2002 interim results
DESCRIPTION
2002 INTERIM RESULTS. Financial Results Six month performance. 2002 H1. 2001 H2. 2001 H1. Continuing turnover (£m) PBT * (£m) EPS * (p) Dividend per share (p) Net cash (£m) Margin (%). 412.8 40.7 8.9 3.0 50.4 8.8. 441.1 25.1 6.3 1.0 49.3 4.9. 489.4 71.7 11.8 11.0 - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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2002 INTERIM RESULTS 2002 INTERIM RESULTS
Continuing turnover (£m)
PBT * (£m)
EPS * (p)
Dividend per share (p)
Net cash (£m)
Margin (%)
Financial Results Financial Results Six month performance
20022002H1H1
2001H2
2001H1
*before exceptionals and amortisation of intangibles
441.1
25.1
6.3
1.0
49.3
4.9
412.8
40.7
8.9
3.0
50.4
8.8
489.4
71.7
11.8
11.0
250.7
12.2 2
3United Business Media
2002 Review of First Half 2002 Review of First Half YearYear
Very challenging market conditions
Strong performance from businesses in Asia, UK and Europeunderlying profit of £21m, up 68% on £13m in H1 2001
Lower US revenue mitigated by continuing action on costs CMP Media revenue down 38 % on 2001PR Newswire revenue down 21 % on 2001
Market share gains continueNOP UK sales up 3% to end July, BMRA down 2.6% to end JunePRN Disclose over 10% of LSE announcementsCMP Media H1 29% vs 25%
4United Business Media
2002 Review of First Half 2002 Review of First Half YearYear
Improvement on second half of 2001EPS of 8.9p vs 6.3p
Additional £55m of cost savings secured Now total of £165m (24%) off 2000 fixed cost base
113.5% cash conversion – net cash positive £50.4 m
Balance sheet strength is a competitive advantageControlling costs to deliver profits
5United Business Media
Implementation of StrategyImplementation of StrategyBuilding a leader in business information by investing in core businesses
Emphasis on products and value
Organic investment programme increased to extend product range
Improving competitive position
Improving operational leverage
Retaining strong balance sheet
Building and realising value in non core assets
6United Business Media
Key Investor IssuesKey Investor Issues
Leverage
Quality of Earnings
Acquisition Risk
Dependency on US High Tech
Longer Term Growth
No net borrowings
Over 100% cash conversion andprudent accounting policies
Committed to areas of expertise
Cautious on values
High Tech currently loss making
Attractive upside potential
Market leading positions in growth markets
GENERAL MARKET ISSUES
UBM SPECIFIC ISSUES
7United Business Media
OutlookOutlook
UK, Asia and Europetrading well, with strong margin growth in UK
UScontinuing low visibilitytrading climate difficult with deflationary pressures and no expectation of any improvement in 2002
NOPUK and US syndicated trading wellHealthcare and US ad hoc revenue pressures
8United Business Media
OutlookOutlook
PR Newswirecorporate scandals and cost pressure curtailing client expenditure
CMP Mediaplanning assumption
• dollar revenues down 45 per cent on 2000further efficiencies being delivered
• approaching break-even in H2
Marginon target to improve margins in H2 to 9% to 10% (4.9% H2 2001)
2003 margins should improve to in excess of 11%
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FINANCIAL REVIEW
10United Business Media
Continuing turnover (£m)
Continuing operating profit* (£m)
Discontinued operating profit* (£m)
Total operating profit* (£m)
Interest (£m)
PBT * (£m)
Taxation* (£m)
EPS * (p)
Dividend per share (p)
Financial Results Financial Results Six months to 30 June
20022002 2001 Change %
*before exceptionals and amortisation of intangibles
489.4
59.5
(19.1)
40.4
31.3
71.7
(14.3)
11.8
11.0
412.8
36.4
-
36.4
4.3
40.7
(9.8)
8.9
3.0
(15.7)
(38.8)
-
(9.9)
(86.3)
(43.2)
(31.5)
(25.0)
-
11United Business Media
Turnover (£m)
Total operating profit* (£m)
Interest (£m)
PBT * (£m)
Taxation* (£m)
EPS * (p)
Dividend per share (p)
