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3/18/16 1 2015 ATA Management Guidelines Thyroid Nodules & Differen=ated Thyroid Cancer Focused Case Based Discussion Chienying Liu MD Disclosure None Adult guidelines should not be applied to children < 1820 yo

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Page 1: 12 Liu Thyroid Nodule Mgmt - UCSF CME Liu Thyroid... · 2016. 3. 28. · ATA2015 Thyroid2016& & Case • 76yo&woman&& • 9 mm PTC • No lymph nodes on ultrasound or PET-CT • Whatdo&you&recommend&

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2015  ATA  Management  Guidelines  Thyroid  Nodules  &  Differen=ated  Thyroid  Cancer  

 Focused  Case  Based  Discussion  

Chienying  Liu  MD    

Disclosure  

•  None  •  Adult  guidelines  should  not  be  applied  to  children  <  18-­‐20  yo    

Page 2: 12 Liu Thyroid Nodule Mgmt - UCSF CME Liu Thyroid... · 2016. 3. 28. · ATA2015 Thyroid2016& & Case • 76yo&woman&& • 9 mm PTC • No lymph nodes on ultrasound or PET-CT • Whatdo&you&recommend&

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Year   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   1999   2003   2007  

5-­‐Year  RelaJve  Survival   92.3%   92.8%   92.5%   95.5%   95.8%   96.8%   97.3%   97.9%  

New Cases, Deaths and 5-Year Relative Survival

SEER  Cancer  StaJsJcs  Factsheets:  Thyroid  Cancer.  NaJonal  Cancer  InsJtute.  Bethesda,  MD,    hTp://seer.cancer.gov/staUacts/html/thyro.html  

Increase  mostly  due  to  small  PTC  50%  <  1cm  30%  1-­‐2  cm    

Thyroid  Cancer  ‘Epidemic’  in  Korea    

15  x      

NEJM  2014  

Most  Common  Cancer  In  Korea  

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 Thyroid  Cancer-­‐Autopsy  Studies  

•  6-­‐11%    in  most  studies  •  In  US  

•  6.2%, 5 to 10.5mm, 46% multifocal, 14% LN metastases •  1020 autopsies

•  In  Finland  –  Occult  PTC:  2-­‐3  mm  secJon  •  101 consecutive autopsies >40 yo •  35.6% (43.3% in men and 27.1% in women) •  77% < 1 mm •  93 autopies younger than 40 •  14% •  27% between 18-40 yo •  Tumor size 0.05-2 mm (mean 0.2mm)

 Lang  et  al,  Am  J  Clin  Pathol  1988  Franssila  et  al  Cancer  1985  and  1986    

A  large  reservoir  of  subclinical  diseases  Many  cases  uncovered  through  imaging  

THYROID  NODULE/THYROID  CANCER  

•  Guidelines  •  1996: ATA published treatment guidelines on thyroid nodules and cancer •  2006: ATA established a task force to develop guidelines – evidence based

medicine •  2009: Revised guidelines because of rapid growth in the literature on this topic

•  Introduced risk stratification for recurrence: low, intermediate, high for recurrences

•  2015: Updated and expanded from 2009 •  Added 21 recommendations and amended 21 prior recommendations

•  Controversies  exist  •  Lack of high quality randomized controlled trials

Thyroid  January  2016  101  rec/21  new  rec    

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 Schematic diagram of a follicular cell, illustrating the steps involved in thyroid hormone synthesis. Park S M , and Chatterjee V K K J Med Genet 2005;42:379-389

©2005 by BMJ Publishing Group Ltd

Thyroid  Physiology  101  

•  Normal  thyroid  cells  more  iodine  avid  

•  To use RAI in DTC →  remove  most  of  the  normal thyroid tissue

•  Therapeutic

•  Diagnostic/Surveillance scanning •  Especially  when  iodine  scan  was  the  

primary  modality  for  surveillance  

Thyroglobulin-­‐  Tg  

•  ½  life  1-­‐3  days  (Carole  Spencer:  3  days)  

