2009 european performance figures

20
2009 European Performance Figures June 2010

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June 2010. 2009 European Performance Figures. Methodology for Performance Benchmarks. All calculations are done at the fund level by Thomson Reuters based on cash flows and NAVs reported by participating GPs Returns are net of management fees and carried interest - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 2009 European Performance Figures

2009 European Performance Figures

June 2010

Page 2: 2009 European Performance Figures

2

Methodology for Performance Benchmarks

All calculations are done at the fund level by Thomson Reuters based on cash flows and NAVs reported by participating GPs

Returns are net of management fees and carried interest Returns are calculated with cash flows in Euros for European figures Cash flow database contains since its inception 1,375 European

independent funds, representing €313bn of committed capital

Definitions: Pooled IRR:

IRR of a group of funds where their cash flows have been aggregated together before IRR calculation

Investment Horizon Return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value at beginning of period as capital outflow, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flows in between

Page 3: 2009 European Performance Figures

3

Annualised net pooled IRR

European private equity funds formed 1980-2009

Stage No. of funds Pooled IRR Multiples Multiples (as % of TVPI)

DPI RVPI TVPI DPI RVPI

Early-stage 418 -1.3 0.38 0.57 0.95 40.0% 60.0%

Development 196 6.5 0.74 0.54 1.28 57.8% 42.2%

Balanced 164 2.1 0.52 0.57 1.09 47.7% 52.3%

All venture 778 1.6 0.51 0.56 1.07 47.7% 52.3%

Small buyout 289 12.5 1.14 0.40 1.54 74.0% 26.0%

Mid buyout 66 15.4 1.06 0.48 1.54 68.8% 31.2%

Large buyout 51 18.7 1.16 0.38 1.54 75.3% 24.7%

Mega buyout 52 8.4 0.69 0.52 1.21 57.0% 43.0%

All buyout 458 11.9 0.83 0.49 1.32 62.9% 37.1%

Generalist 139 9.1 1.02 0.39 1.41 72.3% 27.7%

All private equity

1,375 8.9 0.80 0.48 1.28 62.5% 37.5%

Source: Thomson Reuters

Annualised net pooled IRR from inception to 31-Dec-2009

Page 4: 2009 European Performance Figures

4

Horizon IRRs by Stages

European private equity funds formed 1980-2009

Fund type 1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year

20-year

Early-stage -2.6 -4.7 -0.8 -3.5 -1.3

Development 11.5 0.7 3.3 1.4 6.9

Balanced -0.7 -3.0 1.5 -1.4 2.1

All venture 1.0 -3.1 0.8 -1.8 1.6

Buyout 7.2 -3.9 8.3 8.0 11.4

Generalist 36.9 -5.2 7.2 4.3 9.3

All private equity

7.7 -3.9 6.5 5.2 8.9

Source: Thomson Reuters

Investment Horizon Returns for period ending 31-Dec-2009

Page 5: 2009 European Performance Figures

5

Top-Quarter Performance

European top-quarter funds formed 1980-2009

Stage Sample size

Top-quarter

pooled IRR

*Overall upper

quartile IRR

Early-stage 104 12.0 1.0

Development 49 18.0 8.8

Balanced 41 13.5 5.5

All venture 196 13.6 3.3

Buyout 116 30.2 17.0

Generalist 35 22.9 7.7

All private equity

345 21.8 9.1

* Funds must equal or exceed this IRR to qualify as top-quarter funds.Source: Thomson Reuters

Page 6: 2009 European Performance Figures

6

Top-Half Performance

European top-half funds formed 1980-2009

Stage Sample size

Top-half pooled IRR

**Overall median IRR

Early-stage 209 6.3 -3.8

Development 96 13.8 -0.5

Balanced 80 7.7 -0.9

All venture 390 9.1 -2.2

Buyout 229 19.8 6.2

Generalist 68 10.6 -0.1

All private equity

688 14.1 -0.4

** Funds must meet or exceed this IRR to qualify as top-half funds.Source: Thomson Reuters

Page 7: 2009 European Performance Figures

7

Performance Ranking

-19.4

-2.9

5.8

21.8

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Net pooled IRR for the quarter

Percentile

9.1

-0.4

-6.3

Net IRR for upper,median, lower quartile

Source: Thomson Reuters

Net IRR since inception per quarter

Page 8: 2009 European Performance Figures

8

Top-Quarter Horizon IRRs

European top-quarter funds formed 1980-2009

Stage No. of funds

Pooled IRR

3-year 5-year 10-year

Early-stage 104 12.0 3.2 8.6 8.3

Development 49 18.0 11.0 15.5 14.1

Balanced 41 13.5 4.4 5.0 4.1

All venture 196 13.6 6.1 9.5 9.2

Buyout 116 30.2 13.2 32.7 22.5

Generalist 35 22.9 -3.2 41.1 26.9

All private equity

345 21.8 5.7 26.5 17.9

Source: Thomson Reuters

Annualised net pooled since inception and horizon IRR

Page 9: 2009 European Performance Figures

9

Top-Half Horizon IRRs

European top-half funds formed 1980-2009

Stage No. of funds

Pooled IRR

3-year 5-year 10-year

Early-stage 209 6.3 -0.6 4.0 2.8

Development 96 13.8 7.4 10.5 9.8

Balanced 80 7.7 1.2 7.2 3.1

All venture 390 9.1 2.0 6.5 4.4

Buyout 229 19.8 6.3 24.4 15.5

Generalist 68 10.6 -5.8 10.0 6.1

All private equity

688 14.1 3.1 16.8 11.5

Source: Thomson Reuters

Annualised net pooled since inception and horizon IRR

Page 10: 2009 European Performance Figures

10

Buyout Returns by Fund Sizes

Source: Thomson Reuters

Short-, medium-, and long-term returns reflected by net horizon IRRs to 31 December 2009

These results refer to the fund size, not the deal size; while fund sizes are defined in USD, the returns are computed in EUR.

