2012-2016 business and management plan
DESCRIPTION
The 2012-2016 Business Plan presentation, with the CEO Maria das Graças Foster and Executive Board members.TRANSCRIPT
2012 – 2016 Business and
Management Plan
June 25, 2012
2
Disclaimer
The presentation may contain forward-looking statements about future events within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are not based on historical facts and are not assurances of future results. Such forward-looking statements merely reflect the Company’s current views and estimates of future economic circumstances, industry conditions,company performance and financial results. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan","project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that these statements are only projectionsand may differ materially from actual future results or events. Readers are referred to the documents filed by the Company with the SEC, specifically the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F, which identify important risk factors that could cause actualresults to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, including, among other things, risks relating to general economic and business conditions, including crude oil and other commodity prices, refining margins and prevailing exchange rates, uncertainties inherent in making estimates of our oil and gas reserves including recently discovered oil and gas reserves, international and Brazilian political, economic and social developments, receipt of governmental approvals and licenses andour ability to obtain financing.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or for any other reason. Figures for 2012 on are estimates or targets.
All forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement, and you should not place reliance on any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation.
NON-SEC COMPLIANT OIL AND GAS RESERVES:
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS
We present certain data in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that we are not permitted to present in documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under new Subpart 1200 to Regulation S-K because such terms do not qualify as proved, probable or possible reserves under Rule 4-10(a) of Regulation S-X.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
“Historically, Petrobras does not reach its production targets...”
Business Plan
Business Plan
3
Oil Production Targets(kbpd)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2003-2007 BP 1,590 1,620 1,820 2,030 2,220
2004-2008 BP 1,550 1,780 1,940 2,140 2,370 2,330 2,300
2006-2010 BP 1,910 2,000 2,100 2,200 2,300
2007-2011 BP 1,979 2,061 2,195 2,368 2,374
2008-2012 BP 1,875 2,050 2,191 2,296 2,374
2009-2013 BP 2,050 2,250 2,430
2010-2014 BP 2,100 2,180
2011-2015 BP 2,100
Actual Production 1,540 1,493 1,684 1,778 1,792 1,855 1,971 2,004 2,022
Deviation from Target (78)
8 Business Plans: Targets Not Accomplished
E&P Planning based on ‘Aggressive Targets’ which proved themselves, year over year, to be unrealistic
4
Strategic Plan 1999, production target for 2005 was 1,850 kbpd
Strategic Plan 2001, production target for 2005 was 1,900 kbpd
In 2005, actual production was 1,684 kbpd due to delays on P-43, P-48 and P-50
“Historically, Petrobras’ projects delay...”
Business Plan
Business Plan
5
6
RNEST construction in the Suape Industrial Complex (Pernambuco)May/12
ApprovalsStart-up Dateof 1st Phase
Total Investment for the Refinery
(US$ billion)
Milestone 0(Sep/05)
Nov/11 2.3
Milestone 1(Dec/06)
Oct/11 4.1
Milestone 2(Nov/09)
Jul/12 13.4
Milestone 3(Mar/12)
Sep/13 17.1
Milestone 4(Jun/12)
Nov/14 20.1 (*)
Example: Abreu e Lima Refinery2 phases of 115 kbpd each
Project Schedule Delays and Cost Increases
1st Phase Milestones and Total
Investment for the Refinery
• Approval System not completed fulfilled
• Failures in physical and financial monitoring
* US$ 3.0 Billion in claims under discussion already included3
year
s of
del
ay
9 tim
es in
itial
cos
t
7
Business Plan
Business Plan“Local Content Policy causes project delays...”
8
Drilling Rigs Built Abroad: Zero Local Content
Drillings Rigs to be delivered in 2012 (Water Depth > 2.000m)1. Pacific Mistral – South Korea (83 days of delay)
2. Schain Amazônia – China (864 days of delay)
3. Ocean Rig Mykonos – South Korea (98 days of delay)
4. Schahin Cerrado – China (112 days of delay)
5. Etesco Takatsugu J – South Korea (147 days of delay)
6. Deepsea Metro II – South Korea (138 days of delay)
7. Ocean Rig Corcovado – South Korea (148 days of delay)
8. ODN Delba III – Emirates (683 days of delay) -> Marlim Sul
9. Schahin Sertão – South Korea (215 days of delay) -> Roncador
10. ODN Tay IV (481 days of delay) -> Ring-fence Albacora
11. Sevan Brasil – China (atraso de 91 dias) -> BM-S-41
12. ODN I – South Korea (344 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
13. ODN II – South Korea (380 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
14. Amaralina Star – South Korea (189 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
Drillings rigs already delivered and under operation Drillings rigs to be delivered soon. Already based in Brazil
Drilling Rigs delivered in 2011: 10 (542 days of delays)
• High Worldwide Demand for Goods and Services
• Brazilian Local Content compliance and execution timelines
will be shown later
9
Business Plan
Business Plan“Petrobras does not practice international parity for oil products...”
10
R$/
bbl
Imported Volum
nskbbl/ d
Gasoline ImportsARP USGC (with volumes sold in Brazil)
R$/
bbl
Long Term Oil Products Pricing Policy in Brazil
Jan-Apr/12
ARP BRAZIL* x ARP USGC **
Diesel ImportsARP Brazil
(*) Comprises Diesel, Gasoline, LPG, Jet Fuel and Fuel Oil (**) USGC price weighted with volumes sold in the Brazilian market
2012: temporary gap between domestic and international prices combined with higher imports.
2009 and 2010: domestic prices were above international.
0
100
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600
700
800
900
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
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2602008 2009 2010 2011
Losses
200720062005200420032002
Gains
jan-
12
jan-
11
jan-
10
jan-
09
jan-
08
jan-
07
jan-
06
jan-
05
jan-
04
jan-
02
jan-
03
ARP: Average Realization PriceUSGC: US Golf Coast
11
Business Plan
Business PlanOur Differential: Discoveries in Brazil represent 63% of
worldwide deepwater discoveries in the last 5 years
Our Differential: Our reserves are located 300 km away from the domestic market
2005
+164%
2010
1991
7.53
1995
2000
13.23
Petrobras: Proven Reserves in Brazil (billion boe)
• Reserve/Production ���� 19.2 years
• Reserves Incorporated in 2011
Total: 1.24 billion boe
Pre-Salt: 1 billion boe
PETROBRAS: Reserve Replacement Ratio > 100% for the 20th consecutive year
BRAZIL: Leadership in New Discoveries in Deep Waters
Brasil
• In the last 5 years, more than 50% of the new discoveries worldwide were made in deep waters. Brazil alone accounts for 63% of these discoveries.
• Projections indicate that as Brazil develops these newly discovered reserves, it will lead non-OPEC supply growth until 2030 (PFC Energy).
2011
Other Discoveries
Deep Waters
33,989 million bblN
ew D
isco
verie
s 20
05-2
010
Brazil
32%
19%
49%
12
15.71
+3%
Southeast Region represents:� 47% of oil product consumption� 62% of power consumption� 65% of natural gas consumption� 55 % of GDP
Our Differential: the value of our reserves300 km away from the market
13
Business Plan
Business Plan
Immediate Management Actions to Improve Results
14
4,910
3,070
2,022
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Production Curve in Brazil – Production of Oil and NGL (kbpd)
First Initiative of the President with the New Executive Board (Feb/12): 2012 Forecasted Annual Oil Production Curve Review
REALISTIC TARGETS
PRAGMATIC VIEW BASED ON STANDARD, REAL PROJECTS
2011-2015 BP
?
REALISM
15
4,910
3,070
2,022
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
First Initiative of the President with the New Executive Board (Feb/12): 2012 Forecasted Annual Oil Production Curve Review
REALISTIC TARGETS
PRAGMATIC VIEW BASED ON STANDARD, REAL PROJECTS
REALISM
What’s the possible realistic production for 2012?
E&P revised projects schedules throughout 3 months
2011-2015 BP
Production Curve in Brazil – Production of Oil and NGL (kbpd)
16
First Initiative of the President with the New Executive Board (Feb/12): 2012 Forecasted Annual Oil Production Curve Review
REALISTIC TARGETS
PRAGMATIC VIEW BASED ON STANDARD, REAL PROJECTS
REALISM
4.910
3.070
2.0222.500
4.200
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
What’s the possible realistic production for 2012?
