2010 first half results presentation · 2020-03-21 · this presentation or its contents or...
TRANSCRIPT
2010 First Half Results PresentationOctober 5, 2010October 5, 2010
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy oracquire securities of Mechel OAO (Mechel) or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part ofthis presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investmentd i i h t A h f iti h ld b d l l th b i f i f ti M h l fil f ti t ti ith th U Sdecision whatsoever. Any purchase of securities should be made solely on the basis of information Mechel files from time to time with the U.S.Securities and Exchange Commission. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should beplaced on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Mechel or any of itsaffiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use ofthis presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.
Thi t ti t i j ti th f d l ki t t t di f t t th f t fi i l f f M h lThis presentation may contain projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of Mechel,as defined in the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We wish to caution you that these statements areonly predictions and that actual events or results may differ materially. We do not intend to update these statements. We refer you to the documentsMechel files from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Form 20-F. These documents contain and identifyimportant factors, including those contained in the section captioned “Risk Factors” and “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” inour Form 20-F, that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements, including,
th th hi t f ti i t d l l f fit bilit th t d f t i iti th i t f titiamong others, the achievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of our recent acquisitions, the impact of competitivepricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legalenvironment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or ADRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and globaleconomic conditions.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
2
Financial ReviewFinancial Review
3
Segments Overview
523500
600
EBITDA by segments $ Million
Upward dynamics in steel and mining led the 28% growth in consolidated revenue
Steel Mining Ferroalloy Power Cons.adj. Consolidated
420
258
167200
300
400
500the 28% growth in consolidated revenue
Export sales grew as markets continued to recover
118
2
(46)
911
167
48 2329
(100)
0
100
200
Gross margin up to 38% of the revenue
EBITDA margin up to 22% of the revenue( )
1Q10 2Q10
Revenue from third parties Revenue by market $ Million$ Million
30% 30% 27% 31%
8% 10% 6%10%6%5%5%5%
60%
80%
100%
18%
16% 12%13%13%
6%5% 6% 5%9%13% 10%7% 3%3% 3% 2%
60%
80%
100%
$ Million$ Million2,460 4,331 1,900 2,431 2,460 4,331 1,900 2,431
55% 57% 58% 57%20%
40%
60%
50% 52% 49%
22%19% 18% 20%
44%20%
40%
60%
4
0%1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Steel Mining Pow er Ferroalloys
0%1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Russia Europe Asia CIS Middle East Other
Steel Segment Performance
108
2,400
2,800
15%
20%
Revenue, EBITDA $ Million
Revenue grew 27% to $1.4 bn in 2Q10
57% of the Group’s revenue
2,484
5752
72
6%
-4%
8%4%
1,200
1,600
2,000
-5%
0%
5%
10%57% of the Group s revenue
Growth of cash costs reflects rising raw material prices
EBITDA 2 $118 i 2Q101,349
1,0931,391
0
400
800
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10-20%
-15%
-10%EBITDA up 2.5x to $118 mn in 2Q10
Negative net result of $27 mn affected by FX loss of $79 mn in 2Q10
Intersegment revenues (lhs)Revenues (lhs)EBITDA margin (rhs)
COS structureCash costs, US$/tonne2%
$1,276 mn $2,081 mn
285284260276 297 301331 355 373
385382365
496479473
400
600
12%9%
14%4%
11%2%2%2%
60%
80%
100%
260
0
200 68%76%
0%
20%
40%
5
0Billets, ChMK Wire Rod, ChMK Rebar, ChMK
2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
0%1H09 1H10
Raw materials and purchased goods Staff costsEnergy DepreciationOther
Steel Segment Performance
12%21% 21% 20%
100%
External sales structure
Healthy price trends across all main products
31% 22% 22% 23%
4% 4% 4%
8%5% 5% 5%
15%13% 12% 14%
3% 9%8%8%9%
40%
60%
80%
Flexibility in export sales allowed to change sales markets quickly
Resale of 3rd party products reached 21%
14% 21% 21% 20%
7% 5%8%
6%
0%
20%
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Resale of 3rd party products reached 21% of revenue in 2Q10
Improved sales mix to benefit from high value-added products
Billets Wire Rod RebarStainless flat Constructional steel Forgings and stampingsHardware Other
4 139
Average sales prices FCA, US$/tonneRevenue breakdown by region
2,265
3,3783,590
1,834
3,7614,139
2,0502,800
3,500
4,200
22%17% 17% 17%
10% 1%8%4%
5% 7%8%7%
10%18%14%19%
3%2%2% 3%
60%
80%
100%
393342
524685
442
714567479441
372378
439 483 644730
1,693
837796
619510
555
700
1,400
2,100
45%54% 53% 54%
%
20%
40%
6
0
1Q10
0%1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Russia Europe Asia CIS Middle East Other2Q103Q09 4Q09
Mining Segment Performance
3871 500
1,800
50%
60%
Revenue, EBITDA $ MillionOverall improvement in financial results as
the markets are moving to pre-crisis levels:
1 287
234
153
387
160
35%
18%
25%
42%
600
900
1,200
1,500
20%
30%
40%
50%Revenue up 44% q-o-q
EBITDA margin at 42% in 2Q10
Net profit up 63% q-o-q 723
1,287
527760
15318%
0
300
600
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q100%
10%
20%Cash cost for all major products decreased following the production growth and cost control
Intersegment revenues (lhs)Revenues (lhs)EBITDA margin (rhs)
COS structureCash costs, US$/tonne$497 mn $785 mn
Operating expenses fell to 20% of the revenue
21%21%
9%
17%
10%
17%
5% 9%
60%
80%
100%
3236
31 302832 31
43 44
3833
3040
50
60$497 mn $785 mn
48% 43%
21%
0%
20%
40%2223
15
30
2228
1814
171925 23
1922
30
0
10
20
30
7
0%1H09 1H10
Raw materials and purchased goods Staff costsEnergy Depreciation and depletionOther
0Coking coal
conc. SKCC
Coking coalconc.
