2009.10.13 blt company presentation...
TRANSCRIPT
Company PresentationANALYSTS MEETING & PRESS CONFERENCEANALYSTS MEETING & PRESS CONFERENCE
Oct 2009
1
Agenda
Section
1. PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk
2. Industry Dynamics
3. Proposed Transaction
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk
Section 1
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (BLT) - Overview
Leading worldwide seaborne liquid bulk cargo transportation specialistand one of the largest chemical tanker operators in the world
104 tankers*2.4 million DWT
Average age 7.5 years
Chemical tankers Oil tankers FPSO tankersGas tankers
63 operational l /9 b ildi
14 vessels 1 vessel13 operational l /4 b ildivessels/9 newbuildings
Cargo: Organics, in-organics and edible oils
1,201,716 DWT
Cargo: crude oil and refined petroleum products
929,723 DWT
Average age 15 9
Location: Salawati oil exploration field, Papua
Production capacity: 15,000 bpd (60,874
vessels/4 newbuildings
Cargo: liquefied gases (LPG, propylene, propane, ethylene)
382,626 CBM (226,560
Average age 6.4 yearsAverage age 15.9 years DWT)
Converted in 2006
(DWT)
Average age 7.4 years
* Incl. 13 newbuildings 4
Strategic Objective
Revenue contract coverage
Consistent Cash Flow Growth
G thDiversified business mix
Growth through the cycles
55
BLT with consistent growth through the cycles
309340
EBITDA
Gl b l 309
240
260
280
300
320 Global economic
crisis
133
159
183
140
160
180
200
220
US
$m Asian economic
crisis
9/11 aftermath
16 17 18 1825 33
41 43 4537 44
57
40
60
80
100
120Recession
after Gulf War
crisis
5 7 9 16 17 18 18
0
20
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Compounded annual growth rate of EBITDA in excess of 25% p.a., and always growing every
6
Note: 1990 to 1998 based on Indonesia GAAP in rupiah, 1999 to 2002 based on Indonesia GAAP in US$, 2003 to 2008 based on IFRS in US$EBITDA including profit/loss from associated companies and JV’s
6
p g p , y g g yyear with only a single exception in 2002
Diversified Business Mix
BLT’s diversified mix has enabled it to achieve stability as well as capitalise on growth and high margin opportunities over time
Oil and chemical freight rates (US$/day) BLT’s strategy to maintain a diversified business mix
BLT’s revenues are well diversified across the oil, chemical and gas segments
– The fleet and revenue mix provides exposure to different non-correlated business cycles
BLT has traditionally been doing business in Asia but is expanding its presence globally
Over last four years, BLT has maintained a balance between spot contracts, time charters and contracts of affreightmentof affreightment
Source: Drewry
Sector composition of FY2008 revenues
Geographical composition of FY2008 shipping revenues
FY2008 revenues by contractsvs. spot
7
BLT History and Milestones
Evolution from domestic tanker business to leading international player
BLT’s shareholding as at 10 Aug 2009 1981 Established with 2 tankers on charter to Pertamina (Indonesian state-owned oil company)
1986 E t d i t h i l t t ti1986 Entered into chemical transportation
1989 Entered into gas transportation
1990 Listed on the Jakarta and Surabaya stock exchanges
1998 Acquired Asean Maritime Corp including its subsidiary1998 Acquired Asean Maritime Corp, including its subsidiary Gold Bridge Shipping Corp, which owned 7 chemical tankers, to accelerate growth in North Asia
2001 Expanded business into the Middle East and India
2004 Opened office in Glasgow2004 Opened office in Glasgow
2005 Opened office in Dubai
Issued US$50m convertible bond
Expanded business into Europe
2006 Primary listing on SGX-ST; first company to be dual listed in Indonesia and Singapore
Entered into FPSO/FSO sector 2007 Opened Mumbai office
Issued US$125m second convertible bond and US$400m
Note: PT Tunggaladhi Baskara is owned 99.99% by PT Bagusnusa Samudera Gemilang which is owned by Mr. Hadi Surya 82.03%
88
first high-yield bond Acquisition of Chembulk Tankers LLC Expanded business into the Americas
2008 Opened office in Sao Paulo - Brazil
BLT Strong Market Position
Forth Largest Chemical Tanker Company (# vessels)
Operator No of Vessels DWT
Strong Market Position
Large, modern fleet with a clear overweight of stainless vessels allows BLT to contract outStolt-Nielsen SA 118 2,875,000
Odfjell 99 2,538,000
Eitzen Chemical 84 1,665,000
BLT 72 1,201,000
stainless vessels allows BLT to contract out vessels to high quality customers
Scale is an important competitive advantage, provides flexible and dependable service
Tokyo Marine 67 1,415,000 Quality and long term relationships
Barriers to Entry
Large capital requirement to achieve scale
Source: Drewry, Eitzen ChemicalThe overview includes vessel under pool management and newbuildings
Well-positioned in the high growth intra-Asiachemical tanker space, with the largest sub 20,000DWT chemical tanker fleet in the Pacific Basin andthe largest globally
High value, technically sensitive cargos prohibit unproven entrants
Complex operations, organizational expertise
~90% of BLT’s chemical tanker fleet are stainlesssteel vessels
Long-term customer relationships and COAs
Regulatory and customer requirements
Highly sophisticated vessels required
99
Key Customers and Operating Areas
Shanghai
BeijingSeoul
Tokyo
Hong Kong
TaiwanMiddle East
North Africa
Glasgow
Dubai
Westport,CT
Rotterdam
Myanmar
JakartaSingapore
BangkokHong Kong
Mumbai
Australia
North Af rica
Sao Paulo
Headquarter
Representative Office / Operation Center
Chembulk Trading Coverage
BLT Trading Coverage
Recently opened marketing offices in Glasgow (2004) and Dubai (2005) to support BLT’s westward fleet operations and Shanghai (2005) to support BLT’s North Asian business and Mumbai (2007) to support South Asian business and Sao Paulo, Brazil (2008) to support BLT’s South America businesssupport BLT s South America business.