E&P revised projects schedules throughout 3 months
2011-2015 BP
2012-2016 BP
Up to -1.000 mbpdin some months
Production Curve in Brazil – Production of Oil and NGL (kbpd)
17
-17%-710 kbpd
18
Phase IOpportunity Identification
Phase IIConceptual
Project
Phase IIIBasic Project
Phase IV
Execution
Phase VClosing
Project Beginning and Planning
Entering Petrobras Portfolio
Start-up
EVTE approval Phase I
Conceptual EVTE approval
CAPITAL DISCIPLINE
Basic EVTE* Approval and liberation for
execution
Condition for Contracting
Investments in 2012-2016 BP
Exploration and Production Projects in Brazil:
Projects in Phases I, II and III may have the authorization to anticipate resources when this is shown to accelerate oil production
* Technical and economic feasibility study
Exception only for E&P Brazil
Second Initiative of the President with the New Executive Board: Compliance with the Project Management Approval System
PERFORMANCE
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
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ar-1
4m
ai-1
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l-14
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% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
set-0
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jan-
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ar-1
0m
ai-1
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ar-1
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v-11
jan-
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ar-1
2m
ai-1
2ju
l-12
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v-12
jan-
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ar-1
3m
ai-1
3ju
l-13
set-1
3no
v-13
jan-
14m
ar-1
4m
ai-1
4ju
l-14
set-1
4no
v-14
(US
$ M
ilhõe
s)
Linha de Base Realizado Proje tado
Physical Monitoring: ‘S’ Curve Financial Monitoring: ‘S’ Curve
Monthly Physical Progress Deviation
Term deviation
Entry into Planned Operation
Entry into Projected Operation
Projected Total Cost
Planned Total Cost
Cost Deviation
Critical Projects Measured Monthly by the Board of Directors and Executive Board
Explanations for delays
Base line Preformed Projected Base line Preformed Projected
Critical Projects Measured Monthly by the Board of Directors and Executive Board
Explanations for delays
Authorization for Budget Review
Recovery Plan, when necessary
Third Initiative of the President with the New Executive Board:Manage Projects Effectively
• All 2012-2016 BP projects under implementation and evaluation have an ‘S’ Curve as unique reference of management, planning, control and monitoring at Petrobras•Three new Executive Managers positions created inside the Engineering and E&P areas will be exclusively dedicated to the construction of drilling rigs and production systems
19
Integrated Portfolio Management
Fundamentals of 2012-2016 Business Plan
• ‘S’ Curves
• Management focused in
accomplishing physical and
financial targets of each project
PERFORMANCE
• To ensure expansion with solid financial
indicators
CAPITAL DISCIPLINE • Priority
given to exploration
and production projects of
oil and natural gas in
Brazil
• Realism in production
targets
PRIORITY
2012 2016
20
21
2012-2016 BP Investments: Approved by Petrobras Board of Directors in June 13, 2012
2012-2016 PeriodUS$ 236.5 Billion
*4.5% of investments abroad, 90% in E&P
• Parity with Imported Oil Products Prices
• Maintenance of Investment Grade:
- Leverage lower than 35%
- Net Debt/EBITDA lower than 2.5x
• There is no issuance of new shares
• Divestments of US$ 14.8 Billion, focusing on assets outside Brazil
Financiability Assumptions
28%
Distribution BiofuelRTM G&E PetrochemicalE&P Corporate
60.0%(US$ 141,8 Billion)
27.7%(US$ 65.5 Billion)
1.3%(US$ 3.0 Billion)
1.6%(US$ 3.8 Billion)
1.5%(US$ 3.6 Billion)
2.1%(US$ 5.0 Billion)
5.8%(US$ 13.8 Billion)
E&P
22
Investments during the 2012-2016 Period: Implementation Vs. Evaluation
US$ 208.7 Billion US$ 27.8 BillionUS$ 236.5 Billion
28%
** E&P abroad
RTME&P Petrochemical Distribution Biofuel CorporateG&E
60.0%(US$ 141.8 Billion)
27.7%(US$ 65.5 Billion)
1.3%(US$ 3.0 Billion)
1.6%(US$ 3.8 Billion)
1.5%(US$ 3.6 Billion)
2.1%(US$ 5.0 Billion)
5.8%(US$ 13.8 Billion
24.8%US$ 51.7 Billion
1.4%(US$ 3.0 Billion)
0.9%(US$ 1.9 Billion)
1.7%(US$ 3.5 Billion)
1.8%(US$ 3.7 Billion)
3.7%(US$ 7.8 Billion)
17% (**)(US$ 4.6 Billion)
50%(US$ 13.9 Billion)
21%(US$ 6.0 Billion)
5%(US$ 1.3 Billion)
0%(US$ 0.1 Billion)
7%(US$ 1.9 Billion)
Under Implementation Under Evaluation+=2012-2016 BP All E&P projects in Brazil and projects of the
remaining segments in phase IV*Projects for the remaining segments
currently in phase I, II and III.
833 projects 147 projects980 projects
* Includes budget already designated for projects under evaluation for RTM, G&E, Petrochemical, Distribution, Biofuels and Corporate
65.8%(US$ 137.2 Billion)
Under Evaluation: 147 Projects RTM, G&E, Petrochemical, Distribution and Biofuels
2012-2016 PeriodUS$ 27.8 Billion
* E&P abroad
17% (*)(US$ 4.6 Billion)
50%(US$ 13.9 Billion)
21%(US$ 6.0 Billion)
5%(US$ 1.3 Billion)
7%(US$ 1.9 Billion)
Corporate
Biofuel
Distribution
G&E
Petrochemical
RTM
International E&P
0%(US$ 0.1 Billion)
Change of phase for these projects will depend on:
a. Results of Viability Studies;
b. Resources Availability (Financiability);
c. Competition for financial capacity;
d. Alignment of new refineries costs to international standards;
e. Availability of domestic NG for fertilizer plants and new thermoelectrical units; and
f. Others.
Creativity � Simplicity � Cost ReductionCreativity � Simplicity � Cost Reduction
Composition:Competition for financial capacity
23
24
Program Initiatives for Business 2012-2016 BP
2012-2016 BP
US$ 236.5 Billion
Cost Optimization
Program
Increase of Operational
Efficiency Program in Campos Basin
Local Content Management
Program
Integrated Management of the Company’s Portfolio ����Safety and Environment
Human Resources: Workers engagement with the Plan will be valued
Greater weight given to performance assessment for targets aligned with the 2012-2016 BP
Planned Targets
Directors
Executive Managers
General Managers
Managers and their Teams
25
Biofuel Corporate Distribution G&E International Petrochemical RTME&P0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capacidade de Produção de Etanol no Brasil
2020
Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista), Guarani e Total
Projetos em Obra: Expansão de Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista), Guarani e Total
Projetos em AvaliaçãoFase I: Aquisição de projetos Brownfield
Em Operação
Mil m³ / ano
65,8%(US$ 1 37 ,2 B i )
1,4 %(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9%(US$ 1 ,9 B i )
1 ,7 %(US$ 3,5 B i)
1 ,8 %(US$ 3 ,7 Bi )
3,7 %(US$ 7,8 B i)
2 4,8 %
(US$ 5 1,7 Bi )
17,0% (*)(US$ 4,6 B i)
5 0 ,0 %
(US$ 1 3,9 B i)
2 1,0 %(US$ 6,0 B i)
5 ,0 %(US$ 1 ,3 Bi )
7,0 %
(US$ 1,9 B i)
0 ,0%(US$ 0 ,1 B i )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
4.210
2.460
2.022
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil bpd
Pil oto Lula NE (Cid. Paraty)
Pil oto Sapinhoá(Cid. São Paul o)
Papa-Terra (P-61 e P-63)
Roncador II I (P-55)
Lul a Norte, Sul, Alto, Central
Franco 1 e 2
CariocaBaleia Azul(Cid. Anchieta)
Baúna e Piracaba(Cid. I tajaí)
Sapinhoá Norte (Cid. I lhabel a)
Iracema Sul (Cid. Mangarati ba)
Roncador IV (P-62)
Norte Pq. Baleias (P-58)
