15462 nbcwsj oct poll final

8/20/2019 15462 NBCWSJ Oct Poll Final

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #15462 -- page 1October 2015 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Interviews: 1,000 Adults, including 350 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: October 15-18, 201528 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.

Study #15462NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey

Please note: all result s are shown as percentages un less otherwise stated.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among Adults i s ±3.10%

The margin of error for 400 interviews among Republican Primary Voters i s ±4.90%

The margin of error for 400 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.90%

Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.

Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?(IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST)

18-24 ...................................................... 1125-29 ...................................................... 730-34 ...................................................... 1235-39 ...................................................... 840-44 ...................................................... 945-49 ...................................................... 650-54 ...................................................... 955-59 ...................................................... 960-64 ...................................................... 1165-69 ...................................................... 8

70-74 ...................................................... 475 and over ............................................ 5Not sure/refused ................................... 1

Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanicor Spanish-speaking background?

Yes, Hispanic ........................................... 11No, not Hispanic ....................................... 88Not sure/refused ..................................... 1

Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else?

White ......................................................... 74Black ......................................................... 12

Asian ......................................................... 2Other ......................................................... 3Hispanic (VOL) ........................................ 8Not sure/refused ...................................... 1

48 Male52 Female




Q3 Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]?

Registered ................................... 85Not registered .............................. 14

Not sure ..................................... 1

Q4 All in all, do you think that things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel thatthings are off on the wrong track? 1

High Lo

10/15 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 9/0110/20/0

Headed in the right direction ... 25 30 28 31 28 32 31 27 25 72 1Off on the wrong track ............. 64 62 65 61 62 60 59 64 65 11 7Mixed (VOL) .......................... 7 5 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 11 7Not sure ................................ 4 3 3 4 4 3 5 3 4 6 3

10/30-11/1/14+

10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/14

27 25 23 22 25 27 26 2863 65 67 71 63 63 65 63

6 6 6 5 7 6 5 54 4 4 2 5 4 4 4

12/1310/25-28/13

10/7-9/13 9/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/13

29 22 14 30 29 32 31 32 3564 70 78 62 61 59 61 59 575 4 4 5 6 6 5 6 42 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 4

12/12 10/12+9/26-

30/12+9/12-

16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/141 41 40 39 32 32 31 33 33 353 53 53 55 61 60 61 58 59 53 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 53 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 2 4

1/12 12/11 11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 1/30 22 19 17 19 25 29 36 28 361 69 73 74 73 67 62 50 63 55 6 5 5 5 5 6 10 6 54 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 3 4

12/10 11/1010/28-30/10+

10/14-18/10+ 9/10

8/26-30/10

8/5-9/10 6/10

5/6-11/10 3/

28 32 31 32 32 30 32 29 34 363 58 60 59 59 61 58 62 56 56 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 6 53 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 3

1/23 -25/10

1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/09 1/0

32 34 33 36 39 39 42 43 41 258 54 55 52 48 49 46 43 44 57 10 10 9 10 9 9 10 9 93 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 6 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1

The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.




Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

High Low10/15 9/15 7/15 6/15 4/15 3/15 1/15 12/14 11/14 4/09 9/14+

Approve ....... 46 47 45 48 48 46 46 45 44 61 40Disapprove .. 49 47 50 48 47 50 48 50 50 30 54Not sure ..... 5 6 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 9 6

10/30-11/1/14+

10/8-12/14+ 9/14+ 8/14 6/14 4/14 3/14 1/14 12/13

10/25-28/13

42 42 40 40 41 44 41 43 43 4252 52 54 54 53 50 54 51 54 516 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 3 7

10/7-9/13 9/13 8/13 7/13 6/13 4/13 2/13 1/13 12/12 10/12+47 45 44 45 48 47 50 52 53 4948 50 48 50 47 48 45 44 43 485 5 8 5 5 5 5 4 4 3

9/26-30/12+

9/12-16/12+ 8/12+ 7/12+ 6/12 5/12 4/12 3/12 1/12 12/11

49 50 48 49 47 48 49 50 48 46

48 48 49 48 48 46 46 45 46 483 2 3 3 5 6 5 5 6 6

11/11 10/11 8/11 7/11 6/11 5/11 4/11 2/11 1/11 12/1044 44 44 47 49 52 49 48 53 4551 51 51 48 46 41 45 46 41 485 5 5 5 5 7 6 6 6 7

11/1010/28-30/10+

10/14-18/10+ 9/10

8/26-30/10

8/5-9/10 6/10

5/20-23/10

5/6-11/10 3/10

47 45 47 46 45 47 45 48 50 4847 50 49 49 49 48 48 45 44 476 5 4 5 6 5 7 7 6 5

1/23-

25/10

1/10-

14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 8/09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/0950 48 47 51 51 51 53 56 61 6044 43 46 42 41 40 40 34 30 266 9 7 7 8 9 7 10 9 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.




Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you torate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or verynegative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THE FIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And,

just a few more. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)

Very

Positive

Somewhat

Positive Neutral

Somewhat

Negative

Very

Negative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureBarack Obama October 2015 ............................... 27 17 12 13 31 -September 2015 ........................... 28 18 14 11 29 -July 2015 ...................................... 24 20 13 14 29 -June 2015 .................................... 25 20 13 14 27 1

April 2015 ..................................... 26 21 13 13 27 -March 2015 .................................. 24 20 12 14 29 1January 2015 ............................... 24 21 13 12 29 1December 2014 ............................ 24 21 10 13 31 1November 2014 ............................ 24 21 11 11 32 1Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... 23 20 12 13 32 -October 8-12, 2014+ .................... 21 22 11 12 34 -September 2014+......................... 22 20 11 13 33 1

August 2014 ................................. 22 18 13 14 33 -

June 2014 .................................... 20 21 13 14 31 1 April 2014 ..................................... 24 20 15 13 28 -March 2014 .................................. 21 20 15 14 30 -January 2014 ............................... 23 19 13 14 30 1December 2013 ............................ 22 20 11 13 33 1October 25-28, 2013 .................... 24 17 13 13 32 1October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 26 21 11 11 30 1May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 28 19 13 12 28 -

April 2013 ..................................... 30 17 10 15 27 1January 2013 ............................... 31 21 11 11 26 -December 2012 ............................ 37 16 9 14 24 -October 2012+ ............................. 34 15 8 12 31 -September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 37 15 6 11 31 -

August 2012+ ............................... 31 17 8 13 30 1July 2012+ .................................... 33 16 8 11 32 -

June 2012 .................................... 29 19 14 11 27 -January 2012 ............................... 28 22 10 14 25 1

August 2011 ................................. 24 20 12 14 30 - April 2011 ..................................... 28 22 14 13 23 -January 2011 ............................... 29 23 15 14 18 1December 2010 ............................ 25 23 14 14 24 -November 2010 ............................ 28 21 12 13 26 -October 28-30, 2010+ .................. 29 18 12 15 27 -June 2010 .................................... 27 20 13 15 25 -May 20-23, 2010 .......................... 28 19 15 14 24 -March 2010 .................................. 31 19 11 14 24 1January 23-25, 2010 .................... 29 23 14 14 20 -December 2009 ............................ 29 21 13 15 22 -October 2009 ............................... 36 20 11 12 21 -February 2009 .............................. 47 21 12 9 10 1January 2009 ............................... 43 23 17 8 6 3

Barack ObamaHighFebruary 2009 ..................................... 47 21 12 9 10 1

Presidential Term Low August 2014 ........................................ 22 18 13 14 33 -

All-time Obama LowOctober 28-30, 2006+ ......................... 14 17 18 5 6 40


1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.




Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat

Positive NeutralSomewhatNegative

VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureJeb BushOctober 2015 ............................... 5 19 31 21 19 5September 2015 ........................... 4 20 31 19 20 6July 2015 ...................................... 3 23 26 22 18 8

June 2015 .................................... 6 21 29 16 20 8 April 2015 ..................................... 5 18 32 19 17 9March 2015 .................................. 4 19 34 20 14 9January 2015 ............................... 5 14 36 16 16 13November 2014 ............................ 6 20 27 18 15 14September 2014+......................... 5 17 32 18 12 16

April 2014 ..................................... 4 17 32 18 14 15May 30-June 2, 2013.................... 9 17 33 11 12 18

Hillary ClintonOctober 2015 ............................... 19 20 12 13 35 1September 2015 ........................... 14 25 13 13 34 1July 2015 ...................................... 15 22 14 15 33 1June 2015 .................................... 21 23 15 11 29 1

April 2015 ..................................... 19 23 14 10 32 2

March 2015 .................................. 21 23 19 13 23 1January 2015 ............................... 20 25 17 14 23 1November 2014 ............................ 24 19 16 15 25 1September 2014+......................... 21 22 16 15 26 -June 2014 .................................... 23 21 18 14 23 1

April 2014 ..................................... 23 25 19 11 21 1March 2014 .................................. 23 21 20 12 22 2September 2013 ........................... 26 25 17 12 19 1May 30-June 2, 2013.................... 29 20 18 13 18 2

April 2013 ..................................... 32 24 14 14 15 1January 2013 ............................... 34 22 19 12 13 -December 2012 ............................ 34 24 14 16 12 -November 2011 ............................ 33 22 22 12 10 1May 2011 ..................................... 26 29 23 12 9 1

April 2011 ..................................... 29 27 21 11 11 1

December 2010 ............................ 26 28 18 11 16 1January 10-14, 2010 ................... 25 27 22 13 12 1July 2009 ...................................... 26 27 15 15 16 1February 2009 .............................. 32 27 18 11 11 1January 2009 ............................... 27 29 14 15 14 1December 2008 ............................ 27 26 20 14 12 1September 2008+......................... 23 24 15 17 20 1

August 2008+ ............................... 17 25 16 18 23 1June 2008+ .................................. 18 28 14 17 22 1

April 2008+ ................................... 20 22 14 19 25 -March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... 17 20 15 21 27 -March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... 22 23 11 14 29 1January 2008 ............................... 24 23 11 11 30 1June 2007 .................................... 18 24 15 16 26 1March 2007 .................................. 16 23 17 15 28 1December 2006 ............................ 21 22 17 12 26 2

April 2006 ..................................... 19 19 19 13 28 2December 2004 ............................ 24 21 14 11 29 1July 2003 ...................................... 16 21 20 13 27 3March 2001 .................................. 16 19 15 18 31 1January 2001 ............................... 27 22 13 12 24 2

HighFebruary 2009 .............................. 32 27 18 11 11 1

LowMarch 2001 .................................. 16 19 15 18 31 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.




Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat


VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureDonald TrumpOctober 2015 ............................... 13 17 17 14 39 -September 2015 .......................... 8 17 16 14 44 1July 2015 ..................................... 10 16 16 13 43 2

February 2011 ............................. 9 17 40 18 11 5May 2004+ ................................... 9 17 38 14 15 7December 1999 ........................... 4 12 28 24 25 7October 1999 ............................... 3 11 25 23 32 6July 1990 ..................................... 3 11 28 25 24 9

Marco RubioOctober 2015 ............................... 9 22 23 14 11 21July 2015 ..................................... 5 19 24 14 9 29June 2015 .................................... 7 16 24 12 12 29

April 2015 .................................... 8 14 24 12 11 31November 2014 ........................... 7 14 21 10 9 39September 2014+ ........................ 6 15 21 11 10 37July 2013 ..................................... 7 16 20 11 9 37

April 2013 .................................... 12 16 18 8 8 38

February 2013 ............................. 10 14 20 9 8 39

Carly FiorinaOctober 2015 ............................... 7 19 22 10 12 30September 2015 .......................... 8 19 22 10 10 31June 2015 .................................... 4 11 14 7 6 58

Ben CarsonOctober 2015 ............................... 16 22 18 11 13 20September 2015 .......................... 13 16 23 11 10 27November 2014 ........................... 10 7 18 4 3 58

Joe BidenOctober 2015 ............................... 19 23 24 17 14 3September 2015 .......................... 15 25 25 14 14 7

June 2015 .................................... 16 24 24 16 15 5November 2014 ........................... 13 22 22 17 21 5June 2014 .................................... 11 21 25 15 21 7July 2013 ..................................... 17 21 21 15 20 6January 2013 ............................... 20 21 17 16 21 5December 2012 ........................... 21 18 18 15 23 5October 2012+ ............................. 21 19 15 13 29 3September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 18 19 19 14 24 6

August 2012+ .............................. 15 21 20 14 26 4July 2012+ ................................... 15 20 23 14 23 5May 2012 ..................................... 15 20 21 16 21 7December 2010 ........................... 10 24 25 15 18 8

August 26-30, 2010 ..................... 13 21 21 15 20 9January 10-14, 2010 .................... 15 23 25 15 14 8July 2009 ..................................... 13 25 20 17 19 6January 2009 ............................... 20 27 22 12 9 10December 2008 ........................... 20 25 25 12 11 7October 17-20, 2008+ .................. 28 23 19 12 14 4October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... 21 22 24 12 15 6September 19-22, 2008+ ............. 17 20 25 13 16 9September 6-8, 2008+ ................. 18 22 23 13 12 12September 2007 .......................... 4 13 26 11 11 35December 2006 ........................... 3 14 23 10 6 44June 2004+ .................................. 5 11 25 6 4 49





Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat


VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureBernie SandersOctober 2015 ............................... 16 22 19 11 16 16September 2015 .......................... 15 17 23 9 13 23July 2015 ..................................... 10 14 20 10 9 37

June 2015 .................................... 8 8 22 6 7 49

Ted CruzOctober 2015 ............................... 7 14 23 12 22 22July 2015 ..................................... 7 12 24 12 19 26

April 2015 .................................... 5 12 24 13 19 27November 2014 ........................... 5 11 18 8 18 40October 25-28, 2013 .................... 9 10 16 8 22 35October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 7 7 13 8 20 44May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... 4 6 13 4 8 65

Paul RyanOctober 2015 ............................... 8 16 28 14 12 22December 2012 ........................... 14 16 23 15 19 13October 2012+ ............................. 23 16 16 12 25 8

September 26-30, 2012+ ............. 23 14 18 13 20 12 August 2012+ .............................. 19 14 18 11 21 17June 2011 .................................... 6 11 19 8 10 46

Bill ClintonOctober 2015* ............................. 28 21 18 16 16 1March 2015 ................................... 27 29 18 15 11 -September 2014+ ......................... 29 27 22 12 9 1March 2014 ................................... 27 28 20 14 10 1September 2013 ........................... 31 23 17 14 12 3December 2012 ............................ 39 21 16 16 8 -September 2012+ ......................... 39 18 15 15 12 1

August 2012+ ............................... 34 23 18 13 10 2 August 2011 ................................. 32 25 21 11 11 -September 2010 ........................... 29 26 21 13 10 1

January 2009 ................................ 25 27 16 14 17 1December 2008 ........................... 23 26 21 12 17 1

August 2008+ ............................... 20 25 16 19 20 -June 2008+ ................................... 16 24 17 17 25 1

April 2008+ ................................... 18 21 18 18 24 1March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... 20 22 15 18 25 -March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... 20 22 11 13 32 2January 2008 ................................ 24 23 14 11 27 1November 2007 ............................ 25 23 13 14 25 -March 2007 ................................... 27 21 16 14 21 1

April 2006 ..................................... 27 23 16 12 21 1June 2004+ ................................... 20 22 16 14 27 1January 2002 ................................ 17 19 13 13 36 2June 2001 ..................................... 18 21 15 15 31 -January 2001 ................................ 32 24 11 12 21 -

HighJanuary 1993 ................................ 33 31 15 9 7 5

LowMarch 2001 ................................... 17 17 13 14 38 1


* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.




Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat


VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureMitch McConnell

October 2015* ............................. 2 5 24 18 15 36January 2015 ............................... 2 10 25 11 17 35November 2014 ........................... 4 14 22 13 14 33

April 2014 .................................... 1 7 24 10 13 45January 2013 ............................... 2 10 22 11 11 44January 2012 ............................... 3 7 25 7 12 46November 11-15, 2010 ................ 3 8 22 8 11 48September 2010 .......................... 3 9 20 9 9 50October 2009 .............................. 3 6 19 8 6 58January 2007 ............................... 2 9 19 5 1 64

John Boehner

October 2015* ............................. 2 10 32 20 18 18January 2015 ............................... 3 10 24 17 23 23November 2014 ........................... 4 12 22 20 21 21October 25-28, 2013 .................... 3 14 20 18 25 20October 7-9, 2013 ........................ 5 12 20 17 25 21

January 2013 ............................... 3 15 23 18 19 22December 2012 ............................ 3 16 23 14 15 29January 2012 ............................... 4 14 22 16 16 28February 2011 ............................. 6 14 22 9 12 37January 2011 ............................... 7 16 23 9 6 39November 11-15, 2010 ................ 8 11 20 7 10 44October 14-18, 2010+ .................. 3 11 16 6 12 52September 2010 .......................... 5 9 19 8 9 50October 2009 ............................... 2 7 12 7 8 64January 2007 ............................... 1 4 12 4 2 77

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.




Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat


VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureGeorge W. Bush

October 2015** ............................ 13 22 20 17 28 -March 2015 ................................... 12 23 25 16 23 1September 2014+ ......................... 14 23 24 16 22 1

July 2013 ...................................... 13 25 22 14 25 1 April 2013 ..................................... 14 21 21 16 28 -June 2012 ..................................... 13 23 18 19 26 1

August 2011 ................................. 15 20 20 20 24 -May 2011 ...................................... 13 24 22 16 24 1October 28-30, 2010+ ................... 12 20 16 17 34 1

August 26-30, 2010+ .................... 8 22 22 15 32 1June 2010 ..................................... 7 22 21 19 31 -January 2010 ................................ 10 20 18 17 34 1

April 2009 ..................................... 9 17 15 16 41 2January 2009 ................................ 13 18 11 17 41 -December 2008 ............................ 11 20 10 16 43 -October 17-20, 2008+ ................... 11 18 11 15 45 -October 4-5, 2008+ ....................... 12 18 12 13 45 -

September 19-22, 2008+ .............. 13 17 11 13 46 -September 6-8, 2008+ .................. 15 18 12 14 41 - August 2008+ ............................... 15 19 11 15 40 -July 2008+ .................................... 14 18 10 16 42 -June 2008+ ................................... 11 19 10 16 44 -

April 2008+ ................................... 12 19 13 14 42 -March 24-25, 2008+ ..................... 16 17 12 13 41 1March 7-10, 2008+ ....................... 16 18 10 12 43 1January 2008 ................................ 14 18 10 17 40 1June 2007 ..................................... 12 20 11 15 42 -January 2007 ................................ 17 18 12 17 35 1June 2006 ..................................... 18 21 9 15 37 -January 2006 ................................ 24 17 12 13 33 1July 2005 ...................................... 27 20 10 15 28 -January 2005 ................................ 32 19 9 15 25 -June 2004+ ................................... 33 15 8 14 30 -January 2004 ................................ 38 17 8 13 24 -July 2003 ...................................... 38 21 9 14 17 -January 2003 ................................ 36 20 12 16 16 -June 2002 ..................................... 43 27 11 10 9 -January 2002 ................................ 53 26 10 7 4 -June 2001 ..................................... 30 23 16 15 15 1January 2001 ................................ 25 25 18 13 17 2

HighDecember 2001 ............................ 54 26 9 6 5 -

Low April 2009 ..................................... 9 17 15 16 41 2


** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.




Q6 (cont'd) Very

PositiveSomewhat


VeryNegative

Don't KnowName/

Not SureNancy PelosiOctober 2015** ............................ 6 13 22 13 33 13November 2014 ........................... 6 15 20 12 35 12October 8-12, 2014+ .................... 7 13 18 12 32 18

