2008 by the education trust, inc. college access and success: can we do more? oklahoma enrollment...

159
2 0 0 8 b y T h e E d u c a t i o n T r u s t , I n c . COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

Upload: gerard-joseph

Post on 26-Dec-2015

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More?

Oklahoma Enrollment Management ConferenceFebruary, 2009

Page 2: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Over past 25 years, we’ve made a lot of progress on the access

side.

Page 3: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Immediate College-Going Up

Source: U.S. Dept. of Education, NCES, The Digest of Education Statistics 2002 (2003), Table 183 AND U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey Report, October 2002.

Recent High School Graduates

Page 4: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Most High School Grads Go On To Postsecondary Within 2 Years

Source: NELS: 88, Second (1992) and Third (1994) Follow up; in, USDOE, NCES, “Access to Postsecondary Education for the 1992 High School Graduates”, 1998, Table 2.

Entered Public 2-Year Colleges 26%

Entered 4-Year Colleges 45%

Other Postsecondary 4%

Total 75%

Page 5: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College-going is up for all groups.

Page 6: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Immediate* College-Going Increasing for All Groups: 1980 to 2006

Source: Condition of Education 2008 Table 24-1. http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/2008/section3/table.asp?tableID=902* Percent of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school

Page 7: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College-Going Generally Increasing for All Income Groups

Source: U.S Dept. of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education, 2008, Table 24-1

Page 8: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But though college-going up for minorities, gains among whites

have been greater

Page 9: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

All Groups Up In College-Going from 1980-2006, But Gaps Also Increase

Source: U.S. Department of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education 2006.

Page 10: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And though college going up for low-income students, they still haven’t reached rate of high

income students in mid-seventies.

Page 11: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College-Going Rates by Family Income

YearLow

IncomeMiddle Income

High Income

1976 39% 41% 63%

1986 34% 49% 71%

1996 49% 63% 78%

2006 51% 61% 81%

Source: U.S. Department of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education 2008. Indicator 24.

Page 12: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But access isn’t the only issue:

There’s a question of access to what…

Page 13: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 14: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And what about graduation?

Page 15: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Black and Latino Freshmen Complete College at Lower Rates

(6 Year Rates; All 4-Year Institutions)

Source: U.S. DOE, NCES, 1995-96 Beginning Postsecondary Students Longitudinal Study, Second Follow-Up (BPS: 96/01) in U.S. DOE, NCES, Descriptive Summary of 1995-96 Beginning Postsecondary Students: Six Years Later. Table 7-6 on page 163.

Overall rate: 55%

Page 16: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And from 2-year institutions?

Lower still.

Page 17: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

California Community Colleges:Success Rates for Degree-Bound Freshmen*

Shulock, Nancy. Excludes students who did not complete at least 10 credits.

Page 18: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

The result?

Increases in college completion not commensurate with increases

in college going.

Page 19: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, White

(Age 25-29)

+19

+11

Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25 and older with a BA or higherSources: Condition of Education 2008,Table 24-1. Current Population Survey (1980 to 2002), Annual Social and Economic Supplement to Current Population Survey (2003 to 2007)

Page 20: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, African American (Age 25-29)

+7

+12

Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25 and older with a BA or higherSources: Condition of Education 2008,Table 24-1. Current Population Survey (1980 to 2002), Annual Social and Economic Supplement to Current Population Survey (2003 to 2007)

Page 21: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, Latino

(Age 25-29)

+6

+2

Immediate College-going refers to the percentage of high school completers who were enrolled in college the October after completing high school. Percent attaining their BA refers to the percentage of 25 and older with a BA or higherSources: Condition of Education 2008,Table 24-1. Current Population Survey (1980 to 2002), Annual Social and Economic Supplement to Current Population Survey (2003 to 2007)

Page 22: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Gaps WidenCompletion of BA or Higher for All Groups

(Age 25 to 29): 1980 to 2007

Source: 1980 to 2005, Current Population Survey, 2003 to 2007 Annual Social and Economic Supplement to Current Population Survey

Page 23: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Add it all up…

Page 24: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Different groups of young Americans obtain degrees at

very different rates.