•  The  nadir  achieved  by  3-­‐4  weeks  ager  surgery  

•  1ng/mL  =1  gram  of  thyroid  Jssue  when  euthyroid  

•  Post  op  Tg  can  be  helpful    •  Thyroid remnant + neoplastic thyroid tissue (if any)

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Factors  to  Consider  When  Interpre=ng  Tg  •  TSH  

•  TSH stimulates Tg synthesis •  Stimulated Tg the most sensitive way of detecting recurrences

•  Interfering  AB  •  Tg AB – most common (20-30%) - falsely lower Tg •  Heterophile AB – Uncommon - falsely elevate Tg (need to ask Lab to run test )

•  FuncJonal  sensiJvity  •  1st generation assays: functional sensitivity: 0.5 to 1

•  May fail to detect early tumor recurrence and will only be positive after TSH stimulation

•  2nd generation assays: functional sensitivity: 0.05 to 0.1 (UCSF, Quest, Labcorp) •  Tg < 0.1 correlates with rh TSH stimulated Tg (<2) well (total thyroidectomy and remnant ablation)

•  Any  injury  or  inflammatory  process  

Case    

•  76  yo  woman  found  to  have  a  FDG  avid  9mm  nodule  on  PET-­‐CT  for  surveillance  of  breast  cancer  

•  PMH  also  significant  for  lung  cancer,  in  remission  

•  U/S  showed  mulJple  non-­‐suspicious  nodules  and  a  suspicious  9  mm  nodule  

•  TSH  normal    

 

•  Biopsy?  

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ATA  Guidelines  2015  Thyroid  2016  

ATA  2015  Guidelines  Thyroid  2016  

FNA  can  be  considered  at  the  lower  cutoffs  in  the  presence  of  known  clinical  risk  factors  -­‐  Unusual  symptoms,  childhood  radiaJon  exposure,  familial  thyroid  cancer  syndrome  

 Surveillance  can  be  considered  in  selected  paJents  who  met  the  cutoffs  for  FNA  -­‐  Very  low  risk  nodules,  paJents  with  comorbidiJes    

Vary  Your  Cutoffs  Based  on  Individual  paJent’s  Risk  or  ComorbidiJes  

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016    

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FDG  Avid  Thyroid  Nodules  

•  FDG  avid  nodules  –  35%  risk  of  malignancy  •  Biopsy if ≥ 1 cm

Our  paJent    •  FNA:  PTC  

Strong  RecommendaJon,  Moderate  Quality  Evidence  

ATA  2015,  Thyroid  2016  

Ultrasound  Evalua=on  

•  Lymph  node  evaluaJon  should  be  included  •  In all patients with thyroid nodules

•  Lymphadenopathy will change management

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016  

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Ultrasound  Surveillance  &  Follow  Up  

•  Benign  nodules  do  grow  •  Suspicious  ultrasound  paTerns  more  important  than  growth  

•  Missed  cancers  frequently  have  suspicious  ultrasound  features    •  On repeat biopsies, higher malignancy rates in nodules with suspicious

ultrasound findings (17-20%) than in nodules that grew in size (1.3-1.4%)

Ultrasound  Surveillance  &  Follow  Up  Ultrasound  PaUern   FNA  benign   If  No  FNA    High  Suspicion    

Repeat  US  and  FNA  in  12  m  (Strong/Moderate-­‐Quality)    

Repeat  US  6-­‐12  m  (Weak/Low-­‐Quality)  

Low  to  Intermediate    Suspicion  

•  Repeat  US  at  12-­‐24  m  •  FNA  if  growth  or  new  suspicious  features  

(Weak/Low-­‐Quality)  

Repeat  US  12-­‐24  m      (Weak/Low-­‐Quality)  

Very  Low  Suspicion   •  UJlity  of  repeaJng  US  unclear  

•  When  repeat,    repeat  >  24  m    (Weak/Low-­‐Quality)  

