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IL&FS Ltd.1
AEROSAPCE INFRASTRUCTURE
-An Opportunity Mapping
Infras
tructure Financial Services LimitedMilind Patel- Executive Director
IL&FS Financial Services Limited
FICCI- INDO US SUMMIT
30 Nov 2006
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Project Development
Project SponsorshipProject Management
Stakeholder ValueManagement
Investment Banking
Structured/Asset Finance
Corporate Advisory/M&A
Project Finance
Private Equity
Venture Funds
Infrastructure Funds
Distribution
Broking
Project Syndication
Merchant Banking
Successful Delivery of An Infrastructure Mandate on a PPP basis
Engineering &
Project ManagementLegal & Contractual
Documentation
Environmental&
SocialManagement
Project Design&
SectorSpecialization
Management &Technical Skills
FinancialEngineering Skills
IL&FS-an introduction
In
corporated in 1987 with mandates to commercialise infrastructure and develop financial services business
ver the years has developed both lines of business and each business is developed as separate profit centres
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INDIAN ECONOMY- The Takeoff Stage
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Overview
Indian economy The 4th largest & 2nd fastest growing economy in the world
India GDP for FY 2006 was appx USD 570 bn at constant prices
4th largest economy in the world in terms of purchasingpower parity
A middle class customer base of over 300 million people
More than 7% GDP growth for four consecutive years
Infrastructure a key bottleneck
Indian Economy A Snapshot
10 year GDP growth CAGR %
8.6
6.2
5.0 5.0 4.8 4.64.2
3.53.1
2.8
0
1
23
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
China
Ma
lays
ia
India
Singapore
Korea
Ta
iwan
Hong
Kong
Philipp
ines
Indones
ia
Tha
ilan
d
-10.0
-7.5
-5.0
-2.5
0.0
2.5
5.0
7.5
10.0
12.5
15.0
17.5
Q1
,FY03
Q2
,FY03
Q3
,FY03
Q4,
FY03
Q1
,FY04
Q2
,FY04
Q3
,FY04
Q4,
FY04
Q1
,FY05
Yo
Y%
change
Industry Services Agriculture
Trends in GDP
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INITIATIVES IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION
Strong political will and Improved policy environment: ElectricityAct, Draft Maritime Policy, Draft Civil
Aviation policy, etc
Ring fencing of funds earmarked for infrastructure
Nomination of implementation authorities
Urgency to bring about commercial viability is apparent
Momentum of private participation picking up, with innovative financing concepts like Public Private
Partnerships and Viability Gap Funding
Infrastructure Challenge
INFRASTRUCTURE CAN BE A GROWTH CONSTRAINT
India Economic Growth triggered by economic reforms in 1991which led to a huge growth in
services, manufacturing and global trade
The infrastructure development has not kept pace with the growth in manufacturing and services
sector leading to a bottleneck
Huge Investment Requirement for physical infrastructure for power, roads, ports, airports and
railways
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INDIAN AVIATION Witnessing High Growth
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Indian Aviation Industry- Liberalisation
1953: Nationalization of Aircraft Industry
Consequently, assets of 9 existing companies
transferred to two entities in the aviation sector
controlled by the Government in
a) Indian Airlines, primarily serving domestic
sectors
b)Air India, primarily serving the
international sectors
Implication
Aviation became a preferred mode of transport
for elite class
Restricted Growth ofAviation Industry
High Cost structure
Underdevelopment of infrastructure
1986: Private Sector Players permitted as Air
taxi operators
Players including Jet,Air Sahara, NEPC,
East West, Modiluft,etc started service
1994: Private Carriers permitted to operate
scheduled services
Six operators granted license however
only Jet andAir Sahara able to service
2003: Entry of low cost carriers
Air Deccan, Spice Jet, GoAir, Indigo
Implication
Aviation has become affordable with check
fares and discount schemes
Various Operators with different business
model
Huge growth foreseen in the Aviation
Industry
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Industry Characteristics
HUGE POTENTIAL
Under penetrated Market
- Total PassengerTraffic only 50 mn as on 31st Dec 2005 amounting to only 0.05 trips per annum as compared to
developedNations like United States have 2.02 trips per annum
- High Level of potential demand with growth in Indian economy
UntappedAir Cargo Market
- Air Cargo has not yet been fully taped in the Indian marketsand is expected that in the coming years
large no of players would have dedicated fleets
What this means
- Build up of capacityby existing players and entry of new players
CONSTRAINTS
Infrastructure Constraints
-Shortage of airport facilities, parking bays,air traffic control facilities and takeoff and landing slots
- Continued growth might be hampered
Relatively Limited Reach
-Only 454 airports with less than 100 airports having more than one daily service
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YEAR
No.in
million % Growth
No.in