Page 25: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College

25-29 Year Olds with B.A. or

Higher

White 35.5%

Black 19.5%

Latino 11.6%

Source: U.S. Department of Education, NCES, The Condition of Education 2008. Indicator 25.

Page 26: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College

Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, Number 156, June 2005, “Family Income and Higher Education Opportunity 1970 to 2003”

Note: SES is a weighted variable developed by NCES, which includes parental education levels and occupations and family income. “High” and “low” refer to the highest and lowest quartiles of SES.

B.A. Rate by Age 24

Young People from High SES Families

75%

Young People from Low SES Families

9%

Page 27: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

These rates threaten health of our democracy.

But even for those who don’t care much about that, they are particularly

worrisome, given which groups are growing…and which aren’t.

Page 28: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Growth Differs Substantially by Group

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projections

Page 29: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Not surprisingly, our international lead is slipping away

We’re still relatively strong (although no longer in the lead)

with all adults.

Page 30: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

U.S: 3rd Out of 30 OECD Countriesin Overall Postsecondary Attainment

Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

United States (38%)

Page 31: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

U.S. tied for 9th out of 30 OECD nations in the percentage of younger workers with

an associates degree or higher

Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

United States (39%)

Page 32: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

U.S. is one of only two OECD nations where today’s young people are not better educated than their parents

Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

United States (0)

Page 33: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

To reach top performing countries

Source: 2007 OECD Education at a Glance, www.oecd.org/edu/eag2007. Note: data is for 2005.

Page 34: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

WHAT’S GOING ON?

Many in higher education would like to believe that this is mostly about lousy high schools and stingy federal and

state policymakers.

Page 35: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

They are not all wrong.

Page 36: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Low Income and Minority Students Continue to be

Clustered in Schools where we spend less…

Page 37: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Nation:Inequities in State and Local Revenue

Per Student

Gap

High Poverty vs. Low Poverty Districts

-$907 per student

High Minority vs. Low Minority Districts

-$614 per student

Source: The Education Trust, The Funding Gap 2005. Data are for 2003

Page 38: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

…expect less

Page 39: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Source: Prospects (ABT Associates, 1993), in “Prospects: Final Report on Student Outcomes”, PES, DOE, 1997.

Students in Poor Schools Receive ‘A’s for Work That Would Earn ‘Cs’

in Affluent Schools

Page 40: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

…teach them less

Page 41: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Source: CCSSO, State Indicators of Science and Mathematics Education, 2001

Fewer Latino students are enrolled

in Algebra 2

Page 42: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

African American, Latino & Native American high school graduates are less likely to have

been enrolled in a full college prep track

per

cen

t in

co

lleg

e p

rep

Source: Jay P. Greene, Public High School Graduation and College Readiness Rates in the United States, Manhattan Institute, September 2003. Table 8. 2001 high school graduates with college-prep curriculum.

Full College Prep track is defined as at least: 4 years of English, 3 years of math, 2 years of natural science, 2 years of social science and 2 years of foreign language

Page 43: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

…and assign them our least qualified teachers.

Page 44: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

More Classes in High-Poverty, High-Minority Schools Taught By Out-of-Field

Teachers

*Teachers lacking a college major or minor in the field. Data for secondary-level core academic classes.Source: Richard M. Ingersoll, University of Pennsylvania. Original analysis for the Ed Trust of 1999-2000 Schools and Staffing Survey .

High poverty Low poverty High minority Low minorityNote: High Poverty school-50% or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low-poverty school -15% or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced price lunch.

High-minority school - 50% or more of the students are nonwhite. Low-minority school- 15% or fewer of the students are nonwhite.

Page 45: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Poor and Minority Students Get More Inexperienced* Teachers

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, “Monitoring Quality: An Indicators Report,” December 2000.

*Teachers with 3 or fewer years of experience.