Iracema Norte
Aruanã
Iara NW, Horst
F ranco 3
NE Tupi
Júpi ter
Sul de Guará
Carcará
Franco 4 e 5
Espadarte I II
FlorimEntorno de Iara
Maromba
Boni to
Curva de Produção Brasil - Produção de Óleo e LGN
Em operação
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
9.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Capacidade Instalada de Geração de EE no Brasil
Capacidade Instalada = 16 Termelétr icas Próprias (5.158 MW)
11 Participações em Termelétricas (690 MW)
Projetos em Obra: Baixada Fluminense
Projetos em AvaliaçãoFase I: Bahia I e Sudeste VI Fase II: Barra do Rocha I
Em Operação
MW
65,8%(US$ 1 37,2 B i)
1,4%(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9%(US$ 1,9 B i)
1,7%(US$ 3,5 Bi )
1 ,8%(US$ 3,7 B i)
3 ,7%(US$ 7 ,8 Bi )
24,8%(US$ 5 1,7 Bi )
17 ,0% (*)(US$ 4 ,6 Bi )
5 0 ,0 %(US$ 13,9 B i)
2 1,0 %(US$ 6,0 Bi )
5 ,0%(US$ 1 ,3 B i )
7,0 %(US$ 1 ,9 Bi )
0 ,0%(US$ 0 ,1 B i )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
262
462
236
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Nigéria – Egina
Em Produção
Em ImplantaçãoEm Aval iação
Peru Lotes 57 e 58Argentina – Parva Negra
Angola –Ogonga
Tanzania– Bloco 5
Mil boe/dia
Curva de Produção Internacional - Produção de Óleo e Gás Natural
65,8%(US$ 1 37 ,2 Bi)
1,4 %(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9 %
(US$ 1,9 Bi )
1 ,7 %(US$ 3,5 Bi )
1,8 %
(US$ 3,7 Bi )
3 ,7 %
(US$ 7,8 Bi )
2 4 ,8%(US$ 51 ,7 Bi )
17,0% (*)(US$ 4 ,6 Bi)
50 ,0 %(US$ 1 3,9 Bi )
2 1 ,0%
(US$ 6 ,0 Bi)
5 ,0 %
(US$ 1 ,3 Bi)
7,0 %
(US$ 1,9 Bi )
0 ,0%
(US$ 0 ,1 Bi )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
Mercado de DerivadosMercado de Derivados
Kbpd
2011 2016
901 1.142
8481.011
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000 2.758
51293
2.302
46885
Gasolina DestiladosÓleo Combustível e BunkerOutros
Mercado de DerivadosMercado de Derivados
Kbpd
2011 2016
901 1.142
8481.011
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000 2.758
51293
2.302
46885
Gasolina DestiladosÓleo Combustível e BunkerOutros
Plano de Negócios 2012-2016
US$ 236,5 bilhões = US$ 208,7 + 27,8 bilhões
Programa deOtimização de
Custos
Programa de Aumento daEficiência
Operacional da Bacia de Campus
Programa de Gestão de
Conteúdo Local
Gestão Integrada do Portifólio da Companhia e não mais por somatório dos projetos por Área de Negócio
Results
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capacidade de Produção de Etanol no Brasil
2020
Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista), Guarani e Total
Projetos em Obra: Expansão de Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista) , Guarani e Total
Projetos em AvaliaçãoFase I: Aquis ição de projetos Brow nfield
Em Operação
Mil m³ / ano
6 5,8 %(US$ 1 37 ,2 Bi )
1,4 %(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9%(US$ 1 ,9 Bi )
1 ,7 %(US$ 3,5 Bi)
1 ,8 %(US$ 3 ,7 Bi )
3,7 %(US$ 7,8 Bi)
2 4,8 %
(US$ 5 1,7 Bi )
1 7,0 % (*)(US$ 4,6 Bi)
5 0 ,0 %
(US$ 1 3,9 Bi)
2 1,0 %(US$ 6,0 Bi)
5 ,0 %(US$ 1 ,3 Bi )
7,0 %
(US$ 1,9 Bi)
0 ,0%(US$ 0 ,1 Bi )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
4.210
2.460
2.022
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Mil bpd
Pil oto Lula NE (Cid. Paraty)
Pil oto Sapinhoá(Cid. São Paul o)
Papa-Terra (P-61 e P-63)
Roncador II I (P-55)
Lul a Norte, Sul, Alto, Central
Franco 1 e 2
CariocaBaleia Azul(Cid. Anchieta)
Baúna e Piracaba(Cid. I tajaí)
Sapinhoá Norte (Cid. I lhabel a)
Iracema Sul (Cid. Mangarati ba)
Roncador IV (P-62)
Norte Pq. Baleias (P-58)
Iracema Norte
Aruanã
Iara NW, Horst
F ranco 3
NE Tupi
Júpi ter
Sul de Guará
Carcará
Franco 4 e 5
Espadarte I II
FlorimEntorno de Iara
Maromba
Boni to
Curva de Produção Brasil - Produção de Óleo e LGN
Em operação
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
9.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Capacidade Instalada de Geração de EE no Brasil
Capacidade Instalada = 16 Termelétr icas Próprias (5.158 MW)
11 Participações em Termelétricas (690 MW)
Projetos em Obra: Baixada F luminense
Projetos em AvaliaçãoFase I: Bahia I e Sudeste VI Fase II: Barra do Rocha I
Em Operação
MW
6 5,8 %(US$ 1 37,2 B i)
1,4 %(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9 %(US$ 1,9 B i)
1,7 %(US$ 3,5 Bi )
1 ,8%(US$ 3,7 B i)
3 ,7%(US$ 7 ,8 Bi )
2 4,8 %(US$ 5 1,7 Bi )
17 ,0% (*)(US$ 4 ,6 Bi )
5 0 ,0 %(US$ 13,9 Bi)
2 1,0 %(US$ 6,0 Bi )
5 ,0%(US$ 1 ,3 Bi )
7,0 %(US$ 1 ,9 Bi )
0 ,0%(US$ 0 ,1 Bi )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
262
462
236
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Nigéria – Egina
Em Produção
Em ImplantaçãoEm Aval iação
Peru Lotes 57 e 58Argentina – Parva Negra
Angola –Ogonga
Tanzania– Bloco 5
Mil boe/dia
Curva de Produção Internacional - Produção de Óleo e Gás Natural
6 5 ,8 %
(US$ 1 37 ,2 Bi)
1,4 %(US$ 3,0 Bi )
0 ,9 %
(US$ 1,9 Bi )
1 ,7 %(US$ 3,5 Bi )
1,8 %
(US$ 3,7 Bi )
3 ,7 %
(US$ 7,8 Bi )
2 4 ,8%(US$ 51 ,7 Bi )
1 7 ,0 % (*)(US$ 4 ,6 Bi)
50 ,0 %(US$ 1 3,9 Bi )
2 1 ,0%
(US$ 6 ,0 Bi)
5 ,0 %
(US$ 1 ,3 Bi)
7,0 %
(US$ 1,9 Bi )
0 ,0%
(US$ 0 ,1 Bi )
US$ 27,8 biEm Avaliação
US$ 208,7 biEm Implantação
Mercado de DerivadosMercado de Derivados
Kbpd
2011 2016
901 1.142
8481.011
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000 2.758
51293
2.302
46885
Gasolina DestiladosÓleo Combustível e BunkerOutros
Mercado de DerivadosMercado de Derivados
Kbpd
2011 2016
901 1.142
8481.011
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000 2.758
51293
2.302
46885
Gasolina DestiladosÓleo Combustível e BunkerOutros
Plano de Negócios 2012-2016
US$ 236,5 bilhões = US$ 208,7 + 27,8 bilhões
Programa deOtimização de
Custos
Programa de Aumento daEficiência
Operacional da Bacia de Campus
Programa de Gestão de
Conteúdo Local
Gestão Integrada do Portifólio da Companhia e não mais por somatório dos projetos por Área de Negócio
Biofuel Corporate Distribution Gas and Energy International Petrochemical RTME&P
2012-2016 BP
69%(US$ 89,9 Bi)
19%(US$ 25,4 Bi)
12%(US$ 16,3 Bi)
Infrastructure and Support
Exploration
Production Development
2012-2016 PeriodUS$ 131.6 billion*
Exploration & Production
26
* Not including International E&P investments
27
2012-2016 Period
E&P Investments
ExplorationUS$ 25.4 Billion
Production DevelopmentUS$ 89.9 Billion
8%(2)
69%(17.5)
24%(6)
Transfer of Rights
Post-Salt
Pre-Salt49%(43.7)
34%(30.2)
18%(16.3)
Besides Exploration and Production Development, E&P investments in infrastructure total US$ 16.3 billion
28
Gestão Integrada do Portfólio da Companhia e não mais por somatório dos projetos por Área de
Negócio
Prioridade para os
projetos de exploração e produção de óleo e gás natural no
Brasil
FOCO: Realismo
2012 2016
MAIN CAUSES OF DEVIATION
Projects with New Production Units (36%)a. Optimistic schedule b. Optimistic production curvesc. Delay in the arrival of imported new rigsd. Optimistic timing for well construction and interconnection
(unrealistic ramp ups)
Projects for Existing Production Units (20%)a. Optimistic timing for well construction and interconnection
Projects in Operation (23%)a. Efficiency decrease in some Campos Basin production
Assets (Campos Basin Operational Unit) b. Adjustment of the production potential for some producing
fields
New Discoveries (21%)a. Postponements due to low maturity level
Realism: New Projection for Oil Production in Brazil
Domestic Oil Curve – Production of Oil and LNG
2011-2015 BP(9.2% p.y.)
-17%-710 kbpd
2014-2016(4 - 6% p.y.)