Financial Results Financial Results 1st half 2002 Vs 2nd half 2001
20022002H1H1
2001H2 Change
%
*before exceptionals and amortisation of intangibles
412.8
36.4
4.3
40.7
(9.8)
8.9
3.0
441.8
20.6
4.5
25.1
(10.7)
6.3
1.0
(6.6)
76.7
(4.4)
62.2
8.4
41.3
-
12United Business Media
Operating profit (before goodwill & exceptionals)
Depreciation
Capex
Working capital/other
Operating cash inflow
Cash conversion
20022002£m’s£m’s
36.4
12.1
(5.8)
(1.4)
41.3
113.5%
Cash ConversionCash ConversionSix months to 30 June
Further Cash FlowsFurther Cash FlowsSix months to 30 June
Operating cash inflow
Investments (including Channel 5)
Dividends paid
Tax refunded
Net interest paid
Payments relating to prior year disposals
Payments against restructuring and exceptionals
Other
Increase in cash in the period
20022002£m’s£m’s
41.3
(6.1)
(4.3)
14.4
(5.5)
(25.0)
(23.3)
9.6
1.1 13
14United Business Media
Segmental AnalysisSegmental AnalysisSix months to 30 June
20022002£m£m
20022002£m£m
Group TurnoverGroup Turnover Operating Operating ProfitProfitChange
%Change
%Underlying
%Underlying
%
NOP World
PR Newswire
CMP Media
CMP Asia
CMP Information
UAP
Total Continuing
101.5
57.5
136.5
25.5
62.3
29.5
412.8
33.4
(20.5)
(37.8)
5.8
(8.1)
-
(15.7)
11.4
12.3
(9.2)
7.7
7.3
6.9
36.4
7.5
(42.8)
-
(6.1)
-
43.8
(38.8)
(6.8)
(21.2)
(31.2)
(7.7)
(5.9)
-
(18.9)
(5.9)
(30.5)
-
(6.2)
-
57.8
(43.0)
15United Business Media
UBM by GeographyUBM by GeographySix months to 30 June 2002
UK28.9%
US 64.7%
E&ME0.8%
Asia5.6%
REVENUE
UK39.3%
US43.4%
Asia17.3%
OPERATING PROFIT
16United Business Media
Investment CriteriaInvestment Criteria
Net debt capacity around £400m
minimum interest cover of 5 times
conservative approach to financing
Acquisition financial criteria
cost of capital 8%
generally eps enhancing first full year
17United Business Media
Investment Criteria Investment Criteria
Investment targets
exhibitions - break even in year 2
organic - 2 to 4 year payback
benchmarked against returns on buying back shares
Acquisition and investment performance
mixed performance from acquisitions
integration and cost benefits on track
impacted by general US economic pressures
organic initiatives on target
18United Business Media
ACCOUNTING CHECKLISTACCOUNTING CHECKLIST
Off balance sheet financing/SPV
Capitalisation of costs
Reported sales revenue
Restructuring costs
“Underlying” growth rates
Goodwill amortisation period
FRS17
Derivatives
Balance sheet
None
None
No % completion accounting
2002 costs expensed
Acquisitions stripped out
Lives shortened to ten years
£60m deficit
Fully disclosed
Net cash positive
19
OPERATIONAL REVIEW
20United Business Media
Delivery of Performance Delivery of Performance TargetsTargets
Cost savings
Margins
Market Share
Successful organic investments
A Stronger Business for Today AND TOMORROWA Stronger Business for Today AND TOMORROW
Constantly Improving Operational Constantly Improving Operational EfficiencyEfficiencyCost savings Vs 2000 fixed cost base
August 2001
March 2002
August2002
£60m
£110m
£165m
700Staff
1400Staff
1900Staff
Staffing down by over 30% inPRN, CMP Media and CMPi
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Operational ObjectivesOperational Objectives Margin TargetsMargin Targets
2001H1
MediumTerm
2002H2
12.2%9% to10%
15%
8.8%
2002
H1
4.9%
2001H2
2003
11% +
22
23United Business Media
NOP World - Market NOP World - Market ResearchResearchSix months to 30 June
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover
US
RoW
Operating profit
US
RoW
Margin
70.6
30.9
101.5
8.0
3.4
11.4
11.2%
43.9
32.2
76.1
8.2
2.4
10.6
60.8
(4.0)
33.4
(2.4)
41.7
7.5
(4.7)
(9.6)
(6.8)
(24.4)
56.5
(5.9)
24United Business Media
NOP WorldNOP WorldSix months to 30 June 2002
Revenue and profit boosted by acquisitions
Underlying revenue down 6.8% and profit down 5.9%
Downturn in health sector, especially US
Underlying margin 13.6% holding firm on last year