>  1cm  •  UJlity  of  repeaJng  US  unclear  •  If  repeat  US,  should  be  >  24  m    (No  recommendaJon,  In  sufficient  evidence)  

<  1  cm  •  RouJne  US  not  needed  •  If  repeated  US,  should  be  >  24  m  (Weak/Low-­‐Quality)  ATA  2015  Guidelines  

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Management  of  Benign  Nodules  RecommendaJon  25  •  “RouJne  TSH  suppression  in  iodine  sufficient  populaJon  is  

not  recommended”  RecommendaJon  26  •  Adequate  iodine  intake  for  pts  with  benign  solid  or  mostly  

solid  nodules  •  “If  inadequate  dietary  intake  is  found  or  suspected,  a  daily  

supplement  (containing  150  mcg  iodine)  is  recommended  RecommendaJon  27  •  “Benign  growing  nodules  should  be  monitored”  •  “AsymptomaJc  nodules  should  be  monitored  without  

intervenJon”  RecommendaJon  29  •  “There  are  no  data  to  guide  recommendaJons  on  the  use  of  

thyroid  hormone  therapy  in  paJents  with  growing  nodules  that  are  benign  on  cytology”  

 

•  Strong  recommenda=on,  High-­‐quality  evidence  

•  Strong  recommenda=on,  Moderate-­‐quality  evidence  

•  Strong  recommenda=on,  Low-­‐quality  evidence  

•  No  recommenda=on,  Insufficient  evidence  

 ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016    

Case    •  76  yo  woman    

•  9 mm PTC

•  No lymph nodes on ultrasound or PET-CT

•  What  do  you  recommend  •  Total thyroidectomy •  Lobectomy

•  Active surveillance

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016  

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Ac=ve  Surveillance  –  A  Feasible  Op=on  

•  Low  risk  papillary  microcarcinoma  <  1  cm  

•  No evidence of local invasion •  No metastasis •  No cytologic (or molecular) evidence

of aggressiveness

•  High  surgical  risk  •  Short  life  span  •  Concurrent  medical  issues  that  

need  to  be  addressed  first  

Ito  et  al  1235  pts:  Mean  f/u  60  m  (18-­‐227  m)  Tumor  enlargement                      5%  5  yrs            8%  10  yrs  Lymph  node  metastasis    1.7%  5  yrs    3.8%  10  yrs  Clinical  progression  (>12mm  or  nodal  met)  

                     3.9%  5  yrs    6.8%  10  yrs    Predictors:  Younger  age  and  larger  size  

   Sugitani  et  al  230  pts;  Mean  f/u  60  m  (1-­‐17  yrs)  Tumor  enlargement    7%  Lymph  node  metastasis  1%  

 •  No  death  •  Salvage  surgery  effecJve  

•  only  1  case  of  recurrence  ager  delayed  surgery  

For  PTMC  

Ac=ve  Surveillance  Ito  et  al.  Thyroid  2014  

Miyauchi  A.    Would  J  Surgery  2016  

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Miyauchi  A.  World  J  Surgery  2016  

Proper  Pa=ent  Selec=on  for  Ac=ve  Surveillance  

Tumors  •  NOT  adjacent  to  the  trachea  or    the  

posterior  surface  of  the  lobe  •  NOT  high  grade  cytology  from  FNA  •  NO  nodal  metastasis    

AcJve  Surveillance    •  Appropriate  for  low  risk  PTMC  

•  Low  rates  of  progression,  esp  in  older  pts  •  Small  sub-­‐cm  high  suspicious  nodules    

Case  •  64  yo  woman  with  mulJple  sclerosis  

was  found  to  have  a  leg  2.5  cm  thyroid  nodule.    FNA  ‘  atypical’  

•  US:  no  clinical  nodes  &  2  small  5  mm  nodules  in  the  right  lobe,  without  suspicious  features  

•  IntraoperaJve  findings  -­‐  no  invasion,  no  nodal  disease  

•  Lobectomy    -­‐  Final  pathology  showed  a  2.3  cm  papillary  thyroid  cancer  

•  Should  she  undergo  compleJon  thyroidectomy?  