2012-2013(+/– 2%)
Up to -1.000 mbpdin some months
Production Curve in Brazil – Post-Salt, Pre-Salt and Transfer of Rights
Pre-Salt (Concession)
5%
Post-Salt
95%
Transfer of Rights
1%Pre-Salt (Concession)
30%
Post-Salt69%
New Discoveries (*)
12%Transfer of Rights
19%
Pre-Salt (Concession)
28%
Post- Salt42%
Thousands bpd
Norte Pq. Baleias (P-58)
Roncador IV (P-62)
Sapinhoá Norte (Cid. Ilhabela)
Iracema Sul(Cid. Mangaratiba)
Lula Alto
Lula Central
Lula Sul
Franco 1
Carioca 1
Lula Norte
Franco 2
Baleia Azul(Cid. Anchieta)
Baúna e Piracaba(Cid. Itajaí)
Piloto Sapinhoá(Cid. São Paulo)
Piloto Lula NE (Cid. Paraty)
Papa-Terra (P-61 e P-63)
Roncador III (P-55)
IracemaNorte
Lula Ext. Sul
Iara Horst
NE Tupi
Carimbé
Aruanã
Iara NW
Franco 3
Franco 4
Sul de Guará
Júpiter
Carcará
Sul Pq. Baleias
Franco 5
Espadarte I
Espadarte III
FlorimMaromba
Bonito
Entorno de Iara
Production Curve in Brazil – Oil and LNG Production
20112,022 kbpd
20162,500 kbpd
20204,200 kbpd
Production Units19 up to 2016
38 up to 2020
29(*) Includes new opportunities in blocks where discoveries have already been found
4242424140
26
16
875
Drilling Rigs Availability: Delivery DelaysDrilling rigs delivered to Petrobras in 2011 and 2012 were constructed outside Brazil
Imported Drilling Rigs: ZERO Local Content
Drilling rigs estimates for 2011: 16Drilling rigs delivered in 2011: 10 (542 days of delay) +1 +1
20142013
+1+2
2012
+8 +10
201120082007 2010
+14
2009Num
ber o
f Dril
ling
Rig
s (W
ater
Dep
th >
2.0
00m
)
Drillings Rigs to be delivered in 20121. Pacific Mistral – South Korea (83 days of delay)
2. Schain Amazônia – China (864 days of delay)
3. Ocean Rig Mykonos – South Korea (98 days of delay)
4. Schahin Cerrado – China (112 days of delay)
5. Etesco Takatsugu J – South Korea (147 days of delay)
6. Deepsea Metro II – South Korea (138 days of delay)
7. Ocean Rig Corcovado – South Korea (148 days of delay)
8. ODN Delba III – Emirates (683 days of delay) -> Marlim Sul
9. Schahin Sertão – South Korea (215 days of delay) -> Roncador
10. ODN Tay IV (481 days of delay) -> Ring-fence Albacora
11. Sevan Brasil – China (atraso de 91 dias) -> BM-S-41
12. ODN I – South Korea (344 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
13. ODN II – South Korea (380 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
14. Amaralina Star – South Korea (189 days of delay) -> Transfer of Rights
Drillings rigs already delivered and under operation Drillings rigs to be delivered soon. Already based in Brazil
2015 2016
Drillings to be a contracted
30
Drilling Rigs Availability: Meeting the mid/long term demandDrilling rigs delivered to Petrobras from 2016 on will be constructed in Brazil
7 Drillings Rigs from Sete Brasil (EAS Shipyard)• Contracts already signed• Technological partnership under negotiation (conclusion in Jul/12)
21 Drillings Rigs from Sete Brasil• Bidding concluded• Auditing services in progress on construction sites for upcoming contracts
• Estimates for approval of contracts: Jul/12, Aug/12 and Sep/12
5 Drillings Rigs from Ocean Rig• Under negotiation between Ocean Rig and Shipyard
• The shipyards provide monthly to Sete Brazil the physical and financial ‘S’ Curves of each unit to be constructed
• PETROBRAS ENGINEERING renders services of supervision of execution of constructions to Sete Brasil
• E&P/PGSU (Drilling Rigs and Production Units Investment Program )
• management of charter contracts along with SeteBrasil
• monitoring of construction progress• evaluation of ‘S’ curves feasibility• employ necessary actions to ensure the goals according to the Business Plan
33 new domestic drilling rigs from 2016 on: Local Content between 55% and 65%
Num
ber o
f Dril
ling
Rig
s (W
ater
Dep
th >
2.0
00m
)
+8
2018
+6+2
2020201920172012
+9
2016
CONTRACTING STRATEGY MONITORING
31
Baleia Azul Project: Development of pre-salt fields of Baleia Azul, Jubarte and Pirambu, through the drilling, completion and subsea interconnection of 10 wells. Construction and installation of FPSO Anchieta chartered
from SBM, transporting gas through South-North Capixaba pipeline.
Baleia Azul Project: 1st Oil in August/12FPSO Cid. Anchieta: 100 kbpd
Cid. Anchieta FPSO in Keppel Shipyard in Singapore - Mar/2012
LOCAL CONTENTANP Commitment : 0%Target: 44%
Production peak: Mar/13
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 77.9%Accomplished: 71.6%
32
Physical Monitoring S Curve: Baleia Azul - Stationary FPSO Anchieta Production Unit
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
fev-
10
mar
-10
abr-
10
mai
-10
jun-
10
jul-1
0
ago-
10
set-1
0
out-1
0
nov-
10
dez-
10
jan-
11
fev-
11
mar
-11
abr-
11
mai
-11
jun-
11
jul-1
1
ago-
11
set-1
1
out-1
1
nov-
11
dez-
11
jan-
12
fev-
12
mar
-12
abr-
12
mai
-12
jun-
12
jul-1
2
ago-
12
% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
Exp 2: There is no deviation in the accrued physical accomplishment.
2012
IMPLEMENTATION LANDMARKS
Projected Operational Start-Up: Aug/12
Planned Operational Start-Up: Jul/12
1
3
54
Production Unit: Construction and integration monitoring of a chartered FPSO Anchieta, with a processing capacity of 100 kbpd of oil and 3.5 million m3/d of natural gas.
2
Exp 1: One-month delay in operational start-up due to delays in the FPSO adaptation and demobilization from the Espadarte field.
Exp 1Exp 2:
Accrued through April 30, 2012:
Forecast: 95.3%
Accomplished: 98.4%
Baseline Accomplished Forecast
% A
ccru
ed
33
1 - Beginning of FPSO adaptation constructions in Singapore (Aug/11)2 - Conclusion of the FPSO’s mechanical completion (May/12)3 – FPSO sail away to Brazil (May/12)4 –FPSO arrival in Brazil (Jul/12)5 - FPSO mooring (Aug/12)
Exp 1: There is no term deviation. Exp 2: Delay in physical accomplishment through April 30th, 2012 due to the rescheduling of the well campaign and delays in the pre-launch flexible pipeline campaign.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
ago-1
0se
t-10
out-1
0no
v-10
dez-1
0jan
-11fev
-11mar-
11ab
r-11
mai-11
jun-11 jul-11
ago-1
1se
t-11
out-1
1no
v-11
dez-1
1jan
-12fev
-12mar-
12ab
r-12
mai-12
jun-12 jul-12
ago-1
2se
t-12
out-1
2no
v-12
dez-1
2jan
-13fev
-13mar-
13
% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
1 - Conclusion of 1st production well completion (Feb/12)
2 - Conclusion of torpedo anchor installation (Mar/12)
3 - Conclusion of pre-launch of the 1st production well lines (Apr/12)
4 - Interconnection of the Sul-Norte Capixaba gas pipeline (Sep/12)
12
3
4
Wells and Interconnections: Drilling, completion and subsea interconnection of 7 production wells and 3 injection wells. Gas flow through Sul-Norte Capixaba pipeline.
IMPLEMENTATION LANDMARKS
Exp 2:
Well Campaign
Total wells: 10
Drilled: 8
To be drilled:
Jul/12: 1
Oct/12: 1Accrued through April 30, 2012:
Forecast: 69.4%
Accomplished: 59.7%
Physical Monitoring ‘S’ Curve: Baleia Azul – Wells and Interconnections
Baseline Accomplished Forecast
% A
ccru
ed
34
2012
1º oil: Aug/12
Baúna and Piracaba Project: Development of the Baúna (Tiro prospect) and Piracaba (Sídon prospect) fields. Drilling, completion and interconnection of 11 subsea wells. Construction and installation of an FPSO (Cidade de Itajaí)
chartered from OOG-TK (Odebrecht and Teekay), with a processing capacity of 80 kbpd of oil and 2 MM m3/d of gas to operate both fields.
Baúna and Piracaba Project: 1st Oil on October 2012Itajaí FPSO: 80 kbpd
FPSO Cidade de Itajaí at Jurong Shipyard in Singapore – Mar/2012
Production peak: Jan/14
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 60%Target: 81%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 48.5%Accomplished: 38.7%
35
Roncador Project Module III – 1st Oil on September/13SS P-55: 180 kbpd
Roncador Project /Module III: Implementation of Module III of the Roncador field (Post-salt), (100% Petrobras) through drilling and completion of 17 wells, collection and injection systems, construction and installation of a production unit (P-55) and installation of 2 oil pipelines and 1 gas pipeline underwater.
P-55 hull at the Rio Grande Naval hub, Brazil – May/2012
Production Peak: Apr/15
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 0%Target: 65%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 72.9%Accomplished: 46.5%
36
Sapinhoá Pilot Project: Drilling and completion of 13 wells and interconnection of 15 wells to an FPSO chartered to Schahin/Modec with a production capacity of 120 kbpd of oil and 5 MM m3/d of gas
Sapinhoá Pilot Project: 1st Oil on January 2013FPSO Cidade de São Paulo: 120 kbpd
FPSO Cidade de São Paulo at Brasfels Shipyard in Brazil – Feb/2012
Production peak: May/14
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 30%Target: 50%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 31.1%Accomplished: 30.6%
37
Lula NE Pilot Project – 1st Oil on May 2013FPSO Cidade de Paraty: 120 kbpd
Lula NE Pilot Project: Development of the northeastern section of the Lula field. Drilling and completion of 14 wells and interconnection of 15 wells to the FPSO Cidade de Paraty chartered from QGOG/SBM and construction of a 20 km gas pipeline to the Caraguatatuba Gas Treatment Unit.