Roper pre-acquisition had margins of 5%
Strength in syndicated and in UK
Rapid growth in online research
25United Business Media
NOP WorldNOP WorldActions and outlook
Intensified client focus
Key new client wins
Healthcare issues peculiar to FDA pipeline & drugs off patent
Pipeline of product launches continues
Market growth outlook: UK and US both flat to down
NOP US: broadly in line with market
NOP UK: positive growth, better than market
26United Business Media
PR Newswire - News PR Newswire - News DistributionDistributionSix months to 30 June
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover
US
RoW
Operating profit
US
RoW
Margin
51.1
6.4
57.5
13.4
(1.1)
12.3
21.4%
64.3
8.0
72.3
22.3
(0.8)
21.5
(20.5)
(20.0)
(20.5)
(39.9)
(37.5)
(42.8)
(20.9)
(23.4)
(21.2)
(31.2)
(100.0)
(30.5)
27United Business Media
Volume down 13.2% and revenue per message down 5.6%
cautious customers trading down
continuing absence of M&A, IPO’s
in market turmoil corporates want low profile
30% reduction in staff since end of 2000
Robust performance from key evaluation products
grown from 13% to 15% of turnover
60% Fortune 500
News DistributionNews DistributionSix months to 30 June 2002
28United Business Media
Action on margins to mitigate effect of market conditions
Corporate publicity aversion is temporary
Investors and regulators will increase disclosure
Pipeline of product launches continues
building on strength of “evaluation” products
Market share gains in both US and UK,
UK Disclose taking market share faster than expected
News DistributionNews DistributionActions and outlook
29United Business Media
Operating Profit
Professional MediaProfessional Media: CMP : CMP MediaMediaSix months to 30 June
Turnover
(9.2) 14.0 -
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
136.5 219.6 (37.8
)(31.2
)
-
30United Business Media
CMP Media CMP Media Six months to 30 June 2002
Loss of £9.2m this half Vs £22.2m in second half of 2001
additional revenue pressure
further significant cost reductions realised in first half 2002
Significant market share gains: 28.7% Vs 24.6% last year
Yields down 11.2% on H1 2000, in line with H2 2001
Growth in revenue & margin driving medical division forward
CMP MediaCMP MediaActions and outlook
Now planning on $ revenue down around 45% on 2000 continuing levels
Further cost savings in H2 should still leave profits in line with expectations
37% reduction in staff since end 2000
approaching breakeven in second half 2002
Balance sheet strength ensuring improved competitive position
consolidating leveraged position for market recovery
Further process improvements in 2003
Pipeline of product launches continues
Limited visibility, industry indicators suggesting gradual recovery
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32United Business Media
Operating Profit
Professional MediaProfessional Media: CMP : CMP AsiaAsiaSix months to 30 June
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover 25.5 24.1 5.8
7.7 8.2 (6.1)
(7.7)
(6.2)
Margins over 30%, above budget
KSS acquisition in Japan performing well
Over 13,000 sq mtrs for 3 new events successfully launched
Weak US events – cruises and leather down after Sept 11
Record year in jewellery fairs – fashion jewellery up 23%
Operating Profit
Professional MediaProfessional Media: CMP : CMP InformationInformationSix months to 30 June20022002
£m£m2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover
62.3 67.8 (8.1) (5.9)
7.3 0.4 - -
Margins transformed, over 11.7% compared to breakeven last year
Radical cost cutting programme
36% reduction in staff since end 2000
nine titles/events either closed or merged
Five new launches:
including IFSEC Shanghai, Firex South and Intra 33
34United Business Media
UAP - Consumer MediaUAP - Consumer MediaSix months to 30 June
Strong increase in margins from 16% to 23%