Yakutugol
Anthracitesand PCI SKCC
Steam coalSKCC
Steam coalYakutugol
Iron ore
3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
Mining Segment Performance
External sales structureStrong upward price trends across all products 14% 14% 14% 15%
7% 7% 8% 7%100%
Coking concentrate sales volumes up 17% in 2Q10 as production volumes reached pre-crisis level 15% 11%
5%
13% 13% 13%
%
13%52%
2%9% 7% 10%
40%
60%
80%
Sales of PCI increased 3x
Recovery in European market increase its sales in the revenue
20%
44% 43% 44%
0%
20%
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Average sales prices FCA, US$/tonneRevenue breakdown by region
Coking coal Steam coal Coke
Anthracites and PCI Iron ore Other
210235
329
250
300
350
400
19% 14%12%
22%19%
1%6%4%
13%
20%18%
1%6%3%7%4%4%3%4%
60%
80%
100%
37
138
9252 3835
112
50 4939
128
8657
164
114
6197
0
50
100
150
200
30% 36% 34% 36%
21%21% 19% 22%
1% 1%
0%
20%
40%
0
8
0%1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Russia Europe CIS Asia w/o China China Middle East Other
Cokingcoal
Steamcoal
Ironore
3Q09 4Q09 1Q09 2Q10
Coke Anthracites and PCI
Ferroalloys Segment Performance
300
350 50%
Revenue, EBITDA $ Million
2x growth in intersegment revenue as a result of recovery in steel production
228
52
77
19
13%-4%
9%16%
150
200
250
0%
25%a result of recovery in steel production
Gross margin reached 18% in 2Q10
Ni and Cr cash cost grew on the back 228
95133131
25
0
50
100
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10-50%
-25%
gof rising raw material prices
EBITDA up 2.7x to $29 mn in 2Q10
Intersegment revenues (lhs)Revenues (lhs)EBITDA margin (rhs)
18 618
COS structureCash costs, US$/tonne$161 mn $258 mn
12% 10%
19%
13%
19%
12%
2% 7%
60%
80%
100%
13,69615,233
16,98718,618
12,000
16,000
20,000
54% 52%
10%
20%
40%
616
1,3741,248
617
1,661
633616
2,214
4,000
8,0002
1
9
0%1H09 1H10
Raw materials and purchased goods Staff costsEnergy Depreciation and depletionOther
0Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome
3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
Ferroalloys Segment Performance
Strong upward price trends q-o-q:
Ni up 20%21%
1%3% 7%1%1% 1%2%100%
External sales structure
FeSi up 24%
Cr up 41%
Sales of Ni formed 60% of segment’s 60%
25%19%
22%
17%
28%27%
21%24%
40%
60%
80%
Sales of Ni formed 60% of segment’s revenue from 3d parties in 2Q10
European share grew on higher Ni sales
45% 53%43%
60%
0%
20%
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome Chrome ore OtherShare of sales to China reached 4% in 1H10
Revenue breakdown by region Average sales prices FCA, US$/tonne
Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome Chrome ore Other
16,07816,431
18,40722,039
2 663
16,000
20,000
24,000
23%
21%22%14%
7%18%
12% 12%3%5%4% 3%
60%
80%
100%
919
1,6021,784
9631,193
1,8931,477
2,663
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
70% 63%54%
69%
0%
20%
40%
1
3
2
00%1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q10
Europe Russia Asia Other
Nickel Ferrosilicon Chrome
3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
10
Power Segment Performance
500
600
12%
15%
Revenue, EBITDA $ Million
Sales decrease 20% in 2Q10 due to seasonal factors
139
209
112975% 5%
8%
200
300
400
500
6%
9%
12%seasonal factors
Cash costs slid 7% supporting the level of gross margin at 27%
97
333185 148256
1%0
100
200
1H09 1H10 1Q10 2Q100%
3%S&D expenses fell 24% helping to keep operations marginally profitable