FPSO Cidade de Paraty at Keppel Shipyard in Singapore – Mar/2012
Production peak: Feb/15
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment : 30%Target: 30%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 30.0%Accomplished: 22.9%
38
Papa-Terra Project: Development of Papa-Terra field through drilling and completion of 30 producers and injectors wells interconnected to P-61 - TLWP (Tension Leg Wellhead Platform) and to P-63 FPSO with the capacity of 140 kbpdof oil and 1 MM m³/day of gas
Conversion of P-63 hull at Cosco shipyard, China – Feb/2012
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 0%Target: 65%
Papa-Terra Project : 1st Oil of P-63 on July/13FPSO P-63: 140 kbpd
Production peak: Oct/16
46
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 65.3%Accomplished: 52.1%
Papa-Terra Project: 1st Oil of P-61 on October/13FPSO P-61: 140 kbpd
Papa-Terra Project : Development of Papa-Terra field through drilling and completion of 30 producers and injectors wells interconnected to P-61 - TLWP (Tension Leg Wellhead Platform) and to P-63 FPSO with the capacity of 140 kbpdof oil and 1 MM m³/day of gas
Topside of P-61 at Keppel Fels shipyard, Singapore – Feb/2012
Production peak: Oct/16
LOCAL INFORMATIONANP commitment: 0%Target: 65%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 65.3%Accomplished: 52.1%
40
Parque das Baleias Project: Development of Baleia Branca field (Pre and Post-Salt), Cachalote (Post-Salt), Jubarte(Pre-Salt), Baleia Azul (Pre-Salt), and Baleia Anã (Post-Salt) through the drilling, completion, and interconnection of 24 wells. Construction and installation of a production unit, type FPSO (P-58), owned, in Water Depth of 1,399 m with
a processing capacity of 180 kbpd of oil and 6 MM m³/day of gas
Hull Conversion of P-58 at the Rio Grande shipyard in Brazil - Mar/2012
Parque das Baleias Project: 1st Oil on January/14FPSO P-58: 180 kbpd
Production peak: Jan/15
LOCAL CONTENTANP Commitment: 0%Target: 58%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 41.7%Accomplished: 34.1%
41
Berthing of the P-62: Atlântico Sul Shipyard in Brazil - Jan/2012
Roncador Project Module IV: Develop ment of the production of Module 4 of the Roncador field through the drilling and completion of 17 wells, collection system and injection, construction and installation of a
production unit (FPSO P-62) and installation of a subsea gas and oil pipelines
Roncador Project Module IV - 1st Oil on March/14FPSO P-62: 180 kbpd
Production peak: Jun/15
LOCAL CONTENTANP Commitment: 0%Target: 65%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 61.9%Accomplished: 37.4%
42
CORPORATE
Sapinhoá Norte Project: 1st Oil on September/14 FPSO Cidade de Ilhabela: 150 kbpd
Sapinhoá Norte Project: Drilling, completion, and interconnection of 15 wells (8 producers and 7 injectors) and the installation of a chartered production unit (Cidade de Ilhabela) with a processing capacity of 150 kbpd and compression
of 6 MM m³/day of gas.
Production peak: Mar/16
Hull of the Mangaratiba FPSO at the CSCC shipyard in China - May/2012
LOCAL CONTENTANP Commitment: 30%Target: 47%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 2.9%Accomplished: 0.2%
43
CORPORATE
Lula Project - Iracema Sul: 1st Oil on November/14 Cidade de Mangaratiba FPSO: 150 kbpd
Complete Project: Construction and interconnection of 15 wells (Big Bore-type), of which 8 producers and 7 injectors and installation of a chartered production unit with a processing capacity of 150 kbpd and compression of 8MM m³/day of gas
Production Peak: Feb/16
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 30%Target: 47%
FPSO Mangaratiba hull at the Cosco shipyard, China – May/2012
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 5.1%Accomplished: 4.3%
44
Exploration Investments in Brazil:Focus on New Frontiers
Pre-salt24%(6.0)
69%(17.5)
Transfer of Rights
Post-salt
8%(2.0)
Investments focused on New Frontiers (Equatorial Margin and East Margin), to ensure a continued R/P ratio higher than 15 years, and on the consolidation and appraisal the Pre-salt and Transfer of rights areas
Con
solid
atio
n an
d A
ppra
isal
New
Frontiers
Finding Cost (US$ / boe)
Petrobras Costs Lower than the Majors
Majors (2007-2011): US$ 3.2 to 4.5 / boe
EquatorialMargin
East Margin
1.56Concession Areas
March, 2012
PetrobrasOther Companies
45
2012-2016 BP
US$ 236.5 Billion
Cost Optimization
Program
Increase of Operational
Efficiency Program in Campos Basin
Local ContentManagement
Program
Integrated Management of Company Portfolio ���� Safety and Environment
Structuring Programs for 2012-2016 BP
46
2012-2016 BP
US$ 236.5 Billion
Cost Optimization
Program
Increase of Operational
Efficiency Program in Campos Basin
Local ContentManagement
Program
Integrated Management of Company Portfolio ���� Safety and Environment
Structuring Programs for 2012-2016 BP
47
Operational Cost Optimization Program
Program objectivesProgram objectivesIdentify opportunities for cost reduction with significant and lasting impact in two views:
production assets (e.g. platforms, refineries and power plants) and lines of cost (e.g. stocks of materials and fuel, logistics and maintenance management ).
General view:Focus areas and potential
reductionDetailing and quantification ConsolidationIIII II
8 weeks(June-July)
16 weeks(August-November)
4 weeks(December)
• Structuring• Scope Definition• Initial evaluation of opportunities
• Definition of the Portfolio of initiatives • Implementation Plan (initiatives, responsibilities, milestones, targets and impacts)• Communication
Motivation:Motivation: Expenses subjects to management approval account for 30% of Petrobras annual disbursements.- Manageable costs reached US$ 32 billion in 2011, equal to our operational cash flow (US$ 33 billion) and 33% higher than the funds raised in that year (US$ 24 billion)
Program Schedule Program Schedule –– 2012 Action Plan2012 Action Plan
48
Primary Initiatives for the 2012-2016 BP
2012-2016 BP
US$ 236.5 Billion
Cost Optimization
Program
Local Content Management
Program
Integrated Portfolio Management ���� Safety and Environment
Increase of Operational
Efficiency Program in Campos Basin
49
88
80
71 72
94 95 94 93
86879092
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
E&P: Operational Efficiency
1Q2012201120102009
Operational Efficiency – UO-BC
Operational Efficiency – without UO-BC
%
Operational Efficiency – E&P
HC Fields/PAD
UO_BC Assets
Transfer of Rights
50
Improve Campos Basin Operational Unit efficiency levels
Increase the oil curve delivery reliability, provided
in 2012-2016 BP
PROEF Objectives
Operational efficiency targets for
Campos Basin Unit
(%)
Improve production systems integrity
89 88
80
7174
76
81
88 90
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Campos Basin Operational Efficiency
Executed PROEF targets
Petrobras is implementing the PROEF in the E&P activities of Campos Basin PROEF: ‘Operational Efficiency Improvement Program’
51
PROEF: Initiatives to Recover Operational Efficiency
PROEFStructure
15 initiatives in wells, subsea systems and platforms…
... focusing on both short term efficiency increase (2012-13), through specific and supportive initiatives
... And ensuring long term performance (after 2013), through structuring
initiatives
Campaign to workover wells with incrustation
Increase availability of critical resources to producing units
Examples
Simplification and standardization of equipments
Substitution of Production Systems and revitalization projects
Examples
Resources and
Estimated NPV
PROEF Disbursements:• Well workovers, subsea systems and platforms intervention through
maintenance units: US$ 5.1 Bi (2012-16)
PROEF Estimated NPV:• US$ 1.6 Bn - US$ 3.3 Bn
52 52
2012-2016 BP
US$ 236.5 Billion
Cost Optimization
Program
Increase of Operational
Efficiency Program in Campos Basin
Local Content Management
Program
Integrated Portfolio Management ���� Safety and Environment
Primary Initiatives for the 2012-2016 BP
53
Local Content Measurement and Monitoring Program
ObjectiveObjectiveMaximize the use of the Brazilian equipment and services industry capacity for 2012-2016 BP procurement demands, with schedules and costs aligned with best market practices
Minimum Local Content Planning of 2012 – 2016 BP
projectsLocal Content Monitoring Local Content MeasurementIIII II
• Information on Industry Capacity• Identification of imported goods and services• Identification of items for nationalization
• Implementation of Local Content Indicators• Monitoring of local content in projects• Actions for recovering occasional deviations in schedule and costs
• Preparation of Execution Reports of Local Content per project (forecast x executed)• Updating data base for future projects
Motivation:Motivation: Higher efficiency in maintenance and post-sales services, access to suppliers, logistics cost optimization, reduction on transportation and delivery time.
