1h 2017 30th august 2017 - dino polska...
TRANSCRIPT
1H 2017
Financial results
30th August 2017
Disclaimer
2
Neither this presentation (the “Presentation”) nor any copy of it nor the information contained herein being issued, and nor may this Presentation nor any copy of it nor the information contained herein be distributed directly or indirectly to or into, the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan.
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This Presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or the solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for or underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Dino Polska S.A (the “Company”) or any member of its group (the “Group”), nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company or any member of its Group, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. This Presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding any securities of the Company or its Group.
This Presentation contains certain statistical and market information. Such market information has been sourced from and/or calculated based on data provided by third-party sources identified herein or by the Company, if not attributed exclusively to third-party sources. Because such market information has been prepared in part based upon estimates, assessments, adjustments and judgments which are based on the Company's or third-party sources' experience and familiarity with the sector in which the Company operates and has not been verified by an independent third party, such market information is to a certain degree subjective. While it is believed that such estimates, assessments, adjustments and judgments are reasonable and that the market information prepared appropriately reflects the sector and the market in which the Company operates, there is no assurance that such estimates, assessments, adjustments and judgments are the most appropriate for making determinations relating to market information or that market information prepared by other sources will not differ materially from the market information included herein.
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Only currents and periodic (financial) reports of the Company are legally binding document containing information about the Company and may contain information that is different from the information contained in this Presentation.
Our achievements in 1H 2017
3
+49 stores
(+38 in 2Q 2017)
+14.7% LFL y-o-y(+16.5 in 2Q 2017 y-o-y)
+31.6% sales y-o-y(+34.1% in 2Q 2017 y-o-y)
+27.7% store pipeline y-o-y
+0.2pp gross margin y-o-y
(+0.02pp in 2Q 2017 y-o-y)+37.3% EBITDA1 y-o-y
(+43.8% in 2Q 2017 y-o-y)
1. Adjusted for the IPO-related one-off expenses
100
101
102
103
104
105
1Q
2014
2Q
2014
3Q
2014
4Q
2014
1Q
2015
2Q
2015
3Q
2015
4Q
2015
1Q
2016
2Q
2016
3Q
2016
4Q
2016
1Q
2017
2Q
2017f
Growth of GDP y-o-y (constant prices, lhs)
100
101
102
103
Consumer confidence index in Poland
(100=long-term average, rhs)
Growth of GDP and improvement in consumer sentiment
Supportive market conditions
Recovering inflation
Inflation in Poland
Source: Central Office of Statistics (GUS); Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
4
101.5
103.7
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
Jun-14 Mar-15 Dec-15 Sep-16 Jun-17
CPI CPI—food
5
Operational & financial highlights
5
Number of stores and sales area (’000 sqr m)
Source: Company financial statements
Sales dynamics (PLNm) and gross margin EBITDA (PLNm) and margin
Notes:
1. Adjusted for the IPO-related one-off expenses of PLN7.5m
2. Adjusted for the IPO-related one-off expenses of PLN1.1m
3. Adjusted for the IPO-related one-off expenses of PLN12.3m (of which PLN7.5m non-cash)
410
511
628
557
677
2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
148
210
2881
1212
1663
2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
2,108
2,590
3,370
1,533
2,018
2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 7.9% 8.2%151.5 191.6 238.4 209.5 257.1 22.0% 22.6% 22.9% 22.5% 22.7%
Number of stores Revenues EBITDA
Delivering leading LFL growth
6 6
Dino Food inflation
Annual
Inflation
(deflation) %
