2007 david k. linnan securities’ types & behavior prof david k. linnan laws #600 august 22,...
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2007 David K. Linnan
SECURITIES’ TYPES &
BEHAVIORProf David K. Linnan
LAWS #600August 22, 2007
2007 David K. Linnan
CONCEPTS IBACKGROUND FOR TODAY
Be conscious that we are talking on the side of securities, valuations and markets today, so we are talking in effect about “ownership” rather than “management,” any you are doing a budget b-school introduction; EXCEPT when we talk about options behavior and the contest between debt and equity
2007 David K. Linnan
CONCEPTS IISIX CONCEPTS FOR TODAY
1. How different kinds of securities interrelate and behave, constituting capital structure
2. Financial asset concept (stream of payments & certainty)
a. Bonds?b. Stock?c. Derivatives?
3. Discounted present value/terminal value calculations
2007 David K. Linnan
CONCEPTS IIISIX CONCEPTS FOR TODAY (CONT’D)
4. Expectation theory of interest rates/yield curve shows current rates, but they change daily (HIDDEN, BUT
STILL THERE)
5. Market interest rate concept, treasury bills currently ?%, recently ?%, how much one year ago; assume fixed payment stream like bond, can calculate current value based on current conditions
6. Valuing streams of payments/financial assets on present discounted basis using risk-free rate plus (default) premium (AT LEAST FOR 20 YEARS,
$10,000 ANNUALLY AT TREASURIES PLUS 1%)
2007 David K. Linnan
PAYMENT STREAM IANSWER ON 20 YEARS OF $10,000 PER YEAR STRUCTURED
SETTLEMENT AT TREASURIES PLUS 100 BASIS POINTS
1. Assume $10,000 today and 19 years of discounted payments (paid at end of year)2. Using 08/21/07 treasury rates from US Treasury at
http://www.ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/yield.htmlwith a bit of interpolation, equals…
$116,007.20 (my simplest calculation)
3. Annuity interpolated at 10 year rate plus 100 basis points equals
roughly $120,000
2007 David K. Linnan
PAYMENT STREAM IIANSWER ON 20 YEARS OF $10,000 PER YEAR
STRUCTURED SETTLEMENT AT TREASURIES PLUS 100 BASIS POINTS
$116,007.20
Why not $200,000?
What about Tobacco settlements?
What about contingency recoveries?
2007 David K. Linnan
SECURITIES TYPES ICommon Stock
Preferred Stock
(liquidation pref & possible dividend)
LOOK AT SAMPLE MIDTERM FOR ARTICLES OF INCORP
2007 David K. Linnan
SECURITIES TYPES IIDebt
Look at credit ratings for default risk, etc., security
Options & Warrants
Look at behavior question on leveraging