ActionAction PlanPlan
54
Long history of technological and operational efficiency inDeep waters
Global Offshore Projects
Petrobras: Dominant position in the global offshore industry
Source: PFC Energy Service Sector team, Jun/2012
Note: Includes offshore projects in conceptual phase, FEED, under bidding or under construction
• An increase in global
offshore capacity is
necessary to meet
Petrobras’ demands
• Constructions in Brazil:
scale gains and
standardizationOTHERS
Others
55
56
Local ContentOffshore Companies building capacity in Brazil
Products Projects in Brazil
Subsea Pipelines
• NKT Flexibles• New flexible pipe plant in Brazil in 2013.
• Technip• Installation of new plant.
• Wellstream• Current plant expansion in 2013 (60% capacity increase).
• Prysmian• Plant expansion to produce flexible pipes.
• Butting• Construction of a new plant for the production of line pipes.
Umbilicals
• Duco and Nexans• Ongoing discussions to establish new plants in Brazil.
• Oceaneering (MSD) • Current manufacturing capacity will double by early 2013.
• MFX • 80% expansion in manufacturing capacity by 2013.
Subsea Equipment
• Aker• Increase of manufacturing capacity.
• FMC• Increase of manufacturing capacity and construction of a technology center.
• GE• Expansion of the Jandira Plant and the construction of a new unit.
• Cameron• Industrial Expansion. 56
Products Projects in Brazil
Turbomachines
•. Rolls-Royce• Construction of new plant in Santa Cruz (Turbogenerators).
• Dresser-Rand• Construction of new unit in Santa Bárbara do Oeste(Turbocompressors).
Offshore cranes• MEP Pellegrini
• Working through partnerships, ongoing discussions to establish new plant in Brazil.
Drill pipes• V&M do Brasil
• Adapting current units to manufacture pipes.
CRA Tubing• V&M do Brasil
• Capacity to produce high corrosion-resistant alloys
High diameter pipes• USIMINAS
• Current units under qualification.
Offshore steel structures
• Metasa• Industrial expansion.
Automation• Emerson
• Industrial expansion to assemble equipments in Brazil.
57
Local ContentOffshore Companies building capacity in Brazil
57
Construction of research centers in Brazil
50 Thematic Networks
At the UFRJ technological complex, 9 P&D centers of important equipment and services suppliers are already in construction/operation:
Other Companies with development plans for technological centers in Brazil:
• Weatherford
• Wellstream
• FMC Technologies
• Usiminas
• TenarisConfab
• Schlumberger
• Baker Hughes
• Halliburton
• General Electric
• Vallourec & Mannesman
• Cameron• IBM• Technip
Source: E&P-CORP, May 25/2012 and CENPES, May 28/2012.
Petrobras partnerships with more than 120 universities and research centers have led Brazil to have a prominent worldwide applied research complex
CENPES expansion (Mar/2012)
58
Replicant FPSO (150 kbpd) – First Oil in Lula Alto - Jan/20168 FPSOs to be used as production units on pre-salt projects in the BMS-9 and BMS-11 blocks:Construction of the hulls and procurement of critical equipments – OKConstruction of the modules and integration of the production units – contracts to be signed by Jul/12
Replicant FPSO – Construction of the hull blocks at Rio Grande Shipyard – ECOVIX - Mar/12
LOCAL CONTENTANP commitment: 30%Target: 73%Integration + Package I
8x
Hull - ok
Critical Eqps Modules Packages
II+V III IVok
Critical Equipments:- Cranes - MEP- Turbogenerators – ROLLS ROYCE- Compressors – DRESSER- Printed circuit heat exchangers - MEGGIT- CO2 removal – UOP- Burner System - HAMWORTH
59
60
InternationalUnder Implementation + Under Evaluation
US$ 10.7 billion
90%(9.7)
Corporate
Distribution
Petrochemical
RTM
G&E
E&P
1%(0.1)
4%(0.4)2%
(0.2)
1%(0.1)
2%(0.2)
International – 2012-2016 Investments
Projects under implementationUS$ 6.0 billion
Projects under evaluation: US$ 4.7 billion
� Self-funded projects
� Positive cash flow to Petrobras
� Investments in high-return projects
� Complementarily with business in
Brazil
� 85% of the investments in E&P
projects
2012-2016 HIGHLIGHTS7%(0.4)
85%(5.1)
Corporate
E&P
G&E
RTM Distribution
Petrochemical
2%(0.1)
4%(0.2)
1%(0.1)
1%(0.1)
61
97%(US$ 4,6 Bi)
3%(US$ 0,1 Bi)
International: Oil and Natural Gas Production Profile
International Production Curve – Oil and Natural Gas Production
US$ 4.7 biUnder
evaluation
US$ 6 biUnder
implementation
85%(US$ 5,1 Bi)
1%(US$ 0,1 Bi)
2%(US$ 0,1 Bi)
4%(US$ 0,2 Bi)
1%(US$ 0,1 Bi)
7%(US$ 0,4 Bi)
62
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Projects under Implementation
Projects under Evaluation
Exploratory Projects
Kboe/d
230
168
236262
462
63
Gas & Energy
12%(1.6)
17%(2.3)
4%(0.5)
42%(5.7)
11%(1.5)
14%(1.9)
Other
Maintenance
Expansion – Gas Chemical
Expansion – Regasification
Expansion – Natural Gas Logistics
Expansion – Electric Energy Generation
Projects Under Implementation + Under EvaluationUS$ 13.5 Billion
� Conversion of Natural Gas into fertilizers and
other gas chemical products (UFN III)
� Natural Gas: expansion of processing and
transportation capacity
� Maintenance of industrial complex:
thermoelectric, fertilizer plants, natural gas
processing units, etc
� Energy Generation
� New LNG regasification terminal
HIGHLIGHTS 2012-2016
Gas & Energy - Investments - Business Plan 2012-2016
6%(0.5)
20%(1.5)
32%(2.5)
7%(0.6)
24%(1.9)
10%(0.7)
Projects Under ImplementationUS$ 7.7 Billion
Projects Under Evaluation: US$ 5.9 billion
Other
Expansion – Electric Energy Generation
Expansion – Natural Gas Logistics
Maintenance
Expansion – LNG Regasification
Expansion – Gas Chemical
64
G&E: Installed Capacity of Electric Power Generation using Natural Gas
Em operação
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
9.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Installed Capacity of Electric Power Generation using Natural Gas in Brazil
Projects under implementation: Baixada Fluminense
Projects under EvaluationPhase I: Bahia II and Sudeste VI Phase II: Barra do Rocha I
Current Operations
MW
US$ 5.9 BiUnder
Evaluation
US$ 7.7 BiUnder Implementation
32%(US$ 2,5 Bi)
24%(US$ 1,9 Bi)
20%(US$ 1,5 Bi)
6%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
10%(US$ 0,7 Bi)
7%(US$ 0,6 Bi)
8%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
54%(US$ 3,2 Bi)
15%(US$ 0,9 Bi)
23%(US$ 1,3 Bi)
Installed Capacity = 16 Own Thermoelectric (5,158 MW)
Stakes in 11 Thermoelectric (690 MW)
65
Baixada Fluminense TP Plant: Construction of the Thermoelectric Power Plant Baixada Fluminense with an installed capacity of 530 MW. This plant will supply the National Interconnected System (SIN) selling a total of 344 MW from
beginning in Mar/14 and 430 MW beginning in Nov/14. The installation will consist of 2 gas turbine generators, 2 heat exchangers, and 1 steam turbine, combined cycle.
Thermoelectric Power Plant Baixada Fluminense : Start-up November/14
Construction of TE Power Plant Baixada Fluminense - Jun/2012
LOCAL CONTENT: 61%(Goods: 31%; Services: 96%)
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast: 6,1%Accomplished: 5,6%
66
Physical Monitoring ‘S’ Curve: TP Plant Baixada Fluminense
Exp 2: No accumulated deviation of physical
Construction of the Baixada Fluminense Thermal Power Plant with an installed capacity of 530 MW consisting of 2 gas turbine generators, 2 heat exchangers, and 1 steam turbine, combined cycle.