Significant cost savings
Strength in used car and homes & leisure markets
• boosted Exchange & Mart
Recovery from impact of foot and mouth
• boosted Dalton’s Weekly
Auto Exchange titles now moved into profit
29.5 29.5 - -
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover
6.9 4.8 43.8 57.8Operating Profit
35United Business Media
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Turnover
Operating profit
Channel 5Channel 5Six months to 30 June
113.7
(2.2)
98.2
(17.8)
15.8
-
Audience share up to 6.4% (5.6%)
Advertising share up to 7.3% (6.2%)
36United Business Media
United Business MediaUnited Business MediaStrategic Priorities
Managing effectively in very challenging markets
Investing in products to build market share and drive growth
A time of opportunity for the prudent
On course to again improve margins in second half and 2003
37
Breakdown of Net Cash and Breakdown of Net Cash and Interest Interest First half 2002 30 June
2002£m
AverageBalance
£m
Interest Rate
% InterestInterest
£m£m
737
(687)
50
154
815
(766)
3.8
4.0
15.5
(15.5)
4.3
4.3
Cash
Debt
Net Cash
Channel 5*
Net Interest
*C5 loan includes shareholder funding loans and working capital** £180m convertible bond repaid Jan 02
**
38
39United Business Media
Source: IMS/Auditor
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
CMP Media
IDG
ZD
Reed Business
Penton
2000 2002
2001
Monthly Market Share Analysis by Ad Page Volumes
CMP Media – High-techCMP Media – High-tech
40United Business Media
CMP Media US RevenuesCMP Media US RevenuesRestated to exclude closures
H1 2002
H1 2000
Continuing revenues $m
Ad page volumes – Month of
June
Ad page volumes – YTD June
329.7
3,585
18,992
189.3
2,015
11,615
Change%
(42.6)
(43.8)
(38.8)
41United Business Media
CMP Media US RevenuesCMP Media US Revenues2000 restated to exclude closuresTwelve months to 31 December
2001$m
2000$m
As reported
Titles and events
closed
Continuing revenues
741
(88)
653
501
(43)
458
Semiconductor Worldwide Semiconductor Worldwide MarketMarketThree Month Moving AverageThree Month Moving Average
02468
101214161820
2000 2001 2002
$Bn’s
Source: Semiconductor Industry Association42
Semiconductor Worldwide Semiconductor Worldwide MarketMarketThree Month Moving AverageThree Month Moving Average
$Bn’s
Source: Semiconductor Industry Association
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Europe Japan Americas Asia Pacific
2002 to end of May
43
Investment confidence has not changed significantly in the UK and the US between March and July 2002.
In the US and UK, growth rates of around 4% in IT spending are predicted for 2002 compared to 2001.
Confidence in Germany is lower than in the other markets, with an increase of only 0.2% expected for the full year 2002 compared to 2001.
There are moderate levels of optimism for 2003 however in all three markets, with predicted increases in expenditure of between 5% and 7% compared to 2002.
The top product areas for growth in 2002 are Security software, Web-based applications, High-speed data transmission (broadband) and Virtual Private Networks, while Consulting and Outsourcing are the areas where zero growth is forecast this year.
Technology Confidence BarometerTechnology Confidence Barometer
RoperNOPRoperNOP: July 2002: July 2002
44
Operating Profit
CMP Media
CMP Asia
CMP InformationTotal
Professional MediaProfessional MediaSix months to 30 June
20022002£m£m
2001£m
Change%
Underlying%
Turnover
CMP Media
CMP Asia
CMP Information
Total
136.5
25.5
62.3
224.3
219.6
24.1
67.8
311.5
(37.8)
5.8
(8.1)
(28.0)
14.0
8.2
0.422.6
-
(6.1)
-(74.3)
(31.2)
(7.7)
(5.9)
(23.7)
-
(6.2)
-(84.3)
(9.2)
7.7
7.35.8
45
46United Business Media
UBM by Revenue TypeUBM by Revenue TypeSix months to 30 June 2002Continuing turnover
64.5%Information
Services
20.3%High TechAdvertising
15.2%Other
Ad’
High Tech Advertising is currently loss making