10
Indonesian Market Opportunities
Domestic regulations
• Cabotage principle
- Domestic shipping of non-oil/gas liquids only for domestic ship-owners from 1 Jan 2009
- Domestic shipping of oil/gas liquids only for domestic ship-owners from 1 Jan 2010
• All imports for state-owned companies to be carried by Indonesian controlled shipsregulations • All imports for state-owned companies to be carried by Indonesian controlled ships
• Long-term contracts for cargo-owners and Indonesian ship-owners
• Implementation of cabotage regulation very strict
• Significant new business from Indonesian government owned oil & gas company Pertamina
P t i tl d d USD 400 i ll t h t i th 100 l- Pertamina currently spends around USD 400 mio annually to charter in more than 100 vessel at any given time
- Around 75% of these are foreign-flagged vessels
- Between 2009-2010 there are around 50 foreign-flagged tankers which will come off charters, equivalent to around USD270 mio in annual revenues
Leading to increased
opportunities for BLT
- BLT has a strong longstanding relationship with Pertamina since 1981
• Cabotage principle also covers FPSO and offshore services vessels
• Indonesian domestic shipping market forecast to grow 8% in 2009 and 2010
• Indonesian fleet needs 1 8 mio dwt just to replace the foreign-flagged ships in Pertamina ANDGrowth of domestic
opportunity is huge and BLT is well-placed to
capitalize
• Indonesian fleet needs 1.8 mio dwt just to replace the foreign-flagged ships in Pertamina AND 1.3 mio dwt to supply demand from new growth into 2011 for a total of 3.1 mio dwt
• If include exports out of Indonesia, the wallet is even bigger
- Charter hire paid by oil companies total $1.5 bio
- 75% are carried on foreign-flagged ships Annual outflow of $1.125 bio
1111
capitalize • BLT is the largest ship operator in Indonesia and is well-placed to capture a significant slice of the growing domestic pie
Indonesian Market Opportunities
50,00060,00070,00080,00090,000
100,000 VLCC 310K DWT TC Rate $/Day
010,00020,00030,00040,00050,000
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
007
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
008
009
009
009
009
009
009
009
009
$36,000Source: Clarkson Research
1/5/
20
2/5/
203/
5/20
4/5/
205/
5/20
6/5/
207/
5/20
8/5/
20
9/5/
2010
/5/2
0
11/5
/20
12/5
/20
1/5/
20
2/5/
203/
5/20
4/5/
205/
5/20
6/5/
207/
5/20
8/5/
20
9/5/
2010
/5/2
0
11/5
/20
12/5
/20
1/5/
20
2/5/
203/
5/20
4/5/
205/
5/20
6/5/
207/
5/20
8/5/
20
Opportunity from PertaminaVLCC 310 DWT TC Rate $/Day approx US$45,000Long Term Contract for 5 – 10 Years
Opportunity from PertaminaVLGC 80k CBM TC Rate $/Day approx US$50,000
* Assume OpexUS$6,000/day, borrowing 70% at 4% rate, residual value US$12.25mil and
f l lif f 14
60
70
80VLGC 82K CBM TC Rate $/Day
Long Term Contract for 5 10 YearsTranslates to Profit Margin 60%*, ROE 59%* Long Term Contract for 5 – 10 Years
Translates to Profit Margin 63%*, ROE 49%*
* Assume OpexUS$6,000/day, borrowing 70% at 4% rate, residual value US$11.25mil and
useful life of 14 years
10
20
30
40
50
60
$37,500Source: Clarkson Research
useful life of 29 years
1212
0
10
Indonesian Market Opportunities
LPG FSO FOR CONOCOPHILLIPS INDONESIA• FIELD : BELANAK• SIZE : VLGC (VERY LARGE GAS CARRIER)• DELIVERY : LATE 2011FSO FOR MOBIL CEPU LtdFSO FOR MOBIL CEPU Ltd• FIELD : BANYU URIP• SIZE : VLCC (VERY LARGE CRUDESIZE : VLCC (VERY LARGE CRUDE
CARRIER)• DELIVERY : EARLY 2011 FPSO FOR PETRONAS CARIGALIFPSO FOR PETRONAS CARIGALI• FIELD : BUKIT TUA• SIZE : AFRAMAXSIZE : AFRAMAX• DELIVERY : LATE 2011
13
Indonesian Market Opportunities
FPSO FOR KANGEAN ENERGY INDONESIA
• FIELD : PAGERUNGAN UTARA