Exp 1: No deviation from schedule
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
jan-
10fe
v-10
mar
-10
abr-
10m
ai-1
0ju
n-10
jul-1
0ag
o-10
set-1
0ou
t-10
nov-
10de
z-10
jan-
11fe
v-11
mar
-11
abr-
11m
ai-1
1ju
n-11
jul-1
1ag
o-11
set-1
1ou
t-11
nov-
11de
z-11
jan-
12fe
v-12
mar
-12
abr-
12m
ai-1
2ju
n-12
jul-1
2ag
o-12
set-1
2ou
t-12
nov-
12de
z-12
jan-
13fe
v-13
mar
-13
abr-
13m
ai-1
3ju
n-13
jul-1
3ag
o-13
set-1
3ou
t-13
nov-
13de
z-13
jan-
14fe
v-14
mar
-14
abr-
14m
ai-1
4ju
n-14
jul-1
4ag
o-14
set-1
4ou
t-14
nov-
14de
z-14
jan-
15fe
v-15
mar
-15
abr-
15m
ai-1
5ju
n-15
jul-1
5ag
o-15
set-1
5ou
t-15
nov-
15de
z-15
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
1 - Start-up construction of the building site (Jan/12) 2 - Approval of supplies map (Feb/12)3 - Conclusion of basic proj. (Mar/12)4 - First stake UTE (Mar/12)5 - First stake SE/LT (Apr/12)6 - First stake of electrical building (Apr/12)7 - Start of first stake of the base of the TGV (Oct/12) 8 - End of the construction of the TGGs bases 1 and 2 (Dec/12)9 - Simple Cycle Commercial Operation (Mar/14)
IMPLEMENTATION MILESTONES
9
3 6 7
8
Start-up Date (Combined Cycle) -Forecast: Nov/14
Start-up Date (Combined Cycle) - Planned: Nov/14
Accrued by 04/30/2012:
Projected: 6,1%
Accomplished: 5,6%
% A
ccru
ed
Baseline Accomplished Projected
67
5
2
41
G&E: Installed Productive Capacity of Fertilizers – Urea
The installed capacity of urea in the existing plants discounts the volume consumed for the ARLA 32 production.
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Installed Productive Capacity of Urea in Brazil
2020
2 Fertilizer Plants = Capacity of 1.109 thous ton / year
Projects under implementation: Unit of Nitrogen Fertilizers III (MS)
Projects Under EvaluationPhase III: UNF IV – Gas Chemical Complex (ES)
Current Operations
Kton / year
US$ 7.7 biUnder Implementation
32%(US$ 2,5 Bi)
24%(US$ 1,9 Bi)
20%(US$ 1,5 Bi)
6%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
10%(US$ 0,7 Bi)
7%(US$ 0,6 Bi)
US$ 5.9 biUnder
Evaluation
8%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
54%(US$ 3,2 Bi)
15%(US$ 0,9 Bi)
23%(US$ 1,3 Bi)
68
Unit of Nitrogen Fertilizers III: Implementation of a unit for the production of urea in Três Lagoas (MS) to meet the growing demand for nitrogen fertilizers in Brazil. Besides the production of 1.223 million metric ton/ year of urea, 70
mil t/year of ammonia will be produced.
Unit of Nitrogen Fertilizers III
LOCAL CONTENT: 67%(Goods: 47%; Services: 92%)
PHYSICAL PROGRESSForecast : 29,3%Accomplished : 24,4%
69
Physical Monitoring ‘S’ Curve:Unit of Nitrogen Fertilizers III
Exp. 2: The baseline does not include the planning of the contracts signed (on08/31/11 after approval of Phase III).
Implementation of a unit for production of urea in Três Lagoas (MS) for production of 1.223 thous metric tons a year of urea with a surplus of 70,000 t/year of ammonia to supply the market
Exp. 1: No deviation from schedule
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
jan-
09
mar
-09
mai
-09
jul-0
9
set-0
9
nov-
09
jan-
10
mar
-10
mai
-10
jul-1
0
set-1
0
nov-
10
jan-
11
mar
-11
mai
-11
jul-1
1
set-1
1
nov-
11
jan-
12
mar
-12
mai
-12
jul-1
2
set-1
2
nov-
12
jan-
13
mar
-13
mai
-13
jul-1
3
set-1
3
nov-
13
jan-
14
mar
-14
mai
-14
jul-1
4
set-1
4
nov-
14
jan-
15
mar
-15
mai
-15
jul-1
5
set-1
5
nov-
15
% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
Start-up date Forecast: Sep/14
Start-up date Planned: Sep/14
1 - Earthwork and Land Drainage (Jan/12)2 - Start Assembly of metal structure of Reform Furnace (May/12)3 - Conclusion of Transmission Line (May/12)4 - Start of oper. of discharge pipe of liquid effluents (Jul/12)5 - Arrival of 1st equip. tagged from Consortium at site (Oct/12)6 - Conclusion of the manufacturing of the Ammonia turbocompressor(Dec/12)7 - Commission. and Start-up of the Ammonia Unit (Jun/14)8 - Commission. and Start-up of the Units of Urea Granulation (Jul/14)
IMPLEMENTATION MILESTONES
12
3
4 56
7
8
Exp. 2
% A
ccru
ed
Baseline Accomplished Projected
Accrued by 04/30/2012:
Forecast: 29,3%
Accomplished: 24,4%
70
71
72%(US$ 1.84 Bi)
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Agricultural Supply
Corporate
11%(US$ 0.28 Bi)
16%(US$ 0.41 Bi)
BiofuelsUnder Implementation + Under Evaluation
US$ 2.5 billion
0,4%(US$ 0.01 Bi)
Biofuels – 2012-2016 BP Investments
6%(0.07)
90%(1.05)
Projects under ImplementationUS$ 1.2 billion
Projects under Evaluation: US$ 1.4 billion
1%(0.01) 3%
(0.03)
Agricultural Supply
Corporate
Ethanol
Biodiesel
� Increase of ethanol production in Brazil
� Construction of Biodiesel Plant in Pará
� Operation of 2nd Generation Ethanol and
BioJetFuel Plant in 2015
� Construction of a greendiesel plant in Portugal
2012-2016 Highlights
72
Biofuels: Ethanol Production Capacity
Ethanol Production Capacity in Brazil
2020
Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista), Guarani and Total
Projects under construction: Expansion of Nova Fronteira (Boa Vista), Guarani and Total
Projects under EvaluationPhase I: Brownfield projects acquisition
In operation
Thousand m³ / year
US$ 1.4 biUnder Evaluation
US$ 1.2 biUnder Implementation
57%(US$ 0.8 Bi)
21%(US$ 0.3 Bi)
21%(US$ 0.3 Bi)
1%(US$ 0.01 Bi)
90%(US$ 1.05 Bi)
6%(US$ 0.07 Bi)
3%(US$ 0.03 Bi)1%
(US$ 0.01 Bi)
73
74
Downstream
21%(15.2)
44%(31.2)
17%(12.1)
8%(5.6)
4%(2.9)
5%(3.5)
1%(1.0)
Projects Under Implementation + EvaluationUS$ 71.6 billion
Petrochemical
Fleet Expansion
Logistics for OilQuality and Conversion
Operational Improvement
Refining Capacity Expansion
Biofuels
Downstream – 2012-2016 Investments
5%(2.9)
9%(4.8)
4%(2.4)
17%(9.4)
20%(11.0)
45%(24.9)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
201620152012 20142013
Biofuels
Petrochemical
Logistics for Oil
Fleet Expansion
Quality and Conversion
Operational improvement
Refining Capacity Expansion
Projects Under ImplementationUS$ 55.8 billion
Projects under evaluation: US$ 15.8 billion
2012-2016 Investments ProfileUS$ billion
1%(0.5)
� High utilization factor on the current assets,
combining flexibility to increase margins
� End of the first investment cycle in Quality
� RNEST and 1st Phase of COMPERJ coming online
� New refineries under evaluation (Phase I)
2012-2016 HIGHLIGHTS
75
0
400
800
1.200
1.600
2.000
2.400
2.800
3.200
3.600
4.000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020
Th. bbl/day
Downstream – Processing Capacity
Processing Capacity in Brazil
12 Refineries
=
2000 thousand bbl / day Capacity
Projects under implementation: RNEST refinery / Comperj 1st Phase
Phase I: Premium I RefineryPremium II RefineryComperj / 2nd Phase
Projects under evaluation(will not be finalized before 2017)
Current Operations
No new refinery will be built unless we are confident in reaching lower Capex and appropriate returns (aligned to international standards of cost and return)
US$ 15.8 biUnder Evaluation
US$ 55.8 biUnder Implementation
17%(US$ 9,4 Bi)
9%(US$ 4,8 Bi)
5%(US$ 2,9 Bi)
17%(US$ 9,4 Bi)
20%(US$ 11,0 Bi)
45%(US$ 24,9 Bi)
9%(US$ 4,8 Bi)
5%(US$ 2,9 Bi)
4%(US$ 2,4 Bi)
0,9%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
37%(US$ 5,8 Bi)
8%(US$ 1,2 Bi)
41%(US$ 6,4 Bi)
5%(US$ 0,8 Bi)
7%(US$ 1,1 Bi)
3%(US$ 0,5 Bi)
76
Refining Complexity – Petrobras average(Solomon Index)
Middle Distillates Yield Fuel Oil YieldGasoline Yield (Diesel and Jet Fuel)
+1,38,3
9,6
+1,2
201620122006
7,1
Investments in Refining are adding complexity to the system resulting in a oil product mix output of higher added value.
Improvements in Oil Products Production Profile
77
50%+6pp
+3pp
2016
44%
1T122006
41%
-6pp
2006
+2pp
20%
16%
22%
20161T12
9%
2006
-3pp15%
-3pp12%
20161T12
Northeast Refinery (RNEST): Construction of a new refinery in the Suape industrial complex, in the Pernambuco State, to process 230 kbpd of oil. RNEST will be the operational unit with the greatest conversion rate of crude oil into diesel (70%).