High poverty Low poverty High minority Low minority

Note: High poverty refers to the top quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. Low poverty-bottom quartile of schools with students eligible for free/reduced price lunch. High minority-top quartile; those schools with the highest concentrations of minority students. Low minority-bottom quartile of schools with the lowest concentrations of minority students

Page 46: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

While we’re making some progress in addressing these

problems in elementary schools…

Page 47: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP Reading, 9 Year-Olds:

Record Performance for All Groups

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Page 48: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP Math, 9 Year-Olds: Record Performance for All Groups

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Page 49: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

We have not yet turned the corner in our high schools.

Gaps between groups are wider today than they were in 1990.

Page 50: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP Reading, 17 Year-Olds

21 29

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Page 51: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP Math, 17 Year-Olds

20 28

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP 2004 Trends in Academic Progress

Note: Long-Term Trends NAEP

Page 52: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And no matter how you cut the data, our performance relative to other

countries isn’t much to brag about.

Page 53: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2003: U.S. Ranked 24th out of 29 OECD Countries in Mathematics

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results , data available at http://www.oecd.org/

Page 54: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

PISA 2006 Science Of 30 OECD Countries, U.S.A. Ranked 21st

U.S.A.

Source: NCES, PISA 2006 Results, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/

Higher than U.S. average Not measurably different from U.S. average Lower than U.S. average

Page 55: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

PISA 2003: Problem-Solving, US Ranks 24th Out of 29 OECD Countries

Source: NCES, 2005, International Outcomes of Learning in Mathematics, Literacy and Problem Solving: 2003 PISA Results.NCES 2005-003

Page 56: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

So yes, preparation is part of the problem.

Page 57: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And so is government support for financial aid.

Both the federal government and state governments have shifted more and more of their aid resources toward

more affluent students.

Page 58: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 59: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Maximum Pell Grant Coverage of Cost of College

Page 60: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 61: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But colleges and universities are not

unimportant actors in this drama of shrinking opportunity, either.

.

Page 62: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

For one thing, the shifts away from poor students in institutional

aid money are MORE PRONOUNCED than the shifts in

government aid.

Page 63: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Students from Families with Income < $40,000, 1995:56% of Institutional Aid,38% of students on Public 4-Year Campuses

Source: National Postsecondary Student Aid, (2003-2004) data analysis conducted by Jerry Davis for the Education Trust

Note: These numbers reflect outcomes students in four-year public colleges.

Page 64: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

By 2003, Aid and Enrollment Had Declined For Students from Family Income < $40,000

Source: National Postsecondary Student Aid, (2003-2004) data analysis conducted by Jerry Davis for the Education Trust

Note: These figures are for students in four-year public colleges.

Page 65: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 66: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 67: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

This is true even in our most prestigious public universities.

Flagships and other Public Research Extensive Universities

Page 68: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Flagships spend more money on aid than their students receive

from either federal or state sources.

They could choose to cushion the effects of increased cost on poor

students. But they don’t.

Page 69: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Big increases in spending on high income students

Page 70: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Typical institutional grant recipient in low-income family now gets LESS than typical

grant recipient in high income family

Page 71: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Today, almost 60% of institutional aid dollars in 4-year public colleges go to students

with NO FINANCIAL NEED!

Source: Sandy Baum, The College Board, 2008

Page 72: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

So it’s not all about the students. What colleges do is important.

Page 73: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Moreover, what colleges do also turns out to be very important in whether students graduate or

not.

Page 74: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Current College Completion Rates:4-Year Colleges

• Approximately 4 in 10 entering freshmen obtain a Bachelor’s degree within 4 years;

• Within six years of entry, that proportion rises to about 6 in 10.

• If you go further, to look at graduation from ANY institution, numbers grow to about two-thirds.

Page 75: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But graduation rates vary widely across the nation’s postsecondary

institutions

Page 76: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Some of these differences are clearly attributable to differences

in student preparation and/or institutional mission.