SIZE MEDIUM RANGE WITH 8 000• SIZE : MEDIUM RANGE WITH 8,000 BOPD PROCESS CAPACITY
• DELIVERY : MID 2010DELIVERY : MID 2010
FPU FOR KANGEAN ENERGY INDONESIA
• FIELD : TERANG-SIRASUN-BATUR
• SIZE : 200 – 260 M IN LENGTH WITH 300 MMSCFD GAS DELIVERY,
DELIVERY MID 2010• DELIVERY : MID 2010
FSO FOR KANGEAN ENERGY
• FIELD : SEPANJANG• FIELD : SEPANJANG
• SIZE : AFRAMAX
• DELIVERY : LATE 2009 14
Oil and Gas Fleet of BLT and Newbuilding Projects
Oil Tankers Gas Tankers New Vessels Under Construction
Owned Built DWT Type Hull(1) Owned Built CBM Owned Built DWT/CBM TypeMT Tridonawati 1991 154,970 Crude Oil DH MT Gas Indonesia 1990 3,518 MT Iris 2010 12,500 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Trirasa 1991 154 970 Crude Oil DH MT Gas Jawa 1989 3 596 MT Gas Batam 2010 3 500 Gas TankerMT Trirasa 1991 154,970 Crude Oil DH MT Gas Jawa 1989 3,596 MT Gas Batam 2010 3,500 Gas Tanker
MT Dewayani 1999 3,561 Oil Product DH MT Gas Kalimantan 1996 3,500 MT Gas Bangka 2010 5,000 Gas Tanker
MT Dewi Sri 1999 3,557 Oil Product DH MT Gas Lombok 2008 9,000 MT Gas Madura 2010 5,000 Gas Tanker
MT Gandini 1998 32,042 Oil Product DH MT Gas Maluku 1996 5,000 MT Wilutama 2010 25,400 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Pradapa 1993 36,362 Crude Oil DS MT Gas Papua 2007 5,000 MT Watari 2011 25,100 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Anjani 1985 36,882 Oil Product DS MT Gas Sulawesi 2006 5,000 MT Setyaboma 2011 12,500 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Badraini 1991 111,777 Crude Oil DB MT Gas Bali 2007 5,000 MT Sakuntala 2011 12,500 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Barunawati 1992 111,689 Crude Oil DB MT Gas Sumatera 1989 3,512 MT Wardani 2011 25,100 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Barawati 1990 101,134 Crude Oil SH MT Gas Sumbawa 2008 9,000 MT Widawati 2011 25,400 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT B i 1990 96 6 2 C d Oil SH MT G N 1996 3 00 MT Pi l k 2011 19 990 Ch i l IMO II/III SUSMT Bramani 1990 96,672 Crude Oil SH MT Gas Natuna 1996 3,500 MT Pitaloka 2011 19,990 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Pergiwo 1993 37,087 Crude Oil SH MT Tangguh Hiri(3) 2008 155,000 MT Partawati 2011 19,990 Chemical IMO II/III SUS
MT Ontari 1993 18,520 Oil Product SH MT Tangguh Sago(3)
2009 155,000 MT Gas Karimun 2012 3,500 Gas Tanker
Bareboat Chrt Built DWT Type Hull(1)FPSO Tanker
MT Gandari(2) 1999 30,500 Oil Product DH Owned Built CBM
FPSO Brotojoyo 1980 60,874
1515
Note :1) DH=Double hull, DS = Double Side, DB = Double Bottom, SH = Single Hull2) Ownership trough a 10 years bareboat charter3) BLT hold 30% stake
Large & Growing Modern Chemical Fleet of BLT
Chemical Tankers
Owned Built DWT Type(1) Owned Built DWT Type(1) Bareboat Chartered Built DWT Type(1)
MT Hartati 2004 14,312 IMO II/III SUS MT CB New Orleans 2003 32,000 IMO II/III SUS MT Pramoni(2) 2008 19,990 IMO II/III SUS
MT Harsanadi 2005 14,271 IMO II/III SUS MT CB New York 2002 27,000 IMO II/III SUS MT Puspawati(2) 2008 19,900 IMO II/III SUS
MT Indradi 1993 13,944 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Savannah 2002 25,000 IMO II/III SUS MT Purwati(2) 2007 19,900 IMO II/III SUS
MT Nogogini 1996 11,639 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Ulsan 2004 19,500 IMO II/III SUS MT Pertiwi(3) 2006 19,970 IMO II/III SUSg g
MT Nolowati 1998 11,636 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Yokohama 2003 19,500 IMO II/III SUS MT Prita Dewi(3) 2006 19,998 IMO II/III SUS
MT Wulansari 1992 11,055 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Kobe 2002 19,500 IMO II/III SUS MT Pujawati(3) 2006 19,900 IMO II/III SUS