Intersegment revenues(lhs)Revenues (lhs)EBITDA margin (rhs)
2%2%
COS structureAverage electricity sales prices and cash costs, US$/MWh $285 mn $379 mn
3% 3%2%3%2%2%
60%
80%
100%
42.5 41.0 43.0 45.2 43.441.640
50
60
92% 93%
0%
20%
40%26.8 24.821.9
28.024.5
15.5
10
20
30
11
%1H09 1H10
Raw materials and purchased goods Staff costs Depreciation Other
101Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
Sales pirce Cash costs
Improving Financial Performance
Considerable revenue growth driven by continued markets’ recovery
Improved financial performance in 2Q10:p p
Revenue increased by 28% to $2.4 bn
1.4x growth in Gross Income
2 i i EBITDA t $5232x increase in EBITDA to $523 mn
FX loss of $182 mn resulted in decline of Net Income to $38 mn in 2Q10
Revenue, EBITDA and Net profitRevenue Dynamics
2,4314202 500
3,000 2,4312,500
30%
40%$ Million$ Million
1,900 111
1,500
2,000
2,500
1,281
1,5741,720
1,900
4%
16% 14% 14%
22%
1,500
2,000
10%
20%
30%
500
1,000
21947
253 240 258
523
132
414
83 380
500
1,000
20%
-10%
0%
12
01Q10 Volume Price 2Q10
02Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10
-20%
Revenue (lhs) EBITDA (lhs)
Net profit (lhs) EBITDA margin (rhs)
Cash Generation Capacity
2Q10 Negative Operating CF of $159 mn as $515 mn reinvested in working capital to facilitate growth of sales
Improved economics and liquidity allowed to progress with main investment projects as planned
Net Cash FlowOperating cash flow
$274 mn cash balance as of June 30, 2010
562600
800
Net Cash Flow$ Million
2009 1Q10
Operating cash flow$ Million
22%
2,000
2,500
20%
25% 2Q10
375
226
381
(97)
0
200
400
2,23010%
500
1,000
1,500
5%
10%
15%
(710)
(207)(159)
(97)
(299)
(800)
(600)
(400)
(200)
(159)(97)
562
-7%-5%
(1 000)
(500)
0
2008 2009 1Q10 2Q10-10%
-5%
0%
13
(710)(800)Operating activities Investment activitiesFinancial activities
(1,000) -10%
Operating cash flow (left scale) as % of sales (right scale)
Debt Profile
540600 25
FFO, Net Debt/EBITDA and Interest coverage$700 mn of short-term debt extended into the 2H2011 upon a successful refinancing of a syndicated facility in September 2010
$ Million x
203239
18.2
300
450
10
15
20of a syndicated facility in September 2010
$590 mn of unutilized committed short-term and long-term facilities as of October 1 2010 203
158
5.07.68.6
3.32.12.11.8
0
150
3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q100
5
10October 1, 2010
Working capital requirements fully covered with existing loan commitments in 2010
FFO (lhs)Net Debt / EBITDA (rhs)EBITDA/Interest expense, net (rhs)
Loans repayment schedule as at September 15, 2010$ Million
315
1,05741
2355
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Repayment of capex finance facilities
$ Million
547 498
3151,074
326
326 326
326
1,195
65 8200
400
600
8001,000
p y pRepayment of other term loansRUB Сommercial papers and bonds (incl. put options)renewable working capital and trade finance lines
237 326 3260
200
Sep. 15 - Dec. 31, 2010
2011 2012 2013 2014 and after
14
Financial Results Overview
US$ million unless otherwise stated
2Q10 1Q10 Change, %
Revenue 2 431 1 900 28%Revenue 2,431 1,900 28%
Cost of sales (1,504) (1,256) 20%
Gross margin 38.1% 33.9%
Operating profit 408 148 176%
Operating margin 16.8% 7.8%
EBITDA 523 258 103%EBITDA 523 258 103%
EBITDA margin 21.5% 13.6%
Net Income 38 83 -54%
Net Income margin 1.6% 4.3%
Sales volumes*, ‘000 tonnesMining segment 4,852 4,725 3%
15
Steel segment 1,724 1,665 4%
* Includes sales to the external customers only