Source: Company information, Central Office of Statistics (GUS)
2.6 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.0 (0.9) (0.9) 2.0 1.8
2.7%
5.4%4.3%
2.0%
(0.9%)(1.7%)
0.8%
3.4% 3.4%
15.5%16.6%
14.1%
7.5%
4.2%5.1%
11.3%12.6%
16.5%
(2.0%)
2.0%
6.0%
10.0%
14.0%
18.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017
7
Revenues
Dynamic revenues growth
Revenues (PLNm)
7
LFL growth (%)
Sales mix
Product split by revenue (2Q 2017)
Dry food,
beverages,
alcohol and
tobacco
50.7%
Non-food
12.6%Fresh food
36.7%
Source: Company information
707
826
917 919 910
1,108
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017
+34.1% y-o-y
8.4 16.510.812.0 13.5 12.6
707
826917 919 910
1,108
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017
Gross margin
Steady increase in gross margin
Source: Company financial statements
8
+0.2 pp
1H: 22.7%
FY: 22.9%
2H: 23.1%1H: 22.5%
Revenues (PLNm)
Gross margin
9
EBITDA1
EBITDA growth EBITDA margins
9
Source: Company financial statements
38.653.1
62.169.4
49.3
77.414.5
14.9
17.218.5
19.2
20.4
53.1
68.0
79.387.9
68.5
97.8
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017
EBIT D&A
5.5%6.4% 6.8%
7.5%
5.4%7.0%
2.0%1.8%
1.9%2.0%
2.1%
1.8%7.5%
8.2%8.7%
9.6%
7.5%
8.8%
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017
EBIT D&A
(PLNm) (%)
121.0 167.2 166.2
288.3
+29.0% +43.8%
7.9% 9.1% 8.2%
8.6%
+0.02pp +0.6pp
1. Adjusted for the IPO-related one-off expenses of : PLN1,1m in 2Q ’16; PLN2,7m in 3Q ’16; PLN3,7m in 4Q ’16; PLN3,0m in 1Q ’17 and PLN9,3m in 2Q ’17
1H:+37.3% 1H:+0.3pp
Q2 2017 EBITDA bridge
10
Contribution to growth in EBIT (%)EBITDA Margin (%)
+ PLN 29.8 million
(1) Excluding one-off IPO costs of: PLN 1.1m in 2Q ’16 and PLN9.3m in 2Q ’1710
(1)
(PLNm)
8.23% 8.82%74.5 1.1 17.7 6.2 0.5
68.0
53.1
77.2 77.4 77.4
97.8
14.9 18.1
0.3 4.31.5 0.1 20.4
2Q 2016 EBITDA 2Q 2016 D&A 2Q 2016 EBIT Δ Sales at a
constant margin
Δ Cost of sales Δ Sales &
marketing costs
Δ G&A Δ Other operating
income /
expenses
2Q 2017 EBIT 2Q 2017 D&A 2Q 2017 EBITDA
11
Operating cash flow
Capex
(PLNm)
Source: Company financial statements
(1) Net interest expense, tax expense, change in accruals and provisions, investment activity gains and other adjustments
Capex as % of EBITDA
OCF structure
(PLNm)
Capex
134% 132% 109% 91%133%
199278
382
80 67
52 84
199
278
382
132 151
2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
79135
186
75 97
42
50
65
2940
39
44
47
(64)(20)
28
16
25
8
9
188
245
324
49
125
2014 2015 2016 1H 2016 1H 2017
Profit before tax D&A Change in WC Other¹
2Q
1Q
2.6x
2.0x
1.7x 1.8x
2014 2015 2016 1H 2017
12
Balance sheet
Source: Company financial statements
(1) Net debt to EBITDA defined as net debt divided by EBITDA (adj.) for the last twelve months
(2) Interest coverage ratio defined as EBIT divided by financial expenses for the last twelve months
Net debt / EBITDA(1) Interest coverage ratio(2)
4.0x
6.4x
7.3x 7.4x
2014 2015 2016 1H 2017
5982 90 99 116
138
198
248 237
313
197
280
338 336
429
Jan-00 Jan-00 Jan-00 Jan-00 Jan-00
Plots purchased Preliminary agreements
+27.7% r/r
Store roll-out
13
+491H 2017
No. of newly opened stores
Store pipeline+27.7%1H 2017
y-o-y
Expanding pipeline
Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Jun-17Jun-16
Source: Company information
Store roll-out
Regional coverage
Stores per 100k inhabitants as of June 30, 2017 (in brackets as of June 30, 2016)
Source: Company information
14
25 32 50 81 119 151 192
Net sales area (’000 m2)
No. of stores
25720 238
Network expansion to date
≤ 7.0≤ 5.0≤ 3.0≤ 1.0= 0
81 90111
154
234
324
410
511
628
677
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017
6.1
(5.3)
4.3
(3.9)
4.9
(4.2)
3.4
(3.1)
3.1
(2.9)
1.3
(0.8)2.5
(1.8)
0.3
(0.1)
0.3
(0.1)
1.3
(0.9)
0.1
(0.1)
1.6
(1.0)
ENTIREPOLAND
1.8(1.4)
end of 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F end of 2020F
1H: +49 stores
15
Organic store roll-out
LFL growth Improving profitability
628
Stores
Over 1,200
stores by the end of 2020
14.7%
LFL growth in 1H 2017
(vs 3.4% food inflation)
Strategy update
1
2 3
Source: Company information
+ 0.2 pp
Gross marginimprovement
in 1H 2017 y-o-y
+ 0.3 pp
EBITDA marginimprovement