MT Ratih 1996 10,329 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Gibraltar 2001 19,500 IMO II/III SUS MT Gagarmayang(2) 2004 40,354 IMO II/IIIMT Rasawulan 1996 10,332 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Shanghai 2000 19,500 IMO II/III SUS MT Purbasari(2) 2008 19,900 IMO II/III SUS
MT Gerbera 2004 8,738 IMO II/III SUS MT CB Houston 2003 16,400 IMO II/III SUS
MT Fatmarini 2004 8,578 IMO II/III SUS MT Anjasmoro 1996 32,696 IMO III Time Chartered Built DWT Type(1)
MT Frabandari 2004 8,575 IMO II/III SUS MT Anggraini 1995 31,225 IMO III MT CB Lindy Alice(4) 2008 32,000 IMO II/III SUSMT Frabandari 2004 8,575 IMO II/III SUS MT Anggraini 1995 31,225 IMO III MT CB Lindy Alice 2008 32,000 IMO II/III SUS
MT Freesia 2003 8,521 IMO II/III SUS MT Yanaseni 1992 9,202 IMO II/III MT CB Minneapolis(4) 2007 32,000 IMO II/III SUS
MT Fatmawati 1996 7,527 IMO II/III SUS MT Ulupi 1999 6,690 IMO II/III MT CB Westport(4) 2006 32,000 IMO II/III SUS
MT Celosia 1997 7,477 IMO II/III SUS MT Erowati 1999 6,688 IMO II/III MT CB Kings Point(4) 2008 19,500 IMO II/III SUS
MT Tirtasari 1997 5,878 IMO II/III SUS MT Jembawati 1999 6,685 IMO III MT CB Singapore(4) 2007 19,500 IMO II/III SUS
MT Bauhinia 1997 5,851 IMO II/III SUS MT Dragonaria 1998 6,555 IMO II/III MT CB Tortola(4) 2007 19,500 IMO II/III SUS
MT Eustoma 1994 4,990 IMO II/III SUS MT Kunti 1992 3,984 IMO III MT CB Jakarta(4) 2009 19,500 IMO II/III SUS
MT Rengganis 1993 3 667 IMO II/III SUS MT Pramesti 2009 19 990IMO II/III SUS MT Golden Ambrosia(6) 2008 13 000 IMO II/IIIMT Rengganis 1993 3,667 IMO II/III SUS MT Pramesti 2009 19,990IMO II/III SUS MT Golden Ambrosia(6) 2008 13,000 IMO II/III
MT Larasati 1991 3,665 IMO II/III SUS MT Hyacinth 2009 12,500IMO II/III SUS MT Bestari(5) 2003 6,689 IMO II/III SUS
MT Mustokoweni 1991 3,199 IMO II/III SUS MT Bidadari(5) 2003 6,678 IMO II/III SUS
MT Setyawati 1994 3,189 IMO II/III SUS MT Royal Flos(7) 2008 19,600 IMO II/III
MT Cendanawati 1997 3,159 IMO II/III SUS
MT CB Barcelona 2004 32,300 IMO II/III SUS
MT CB Virgin Gorda 2004 32,000 IMO II/III SUS
MT CB Hong Kong 2003 32,000 IMO II/III SUS
Note :1) "SUS" refers cargo tanks made of stainles stell2) 12 years bareboat charters
1616
3) 12 years bareboat charter4) 10 years time charter5) 6 years time charter6) 5 years time charter7) 3 years time charter
Orderbook in High Growth Segments
Orderbook well-positioned for economic recovery in 2010/2011 with minimal capital outlays for the next 12 months
Market value of newbuilds exceeds the contract cost with 10-15% of the contract value already paid
Chemical Tankers Orderbook Gas Carriers OrderbookChemical Tankers Orderbook Gas Carriers Orderbook
37.9
45678
80100120140160
No. of S('0
00 D
WT
)
155
3
4
5
100
150
200
No. o
'000
CB
M)
29.352
01234
020406080
2009 2010 2011
Ships
Ton
nage
(
Tonnage ('000 DWT) Number of Ships
120 5
0
1
2
0
50
100
2009 2010 2011 2012
of ships
Cap
acity
('
Capacity (CBM) Number of ships
Chemical/Gas Fleet GrowthCommitted Capital ExpendituresTotal US$424.5 million remaining Capex
Tonnage ( 000 DWT) Number of Ships Capacity (CBM) Number of ships
211.01000
1200
)
250
511 4
468.2
172.0400
600
800
1000
WT
/CB
M (
'000
)
147.5
198.1
50
100
150
200
1717
511.4
210.30
200
Chemical tankers (dwt) Gas tankers (cbm)
DW
BLT Capacity Chembulk capacity New capacity
78.9
0
50
2010e 2011e 2012e
82 % of total outstanding capex falls due from Q3 2010 onwards
Industry Dynamics
Section 2
Summary of chemical tanker market outlookSummary of chemical tanker market outlook
Summary A play on improved GDP and IP growth