January 2013 ............................... 8 18 22 10 27 15January 2012 ............................... 8 15 22 12 32 11November 11-15, 2010 ................ 9 15 16 11 37 12October 28-30, 2010+ .................. 8 16 15 11 39 11September 2010 .......................... 7 15 17 14 36 11

August 5-9, 2010 .......................... 7 14 19 11 35 14January 10-14, 2010 .................. 6 15 19 12 32 16October 2009 ............................... 8 18 16 9 33 16September 2009 .......................... 8 19 16 11 33 13July 2009 ...................................... 7 18 16 11 33 15June 2009 .................................... 5 19 17 12 34 13February 2009 .............................. 12 19 15 9 28 17January 2009 ............................... 9 17 19 10 26 19October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... 7 16 21 14 27 15January 2008 ............................... 5 17 21 11 22 24

April 2007 .................................... 11 18 20 12 18 21January 2007 ............................... 10 18 23 9 15 25December 2006 ........................... 9 16 21 8 15 31October 2006+ ............................. 4 10 18 8 17 43September 2006+ ........................ 4 11 12 7 16 50December 2005 ........................... 3 10 20 6 12 49February 2005 .............................. 5 10 17 6 10 52

Vladimir PutinOctober 2015** ............................ 2 5 16 18 48 11

August 2014 ................................. 2 2 14 16 52 14March 2014 .................................. 2 3 16 22 41 16

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE)TOTAL

POSITIVETOTAL

NEGATIVED/S

Bill Clinton .............................................. 49 32 17Ben Carson ............................................ 38 24 14

Joe Biden ............................................... 42 31 11Bernie Sanders ...................................... 38 27 11

Marco Rubio ........................................... 31 25 6

Carly Fiorina ........................................... 26 22 4

Barack Obama ....................................... 44 44 -Paul Ryan .............................................. 24 26 -2Hillary Clinton ......................................... 39 48 -9

George W. Bush ..................................... 35 45 -10Ted Cruz ................................................ 21 34 -13Jeb Bush ................................................ 24 40 -16Donald Trump ........................................ 30 53 -23John Boehner ......................................... 12 38 -26

Mitch McConnell ..................................... 7 33 -26

Nancy Pelosi .......................................... 19 46 -27Vladimir Putin ......................................... 7 66 -59




Q7 Do you think it would be better for the country to have (ROTATE) a Democrat or a Republican as the nextpresident?

10/15+ 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 12/14+ 2/88 5/87 3/87 1/87Democrat ...................................... 41 38 37 39 40 38 36 37 41 35Republican ................................... 40 38 39 36 39 40 39 31 36 32Makes No Difference (VOL) ........ 9 7 9 7 7 9 14 20 9 21

Neither/Some other party (VOL) .. 5 8 7 7 5 6 n/a n/a n/a n/aNot sure ........................................ 5 9 8 10 9 7 11 12 14 12


Moving on…Q8 Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary,

the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2016?

10/15+ 9/15+ 7/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+ 3/15+Vote in Democratic Primary .................................. 31 31 30 30 32 30Vote in Republican Primary .................................. 31 28 30 28 29 25Wait until the general election .............................. 34 38 39 38 35 40Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .......................... 1 - - 1 1 2

Not sure ............................................................... 3 3 1 3 3 3





Q9 Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person forthe Democratic nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZELIST)

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See

Self Supporting

No, Could Not See

Self Supporting

Don’t Know

Name

Not

SureHillary Clinton October 2015^^ ................... 81 17 - 2September 2015^^ .............. 76 21 - 3June 2015^^ ........................ 92 8 - -March 2015^^ ..................... 86 13 - 1

Joe BidenOctober 2015^^ ................... 71 25 2 2September 2015^^ .............. 73 22 2 3June 2015^^ ........................ 65 33 1 1March 2015^^ ..................... 54 40 3 2

Bernie SandersOctober 2015^^ ................... 64 25 8 3

September 2015^^ .............. 62 24 10 4June 2015^^ ........................ 40 32 23 5March 2015^^ ..................... 21 21 54 4

Martin O’MalleyOctober 2015^^ ................... 13 49 33 5September 2015^^ .............. 10 39 49 2June 2015^^ ........................ 12 28 58 2March 2015^^ ..................... 11 20 67 2

Jim WebbOctober 2015^^ ................... 8 54 36 2September 2015^^ .............. 7 36 55 2June 2015^^ ........................ 15 31 52 2March 2015^^ ..................... 15 24 57 4

Lincoln ChafeeOctober 2015^^ ................... 4 55 38 3September 2015^^ .............. 6 37 56 1June 2015^^ ........................ 6 30 62 2

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary




Q10 And, thinking about people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. If the nextDemocratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would youfavor? (READ LIST. RANDOMIZE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLYONE ANSWER.) (IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination forpresident in 2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-6)

FIRST CHOICE (WITH JOE BIDEN)THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

10/15^^ 9/15^^Hillary Clinton ........................................... 49 42Bernie Sanders ......................................... 29 35Joe Biden.................................................. 15 17Jim Webb.................................................. 2 1Martin O’Malley ......................................... 1 -Lincoln Chafee .......................................... - -

Other (VOL) ........................................... - -None (VOL) ........................................... 2 1Not sure ................................................. 2 4

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters whosay they would vote in the Democratic Primary

(IF BIDEN, THEN ASK:) And, if Joe Biden decides not to seek the Democratic nomination for president in2016, which candidate would you favor? (READ :1-5)

RECALCULATED FIRST CHOICE (WITHOUT JOE BIDEN)THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

RESULTS SHOWN AMONG ALL VOTERS WHO SAY THEY WOULD VOTE IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY

10/15^^ 9/15^^ 7/15^^ 6/15^^Hillary Clinton ............................................ 58 53 59 75Bernie Sanders ......................................... 33 38 25 15Jim Webb .................................................. 2 1 3 4Martin O’Malley ......................................... 1 1 3 2Lincoln Chafee .......................................... - - 1 -Other (VOL) ........................................... - 1 1 1None (VOL) ............................................ 3 2 4 2Not sure ................................................. 3 4 4 1

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in theDemocratic Primary




Q11a In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which of the following is most important to you?(ROTATE)

10/15^^ 7/15^^ A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate ................. 20 12 A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ...................................... 52 53 A candidate who has the right personal style and strong leadership qualities ...... 27 34

None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................ 1 1Not sure .............................................................................................................. - -

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the DemocraticPrimary

(Q11b ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO CHOSE “ PERSONAL STYLE AND LEADERSHIP” IN Q11A)Q11b Now, if you had to choose, which would be the next most important to you in selecting a presidential

nominee for the Democratic Party? (ROTATE)

10/15^^ 7/15^^

A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate .................. 8 7 A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... 19 25

Neither/other (VOL) ............................................................................................. - 1

Not sure ............................................................................................................... - 1Best chance to defeat Republican/Closest to views/None/Not Sure (Q11a) ......... 73 66


Q11A/B COMBINED 10/15^^ 7/15^^

A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate .................. 28 20 A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... 71 79

None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. 1 1

Not sure ............................................................................................................... - -





(Q12 AND Q13 ROTATED)Q12 Would you describe Hillary Clinton as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR

"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Hillary Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)?