in 1H 2017 y-o-y
Q&A
16
Company financial statements (1/5)
Profit and loss statement2
Source: Company financial statements
(1) Unaudited
(2) Not adjusted for one-offs related to the IPO: PLN1,1m in 2Q ’16; PLN2,7m in 3Q ’16; PLN3,7m in 4Q ’16; PLN3,0m in 1Q ’17 and PLN9,3m in 2Q ’17 17
(PLN '000) 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016(1) 2Q 2016(1) 3Q 2016(1) 4Q 2016(1) 1Q 2017(1) 2Q 2017(1 2Q’17 y-o-y +/(-),%
Sales 2,107,984 2,589,576 3,369,517 707,363 826,106 916,645 919,403 910,335 1,108,063 31.6%
Cost of sales (1,644,080) (2,004,710) (2,599,005) (547,725) (640,102) (705,374) (705,804) (701,744) (858,315) 31.3%
Gross profit 463,904 584,866 770,512 159,638 186,004 211,271 213,599 208,591 249,748 32.6%
Other operating income 1,522 3,120 2,616 1,022 374 661 559 476 736 -13.2%
Selling and marketing costs (324,634) (391,580) (505,855) (113,285) (123,030) (137,364) (132,176) (149,746) (160,725) 31.4%
Administrative expenses and
general overheads(31,338) (35,354) (49,434) (8,603) (11,261) (14,092) (15,478) (12,903) (21,417) 72.8%
Other operating expenses (3,667) (998) (2,250) (194) (137) (1,064) (855) (96) (292) 17.2%
Operating profit 105,787 160,054 215,589 38,578 51,950 59,412 65,649 46,322 68,050 26.3%
Financial income 168 99 473 34 (7) 156 290 98 42 418.5%
Financial expenses (26,662) (24,922) (29,607) (7,769) (7,351) (8,034) (6,453) (8,415) (9,438) 18.1%
Profit before tax 79,293 135,231 186,455 30,843 44,434 51,692 59,486 38,005 58,654 28.4%
Income tax (13,156) (13,059) (35,245) (7,456) (6,696) 423 (21,516) (7,550) (11,967) 37.9%
Net profit from continuing
operations66,137 122,172 151,210 23,387 37,896 51,957 37,970 30,455 46,687 25.9%
(PLN '000) 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016(1) 2Q 2016(1) 3Q 2016(1) 4Q 2016(1) 1Q 2017(1) 2Q 2017(1)
Assets
Property, plant and equipment 798,948 1,024,199 1,337,207 1,090,826 1,180,504 1,260,513 1,337,207 1,386,389 1,496,962
Intangible assets 90,700 92,253 93,072 91,952 91,465 92,145 93,072 92,510 92,200
Other non-financial assets (long term) 1,885 – – – – – – – –
Deferred tax assets 37,049 34,311 26,867 30,352 32,755 34,353 26,867 21,919 23,158
Total non-current assets 928,582 1,150,763 1,457,146 1,213,130 1,304,724 1,387,011 1,457,146 1,500,818 1,612,320
Inventories 182,286 212,146 276,541 221,320 221,273 234,936 276,541 290,707 306,906
Trade and other receivables 18,796 21,687 33,665 9,382 11,025 17,605 33,665 19,155 29,253
Income tax receivables 48 105 613 113 8 27 613 603 30
Other non-financial assets 13,515 20,742 22,447 28,618 28,982 26,318 22,447 32,395 36,856
Cash and cash equivalents 23,739 33,920 66,428 13,818 24,495 42,965 66,428 36,425 43,050
Total current assets 238,384 288,600 399,694 273,251 285,783 321,851 399,694 379,285 416,095
Total assets 1,166,966 1,439,363 1,856,840 1,486,381 1,590,507 1,708,862 1,856,840 1,880,103 2,028,415
Equity and liabilities
Equity (attrib. to the equity holders of the parent entity) 410,073 532,235 683,476 555,653 593,549 645,506 683,476 713,962 768,118
Share capital 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804 9,804
Reserve capital 316,048 393,019 510,720 510,720 510,720 510,720 510,720 790,168 1,111,860
Retained earnings 84,221 129,412 162,952 35,129 73,025 124,982 162,952 (86,010) (361,046)
Non-controlling interests – – – – – – – – –
Total equity 410,073 532,235 683,476 555,653 593,549 645,506 683,476 713,962 768,118
Company financial statements (2/5)
Balance sheet
18Source: Company financial statements
(1) Unaudited
(PLN '000) 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016(1) 2Q 2016(1) 3Q 2016(1) 4Q 2016(1) 1Q 2017(1) 2Q 2017(1
Interest-bearing loans, borrowings and finance lease liabilities 285,962 361,774 452,378 370,010 399,163 436,725 452,378 487,167 508,545
Other liabilities – – 300 0 758 0 300 270 270
Provisions for employee benefits 533 758 1,115 758 300 758 1,115 1,115 1,115
Deferred tax liabilities 1,572 588 5,498 3,410 7,930 3,856 5,498 6,206 6,280
Accruals 76 73 87 67 63 59 87 81 75
Total long-term liabilities 288,143 363,193 459,378 374,245 408,214 441,398 459,378 494,839 516,285