•  Will this improve outcomes? •  Is lobectomy sufficient?

•  Will she benefit from RAI?

•  Can you monitor her without completion

thyroidectomy

•  What does she want?

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2009  Guidelines  

•  RECOMMENDATION  26  •  For  paJents  with  thyroid  cancer  >1  cm,  the  iniJal  surgical  •  procedure  should  be  a  near-­‐total  or  total  thyroidectomy  •  unless  there  are  contraindicaJons  to  this  surgery  

Lobectomy  –  An  Op=on  for  T1-­‐T2    RecommendaJon  35  •  Total/near  Total  for  cancer  >  4  cm,  gross  extrathyroidal  invasion,  distant  or  clinical  regional  nodal  metastases  

 •  Cancer  >1  cm  and  <4  cm  without  extrathyroidal  extension,  and  without  clinical  evidence  of  any  lymph  node  metastases  (cN0),  the  iniJal  surgical  procedure  can  be  near-­‐total  or  total  thyroidectomy  or  lobectomy  

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016  

Prior  guidelines  –  total/near  total  thyroidectomy  for  tumors  >1  cm  

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Studies   Database   Pa=ents   Overall  Survival  -­‐10  yr   DSS   Recurrence  

Bilimoria  et  al  1985-­‐1998  Median  f/u  6  yr  

NaJonal  Cancer    PTC  all  sizes  

Total:  43227  Lobe:  8946  

Total:  98.4%    Lobe:  97.1%  P<  0.05  

Total:7.7%  Lobe:  9.8%  P<  0.05  

No  adjustment  for  co-­‐morbidiJes  &  ETE,  mulJfocality,  resecJon  

Adam  et  al  1998-­‐2006  Mean  f/u  6.8  yr  

NaJonal  Cancer  PTC  1-­‐4  cm  

Total:  54926  Lobe:  6849  

Same  1-­‐2  cm  and  2.1-­‐4  cm  

Adjusted  for  co-­‐morbidiJes+  complexiJes  

Barney  et  al  1983-­‐2002  Median  f/u  6.7  yr  

SEER  PTC/FTC  

Total:  12598  Lobe:  3266  

Total:  90.4%  Lobe:  90.8%  

Total:  96.8%  Lobe:  98.6%  

Adjusted  for  TNM,  age,  sex,  surgery,  RAI  use  

Mendelsohn  et  al  1998-­‐2001    Mean  f/u  9  yr  

SEER  PTC  

Total:  16760  Lobe:  5964  

Total:90.8%  Lobe:  89.4%  

Total:  97.5%  Lobe:  98.4%  

Adjusted  for  variables  and  tumor  size  

Nixon  et  al  1986-­‐2005  Median  f/u  8yr  

SKMCC   Total    528  Lobe  361  

Total:  92%  Lobe:  93%  

Total  98%  Lobe  100%  

6%  -­‐  immediate  compleJon  4%  -­‐    compleJon  later  

Vaisman  et  al  Median  f/u  5yr  

SKMCC  No  RAI  

Total  72  Lobe  217  

Total:  2.3%  -­‐recur  (level  VI)  Lobe:  4.2%  -­‐recur  (contra-­‐  lobe)  Tg  not  helpful/  T4  not  used  if  TSH  nl  

Matsuzu  et  al  1986-­‐1995  Median  f/u  17.6yr  

Japan  Ito  hospital  

Lobe+ipsilat  (VI  +  II-­‐V)  1088    

25  yrs:  95.2%    

25  yrs  recurrence  free  survival  93.5%  lobe,  90.6%  nodes,  93.6%  dist  TSH  suppression  in  most  