Page 77: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Increased Competitiveness of Institutions Results in Increased Graduation Rates for All, but African-

American and Latino Students Still Lag Behind

Source: Ed Trust analysis of NCES’ IPEDS data 2005The Education Trust, 2008

Page 78: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Indeed, with enough data on both institutions and students, we can find a way to “explain”

about 70% of the variance among institutions.

Page 79: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But…when you dig underneath the averages, one

thing is very clear:

Some colleges are far more successful than their students’

“stats” would suggest.

Page 80: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Warning: I’m going to focus on graduation rates for first-

time, full-time freshmen here.No, not perfect measure. For many institutions, the IPEDS

cohort represents only small part of their graduates. Some

institutions do other things well…but not often.

Page 81: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College Results Online

Page 82: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Page 83: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

So, what do you learn?Some institutions that have same mission, same focus and serve essentially same

students…get far better results.

Page 84: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Research InstitutionsSimilar Students, Different Results

MedianSAT Size % Pell % URM

Overall Grad Rate

URM Grad Rate

Penn StateUniversity

1,190 33,684 18.5% 7.4% 84.2% 68.8%

University of Wisconsin

1,260 27,869 13.7% 5.9% 76.7% 57%

University of Washington

1,200 24,540 23.2% 8.7% 74.3% 63.7%

Purdue University

1,145 30,579 18.4% 6.6% 66.4% 52.4%

University of Minnesota

1,165

28,910 18.4% 7.2% 60.7% 41.4%

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

Page 85: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Research Universities: More Poor and Minority Students

Similar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell % URM

Overall Grad Rate

URM Grad Rate

Temple University

1,090 22,022 34.4% 21.8% 57.3% 55.3%

East Carolina

1,040 16,464 29.6% 17.4% 54.4% 58.1%

San Diego State

1,080 23,088 31.2% 24.2% 53% 39.3%

University of N. Texas

1,100 21,648 26.7% 23.9% 43.4% 41.4%

Middle Tennessee State

1,030

18,324 28% 14.6% 40.2% 38.8%

Page 86: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Masters Institutions – LargeSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell

Overall Graduation

RateUniversity of Northern Iowa

1,045 10,167 26.5% 65%

Montclair State

1,045 10,664 27.1% 58.3%

Western Illinois

990 10,639 28.9% 55.4%

University of Wisconsin Whitewater

1,030 8,844 21% 50%

Southern Illinois Edwardsville

1,045 9,803 29.1% 44.8%

Page 87: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Historically Black CollegesSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell

Overall Graduation

RateElizabeth City 835 2,390 65.6% 48.8%

Delaware State

810 3,111 52.1% 35.1%

University of ArkansasPine Bluff

775 2,931 75.3% 30.3%

Norfolk State 880 4,726 55.5% 29.2%

Coppin State

2,968 67.1% 20.2%

Page 88: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Research Universities, PrivateSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell % URM

Overall Grad Rate

URM Grad Rate

Princeton 1,480 4,761 8.2% 16.1% 97% 92.1%

Notre Dame

1,385 8,265 10.1% 13% 95% 89%

Brown 1,435 6,013 12.3% 14.6% 95.1% 92.9%

Tufts 1405 5,764 11.4% 13.2% 89.7% 80%

Bucknell 1,310

3,579 11.2% 5.2% 89.5% 82.9%

Page 89: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Bottom Line:

• So yes, we have to keep working to improve our high schools;

• But we’ve got to focus on improving our colleges, too.

Page 90: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

What can we do?

Page 91: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

First, let’s be clear:improving high schools is

hugely important.

Page 92: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Far too many of our high schools—especially those serving concentrations of poor and

minority students—don’t prepare their students for much of

anything.

Page 93: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Surely not in Oklahoma, right?

Aren’t almost all of our kids proficient?