Northeast Refinery (RNEST): 1st Phase in November/14
RNEST construction at the Suape Industrial Complex (PE)– May/2012
LOCAL CONTENTTarget: 75%Actual: 90%
PHYSICAL PROGRESSPlanned: 94.5%Actual: 57.5%
78
Physical Progress ‘S’ Curve: Northeast Refinery (RNEST)
Implementation of the Northeast Refinery, to process 230,000 bpd of heavy oil (16o API). RNEST will be the operating unit at Petrobras with the greatest conversion rate of crude oil into diesel (70%).
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
set-0
5
dez-
05
mar
-06
jun-
06
set-0
6
dez-
06
mar
-07
jun-
07
set-0
7
dez-
07
mar
-08
jun-
08
set-0
8
dez-
08
mar
-09
jun-
09
set-0
9
dez-
09
mar
-10
jun-
10
set-1
0
dez-
10
mar
-11
jun-
11
set-1
1
dez-
11
mar
-12
jun-
12
set-1
2
dez-
12
mar
-13
jun-
13
set-1
3
dez-
13
mar
-14
jun-
14
set-1
4
dez-
14
mar
-15
jun-
15
set-1
5
dez-
15
mar
-16
jun-
16
set-1
6
dez-
16
% A
cum
ulad
o
Linha de Base Realizado Projetado
1
2
5
4
97
6Planned Start-up –1st Phase: Nov/14
Planned Start-up –1st Phase: Jul/12
8Exp. 1
Exp. 2
3
Forecast: 94.5%
Cumulative up to 04/30/2012:
Actual: 575%
Planned Start-up–2nd Phase: Apr/13
1 - Completion of construction on Pier (Apr/11)2 - Completion of installation of Raw Water tanks (Jul/11)3 - Energizing of the Incoming Sub-station (Dec/12)4 - Start-up of ETDI (Dec/13)5 - Start-up of ETA (Mar/14)6 - Start-up of Boilers OC (Apr/14)7 - Start-up of SNOX (Oct/14)8 - Start-up of Phase 1 (Nov/14)9 - Start-up of Phase 2 (May/15)
IMPLEMENTATION MILESTONES
Exp 2: Delay in signing contracts for implementation due to the needof rebids because of excessive price (UDA, UCR, HDT, Pipelines, ETDI, Electricalconnections), impacts of rain and strikes (EVTE baseline does not consider impacts),performance lower than expected on baseline of contracts, delays in purchasingcritical equipment.
Exp 1: Delay in signing contracts for implementation due to the need of rebids because of excessive price (UDA, UCR, HDT, Pipelines, ETDI, Electrical connections) rain/strikes during 2011, delay in the acquisition of equipment by Petrobras, delay in implementation of interconnection pipelines, SNOX, Range Pipeline, ETDI, hydrorefinery, boilers OC (customs clearance and assembly). 79
Planned Start-up –2st Phase: May/15
Baseline Accomplished Forecast
Financial Monitoring ‘S’ Curve: Northeast Refinery (RNEST)
Exp 2: FX valuation, interest rate appropriation of BNDES financing – not forecasted on the Economic Feasibility Studies, contractual revisions – not forecasted on the Economic Feasibility Studies, signed addendum in the contracts – not forecasted on the Economic Feasibility Studies.
Installation of Northeast Refinery to process 230 kbpd of heavy oil (16º API). RNEST will be Petrobras’ operating unit with the greatest conversion rate of crude oil to diesel (70%).
Exp 1: FX Rate Change, payments for contracts revisions, unbudgeted scopes, signed addendum in the contracts, other impacts and gains with REPENEC and Ex-tarifario.
Total Planned Investment:
US$ 13,362 MM
Exp. 1
Exp. 2
Total Projected Investment:
US$ 17,116 MM
Expected: US$ 8,821.8 MM
Accumulated until 04/30/2012:
Actual: US$ 8,350.4 MM
Baseline Accomplished Projected
Sep-
05
Dec
-05
Mar
-06
Jun-
06
Sep-
06
Dec
-06
Mar
-07
Jun-
07
Sep-
07
Dec
-07
Mar
-08
Jun-
08
Sep-
08
Dec
-08
Mar
-09
Jun-
09
Sep-
09
Dec
-09
Mar
-10
Jun-
10
Sep-
10
Dec
-10
Mar
-11
Jun-
11
Sep-
11
Dec
-11
Mar
-12
Jun-
12
Sep-
12
Dec
-12
Mar
-13
Jun-
13
Sep-
13
Dec
-13
Mar
-14
Jun-
14
Sep-
14
Dec
-14
Mar
-15
Jun-
15
Sep-
15
Dec
-15
Mar
-16
Jun-
16
Sep-
16
Dec
-16
80
Milestones DateInvestment
(US$ million)
Phase I 09/29/05 2,307
Phase II 12/21/06 4,056
Phase III 11/25/09 13,362
43 Claims totaling US$ 2,066.56 million
Official Claims
11 Claims totaling US$ 920.56 Million
Potential Claims
21%(US$ 0.7 Bi)
Automotive segment
Corporate and IT
Consumer segment
Subsidiaries andCapital Increases
Operations and Logistics
13%(US$ 0.4 Bi)
21%(US$ 0.7 Bi)
Under Implementation + Under EvaluationUS$ 3.3 billion
43%(US$ 1.4 Bi)
3%(US$ 0.1 Bi)
Distribution
81
Distribution – Investments 2012-2016 BP
21%(0.67)
43%(1.39)
13%(0.42)
21%(0.70)
Projects under implementationUS$ 3.2 billion
Projects under Evaluation: US$ 0.1 billion
1%(0.01)
Corporate and IT
Operations and LogisticsConsumer Segment
Automotive Segment
� Construction of 2 new distribution bases
(North and Mid-West)
� Expansion and Modernization of the Duque de
Caxias Lubricants Unit
� 1275 new BR Mania convenience stores
� Expansion of 142 km of piped gas in Espirito
Santo State
2012-2016 HIGHLIGHTS
Subsidiaries andCapital Increases
82
83
Distribution: Market Share (%)
BR Market Share (%)
US$ 0.1 biUnder
evaluation
US$ 3.2 biUnder
Implementation
21%(0,67)
43%(1,39)
13%(0,42)
21%(0,70)
1%(0,01)
100%(0,81)
39,139,039,4 40,339,539,1
0
10
20
30
40
50
2013 20142012 2015 20202016
34,233,032,831,9 33,2 33,4
%
Automotive segment Overall Market
83
84
FinancialConsiderations
Financial Planning Assumptions
Main assumptions for cash flow generation and investment levels
Brent prices (bbl) US$ 110.82 in 2012, declining to US$ 90 in the long term
Average exchange rate (R$/US$) R$ 1.90 in 2012, strengthening to R$ 1.73 in the long term
Leverage < 35%
Net debt / Ebitda < 2,5x
Oil products prices in Brazil International parity
Projects under implementation Incorporated in the financial planning
Projects under evaluation To be incorporated in the financial planning, contingent upon approval in each phase
Divestments US$ 14.8 billion (the majority in 2012, the remainder in 2013)
Cash utilization US$ 15 billion
No equity issuance Solid investment grade maintenance
Third-party resources in the 2012-2016 period:
Gross - US$ 16 billion / Net - US$ 8.7 billion85
136
209
80
1515
37
Sources Uses
Operating Cash Flow and Funding Needs
Divestments and restructuringsCash utilizationThird-party resources (Debt)Operating cash flow (after dividends)InvestmentsAmortization
US$
billi
on
Brent prices
US$ 5/bbl variation in the Brent price results in a R$ 4.3 billion variation in operating cash flow/year
Production
100 kbpd variation in oil production results in a R$ 3.3 billion variation in operating cash flow/year
Sensitivity Analysis:
By 2016, the company becomes free cash flow positive (before dividends)
US$ 246 US$ 246
86
10,594
23,95121,781
37,498
3,424
15,201
10,434
25,506
2009 2010 2011 2012 (Jan-May)
Gross Net
Yearly Proceeds from Borrowings
The required amount of yearly debt in the 2012-2016 period is in linewith the amount raised recently
Gross and net borrowings (US$ million)
12-16 BPnet debt:US$ 8.7 bi/year
12-16 BP gross debt:US$ 16 bi/year
Note: Net Borrowings: Borrowings – Repayment of principal. May/12 values are estimates 87
Debt profile: diversification, long term, largely linked to dollars
By Maturity By Category By Currency By Rate
Total debt (US$ 82 billion as of 12/31/2011)
BNDES23%
Debent.2%
ExportCredit6%
Financial Institutions35%
Intl Capital Markets
32%
Others2%
Dollar72%
Yen 2% Real
22%
GBP1%
Euro3%
Fixed 48%
Floating 52%Long term
89%
Short term11%
Long Term Debt Amortization Schedule
US$ 3.7 bi
88
2012 – 2016 Business and
Management Plan
June 25, 2012