10/15^^ 6/15^^Very liberal ................................................... 14 9

Somewhat liberal .......................................... 27 22Moderate ...................................................... 47 58Somewhat conservative ............................... 6 5Very conservative ......................................... 3 3Not sure...................................................... 3 3

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q13 Would you describe Bernie Sanders as (ROTATE) liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR"CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) And would you say Hillary Clinton is very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat(liberal/conservative)?^^

Very liberal ................................................... 44

Somewhat liberal.......................................... 16Moderate ...................................................... 15Somewhat conservative ............................... 5Very conservative ......................................... 2Not sure ..................................................... 6Don’t know name (Q6) ............................... 12

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

Q14 Would you like to see Joe Biden run for the Democratic nomination, would you prefer that he NOT run forthe nomination, or do you not really have an opinion one way or the other?^^

Would like to see Joe Biden run .................. 30Would prefer that Joe Biden not run ............ 38Do not have an opinion ................................ 31Not sure ..................................................... 1

^^ Results shown reflect responses among registeredvoters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary

March 2007Would you like to see Al Gore run for the

Democratic nomination, would you prefer that heNOT run for the nomination, or do you not really

have an opinion one way or the other?

Would like to see Al Gore run ................... 40Would prefer that Al Gore not run ............. 39Do not have an opinion ............................. 20

Not sure .................................................. 1




Q15 Next, I’m going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person forthe Republican nomination president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (AFTER THEFIRST TEN ITEMS, READ:) And, just a few more. (RANDOMIZE LIST)

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could See

Self Supporting

No, Could Not See

Self Supporting

Don’t Know

Name

Not

SureBen CarsonOctober 2015^ ...................... 74 20 3 3September 2015^ ................. 69 23 6 2July 2015^ ............................ 49 27 21 3June 2015^ ........................... 50 21 27 2

April 2015^ ............................ 39 22 36 3March 2015^ ......................... 41 18 38 3

Marco RubioOctober 2015^ ...................... 65 26 5 4September 2015^ ................. 63 27 9 1July 2015^ ............................ 62 29 7 2June 2015^ ........................... 74 15 8 3

April 2015^ ............................ 74 15 9 2March 2015^ ......................... 56 26 14 4

Donald TrumpOctober 2015^ ...................... 59 36 1 4September 2015^ ................. 47 52 - 1July 2015^ ............................ 47 49 - 4June 2015^ ........................... 32 66 - 2March 2015^ ......................... 23 74 1 2

Carly FiorinaOctober 2015^ ...................... 56 30 9 5September 2015^ ................. 61 28 10 1July 2015^ ............................ 33 31 34 2June 2015^ ........................... 31 29 38 2

April 2015^ ............................ 17 25 52 6March 2015^ ......................... 18 25 54 3

Jeb BushOctober 2015^ ...................... 51 44 1 4

September 2015^ ................. 55 43 1 1July 2015^ ............................ 57 40 1 2June 2015^ ........................... 75 22 2 1

April 2015^ ............................ 70 27 1 2March 2015^ ......................... 49 42 4 5

Ted CruzOctober 2015^ ...................... 48 41 5 6September 2015^ ................. 45 44 8 3July 2015^ ............................ 52 38 7 3June 2015^ ........................... 51 31 14 4

April 2015^ ............................ 57 28 12 3March 2015^ ......................... 40 38 18 4

Mike HuckabeeOctober 2015^ ...................... 45 50 2 3September 2015^ ................. 47 46 5 2July 2015^ ............................ 52 43 3 2June 2015^ ........................... 65 32 1 2

April 2015^ ............................ 52 39 5 4March 2015^ ......................... 52 40 3 5

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican Primary




THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES Yes, Could SeeSelf Supporting

No, Could Not SeeSelf Supporting

Don’t KnowName

NotSure

Chris ChristieOctober 2015^ ...................... 34 60 4 2September 2015^ ................. 42 51 6 1July 2015^ ............................ 37 55 5 3

June 2015^ ........................... 36 55 6 3 April 2015^ ............................ 38 50 9 3March 2015^ ......................... 32 57 7 4

Rand PaulOctober 2015^ ...................... 33 59 4 4September 2015^ ................. 35 58 5 2July 2015^ ............................ 44 48 5 3June 2015^ ........................... 49 45 5 1

April 2015^ ............................ 59 32 6 3March 2015^ ......................... 49 40 8 3

Bobby JindalOctober 2015^ ...................... 28 46 21 5September 2015^ ................. 27 49 23 1July 2015^ ............................ 34 38 26 2June 2015^ ........................... 36 28 34 2

March 2015^ ......................... 36 25 36 3Rick SantorumOctober 2015^ ...................... 28 60 7 5September 2015^ ................. 33 56 10 1July 2015^ ............................ 37 46 11 6June 2015^ ........................... 49 40 10 1March 2015^ ......................... 40 40 16 4

John KasichOctober 2015^ ...................... 26 45 23 6September 2015^ ................. 34 44 20 2July 2015^ ............................ 30 31 36 3June 2015^ ........................... 25 30 42 3

Lindsey GrahamOctober 2015^ ...................... 12 64 18 6September 2015^ ................. 16 67 16 1

July 2015^ ............................ 14 67 16 3June 2015^ ........................... 27 49 19 5March 2015^ ......................... 20 51 24 5





Q16/a And, if a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidateswould you favor (RANDOMIZE) Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, MikeHuckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the othercandidates? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IFCHOICE, THEN ASK:) And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice (RANDOMIZEREMAINING LIST FROM :1-10) or would your second choice be one of the other candidates? (IFPREVIOUSLY MENTIONED CANDIDATE FOR FIRST OR SECOND CHOICE IN Q16, THEN ASK:) Which

one of the following candidates would you favor -- (RANDOMIZE) Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, GeorgePataki, Bobby Jindal, or Jim Gilmore?

