20 international trade mcgraw-hill/irwin copyright © 2012 by the mcgraw-hill companies, inc. all...
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20
International Trade
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Some Key Trade Facts
• U.S. trade deficit in goods
• $517 billion in 2009
• U.S. trade surplus in services
• $138 billion in 2009
• Canada largest U.S. trade partner
• Trade deficit with China
• $220 billion in 2009
• Exports are 13% U.S. output
• Dependence on oilLO1 20-2
Some Key Trade Facts
• Principal U.S. exports include:
• Chemicals
• Agricultural products
• Consumer durables
• Semiconductors
• Aircraft
• U.S. provides about 8.5% of world’s exports
LO1 20-3
Some Key Trade Facts
• Principal U.S. imports include:
• Petroleum
• Automobiles
• Metals
• Household appliances
• Computers
LO1 20-4
Some Key Trade Facts
LO1 20-5
Some Key Trade Facts
LO1 20-6
Economic Basis for Trade
• Nations have different resource endowments
• Labor-intensive goods
• Land-intensive goods
• Capital-intensive goods
LO2 20-7
• Assumptions• Two nations
• Same size labor force
• Constant costs in each country
• Different costs between countries
• U.S. absolute advantage in both
• Opportunity cost ratio• Slope of the curve
• Vegetables sacrificed per ton of beefLO2
Comparative Advantage
20-8
Veg
etab
les
(To
ns
)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20
Beef (Tons)
Veg
etab
les
(To
ns
)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20 25 30
Beef (Tons)
(a) United States (b) Mexico
12
18 8
4
A
Z
Comparative Advantage
LO2 20-9
Comparative Advantage
• Self-sufficiency output mix
• Specialization and trade
• Produce the good with the lowest domestic opportunity cost
• Opportunity cost of 1 ton of beef:
• 1 pound of vegetables in U.S.
• 2 pounds of vegetables in Mexico
LO2 20-10
Comparative Advantage
LO2 20-11
Comparative Advantage
• Terms of trade
• U.S. 1V = 1B
• U.S. will sell 1B for more than 1V
• Mexico 2V = 1B
• Mexico will pay less than 2V for 1B
• Settle between the two
• Depends on supply/demand factors
• Assume 1B = 1.5V
LO2 20-12
Comparative Advantage
• Gains from trade
• Trading possibilities line
• Slope equals terms of trade
• Improved options
• Complete specialization
• More of both goods
• More efficient resource allocation
LO2 20-13
Veg
etab
les
(To
ns
)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20
Beef (Tons)
Veg
etab
les
(To
ns
)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
40
45
5 10 15 20 25 30
Beef (Tons)
Gains from Trade(a) United States (b) Mexico
12
18 8
4
A
Z
A’
Z’
V
V’
W
v
b b’
TradingPossibilities Line
TradingPossibilities Line
B
LO2 20-14
Comparative Advantage
• Trade with increasing costs
• Concave production curve
• Resources not perfectly substitutable
• Incomplete specialization
• Case for free trade
• Promote efficiency
• Promote competition
LO2 20-15
Supply and Demand Analysis
• World price
• Domestic price with no trade
• World price > domestic price
• Export surplus
• Export supply curve
• World price < domestic price
• Import shortage
• Import supply curve
LO3 20-16
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
050 100
Quantity of Aluminum(Millions of Pounds)
Pri
ce (
Per
Po
un
d;
U.S
. D
oll
ars
Pri
ce (
Per
Po
un
d;
U.S
. D
oll
ars
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
050 75 100 125 150
Quantity of Aluminum(Millions of Pounds)
Supply and Demand Analysis
(a) U.S. Domestic Aluminum Market
(b) U.S. Export Supplyand Import Demand
Dd
Sd
U.S.ExportSupply
U.S.Import
Demand
a
b
c
x
y
Surplus = 50
Surplus = 100
Shortage = 50
Shortage = 100
LO3 20-17
Pri
ce (
Per
Po
un
d;
U.S
. D
oll
ars
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
050 75 100 125 150
Quantity of Aluminum(Millions of Pounds)
1.50
1.25
1.00
.75
.50
050 100
Quantity of Aluminum(Millions of Pounds)
Pri
ce (
Per
Po
un
d;
U.S
. D
oll
ars
(a) Canada’s Domestic Aluminum Market
(b) Canada’s Export Supplyand Import Demand
Dd
Sd
CanadianExportSupply
CanadianImport
Demand
q
r
s
t
Surplus = 50
Surplus = 100
Shortage = 50
LO3
Supply and Demand Analysis
20-18
International Equilibrium
1.00
.75
.88
050 100
Quantity of Aluminum(Millions of Pounds)
Pri
ce (
Per
Po
un
d;
U.S
. D
oll
ars
• Import demand = Export supply
CanadianExportSupply
e
U.S.ExportSupply
U.S.Import
Demand
Equilibrium
CanadianImport Demand
LO3 20-19
Trade Barriers and Export Subsidies
• Tariffs
• Revenue tariff
• Protective tariff
• Import quota
• Nontariff barrier (NTB)
• Voluntary export restriction (VER)
• Export subsidy
LO4 20-20
Economic Impact of Tariffs
• Direct effects
• Decline in consumption
• Increase in domestic production
• Decline in imports
• Tariff revenue
• Indirect effects
LO4 20-21
Economic Impact of Quotas
• Decline in consumption
• Increase in domestic production
• Decline in imports
• Quotas do not provide for any government revenue but instead transfer it to foreign producers
LO4 20-22
Economic Effects of Tariff/Quota
Quantity
Pri
ce
0
Dd
Sd
Pd
q
Sd + Q
Pt
Pw
a b c d
LO4 20-23
The Case for Protection
• Military self-sufficiency
• Diversification for stability
• Infant industry
• Protection against dumping
• Increased domestic employment
• Cheap foreign labor
LO5 20-24
Multilateral Trade Agreements
• General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
• World Trade Organization (WTO)
• European Union (EU)
• North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
LO5 20-25
GATT
• Three principles:
• Equal, nondiscriminatory trade between member nations
• Reduction in tariffs
• Elimination of import quotas
LO5 20-26
WTO
• Established by Uruguay Round of GATT
• 153 member nations in 2010• Oversees trade agreements and rules
on disputes• Critics argue that it may allow nations
to circumvent environmental and worker-protection laws
LO5 20-27
European Union
• Initiated in 1958 as Common Market
• Abolished tariffs and import quotas between member nations
• Established common tariff with nations outside the EU
• Created Euro Zone with one currency
LO5 20-28
NAFTA
• Agreement between U.S., Canada, and Mexico
• Established a free trade zone between the countries
• Trade has increased in all countries
• Enhanced standard of living
LO5 20-29
Trade Adjustment and Offshoring
• Trade Adjustment Assistance Act
• Designed to help individuals hurt by international trade
• Offshoring of jobs
• Shifting of work previously done by American workers to workers abroad
LO5 20-30
Petition of the Candlemakers
• Petition of candlemakers asking for protection from natural light producers such as the sun
• Tongue-in-cheek argument supporting the idea of free trade
LO5 20-31