million % Growth
No.in
million % Growth
2003-04 17 12 32 11 49 12
2004-05 19 17 40 24 59 22
2005-06 23 18 51 28 74 24
International Domestic Total
High Growth in Passenger and Air Cargo Traffic
Source: Ministry of CivilAviation
Passenger Traffic Trends
Air Cargo Trends
YEAR
Qty ( Thous
tonnes) % Growth
Qty ( Thous
tonnes) % Growth
Qty (
Thous
tonnes) % Growth
2003-04 693 7 375 13 1069 9
2004-05 824 19 457 22 1280 20
2005-06 903 10 479 5 1382 8
International Domestic Total
2010 (Projection): 105-115 million (69 mn domestic & 40 mn international)
2010 (Projection): 3,360 thousand tonnes
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Huge Growth- Huge Plans
Fleet Acquisition
New Fleet Orders -More than 500
Fund Requirement- USD 50-55 bn approx
Order Book New Players
Indigo 100
Air India 68
Air Deccan 60
Kingfisher 50
IndianAirlines 43
Jet airways 40
GoAir 36
Spice Jet 20
Expected to grow to 125 from 7 by 2025
Competitive Pressure
Fu
llS
erv
ice
Price
Low cost Carriers
changing the game
Indigo
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Capacity Expansion and New Players
Air Cargo Market
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AIRPORT INFRASTRCUTURE-Huge Opportunity
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Ministry of Civil Aviation
Responsible for the formulation of policy, development and regulation of CivilAviation. Its functionsalso extend to overseeing airport facilities, air traffic services and carriage of passengers and goods
by air
Airport Infrastructure- Regulatory Authorities
Other Attached/Autonomous Organisations:
Directorate General of Civil Aviation : Promote safe and efficient Air Transportation(DGCA) through regulation and proactive safety oversight
system
Bureau of Civil Aviation Security : Regulatory authority for civil aviation security in
(BCAS) India
Airport Authority of India (AAI) : Accelerate the integrated development, expansion
and modernization of the operational, terminal and
cargo facilities at the airports
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India Airport Infrastructure Huge Growth Potential
AAI manages 127 airports which includes:
13 International airports (excluding Delhi &
Mumbai and including 3 civil enclaves)
7 Custom airports
28 Civil Enclaves
80 Domestic airports
2 Joint VentureAirports (Delhi & Mumbai)
AAI manages Civil Airports
There are 454 airports / airstrips in the Country. This
includes Operational, Non Operational,Abandoned
and DisusedAirports
Majority of CivilAirports managed byAirports
Authority of India
AAI responsible for airport infrastructure
development
Current Status
The increased passenger and cargo traffic has
posed new challenges in the area of providing
adequate infrastructure at airports
Imperatives
Expansion of capacity at existing airports
Up gradation / modernization ofMetro and
Non-metro airports
Development of new GreenfieldAirports
Induction of modern technology for efficient
handling ofAircraft, Passenger and Cargo at
airports
Up gradation of CNS/ATM facilities
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STEPS HAVE BEEN TAKEN TO DEVELOP AIRPORT INFRASTRCTURE
Private investment encouraged both in Airlines as well as Airports
Airport Infrastructure Policy,1997 permits private equity participation for development of airports to
bridge resource gap and to bring efficiency
Foreign Direct Investment has been allowed upto 100% in airports, beyond 74% requiring Government
approval
Foreign equity upto 40% and NRI/OCB investment upto100% is permissible in the domestic air
transport services with prior GOI approval
Domestic Carriers permitted to operate international flights
Open Sky policy for cargo flights
Attractive fiscal incentives/concessions, moderate tax rates & Tax holidays
Public-Private Partnership encouraged
Liberal Equipment Import regime
Comprehensive Civil Aviation Policy to be finalized very shortly
Airport Privatization
-Delhi GMR-Fraport consortium
-Mumbai GVK- South African Airports
Recent Regulatory Initiatives
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9,302Market Opportunity by 2010
698Other than above airportsModernization/ Improvement
1,62835 selected airportsUpgradation
2,326Bangalore, Hyderabad, Pakyong,-Sikkim, Cheithu-
Nagaland, Itanagar, Goa, Pune, Nagpur (Hub),Navi
Mumbai, Halwara-Punjab
Green Field Airports
1,163Chennai & Kolkatta
3,488Delhi & MumbaiRestructuring/ Modernization
Cost ( USD Mn)AirportParticulars
9,302Market Opportunity by 2010
698Other than above airportsModernization/ Improvement
1,62835 selected airportsUpgradation
2,326Bangalore, Hyderabad, Pakyong,-Sikkim, Cheithu-
Nagaland, Itanagar, Goa, Pune, Nagpur (Hub),Navi
Mumbai, Halwara-Punjab
Green Field Airports
1,163Chennai & Kolkatta
3,488Delhi & MumbaiRestructuring/ Modernization
Cost ( USD Mn)AirportParticulars
AAI- Plans for Airport Infrastructure
Airport Authority Expenditure Plans
Source: Ministry of CivilAviation
IMPACT
Opens a huge market for companies operating inAerospace andAllied Industries
Opportunity big for sophisticated and high end technology products like communication and security
equipments