Chemical tanker demand is highly correlated with GDP and industrial production growth as the products transported are used in industries such as housing and automotive
We believe a revival in world economic activity will generate strong demand for chemical tankers both through restocking of run-down inventories and higher industrial production
In combination with moderate fleet growth, we believe an investment in the chemical tanker space is a great play on the expected economic recovery
Demand Higher GDP growth expectedDemand g e G g o t e pected
IMF forecast world GDP to rebound from -0.9% to +3.1% in 2010 – Consensus forecasts expect even stronger growth at 3.3%
Chemical tanker demand growth typically 2x GDP growth
Longer distances as more Middle Eastern production comes on stream
New refinery capacity in the Middle East to expand trading distances as it has a competitive feedstock advantage to basic chemicals production in other regions
Biofuels and vegetable oils
High oil prices and stricter environmental regulations to reduce emissions should increase biodiesel and ethanol demand
Supply Orderbook (IMO I/II) currently at 25% to be delivered over the next three years although cancellationsSupply Orderbook (IMO I/II) currently at 25% to be delivered over the next three years, although cancellations and delays likely to ease the impact
Almost 10% of the core chemical fleet (ex. epoxy) are close to scrapping age
New IMO regulations preventing product tankers from transporting vegetable oils have made swing capacity from product tankers a lesser problem. At the same time, 20% of the product tanker fleet is single-hulled and could be phased out by 2010
f ( ) 6% 8% 1 6% 2010 12
19
We estimate core chemical fleet (ex. epoxy) to expand by 4.6%, 4.8% and 1.6% in 2010-12
Strict vetting rules and increasing implementation on age limits (max. 15 years at some ports) and low port productivity reduce real fleet supply
A great play on economic recoveryA great play on economic recovery
The chemical tanker market is highly
l t d ith l b l5
6
200
250
Correlation between GDP growth and chemical index
correlated with global GDP growth
Further, chemicals are early cyclical and the demand for chemicals and plastics has 1
0
1
2
3
4
50
100
150
200
GDP y/y %
Chem.Index
and plastics has outpaced GDP over the last two decades
Chemical tanker demand is typically 2x world GDP growth
‐2
‐1
0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Chem.Index. 1990=100 Global GDP, y/y change %
Note: From Jan 1 2008, Chem Index replaced with ECHEM Index. Chem Index, pis not representative for chemical tanker market in this period because it neglects the fact that most vessels sailed without cargo on back haul trades
300
350
Chemicals demand growth vs GDP growth
150
200
250
300
Global recession
Asian crisis
U.S. recession
20
100
1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009e 2012e
Global GDP index Basic Chemicals & Plastics Index
Source: IMF, CMAI, RS Platou Markets
Industrial production set to increaseIndustrial production set to increase
Global industrial production has taken a hit i th t
25 10 %65
China Money Supply vs. Industrial ProductionUS ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Industrial Production
hit in the past year (along with chemical tanker rates)
In China, stimulus packages have given rapid results and 5
10
15
20
y/y %
‐10 %
‐5 %
0 %
5 %
40
45
50
55
60
production y/y %
change
ISM Index
rapid results and industrial production is expected to see previous high growth rate
In the US, the ISM
0
5
2003 2005 2007 2009
China money supply
China industrial production (2 month moving average)
‐15 %
‐10 %
30
35
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Ind.