FIRST CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

10/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Donald Trump .............. 25 21 19 1 NABen Carson .................. 22 20 10 11 7Marco Rubio................. 13 11 5 14 18Ted Cruz ...................... 9 5 9 4 11Jeb Bush ...................... 8 7 14 22 23Carly Fiorina ................. 7 11 - 2 1Mike Huckabee ............ 3 2 6 9 5John Kasich ................. 3 6 3 1 NARand Paul .................... 2 3 6 7 11

Chris Christie ............... 1 3 3 4 5Lindsey Graham ........... - - - 1 NARick Santorum ............. - 1 1 - NAGeorge Pataki .............. - - - - NABobby Jindal ................ - 1 1 - NAJim Gilmore .................. - - - NA NAScott Walker................. NA NA 15 17 14Rick Perry .................... NA NA 3 5 2Other (VOL) .............. 1 1 - - -None (VOL) ............... 1 2 1 1 -Not sure .................... 5 6 4 1 3

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who saythey would vote in the Republican Primary

SECOND CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

10/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Ben Carson .................. 22 15 11 8 4Donald Trump .............. 14 10 11 3 NAMarco Rubio................. 13 15 11 20 23Carly Fiorina ................. 10 17 2 1 2Jeb Bush ...................... 8 11 16 18 14Ted Cruz ...................... 8 6 8 7 7John Kasich ................. 4 2 1 - NARand Paul .................... 4 3 5 9 9Mike Huckabee ............ 4 5 5 9 10Chris Christie ............... 3 3 6 6 9Rick Santorum ............. 1 1 1 - NA

Lindsey Graham ........... - - - - NABobby Jindal ................ - - 3 - NAGeorge Pataki .............. - - - - NAJim Gilmore .................. - - - NA NAScott Walker................. NA NA 9 7 13Rick Perry .................... NA NA 4 5 5Other (VOL) .............. - - - - -None (VOL) ............... 1 1 1 - -Not sure .................... 2 2 1 3 1





COMBINED CHOICETHIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE

10/15^ 9/15^ 7/15^ 6/15^ 4/15^Ben Carson .................. 44 35 21 19 11Donald Trump .............. 39 31 30 4 NAMarco Rubio................. 26 26 16 34 41Carly Fiorina ................. 18 28 2 3 3Jeb Bush ...................... 17 19 30 40 37Ted Cruz ...................... 17 11 17 11 18Mike Huckabee ............ 7 8 11 18 15John Kasich ................. 7 8 4 1 NARand Paul .................... 6 6 11 16 20Chris Christie ............... 3 5 9 10 14Bobby Jindal ................ 1 1 4 - NARick Santorum ............. 1 3 2 - NALindsey Graham ........... - - - 1 NAGeorge Pataki .............. - - - - NAJim Gilmore .................. - - - NA NAScott Walker................. NA NA 24 24 27Rick Perry .................... NA NA 7 10 7Other (VOL) .............. 1 - - - -None (VOL) ............... 2 3 2 1 -

Not sure .................... 7 7 5 4 4


Q17 Now, when it comes to the next Speaker of the House who will replace John Boehner, do you generally wantsomeone who (ROTATE) is more likely to seek compromise and work to get more done or is more likely tostand up for principles even if this means that less gets done.^

Seek compromises ............................................. 40Stand up for principles ....................................... 56Not sure............................................................ 4

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary

Q18 If Paul Ryan is elected to be the next Speaker of the House to replace John Boehner, would yougenerally feel (ROTATE) comfortable and positive about this or skeptical and uncertain about this? ^

Comfortable and positive ................................... 63Skeptical and uncertain ...................................... 28Mixed (VOL) ....................................................... 1Not sure............................................................ 8

^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voterswho say they would vote in the Republican Primary




Now, thinking about the 2016 election for President…(Q19-24 RANDOMIZED AMONG REG VOTER)Q19 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ben Carson were the Republican candidate and

Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

10/15+ 9/15+Ben Carson ......................................... 45 46

Hillary Clinton ...................................... 47 45Depends (VOL) ................................ - -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 5 6Not sure ............................................ 3 3


Q20 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate andHillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

10/15+ 6/15+ 4/15+Marco Rubio ........................................ 45 40 43Hillary Clinton ...................................... 46 48 49Depends (VOL) ................................ - - -Neither/other (VOL) .......................... 5 8 5Not sure ........................................... 4 4 3


Q21 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and HillaryClinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +

Ted Cruz ....................................................... 41Hillary Clinton ................................................ 49Depends (VOL) .......................................... -Neither/other (VOL) .................................... 6Not sure ...................................................... 4


Q22 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ben Carson were the Republican candidate andBernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +

Ben Carson ................................................... 43Bernie Sanders ............................................. 44Depends (VOL) .......................................... -Neither/other (VOL) .................................... 6Not sure ...................................................... 7


Q23 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Marco Rubio were the Republican candidate andBernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? +

Marco Rubio .................................................. 41Bernie Sanders ............................................. 45Depends (VOL) .......................................... 1Neither/other (VOL) .................................... 6Not sure ...................................................... 7


Q24 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and Ted Cruz were the Republican candidate and BernieSanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?+

Ted Cruz ....................................................... 38Bernie Sanders ............................................. 50Depends (VOL) .......................................... -Neither/other (VOL) .................................... 6Not sure ...................................................... 6





Moving on…Q25 Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if (READ ITEM) were elected president –

(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that (he/she) would do a good job,satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether (he/she) would doa good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad job?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY‘OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT’ OR ‘SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL’

Optimistic And

Confident

Satisfied And

Hopeful

Uncertain And

Wondering

Pessimistic And

Worried

Not

Sure

Joe BidenOctober 015+ ............................................ 22 24 23 29 2

Hillary ClintonOctober 2015+ .......................................... 24 19 13 43 1June 2015+ ............................................... 20 29 15 35 1

August 2011+............................................ 24 30 21 24 1March 2008+ ............................................. 28 24 19 28 1

April 2006+1 .............................................. 22 23 22 32 1

Bernie Sanders

October 2015+ .......................................... 20 23 22 28 7Ben CarsonOctober 2015+ .......................................... 24 18 24 26 8

Marco RubioOctober 2015+ .......................................... 17 22 27 25 9

Jeb BushOctober 2015+ .......................................... 13 23 30 32 2June 2015+ ............................................... 10 27 31 30 2

Donald TrumpOctober 2015+ .......................................... 17 15 17 50 1

Carly FiorinaOctober 2015+ .......................................... 13 18 30 25 14

Ted CruzOctober 2015+ .......................................... 14 15 27 34 10

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.1 In April 2006, the question read “Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton would do aspresident…”




Q26 Now, NOT thinking about any specific candidates, I'm going to list several types of people who might run forpresident. For each one, please tell me whether that type of candidate is someone you would (a) beenthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortablewith.