Page 94: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Oklahoma State Test 4th Grade Reading 2005

Page 95: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP 4th Grade Reading: Oklahoma, 2005

Page 96: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Oklahoma State Test 8th Grade Math 2005

Page 97: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NAEP 8th Grade Math: Oklahoma, 2005

Page 98: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 4 Reading Average Overall Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

National Average

Proficient Scale Score: 238

OKLAHOMA

Page 99: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 4 Reading Average Native American Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 238

National Average

OKLAHOMA

Page 100: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 4 Reading Average African American Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 238

National Average

OKLAHOMA

Page 101: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 4 Reading Average Latino Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 238

National Average OKLAHOMA

Page 102: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 4 Reading Average White Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 238

National Average OKLAHOMA

Page 103: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 8 Math Average Overall Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 299

National Average OKLAHOMA

Page 104: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 8 Math Average Native American Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 299

National Average

OKLAHOMA

Page 105: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 8 Math Average African American Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 299

National Average

OKLAHOMA

Page 106: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 8 Math Average Latino Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 299

National Average OKLAHOMA

Page 107: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2007 NAEP Grade 8 Math Average White Scale Scores by State

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/

Proficient Scale Score: 299

National Average

OKLAHOMA

Page 108: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Work on aligning standards, assessments and high school course requirements matters a

lot.

American Diploma Project

Page 109: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

But everybody in this room knows that policy alignment is only the first—and perhaps the

easiest—step.

Page 110: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

To get students to these standards, teachers will need:

• Robust curriculum materials;

• Help designing powerful units, assignments;

• Help mastering the array of teaching strategies necessary to get all learners to much higher standards;

• Better data on how their students are doing along the way.

Page 111: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

This is particularly fertile ground for high school/college

collaboration.

Page 112: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Chicago “Pot-holes” Study

• Importance of establishing “college culture” in high schools;

• Propensity of even high achieving first-generation students to choose colleges they could have attended without cracking a book;

• Need for high schools to “push” students through the selection, application and aid process, even as colleges “pull” them.

Page 113: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

What to do on the higher education side?

Page 114: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

In recent years, many studies:

• George Kuh, Vince Tinto

• Pell Institute: Demography is Not Destiny

• AASCU: Student Success in State Colleges and Universities and Hispanic Student Success

• Institute for Higher Education Policy: Increasing Student Success at Minority-Serving Institutions

Page 115: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

• Policy Analysis for California Education: Beyond Access: How the First Semester Matters for Community College Students

• MDRC: Community College Success;• Excelencia;• Education Sector: Graduation Rate Watch:

Making Minority Student Success a Priority;• Education Trust: One Step from the Finish

Line and Choosing to Improve

Page 116: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Some Important Lessons from Unusually Successful

Institutions

Page 117: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

1. They look at their data…and act.

Page 118: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Masters Institutions – LargeSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell

Overall Graduation

RateUniversity of Northern Iowa

1,045 10,167 26.5% 65%

Montclair State

1,045 10,664 27.1% 58.3%

Western Illinois

990 10,639 28.9% 55.4%

University of Wisconsin Whitewater

1,030 8,844 21% 50%

Southern Illinois Edwardsville

1,045 9,803 29.1% 44.8%

Page 119: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

• Student complaint…• Critical Path Analysis…• Course availability: major problem. Too

few sections of courses required for the major were creating choke points…which, in turn, created other choke points.

• Answer: added more sections. Often, only one was enough to make the difference.

Page 120: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Also created two new tools for students:

• Degree audit tool allows students to map out careers, majors, see what happens when change major;

• New online Course Template. Students see how changes affect graduation. Shows what happens if veer from “critical path course.”

Page 121: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

“The moral of this story is that when you get a complaint, don’t assume it is the student’s fault. Investigate, if you find it is a real problem, try to solve it for that student and you will probably solve it for a lot of students.”

Aaron Podolefsky,

Provost, Northern Iowa

Page 122: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Another Example of Looking at the data—and acting:

Two states in our P-16 network—KY and NV—have done analyses of student progression, focused

specifically on students with developmental needs.

Conclusion: Student who take those courses immediately on entry are much

more likely to succeed.

Page 123: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Both now have new policies.

