsidies cost the government $20 billion per year and rising, evenafter the recent price increase. Putting that subsidy aside, road users contribute,through taxes and user charges, only a small percentage of the annual cost of the non-toll network. Users of other modes arent so lucky: with the exception of economy-class rail services, they usually pay full costs, including infrastructure costs. This distorts

    demand, making competing modes less attractive and causing unnecessary congestionon the roads. It also reduces the incentive to operate vehicles more efficiently.

    As a general rule, in the interests of efficiency, the prices users pay for transportinfrastructure and services should reflect the costs incurred. Ideally these should be setby competition rather than controlled by regulation. Where there is no marketcompetition or demand is too low to make supply profitable subsidies may benecessary, but rather than making them open-ended (by underwriting the costs ofproviding the services through SOEs), they should be limited by competitively-tenderedperformance-based contracts. Government can then set prices to reflect social goals in

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    the knowledge that costs are contained by competition and the performance standardsthat are set.

    3. MEETING THE SECTORS CHALLENGES

    3.1 Supporting Economic Growth

    These institutional, investment, regulatory and pricing principles should be applied in aconsistent way to address the sectors development and operational challenges overthe RPJMN III period. In doing this, it helps to think in terms of outcomes (impacts)rather than inputs (projects, or activities). Arguably the most important intendedoutcome is rapid (and equitable, but that is discussed separately below) economicgrowth.

    To meet the challenge of rapid growth, transport sector agencies should frame, andmeasure the effectiveness of, their strategic plans (RENSTRA) for 2015-2019 usingmeasures of performance against intended outcomes. In the past, they have listedtheir targets in terms of inputs only (metres of wharf constructed, numbers of wagonsprocured, leng th of road widened), but that hasnt helped in judging whether anefficient, safe, demand-responsive transport system has resulted.

    Key measures of performance for the sector relate to connectivity (travel time andcost), accessibility (network linkages, proximity to origins and destinations), availability(service frequency, reliability), safety and quality (comfort, security, suitability forpurpose). Most of these are critical ingredients for supporting rapid economic growth 4.Figure 4 illustrates this, highlighting some of the key components that will be needed ifRPJMN IIIs growth objectives are to be met. Note also that choices aboutinfrastructure quality, efficiency, urban congestion and regional disparity topicsdiscussed separately below also play a part in supporting growth; these should beaddressed in the RENSTRA strategies too.

    3.2 Raising Infrastructure Quality

    Raising infrastructure quality is mainly a matter of incentive. If users are empowered toinsist on better quality or are willing to pay for it, then better quality will likely result; itwill be in the interests of the provider. But most current incentives are perverse: roadagencies get more budget for reconstruction projects if they neglect maintenance;

    consultants and contractors make more profit if they skimp on quality; port operatorsfind it easier to impose delays on shipping companies than to invest in new capacity;politicians prefer to announce visible new capital projects than allocate unseen fundsto maintaining existing facilities. The strategy, therefore, should be to incentivise theprovision and maintenance of better quality facilities and services (and in this context

    4 Even service quality supports economic growth. Some shippers in highly competitive, price-insensitive markets prefer quick, reliable, secure services even if they cost more.

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    incentivise includes imposing disincentives on providers who let quality standardsslip). Examples of such incentives include:

    Performance-based schemes for capital and O&M (operations and maintenance)projects under which the developers revenues come from regular governmentpayments (sometimes called availability or annuity payments) subject todeductions for failure to meet performance standards.

    Imposing quality and performance standards on toll road concessionaires, andenforcing these through penalties linked to toll increases or extension ofconcession terms.

    Specifying performance standards for other outsourced infrastructure/services (eg,area- or network-wide maintenance contracts, or non-commercial but essentialservices to remote areas, including shipping services, minor ports and airstrips),and imposing penalties such as payment deductions for failure to meet standards.

    Strengthening the supervision of works, tightening the liability of consultants undercontract and imposing sanctions for failure to impose standards or meet contractconditions.

    Revising procurement rules to give more weight to output quality rather than inputcosts.

    At the sub-national level, introducing conditional, performance-based grants fromcentral to local administrations for selected infrastructure and services.

    Empowering users, the media and interested members of the public to scrutiniseand influence planning decisions and delivery performance, as is being done underIndIIs PRIM program (Box 5).

    Box 5. Empowering the Public under PRIM: the Role of the Road Traffic & Transport Forum(RTTF)

    Improve governance and transparency

    Address matters of public concern Put pressure on road agency to plan and deliver an effective maintenance program

    Chaired by Governor

    Membership includes heads of provincial public works, police and land transportagencies, representatives of transport operators, a university representative, experts intransport, a NGO representative with a focus on transport and a transport observer.

    PRIM would strengthen RTTF role in handling public compla ints and scrutinising DPUs plansand programs

    PRIMs support to the RTTF:

    Help raise public awareness of road maintenance issues and RTTFs role o SMS messaging, website development, community meetings on plans and projects

    Help review overall works priorities and local