ISM Manufacturing, U.S Industrial production, U.S, y/y %
manufacturing index and new orders data predicts a major pickup for industrial production
ISM new d /i t i ti
2,0
2,5
ISM New Orders/Inventories Ratio Car Sales in China, EU and the USA
orders/inventories ratio suggest restocking needs
0,5
1,0
1,5
21Source: Reuters Ecowin, RS Platou Markets
0,0
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
New regulations have tightened the market balanceNew regulations have tightened the market balance
New IMO regulations have tightened the
it i f th
Pre 2007
Chemical tanker domain
criteria for the transportation of certain materials
Product tankers are for instance no longer qualified for the
Organics Chemicals
Clean products
Unreg cargos
Veg oilsInorganics Chemicals
Dirty products
Crude oil
qualified for the transportation of vegetable oils
The regulations improves the market conditions for chemical
From 2007
Oil product tanker domain
tanker owners and made swing capacity (product tankers) a lesser problem
From 2007
Chemical tanker domain
Organics Chemicals
Clean products
Unreg cargos
Veg oilsInorganics Chemicals
Dirty products
Crude oil
22Source: RS Platou Markets
Oil product tanker domain
Swing tonnage no longer an issueSwing tonnage no longer an issue
Before the new IMO regulations, there was a t l ti
29 000
Correlation between chemical & product tanker rates
strong correlation between product tanker earnings and chemical tanker earnings
After the regulation change however the
Before new IMO regulations:R² = 0,857
21 000
23 000
25 000
27 000
7 m
t, $/day
change however, the presence of clean product tankers in the chemical market have decreased, effectively decoupling the rate development between
After new IMO regulations:R² = 0,1189
15 000
17 000
19 000
21 000
CPP 37
development between the two markets
This effectively implies that the expected upturn in demand for chemicals could be even sharper
120 140 160 180 200 220
Chem. Index. 1990 = 100
2003‐2006 2007‐2009
pthan following previous downturns
23Source: Drewry, RS Platou Markets
Favorable fleet developmentFavorable fleet development
Almost 10% of the core fleet (IMO I & IMO II vessels ex epoxy
Net fleet addition (core fleet)
2,0 Assumptions:80% of vessels above 30y old scrapped
vessels, ex-epoxy coated) are close to scrapping age
With reasonable assumptions on scrapping, delays and 0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
Million dwt
y pp10% delay overhang into following year
10% slippage in 2010/11
slippage, core fleet expected to grow by 4.6%, 4.8% and 1.6% in 2010-12
Following the period of low net fleet addition in
‐1,0
‐0,5
14 %
16 %
18 %
20 %
th %
Assumptions:80% of vessels above 30y old scrapped
10% delay overhang into the following year10% slippagein 2010/11
low net fleet addition in 2001-02, chemical rates soared
With current consensus forecast on world GDP growth of around 3 – 4% i 2010/11 d t ki
Delivered Removals Slippage Overhang Net addition
2 %
4 %
6 %
8 %
10 %
12 %
14 %
Annual fleet growt
in 2010/11, and taking into account the multiplier effect chemical product demand should outstrip net fleet growth
0 %
IMO I/ IMO II incl. epoxy Core fleet
24Source: Drewry, RS Platou Markets
Growth in emerging economies will increase tonGrowth in emerging economies will increase ton--milemile
Middle East is expected to increasingly export b i h i l f
Chemical trade routes and expected increase in refinery capacity
0
Rotterdam
Seoul
basic chemicals for processing in the west (increased ton-mile)
However, Far East represents the main source of demand
EU: 6 % Asia
HoustonTokyo
Shanghai
source of demand growth for processed chemicals, i.e. ton-mile should increase for this reason as well
N.A.0 %
6 % Asia Pacific 41%
Middle East;Cheap feedstock &
Singapore
Sao Paulo
Mumbai
S.A.6 % Cheap feedstock &
new basic capacity.