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 337,620 429,195 574,426 367,473 374,526 369,961 574,426 531,859 585,043
Current portion of interest-bearing loans and finance lease
liabilities118,187 101,504 110,173 178,255 199,276 237,514 110,173 112,531 124,875
Income tax liabilities 4,608 3,368 10,268 7 3,439 3,089 10,268 4,241 15,530
Accruals 8,286 9,796 13,227 10,676 11,431 11,322 13,227 14,831 18,338
Provisions for employee benefits 49 72 5,892 72 72 72 5,892 7,840 226
Total current liabilities 468,750 543,935 713,986 556,483 588,744 621,958 713,986 671,302 744,012
Total liabilities 756,893 907,128 1,173,364 930,728 996,958 1,063,356 1,173,364 1,166,141 1,260,297
Total equity and liabilities 1,166,966 1,439,363 1,856,840 1,486,381 1,590,507 1,708,862 1,856,840 1,880,103 2,028,415
Company financial statements (3/5)
Balance sheet
19Source: Company financial statements
(1) Unaudited
(PLN '000) 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016(1) 2Q 2016(1) 3Q 2016(1) 4Q 2016(1) 1Q 2017(1) 2Q 2017(1
Cash flows from operating activities
Profit before tax 79,293 135,231 186,455 30,843 44,592 51,534 59,486 38,005 58,654
Adjustments for 109,185 110,163 137,868 (36,334) 9,564 18,287 146,351 (6,959) 35,574
Depreciation and amortization 41,880 50,177 65,202 14,492 14,918 17,246 18,546 19,176 20,418
Gain/(loss) from investing activities 417 193 1,574 (9) 65 198 1,320 21 158
Change in the balance of receivables 59,041 (10,808) (15,592) 7,331 (547) 2,494 (24,870) 13,657 (17,271)
Change in the balance of inventories 25,464 (29,860) (64,395) (9,175) 49 (13,663) (41,606) (14,166) (16,198)
Change in the balance of payables except loans and
borrowings(45,513) 84,204 127,224 (49,114) (12,793) 9,604 179,527 (23,678) 37,556
Interest income (153) (60) (440) 0 (27) 27 (440) (19) (19)
Interest expenses 26,486 24,955 29,658 7,652 7,216 7,934 6,856 8,471 9,516
Change in the balance of accruals 2,975 3,859 4,928 (3,497) 1,725 64 6,636 (4,489) 2,829
Change in the balance of provisions 249 114 6,178 0 0 0 6,178 1,948 (7,615)
Income tax paid (1,639) (12,599) (16,507) (4,052) (1,042) (5,617) (5,796) (7,918) (1,262)
Other (22) (12) 38 38 0 0 0 38 7,462
Net CF from operating activities 188,478 245,394 324,323 (5,491) 54,156 69,821 205,837 31,046 94,228
Company financial statements (4/5)
Cash flow
Source: Company financial statements
(1) Unaudited 20
(PLN '000) 2014 2015 2016 1Q 2016(1) 2Q 2016(1) 3Q 2016(1) 4Q 2016(1) 1Q 2017(1) 2Q 2017(1
Cash flows from investing activities
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment and intangibles 374 925 1,112 648 (1,453) (3,085) 5,002 79 1,057
Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangibles (170,722) (243,487) (311,732) (84,807) (73,973) (101,582) (51,370) (82,976) (89,295)
Sell of other financial assets – – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Interest received 153 60 440 7 20 28 385 19 19
Net CF from investing activities (170,195) (242,502) (310,180) (84,152) (75,406) (104,639) (45,983) (82,878) (88,219)
Cash flows from financing activities
Payment of financial lease liabilities (24,456) (30,024) (43,902) (9,464) (11,006) (11,064) (12,368) (9,760) (14,773)
Proceeds from loans and borrowings 111,653 141,770 219,061 98,814 62,358 87,597 (29,708) 57,489 41,393
Repayment of loans and borrowings (72,771) (79,502) (127,136) (12,150) (12,216) (15,256) (87,514) (17,430) (16,487)
Interest paid (26,486) (24,955) (29,658) (7,659) (7,209) (7,989) (6,801) (8,470) (9,517)
Net CF from financing activities (12,060) 7,289 18,365 69,541 31,927 53,288 (136,391) 21,829 616
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 6,223 10,181 32,508 (20,102) 10,677 18,470 23,463 (30,003) 6,625
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 17,516 23,739 33,920 33,920 13,818 24,495 42,965 66,428 36,425
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 23,739 33,920 66,428 13,818 24,495 42,965 66,428 36,425 43,050
Company financial statements (5/5)
Cash flow
Source: Company financial statements
(1) Unaudited 21
Contact information
Grzegorz UrazińskiHead of Investor Relations
[email protected]+48 695 234 561
Ul. Ostrowska 12263-700 Krotoszyn
Poland
22
http://grupadino.pl
23