European Private Equity Funds formed 1980-2009

 Fund size ($)

No. of funds

Pooled IRR

1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year

0-500m 355 13.6 5.3 0.7 8.0 7.4

500m-1bn 51 18.7 -9.1 -0.2 7.8 8.8

1bn+ 52 8.4 8.6 -5.7 8.5 8.1

All buyout

458 11.9 7.2 -3.9 8.3 8.0

Page 11: 2009 European Performance Figures

11

Venture Returns by Fund Sizes

European Private Equity Funds formed 1980-2009

 Fund size ($)

No. of funds

Pooled IRR

1-year 3-year 5-year 10-year

0-50m 474 4.8 0.0 -3.2 2.0 1.0

50m-100m 143 0.2 3.3 -3.2 -0.3 -2.5

100m+ 161 0.5 0.9 -3.0 0.7 -2.6

All venture

778 1.6 1.0 -3.1 0.8 -1.8

Source: Thomson Reuters

Short-, medium-, and long-term returns reflected by net horizon IRRs to 31 December 2009

These results refer to the fund size, not the deal size; while fund sizes are defined in USD, the returns are computed in EUR.

Page 12: 2009 European Performance Figures

12

Performance by Vintage Years

Funds formed :

1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009

Fund size IRR DPI IRR DPI IRR DPI IRR DPI IRR DPI IRR DPI

Venture 6.3 1.64 8.3 1.55 11.8 1.50 1.6 0.62 -3.6 0.27 -1.2 0.07

Buyout 9.2 1.88 13.6 1.65 18.6 2.04 12.3 1.35 18.1 1.20 -9.0 0.11

Generalist 7.7 1.78 7.2 1.06 10.4 1.37 11.2 1.10 22.7 1.26 0.5 0.07

All private equity

6.8 1.69

8.6 1.20

16.7

1.88

9.9 1.19

12.6

1.02

-7.7 0.11

Source: Thomson Reuters

Annualised net pooled IRR by vintage years as of 31-Dec-2009

Page 13: 2009 European Performance Figures

13

European 5-Year Rolling IRRs

-10

0

10

20

30

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Venture Buyout Generalist

Source: Thomson Reuters

+7.2%+7.2%

+0.8%+0.8%

+8.3%+8.3%

Page 14: 2009 European Performance Figures

14

5-Year Rolling IRRs by Regions

Europe

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

%

Venture Buyout

USA

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

%

Venture Buyout

+0.8%+0.8%

+8.3%+8.3%

+4.3%+4.3%

+5.3%+5.3%

Source: Thomson Reuters

Page 15: 2009 European Performance Figures

15

European Venture 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR

Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters

-1.8%-1.8%

-3.1%-3.1%

+0.8%+0.8%

Page 16: 2009 European Performance Figures

16

European Buyouts 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR

Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters

+8.0%+8.0%

-3.9%-3.9%

+8.3%+8.3%

Page 17: 2009 European Performance Figures

17

European Private Equity 3-,5-,10-Year Rolling IRRs

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

3-Year IRR 5-Year IRR 10-Year IRR

Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters

+5.2%+5.2%

-3.9%-3.9%

+6.5%+6.5%

Page 18: 2009 European Performance Figures

18

Comparators

Stage European Private Equity Return

JP Morgan Euro Bonds

HSBC Small Company

index

Morgan Stanley

Euro Index

Early-stage -1.3 9.6 6.4 -0.3

Development 6.5 9.5 8.1 4.4

Balanced 2.1 8.6 6.0 1.4

All venture 1.6 9.5 6.7 3.0

Buyout 11.9 10.2 7.2 -0.7

Generalist 9.1 9.9 6.7 5.6

All private equity

8.9 9.8 6.9 0.9

Source: Thomson Reuters

Annualised net pooled IRR from inception to 31-12-2009

Page 19: 2009 European Performance Figures

19

Comparators

-5

0

5

10

15

20

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

%

Morgan Stanley Euro Equity HSBC Small Company Equity JP Morgan Euro Bonds European Private Equity

+9.8%+9.8%

+0.9%+0.9%

+8.9%+8.9%

+6.9%+6.9%

*Comparators are Internal Rates of Return (IRR). IRRs for public market indices are calculated by investing the equivalent cash flows that were invested in private equity into the public market index. Then an equivalent IRR is calculated for each index. Calculations based on methodology proposed by J Coller and published by A Long and C Nickles.

Annualised net pooled IRRs from inception to 31-12-2009

Source: Thomson Reuters

Page 20: 2009 European Performance Figures

20

Conclusions

§ Stable long-term return for private equity at 8.9%

§ Top-quarter private equity funds return 21.8%

§ Five-year returns remain strong at 6.5%

§ While three-year returns are impacted by the economic crisis, one-year returns are back into positive territory at 7.7%

§ Regional rankings remain unchanged (five-year horizon IRRs): European buyouts (8.3%), US buyouts (5.3%), US venture (4.3%) and European venture (0.8%)

§ The since-inception private equity net IRR outperformed the equity returns achieved by the public equity comparators (HSBC Small Company Index at 6.9% and Morgan Stanley Euro Index at 0.9%), and was slightly behind the return of JP Morgan Euro Bonds Index at 9.8%