A large pie for foreign players as Indian players not equipped to cater to demand
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Opportunity Universe
Airport Operations
Cargo Facilities and Warehouses
Supply of components (to HAL, others)
Raw material - sheet metal, forgings, surface
engineering
Aerospace Software - Systems
MRO facilities & equipment
Simulation, training & consultancy
Outsourcing/offshoring design & development
(offsetting)
Electronics/Avionics
Support services (sky-chefs)
Specialized Consulting (Traffic Study,
BusinessAdvisory)
Navigational aids, Instrument landing systems (ILS)
Communications equipment
Weather equipment
Baggage handling and information systems
Aerobridges Centrifuge,
Simulators
Smart Cards systems,
Baggage Screening systems,
Multi-zone Door Frame Metal Detectors Airfield lighting systems
Radar systems,
Flight information systems
Products
Market Opportunity
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Segment 2,005
Cumulative
till 2010
Cumulative
till 2015
Civil Aerospace Manufacturing 51 564 1,967
Metals 4 45 157
Composites 3 28 98
Systems and Associates 10 110 384
Avionics 9 104 364
Standard Parts 2 23 79
Manufacturing Outsourcing 7 73 256
Others (Consumables/Tooling) 3 28 98Airport Development and Services 800 6,978 18,069
CommercialMRO 331 2,539 8,739
Optional Aircraft Equipment and Systems 15 123 400
Testing and Certification - 5 12
Consulting 12 98 286
Training 40 446 1,380
Software and Systems 134 1,071 3,123
PLM and Knowledge Engineering 4 29 88
Pilot Supplies and Navigational Aids 4 32 82
Others (Financing, Leasing, Insurance,etc) 360 6,162 18,674
USD Millions
Market Size
Estimated that more than 50% of the above market will be catered by foreign players
Source: UK Trade and Investment
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Sell existing products and services into growing Indian market directly/indirectly (through OEMs)Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Formulate strategic alliances, CRM bases, support bases to sell into Indian market
Use maturing, low cost Indian platform for Sourcing from India to sell into World Market
Setup JVs in India to take advantage of the edge given to domestic firms, sell into Indian and
Global Market
Entry Strategies for Foreign Companies
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Sell into Indian market through distributors
Huge demand for pilots and cabin crew. Set up facility in India
Electronics
Components
Airport Services
& Development
Maintenance/Re
pair/Overhaul
Interior
Funrshings
Ground Support
Equipments
Training and
Educational
Institutions
Be part of several consortiums to develop and manage Indian airports or form partnerships with existing
consortiums in India
Establish own MRO facilities or sell to the facilities that are going to be established
Sell Ground Support Equipments by forming partnerships with Indian marketing arms to meet the Indian
demand
No professional aircraft finisher in India. Immediate opportunity in India
Product Segments: Possible Strategies
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Summation
IndianAviation has seen high growth on account of sustained Indian socio economic growth and liberalized
Government initiatives
Airport Infrastructure needs to improve significantly to meet the current and future demand of the IndianAviation
Sector
Authorities have initiated various steps to implement modernization, reconstruction and development of airport
infrastructure to implement infrastructure development plan
Provides a huge opportunity for private players operating inAerospace and allied industries
Significant opportunity for foreign companies as Indian companies not technologically equipped to cater to
requirements
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38 40 41 4251.3
52.3
0
20
40
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Financial Year
Million
P
assengers
HUGE POTENTIAL MARKET
Huge potential market Discount Fares/Low Cost Carriers fares
competitive to premium railway fares
Ever increasing reach
Indian Railways-Premium Passengers
Growth Drivers
DEMAND DRIVERS
GDP Growth has been more than 7% in the
last 4 years
The rising middle class of more than 300 mn
is fuelling the growth
The Increase in Consumerism and
Affordability ofAir travel
Government Liberal Policy to allow private
carriers and entry of Low Cost Carriers has
lead to a increase in demand in passenger
traffic
Domestic Tourism and International Business
Travel and Tourism has also greatly fuelled
the rise of Indian aviation sector
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International Air Traffic growing at CAGR@15%
Growing Indian economy and globalized trade
Rise in international tourism
International Air Passengers
PAX
(inMn)
11.913.2
15
18
0
5
10
15
20
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05
Financial Year
Tourism
Domestic Tourism growth CAGR @ 15%
Boost with rising per capita income andincreased consumerism
Foreign Tourist Arrivals growth @ 20% for 2004
and 2005
136 140160 168
190220 236
270309
370
0
100
200
300
400
Year
MnPassengers
Growth Drivers