Buenos Aires
6 %
MEG India: 50%
25
Buenos Aires
Proposed transaction
Section 3
Transaction overviewTransaction overview
BLT intends to make an all share voluntary offer for 100% of the outstanding shares in Camillo Eitzen & Co ASA (“CECO”)
CECO shareholders BLT shareholders New investors
Co ASA ( CECO )
Share based offer – CECO’s shareholders to receive considerations in BLT corresponding to NOK 25 per CECO share, based on the BLT share price at the end of the offer period, however, at a maximum ratio of 49 13 BLT shares per CECO share New shares USD 200mof 49.13 BLT shares per CECO share
Consideration in the form of ”MEBs” – Mandatory Exchangeable Bonds which are convertible into ordinary shares in BLT
BLT aims to list the MEBs on the Oslo Stock
BLT
USD 75m – USD 80m*
New shares
Exchange with the aim of enhancing liquidity to the shareholders
BLT furthermore plans for secondary listing in Oslo after completion of the potential transaction
C CO’ %
CECO
52.1%USD 52m*
ECHEM shareholders
47.9%
CECO’s main shareholders controlling 76%, BoD in CECO and Nordea, the agent bank for the bank syndicates in CECO & ECHEM, support the transaction
ECHEMUSD 48m*
* Actual size of equity infusions to be confirmed
27
Actual size of equity infusions to be confirmed.
CamilloCamillo EitzenEitzen & Co ASA (CECO) & Co ASA (CECO) -- OverviewOverview
A di ifi d d f ll i t t d hi i ith ti iti ithi th h i l b lkA diversified and fully integrated shipping group with activities within the chemical, gas, bulk, and maritime services segments
94 vessels*1.46 million DWT
Average age 9.9 years
Eitzen Chemical Eitzen Gas Maritime servicesEitzen Bulk
52.1% 100% 100% 72%
Listed on OSE63 d/ t ll d
28 owned/controlled vessels
Listed on OSEGl b l l d i th
Operational fleet of 40 60 vessels63 owned/controlled
vessels9 above 30,000 dwt54 below 30,000 dwt
1,063,800 DWTAverage age 6 8
vessels164,600 CBMAverage age 16.9 years
Global leader in the highly fragmented ship supply industryShip managementInsurance broking
40-60 vessels2 vessels financially controlled, 2 newbuilds + 15 newbuilds on TC229,000 dwt (vessels
Average age 6.8 years
+ newbuilds)Average age 1.5 years (ex newbuilds)
28*Owned and controlled vessels, ex newbuilds and Eitzen Bulk operational fleet of 40-60 vessels
Transaction rationaleTransaction rationale
Creating a leading international shipping group
The new entity will operate a fleet of 146+10 chemical tankers, making it by far the largest operator in the world in terms of number of vessels.
CECO’s gas operations complement those of BLT.
The drybulk & maritime services segment will remain core business areas within the new group.
Complementary geographical footprint
BLT’s main presence is in Asia, Chembulk North and South America, while Camillo Eitzen & Eitzen Chemical d i tl t i E Th bi d tit ill l h lid b d th ldpredominantly operates in Europe. The combined entity will also have a solid base around the world.
Synergies
Synergy potential on both revenue generation & cost reduction.
Cabotage opportunities: Long-term contracts with solid counterparts at solid returns.
Attractive consolidation opportunity
Difficult market situation and high leverage has put the Eitzen companies in a distressed situation. However, the current market values of the companies do not reflect the underlying net asset values.
Amended debt moratorium and new covenants enable the Eitzen companies to withstand a prolonged period of challenging market conditionschallenging market conditions.
The combined entity will be in excellent position to benefit from expected rebound of world economy.
EMS & Bulk divisions are valuable add-ons
Steady cash flow, less capital intensive.
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Creating a Creating a chemical giantchemical giant
BLT & Eitzen currently ranks as number 4 & 3 in
Largest chemical tanker operators – sorted by # of vessels(#) dwt
terms of vessels under management.
In terms of DWT however, BLT and Eitzen rank as number 5 & 3.
9
2500
3000
3500
120
140
160
180
The potential acquisition of CECO will put BLT at the very top of the competitive landscape, with the largest number of managed h i l l
147
23
110
913
1500
2000
60
80
100
120
chemical vessels.