JCEM  2015  

No  Difference  in  OS,  unadjusted  or  adjusted,  for  various  sizes  

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Lobectomy  –  An  Op=on  for  T1-­‐T2    RecommendaJon  35  

•  Cancer  >1  cm  and  <4  cm  without  extrathyroidal  extension,  and  without  clinical  evidence  of  any  lymph  node  metastases  (cN0),  the  iniJal  surgical  procedure  can  be  near-­‐total  or  total  thyroidectomy  or  lobectomy  

No  impact  on  survival    Recurrences  usually  easily  detected  and  appropriately  treated    Lower  complicaJon  rates  (7.6%  vs  14.5%)  

 

Thyroid  2016  

Case  •  64  yo  woman  with  mulJple  sclerosis  

was  found  to  have  a  leg  2.5  cm  thyroid  nodule.    FNA  ‘  atypical’  

•  US:  no  clinical  nodes  &  2  small  5  mm  nodules  on  the  right  without  suspicious  features  

•  IntraoperaJve  findings  no  invasion,  no  nodal  disease  

•  Lobectomy    -­‐  Final  pathology  showed  a  2.3  cm  papillary  thyroid  cancer  

•  Should  you  perform  compleJon  thyroidectomy?  

•  Will this improve outcomes? •  Is lobectomy sufficient?

•  Will she benefit from RAI? •  Will RAI lower the risk of

recurrence?

•  Can you monitor her without completion thyroidectomy?

•  What does she want?

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TNM  STAGING    

TNM  Staging  

Age  <  45  yo   Age  >  45  yo  

Stage  I   Any  T,  any  N   T  1          0-­‐2cm  (T1a  ≤  1  cm,  T1b  1-­‐2  cm)  Stage  2   Distant  metastasis   T  2          2-­‐4  cm    Stage  3   T  3          >  4  cm  

T  3          Minimal/microscopic  ETE  N  1a    Central  neck  node  involvement  

Stage  4   T  4          Invasion  of  adjacent  =ssues  M1        Distant  metastases  N  1b      Lymph  node  other  than  central  neck    (medias=nal  or  lateral)  

•  AJCC  TNM  –  most  widely  used  •  Predicts  mortality  

INITIAL  RISK  STRATIFICATION  Low     Intermediate   High  

•  No  mets,  all  macroscopic  tumor  resected  

•  No  ETE  •  No  aggressive  histology  •  No  vascular  invasion  •  No  uptake  outside  of  thyroid  bed  if  I131  given  

•  Uptake  outside  of  thyroid  bed  locally  

•  Microscopic  ETE  •  Aggressive  histology  •  Vascular  invasion  •  N1  

   

•  Gross  ETE  •  Incomplete  tumor  resecJon  

•  Distant  metastases  •  >>  Tg  out  of  proporJon                        

•  Clinical  N1  or  >5  pathologic  N1  with  all  involved  lymph  nodes  <3  cm  in  largest  dimension*  

•  MulJfocal  papillary  microcarcinoma  with  ETE  and  BRAFV600E  mutated  (if  known)*  

•  Clinical  N0  or  ≤5  pathologic  N1  micrometastases  (<0.2  cm  in  largest  dimension)*  

•  Intrathyroidal  encapsulated  follicular  variant  PTC*  

•  Minimally  invasive  FTC*  •  Microscopic  PTC  even  with  BRAF  +*  

•  Pathologic  N1  >3  cm  in  largest  dimension*  

•  FTC,  widely  invasive    (≥  4  vessels)*  

*New  risk  factors    ATA  2015  Guidelines  

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Thyroid  2012  

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Thyroid  2016  

RAI  use    •  PaJents  already  at  very  low  risk  –  no  

addiJonal  benefits  •  PaJents  at  high  risk  –  likely  to  see  

benefits  •  PaJents  in  the  intermediate  group,  esp  

lower  intermediate  risk  –  mixed  data    

Radioac=ve  Iodine  Use  In  DTC  

•  Treatment  of  residual  cancer/metastaJc  foci  •  RAI is clearly indicated

 •  Adjuvant  

•  Treat potential but unproven microscopic disease to improve outcomes

•  Remnant  ablaJon  •  Rid of the remnant tissue, and to improve outcomes? •  Facilitate follow up using whole body iodine scanning as the modality for

surveillance

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Remnant  Abla=on  –  Long  Standing  Debate  •  RAI  was  first  used  for  DTC  treatment  in  1940s    