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC OR COMFORTABLE

(A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable

(C)

Have SomeReservations

(D)

VeryUncomfortable NotSure A woman

October 2015+ ............................... 28 54 10 4 4 April 2015 ....................................... 30 55 9 5 1 April 2011 ....................................... 23 62 10 3 2September 2008+........................... 21 64 9 3 3January 2008 ................................. 25 51 15 7 2December 2006 .............................. 21 59 8 8 4

A person who is not a poli ticianand has no previous electedexperience in government

October 2015+ ............................... 11 23 35 29 2 April 2015 ....................................... 9 21 34 35 1

A Mus lim

October 2015+ ............................... 5 27 23 42 3 A socialist

October 2015+ ............................... 6 21 25 45 3


Q27 Do you think American capitalism is working...(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) very well,somewhat well, not too well, or not at all well?

10/15 5/13Very well .................................................... 12 9Somewhat well ........................................... 48 45Not too well ................................................ 24 26Not at all well ............................................. 13 16

Not sure ................................................... 3 41 Data from a May 2013 Public Religion Research InstituteEconomic Values Survey




(ROTATE Q28 – Q29 AMONG REG VOTERS) And, thinking some more about (jus t one/ano ther) candidate…Q28 How would you rate Hillary Clinton on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5" means

a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOT SURE,"RECORD AS "DK.")

TABLE RANKED BY %4-5 (GOOD RATING) AMONG ALL VOTERS

Very GoodRating Very PoorRating Cannot5 4 3 2 1 Rate

Being knowledgeable and experienced enough tohandle the presidency All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 39 17 17 8 19 - April 2015+ ......................................................................... 35 16 16 10 22 1June 2014+ ......................................................................... 35 20 16 7 22 -March 2008+ ....................................................................... 32 18 17 13 18 2November 2007+ ................................................................ 31 21 17 11 20 -

Democratic primary votersOctober 2015^^ ................................................................... 74 14 5 2 4 1

April 2015^^ ........................................................................ 66 20 7 - 7 -June 2014^^........................................................................ 72 16 6 1 3 2

March 2008^^ ..................................................................... 50 23 15 6 4 2November 2007^^ .............................................................. 51 25 16 4 4 -June 2007^^....................................................................... 48 23 16 7 5 1

Sharing your positions on the issues All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 18 20 20 10 31 1 April 2015+ ......................................................................... 17 18 24 9 31 1June 2014+ ......................................................................... 20 18 23 10 26 2March 2008+ ....................................................................... 16 18 22 12 29 3November 2007+ ................................................................ 16 20 19 12 32 1

Democratic primary votersOctober 2015^^ ................................................................... 36 35 19 4 6 -

April 2015^^ ........................................................................ 37 32 22 4 4 1June 2014^^........................................................................ 47 29 17 2 5 -March 2008^^ ..................................................................... 29 27 25 7 9 3

November 2007^^ .............................................................. 31 30 25 8 6 -June 2007^^....................................................................... 25 29 29 8 7 2

Being easygoing and likable All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 17 16 24 14 29 - April 2015+ ......................................................................... 23 18 21 13 24 1June 2014+ ......................................................................... 23 17 29 10 21 1March 2008+ ....................................................................... 18 12 30 16 23 1November 2007+ ................................................................ 15 17 25 13 29 1

Democratic primary votersOctober 2015^^ ................................................................... 32 27 28 8 5 -

April 2015^^ ........................................................................ 41 27 21 9 1 1June 2014^^........................................................................ 45 22 23 6 4 -March 2008^^ ..................................................................... 27 18 31 13 9 2November 2007^^ .............................................................. 26 23 30 11 9 1

Bringing real change to the direction of the country All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 14 18 24 12 31 1 April 2015+ ......................................................................... 17 18 22 10 32 2


April 2015^^ ........................................................................ 32 35 25 3 4 -June 2007^^........................................................................ 33 28 22 8 8 1

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.^^ Results shown reflect responses among Democratic Primary Voters (definitions of Democratic Primary Voters vary prior to 2014)





Very GoodRating

Very PoorRating Cannot

5 4 3 2 1 RateBeing honest and straightforward All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 13 13 23 10 40 1 April 2015+ ......................................................................... 12 13 23 7 43 2June 2014+ ......................................................................... 19 19 21 11 29 1March 2008+ ....................................................................... 18 15 21 15 28 3November 2007+ ................................................................ 17 16 22 12 33 -


April 2015^^ ........................................................................ 27 25 34 3 11 -June 2014^^........................................................................ 44 31 15 4 6 -March 2008^^ ..................................................................... 29 23 26 9 10 3November 2007^^ .............................................................. 30 23 29 10 8 -

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.^^ Results shown reflect responses among Democratic Primary Voters (definitions of Democratic Primary Voters vary prior to 2014)

And, thinking some more about (jus t one/ano ther) candidate…Q29 How would you rate Bernie Sanders on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5"

means a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOTSURE," RECORD AS "DK.")


Very GoodRating

Very PoorRating Cannot Don’t Know

5 4 3 2 1 Rate Name (Q6)Being honest and straightforward All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 29 19 20 6 8 5 13Democratic primary voters

October 2015^^ .................................................................. 53 19 11 2 2 1 12Being easygoing and likable All Voters


October 2015^^ .................................................................. 35 23 24 2 2 2 12Being knowledgeable and experienced enough tohandle the presidency All Voters


October 2015^^ .................................................................. 27 29 23 4 3 2 12Bringing real change to the direction of the country All Voters

October 2015+ .................................................................... 18 15 24 8 18 4 13

Democratic primary votersOctober 2015^^ .................................................................. 38 20 21 3 4 2 12Sharing your positions on the issues All Voters


October 2015^^ .................................................................. 30 25 23 4 4 2 12+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary




Now, switching topics…(Q33 AND Q34 ROTATED)Q33 Whether or not you agree with this party’s position, when it comes to its approach on [RANDOMIZE INSERT

ITEM] would you describe the Democratic Party’s position as generally being in the broad mainstream, oris its position outside the mainstream?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY IN THE MAINSTREAM

In theMainstream

Outside theMainstream

(VOL)In Between/

Depends

NotSure

Gay marriageOctober 2015 .................................... 63 27 1 9

Abor tionOctober 2015 .................................... 54 34 2 10

Climate changeOctober 2015 .................................... 54 32 1 13

ImmigrationOctober 2015 .................................... 46 43 2 9

Fiscal issues, such as taxing andspending

October 2015 .................................... 42 48 1 9Guns

October 2015 .................................... 38 52 1 9

Q34 Whether or not you agree with this party’s position, when it comes to its approach on [RANDOMIZE INSERTITEM] would you describe the Republican Party’s position as generally being in the broad mainstream, oris its position outside the mainstream?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY IN THE MAINSTREAM

In theMainstream

Outside theMainstream

(VOL)

In Between/Depends

NotSure

GunsOctober 2015 .................................... 51 38 1 10

Fiscal issues, such as taxing and

spendingOctober 2015 .................................... 47 44 2 7Immigration

October 2015 .................................... 43 47 1 9 Abor tion

October 2015 .................................... 33 55 2 10Climate change

October 2015 .................................... 30 54 1 15Gay marriage

October 2015 .................................... 29 59 2 10




And, think ing about something else…Q35 Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the situation in Syria?