In terms of DWT, BLT & CECO will be the same size as the current largest operator Stolt Nielsen
95 88 84
6354
0
500
1000
0
20
40
L i S l Odfj ll i L k i
Includes 21 chemical tankers which Eitzen has under pool management
BLT + Eitzen Stolt Odfjell Eitzen BLT Tokyo Marine
Operated Fleet Orderbook dwt
30Source: Drewry, Eitzen Chemical
Includes 21 chemical tankers which Eitzen has under pool management
Research analyst comments on announcementResearch analyst comments on announcement
The potential transaction is expected to generate potential synergies both on revenue enhancement and reduction of operating expenses
Due to increased size and a larger geographical footprint, BLT and the Eitzen companies are positioned to leverage on a more completepositioned to leverage on a more complete logistics network, improving fleet utilization. Also potential for re-deployment of vessels into BLT’s domestic market
BLT’s vessel operating expenses are lower across the different segments, representing potential cost savings through economies of scale, better utilization of internal resources and i l ti b t ti th h t thimplementing best practices throughout the organizations
31
Combined financials
CECO (USDm) 2007 2008 1H09
Revenues 1 236 1 581 546
BLT (USDm) 2007 2008 1H09
Revenues 295 491 230Revenues 1 236 1 581 546
EBITDA adj** 200 224 81
Equity & minorities 843 365 331
Assets 2 562 2 336 2 231
Net debt 1 171 1 326 1 383
Revenues 295 491 230
EBITDA adj** 171 311 134
Equity & minorities 575 669 669
Assets 2 413 2 406 2 508
Net debt 1 544 1 433 1 472Net debt 1 171 1 326 1 383 Net debt 1 544 1 433 1 472
Combined* (USDm) 2007 2008 1H09
Revenues 1 531 2 072 776
EBITDA adj** 371 535 215
Equity & minorities 1 419 1 035 1 000
Assets 4 975 4 742 4 739
Net debt 2 716 2 759 2 855
* Combined figures do not include planned equity issue of USD 200m in BLT or USD 57m rights issue completed in Q3 2009** EBITDA adjusted for asset sales
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BLT an attractive bet in the chemical marketBLT an attractive bet in the chemical market
BLT and ECHEM’s chemical fleets are considerably younger than closest peers
14 3
Due to leverage, BLT and ECHEM have significantly higher upside when asset values increase
10% increase in asset
7,7
14,313,8
74 %
115 %
10% increase in asset values20% increase in asset values
,6,7
37 %
57 %
16 % 17 %
32 % 33 %
The chemical fleet of both BLT and Eitzen Chemical
BLT Eitzen Chemical
Odf jell Stolt-Nielsen BLT Eitzen Chemical
Odf jell Stolt-Nielsen
Both BLT and Eitzen Chemical are well positioned are considerably younger than Odfjell’s and Stolt-Nielsen’s
A younger fleet deserves a higher EV/EBITDA multiple, as the current EBITDA level can be maintained for a prolonged period without need for reinvestments
towards a rebound in asset values
In a scenario where asset values increase 20% on average, Net Asset value in BLT increases 74%, compared to 32% for Odfjell and 33% for Stolt-Nielsen
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reinvestments
Downside protection through debt restructuringDownside protection through debt restructuring
One of BLT’s conditions for the Indicative Offer is an agreement with CECO and ECHEM’ b k di t t d d t th i ’ l i l di iECHEM’s bank syndicate to amended terms the companies’ loans, including waiver of covenants and a prolonged moratorium period
All debt to be on a non-recourse basis; value at risk for BLT is thus limited to the initial equity injection into CECO, estimated at USD 75-80m
ECHEM:
The company recently announced an agreement with its banks and bondholders for a moratorium period until November 2012moratorium period until November 2012
BLT’s proposal includes a prolonged moratorium period with no fixed debt repayments (cash sweep) and improved loan-to-value covenants
CECO:
BLT proposes extension of the maturity for the facilities to coincide with a prolonged moratorium period, with waiver/reduction of financial covenants
No fixed repayments for the duration of the facilities
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No fixed repayments for the duration of the facilities
BLT BLT –– Continued strong growth storyContinued strong growth story
Consistent EBITDA growth
EBITDA growing every year since 1991, except in 2002
Explosive CAGR growth in EBITDA of 48% over the period
Historical EBITDA, USDm
1.50
2.00
2.50
atio
Net Debt to Equity
from 2003 to 2008
Well positioned in the high growth intra-Asia chemical tanker space
Indonesia is a large exporter of palm oil, which is carried on chemical tankers to cons mer
-
0.50
1.00
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
Ra
chemical tankers to consumer end-markets in China and India
Positive Indonesian domestic shipping growth story
Cabotage regulation to benefit Indonesian ship owners of which
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
BLT Stolt Odfjell Iino
10 00
12.00 EV/EBITDA
Indonesian ship-owners, of which BLT is the largest
BLT has a strong longstanding relationship with Indonesian government-owned oil and gas company Pertamina since 1981
Historical Profitability (EBITDA/Assets)
4 00
6.00
8.00
10.00
BLT has a far superior EBITDA growth profile, compared to main peers Stolt-Nielsen and Odfjell
BLT also has superior profitability
-
2.00
4.00
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09
35
in terms of EBITDA/Assets
Expects to improve Eitzen Chemical’s performance after the takeover
* BLT’s EBITDA/asset ratio decreased sharply from 2006 to 2007 due to significant vessel deliveries during the year, increasing the asset base but not providing a full year of EBITDA contribution. Asset profitability recovered back to 2006 levels in 2008 as the new vessels contributed on a full year basis. SNI adjusted for Stolt Offshore in 2003 due to abnormal low performance
BLT Stolt Odfjell Iino
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