•  Remnant  ablaJon  to    ‘complete  thyroidectomy’  or  ‘wipe  the  slate  clean’  started  in  1960s  

•  Remnant  ablaJon  was  demonstrated  to  have  survival/recurrence  benefits  by  1980s  

•  But  benefits  quesJoned  due  to  opposing  data  

Hay  ID  .  J  Surg  Oncol.  2006  

ATA  Recurrence  Risk  TNM  staging  

Tumor  Descrip=on  

Evidence  of  RAI  for  DSS  

Evidence  of  RAI  for  recurrence  

RAI  indicated?  

Low  Risk/T1aN0M0   ≤  1  cm   No   No   No  

Low  Risk  T1a-­‐T2N0M0  

1-­‐4  cm   No   ConflicJng  observaJonal  

Not  Rou=ne  -­‐  Consider      -­‐vascular  invasion  -­‐aggressive  pathology  

Low  to  Intermediate  T3N0M0  

>  4  cm   ConflicJng   ConflicJng  observaJonal  

Consider  -­‐  Advancing  age  

Microscopic  ETE  of  any  size  

No   ConflicJng  observaJonal  

Consider,  ‘generally  favored’  -­‐  Small  tumors  may  not  require  RAI  

Low  to  Intermediate  T1-­‐3N1aM0    

Central  nodal  mets  

No,  except  for  >45yo    (NTCCTSG  stage  III)  

ConflicJng  observaJonal  

Consider,  ‘generally  favored’  -­‐  Advancing  age  -­‐  Large  nodes  and  Inc  #  of  nodes  -­‐  Extranodal  extension  Not  clearly  indicated      -­‐  ≤5  and  microscopic  (<2mm)  

Low  to  Intermediate  T1-­‐3N1bM  

Lateral  &  MediasJnal  nodal  mets  

No,  except  for  >45yo  

ConflicJng  observaJonal  

Consider,  ‘generally  favored’  -­‐  Advancing  age  -­‐  Large  nodes  and  Inc  #  of  nodes  -­‐  Extranodal  extension  

High  Risk  T4  or  M1  

Gross  ETE  Distant  mets  

Yes  ObservaJonal  

Yes  ObservaJonal  

Yes  

Thyroid  2016    

ATA    Intermediate  Risk  

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Post  op  Evalua=on  in  Clinical  Decision  for  RAI  •  Post  op  Tg  

•  Post op Tg of 5-10ng/mL – predicts likelihood of having iodine avid disease outside of thyroid bed (nodes or distant mets)

•  Low Post op Tg can be reassuring •  The lower the better •  < 1ng/mL may be reassuring

•  Even in intermediate risk patients •  Cannot rule out small volume disease

•  Uncertainties regarding best cutoffs

•  Neck  ultrasound  •  In conjunction with postop Tg

•  Iodine  scan  •  I123

•  Low dose I131

Age  

•  Tumor  size  •  Adverse  histologies:  

•  Degree  of  extra-­‐thyroidal  invasion  

•  Vascular  invasion  

Lymph  node  status  -­‐  number,  size,  locaJon    PostoperaJve  Tg  

     

Integra=on  of  Mul=ple  Factors  

 

RAI  in  Low  and  Low  to  Intermediate  Risk  PaJents    

Response to Initial Treatment

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Prospec=ve  Randomized  Trials    

•  French  Study  •  Estimabl2 (Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: Is There a Need for