10/15 9/13 8/13 Approve ................. 34 28 35Disapprove ............ 54 57 44Not sure ............... 12 15 21

Q36 Which of the following comes closer to your point of view about the threat the situation in Syria presents tothe U.S. (ROTATE)

It is NOT a threat to the United States ..................... 16It is not a threat to the United States now butlikely will be soon ..................................................... 56It is an immediate threat to the United States .......... 23Not sure ................................................................. 5

Q37 Do you think Russia poses an immediate military threat to the United States, a long-term military threat, orno real military threat to the United States?

10/15* 3/05Immediate military threat .......... 14 8Long-term military threat ........... 60 34No real military threat ................ 23 53Not sure .................................. 3 5

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

And, turning to a different issue…Q38 In general, do you feel that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict, less strict, or

kept as they are now?

10/15 4/13 2/13 1/13 1/111 10/10 10/09 10/08 10/07 10/06

More strict .......... 55 55 61 56 52 44 44 49 51 56Less strict ........... 9 9 4 7 10 12 12 8 8 9Kept as now ....... 34 34 34 35 37 42 43 41 39 33No opinion ........ 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2

10/05 10/04 1/04 10/03 10/02 10/01 5/00 4/00 12/99 8/9957 54 60 55 51 53 62 61 60 667 11 6 9 11 8 5 7 10 635 34 34 36 36 38 31 30 29 271 1 * * 2 1 2 2 1 1

6/99 5/99 4/99 2/99 4/95 12/93 3/93 3/91 9/9062 65 66 60 62 67 70 68 786 5 7 9 12 7 4 5 2

31 28 25 29 24 25 24 25 171 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3

1Trend data before January 2011 comes from surveys by Gallup.




Q39 How worried are you that (READ ITEM)--very worried, fairly worried, only slightly worried, or not reallyworried at all?

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY VERY OR FAIRLY WORRIED

VeryWorried

FairlyWorried

Only SlightlyWorried

Not ReallyWorried at all

NotSure

You or someone you love will bethe victim of gun violenceOctober 2015 .................................. 17 15 31 37 -

You or someone you love will bethe victim of a terrorist attackOctober 2015 .................................. 9 16 35 40 -September 2001 ............................. 16 12 31 40 1

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, orsomeone else? +

Voted for Barack Obama ............................... 44Voted for Mitt Romney ................................... 32Voted for someone else ................................. 10Not sure ......................................................... 1No, Did Not Vote ............................................ 12

Not sure ....................................................... 1+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work?

Currently Employed Professional, manager ............................ 25

White-collar worker ................................. 19Blue-collar worker ................................... 18Farmer, rancher ...................................... -

Not Currently Employed Student .................................................... 4

Stay at home mom/dad ........................... 7Retired .................................................... 23Unemployed, looking for work ................. 3Other ....................................................... -Not sure ................................................ 1

QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.)

Grade school ........................................................... -Some high school .................................................... 3High school graduate ............................................... 24Some college, no degree ......................................... 16Vocational training/School ...................................... 22-year college degree .............................................. 114-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. 25Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 32-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... 11Doctoral/law degree ................................................. 4Not sure/refused .................................................... 1




QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or somethingelse? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONGDEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to theRepublican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.")

Strong Democrat ............................. 19Not very strong Democrat ............... 10Independent/lean Democrat ............ 11Strictly Independent ......................... 14Independent/lean Republican .......... 14Not very strong Republican ............. 9Strong Republican ........................... 16Other (VOL) ................................... 5Not sure ......................................... 2

QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, orconservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)?

Very liberal ......................................................... 10Somewhat liberal ............................................... 14Moderate ............................................................ 40Somewhat conservative ..................................... 19Very conservative .............................................. 15Not sure ........................................................... 2

(READ QF5a-f ONLY IF Q9:2 - REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS) And, On a scale from one to ten where ten represents a description that is perfect for you and one a description thatis totally wrong for you, how well do each of the following describe you? You can, of course, use any numberbetween one and ten. __ __ (RECORD EXACT NUMBER 1-10, USE 99 FOR DK/REF)

To what extent do you regard yourself as...(RANDOMIZE)

THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %8-10 AMONG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS8-10 4-7 1-3 Refused Mean

A supporter of the tradi tionaldefinition of marriage as beingbetween one man and one womanOctober 2015^.................................... 70 16 14 - 8.0

A supporter of the Right-to-Li femovementOctober 2015^.................................... 62 26 9 3 7.8

Someone who enjoys l istening toconservative talk radioOctober 2015^.................................... 39 34 25 2 6.0

A supporter of the Tea PartyMovementOctober 2015^.................................... 33 44 20 3 5.9

A Li bertar ianOctober 2015^.................................... 11 36 46 7 3.9





QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member?

Labor union member ........................................ 12Union household .............................................. 8Non-union household ....................................... 80Not sure .......................................................... -

QF7 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousanddollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars andforty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousanddollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousanddollars, or would the total be more than that?

Less than $10,000 ............................................... 3Between $10,000 and $20,000............................ 7Between $20,000 and $30,000............................ 10Between $30,000 and $40,000............................ 10Between $40,000 and $50,000............................ 9Between $50,000 and $75,000............................ 17

Between $75,000 and $100,000.......................... 13More than $100,000 ............................................ 25Not sure/refused ................................................. 6

QF8 Do you, or does anyone in your household, own a gun of any kind?

10/15 2/13 1/13 1/11 10/08+ 9/08+ 9/04+ 3/04 1/04 12/03 10/99Yes, gun in household ....... 41 42 41 39 44 45 44 42 42 40 44No, no gun in household .... 54 54 55 58 53 53 53 56 56 57 54Not sure ........................... 5 4 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 3


15462 nbcwsj oct poll final

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