1b introduction to fish banks, ltd. criterion of success financial information changes in fish and...

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1 B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. • Criterion of Success • Financial Information • Changes in Fish and Ships • Initial Conditions • Materials • Steps of Play Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

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Page 1: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

1B

Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd.

• Criterion of Success• Financial Information• Changes in Fish and Ships• Initial Conditions• Materials• Steps of Play

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 2: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

2B

Criterion of Success

Criterion of Success

Maximum possible assets at the end of the game.

ASSETS =

BANK BALANCESHIPS’ SALVAGE

VALUE

+$ $ $

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 3: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

3B

Profit

Profit = Income - Expenses

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

SHIP AUCTIONS & TRADE PURCHASES

NEW SHIPORDERS

INTERESTCHARGES

HARBOR &OPERATINGCOSTS INTEREST

EARNINGS

SHIPTRADESALES

FISHSALES

Page 4: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

4B

Income

Negotiated Price

10% if Minimum Balance is greater than zero

Catch x Price ($20 per fish)

Fish Sales

Interest Earnings

Ship Trade Sales

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 5: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

5B

Expenses

Harbor: $50/ship-yearCoastal Fishery: $150/ship-yearDeep Sea Fishery: $250/ship-year

New Ships: $300 each (charged current year but delivered following year)

Auction: Highest BidTrade: Negotiated Price

15% if Minimum Balance is less than zero.

Harbor &Operating

Costs

Auction &Trade

Purchase

InterestCharges

Con- struction

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 6: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

6B

Profit Example

1 Ship to Deep Sea Fish Sales = 25 x $20$500Operating Cost -250Deep Sea Subtotal$250

1 Ship to Coastal Fish Sales = 15 x $20$300Operating Cost -150Coastal Subtotal$150

1 Ship to Harbor Fish Sales $0Operating Cost -50Harbor Subtotal-$50

Profit from 3 Ships$350

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 7: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

7B

Ship Salvage Value

• The ship salvage value calculated each year is the price that would be paid for each ship, if the game ended in that year.

• The ship salvage value may be a constant set to a value between $0 and $500 or

• The salvage value may be set to equal the average profit per ship in all areas over recent years.

• The period over which average profit is calculated may be set to between 1 and 6 years.

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 8: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

8B

Sequence of Debits and Credits

You start the year with a bank balance that has accumulated through all past years.

If you buy ships at auction or from other teams, the cost is subtracted.

You are then charged for the operating costs of your fleet.

Your fish catch is calculated and you are credited with the sales income.

The minimum balance is calculated and your account is adjusted by the appropriate interest.

Finally, your account is charged for the cost of any new ships you ordered at the beginning of the year.

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Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 9: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

9B

Fishing Fleet

• Initial Size

• Enlarging- Auction- Trade- Construction

• Reducing- Trade

White = 1 Ship

Red = 5 Ships Yellow = 10 Ships

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 10: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

10B

Catch

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Catch influenced by:

• Number of Ships• Ship

Effectiveness• Weather

Page 11: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

11B

Ship Effectiveness

FISH DENSITY

0

0

MAXIMUM

SHIP EFFECTIVENESS (FISH PER SHIP

PER YEAR)15

25

COASTAL

DEEP SEA25

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 12: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

12B

Fishing Areas

Deep Sea Fishery

Maximum Population:2000 - 4000 Fish

Annual Operating Cost:$250 per Ship-Year

Productivity (Normal Ship Effectiveness): 25 Fish per Ship-Year

Coastal Fishery

Maximum Population:1000 - 2000 Fish

Annual Operating Cost:$150 per Ship-Year

Productivity (Normal Ship Effectiveness)15 Fish per Ship-Year

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 13: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

13B

Regeneration of Fish

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 14: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

14B

Recent History of the Fisheries

YEAR

CATCH

SHIPS

RECENT HISTORY OF THE FISHERIES

PRESENT

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 15: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

15B

Game Board

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 16: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

16B

Decision Sheet

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows

Page 17: 1B Introduction to Fish Banks, Ltd. Criterion of Success Financial Information Changes in Fish and Ships Initial Conditions Materials Steps of Play Fish

17B

Participants’ Steps of Play

1. Receive and record computer-generated numbers on Decision Sheet under "Annual Report."

2. Collect ships.3. Bid for auctioned ships.4. Buy or sell ships in trading sessions.5. Place orders for new ship construction.6. Calculate and record fleet size.7. Allocate ships among fishing areas &

harbor and record decisions on Decision Sheet.

8. Place ships on game board.9. Give Decision Sheet to game operator.

Fish Banks, Ltd. © 2001 Dennis L. Meadows