Page 124: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

2. They pay attention to the details, especially leading

indicators.

Page 125: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Successful institutions don’t just aim at the final goal—

graduation—they concentrate on each step along the way,

especially the early ones.

Page 126: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Historically Black CollegesSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell

Overall Graduation

RateElizabeth City 835 2,390 65.6% 48.8%

Delaware State

810 3,111 52.1% 35.1%

University of ArkansasPine Bluff

775 2,931 75.3% 30.3%

Norfolk State 880 4,726 55.5% 29.2%

Coppin State

2,968 67.1% 20.2%

Page 127: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Elizabeth City State

• Attendance mandatory. Faculty members monitor; call when absent.

• Faculty advisors track absences, mid-term grades. Expected to meet with students in trouble.

• Deans, Provost monitor the data—and ACT when involves one faculty member.

• Everybody on campus assumes responsibility for acting on warning signs.

Page 128: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Technology can play a role.

University of Alabama

Tide Early Alert System flags students with excessive

absences, D’s, F’s or withdrawals at six week point.

Page 129: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

3. They take on Introductory Classes

Page 130: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NASH CEO Session

Looking at D’s, F’s, W’s in Math

Page 131: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

NASH/EdTrust Math Success Initiative

9 Systems Analyzing Data on Student Success in Math Courses

Page 132: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Participating Systems

• State Univ System of Florida

• University System of Georgia

• University of Hawaii System

• Purdue University• State University of

New York

• Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Ed

• University of Louisiana System

• Mississippi Institutions of Higher Learning

• Nevada System of Higher Education

Page 133: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Some Initial Findings• Large numbers of remedial students not successful—either

withdraw or fail.• Large D, F, W rates in first several credit-bearing courses• Preparation matters. Students who have higher ACT math

subscores, for example, more likely to be successful. BUT prep levels only explain a small part of success (ACT around one-third; SAT even less).

• Math coursework taken during senior year important. Many students taking courses below Algebra 1.

• In many cases, students who test as non-ready have success rates in non-remedial courses equal to those in the remedial courses designed for them. (California Community Colleges, too.)

• Wide differences in these rates even among comparable institutions.

Page 134: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Drop-Failure-Withdrawal RatesMathematics: 2000

• Georgia State U 45%• Louisiana State U 36%• Rio CC 41%• U of Alabama 60%• U of Missouri-SL 50%• UNC-Greensboro 77%• UNC-Chapel Hill 19%• Wayne State U 61%

Source: National Center for Academic Transformation

Page 135: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Drop-Failure-Withdrawal RatesOther Disciplines: 2000

• Calhoun CC Statistics 35%• Chattanooga State Psychology 37%• Drexel U Computing 51%• IUPUI Sociology 39%• SW MN State U Biology 37%• Tallahassee CC English Comp 46%• U of Iowa Chemistry 25%• U of New Mexico Psychology 39%• U of S Maine Psychology 28%• UNC-Greensboro Statistics 70%

Source: National Center for Academic Transformation

Page 136: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Of course, some of this may be about preparation. But clearly

not all…Course Redesign

Page 137: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Doctoral/Research UniversitiesSimilar Students, Different Results

Source: College Results Online 2005 data

MedianSAT Size % Pell % URM

Overall Grad Rate

URM Grad Rate

Ohio University

1,065 16,465 28.5% 5.3% 70.9% 58.7%

University of Alabama

1,065 16,405 24.1% 13.7% 62.9% 58.6%

University of Tennessee

1,125 19,255 22.8% 10.7% 57.2% 54.5%

Ball State 1,040 16,513 22.8% 8.5% 54.2% 43.7%

Northern Illinois

1,030

17,228 28.5% 19.6% 53.3% 38.7%

Page 138: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

College Algebra Course Redesign:UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA

SUCCESS RATES • Fall 1998• Fall 1999

• Fall 2000• Fall 2001• Fall 2002• Fall 2003• Fall 2004

• 47.1%• 40.6%

• 50.2%• 60.5%• 63.0%• 78.9%• 76.2%

Page 139: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Also, totally eliminated black/white gap in course

outcomes.Same students.

Same preparation.

Different results.

Page 140: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

And didn’t just close gaps in course outcomes.

In 2001, black freshmen at Alabama graduated at a rate 9

points below white freshmen. By the class of 2006, black students were graduating at a rate 2 points

HIGHER than white students.

Page 141: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

4. They don’t hesitate to demand, require.

Page 142: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Alabama: faculty in redesigned courses reluctant

to make weekly lab time mandatory. But every time

they backed off, results dropped.

Page 143: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Same pattern with idea of monitoring attendance,

mandatory participation in study sessions….

The successful institutions, though, tend to do exactly that.

They don’t leave things to chance.

Page 144: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

San Diego State University and

University of Houston

• Similar Institutions

• Similar enrollment percentages of Latinos

• Similar SAT

Page 145: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Different Results Over Time

2002 Latino Graduation Rate

2006 Latino Graduation Rate

University of Houston

34.8% 41.1%

San Diego State

31.4% 54%

Page 146: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

What do the folks at SDSU think made the difference?

1. Making services, supports more coherent.

2. Making what was optional, mandatory.

Page 147: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

5. They assign clear responsibility for student

success.

Page 148: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Black/White Graduation Rate Gaps:Similar Institutions

Black/White Grad Rate Gap

Florida State University 3%

The University of Texas at Austin -5%

University of Central Florida -7%

Louisiana State University -8%

University of Missouri Columbia -15%

Texas A&M -17%

University of Wisconsin Madison -22%

Michigan State University -24%

Page 149: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Florida State CARE Initiative• Many black students come from local school

districts;• Care program works with them in high school;• Admission standards relaxed, but summer

transition program required;• ONGOING SUPPORT, MONITORING ON

CAMPUS;• Example: special sections of freshman math

courses, smaller and meet every day.

Page 150: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

CARE reports to VPs for Student Affairs AND

Undergraduate Education

Page 151: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Results?

• CARE students entering SAT: 940(average success nationally: 56%)

• Non-CARE students entering SAT: 1204 (average success nationally: 73%)

• But at Florida State, CARE students persist to second year at higher rate than non CARE students; and,

• CARE students graduate at exactly same rate.

Page 152: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

6. Their leaders make sure student success is a priority.

Page 153: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

AASCU Study: At Successful Institutions, Presidents:

• Articulate a clear vision—and use numbers;• Create vehicle for taking stock;• Act strategically—rarely programmatically;• Monitor and report on progress;• Constantly “walk the talk”.

Pell Institute Report: Emphasizes importance of acting. Faculty committees get discouraged when recommendations aren’t acted on.

Page 154: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

Delivery is the important part, though.

Page 155: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

7. They bring back the ones they lose.

Page 156: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

University of New Mexico

Median SAT: 1010

% Pell: 31.4%

White: 49.8%

African American: 2.8%

Latino: 33.6%

American Indian: 6.6%

Overall 6 year grad rate: 41.6%

Page 157: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

The Graduation Project

• Founder: David Stuart, Assoc Provost• Insight: A lot of the students who leave

without a degree leave pretty close—and in good standing.

• Core idea of project: Track them down and invite them back.

• Criteria: 2.0 gpa or better, at least 98 credits

• Universe: 3000

Page 158: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

• Used credit company to track them down

• Offer: – shortened (and free) application for re-admission, – degree summary showing exactly which courses

short, – priority enrollment in those courses, and – help with problems along the way.

– Result: Of those 3000, 1800 now have degrees and 59 have graduate degrees.

Page 159: 2008 by The Education Trust, Inc. COLLEGE ACCESS AND SUCCESS: Can We Do More? Oklahoma Enrollment Management Conference February, 2009

20

08

by T

he

Ed

uca

tion

Tru

st, Inc.

The Education Trustwww.edtrust.org

Washington, DC: 202-293-1217

Oakland, CA: 510-465-6444