Radioiodine Ablation in Low Risk Patients)

•  English  Study      •  The IoN study – Is Ablative Radio-iodine Necessary for Low Risk

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Patients

•  Will have patients with selected N1 disease

Case  •  64  yo  woman  with  mulJple  sclerosis  was  

found  to  have  a  leg  2.5  cm  thyroid  nodule.    FNA  ‘  atypical’  

•  US:  no  clinical  nodes  &  2  small  5  mm  nodules  on  the  right  without  suspicious  features  

•  IntraoperaJve  findings  no  invasion,  no  nodal  disease  

•  Lobectomy    -­‐  Final  pathology  showed  a  2.3  cm  papillary  thyroid  cancer  

•  No ETE •  No lymphovascular invasion •  No nodes

•  Should  you  perform  compleJon  thyroidectomy?  

•  Will this improve outcomes? •  Is lobectomy sufficient

•  Will she benefit from RAI?

•  Can you monitor her without a completion thyroidectomy?

•  Older days: iodine WBS •  Nowadays: Serial Tg + Neck U/S

•  What does she want?

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Low  Risk  PaJents  Lobectomy  Only  Monitoring  Strategies  

•  Tg    •  Neck  ultrasound  •  Keep  TSH  0.5-­‐2mIU/L  

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016  

Case  •  64  yo  woman  with  mulJple  sclerosis  was  

found  to  have  a  leg  thyroid  nodule.    FNA  ‘atypical’  

•  US:  no  clinical  nodes  &  2  small  5  mm  nodules  on  the  right  without  suspicious  features  

•  IntraoperaJve  findings:  no  invasion,  no  nodal  disease  

•  Lobectomy    -­‐  Final  pathology  showed  a  2.3  cm  papillary  thyroid  cancer  

•  No ETE •  No lymphovascular invasion •  No nodes

•  Should  you  perform  compleJon  thyroidectomy?  

•  Will this improve outcomes? •  Is lobectomy sufficient?

 •  Will she benefit from RAI?

•  Can you monitor her without a completion thyroidectomy

•  What does she want?

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Risk  of  Hypothyroidism  Aher  Lobectomy  •  Meta-­‐analysis  (JCEM  2013)  of  32  studies:  22%    

•  4 studies: 12% sublinical hypothyroid and 4% clinical hypothyroidism •  Risk Factors: Higher TSH levels, TPO positivity, and evidence of thyroiditis on surgical

pathology

•  Meta-­‐analysis  of  32  studies  (ORL  2013):  •  Mean TSH 1.94 to 3.15 µIU/l for postop hypothyroidism •  Mean TSH 1.10 to 1.95 µIU/l for postop euthyroidism •  TSH < 1 unlikely to develop hypothyroidism

•  Stoll  et  al  Surgery  2009  -­‐34  months  follow  up,  TSH  upper  normal  4.82  •  13.5% patients with TSH levels <1.5 µIU/ml •  20.5% of patients with a TSH between 1.51 – 2.50 µIU/ml •  41.3% of patients with a TSH >2.5 µIU/ml

Unclear  How  Many  Can  Maintain  TSH  below  2?  

Assessing  Response  to  Therapy  

•  IniJal  staging  system  and  risk  straJficaJon  system  •  Provide important information and insight •  Guide early therapeutic decisions

•  But - static, single point estimate

•  Response  to  therapy    •  Risk of recurrence and disease specific mortality can change depending

on the response

•  Allows for individualized and ongoing management •  Improves PVE (proportional variance explained)

•  < 30% to 62-84% Thyroid  2016  

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Response  to  Therapy  –  Classifica=on  and  Clinical  Implica=ons    (Aher  Total  Thyroidectomy  and  RAI)  

Category  Response  

Defini=on   Clinical  outcome   Management  Tg   Imaging  

Excellent     Neg   Neg   •  1-­‐4%  recurrence  •  <  1  %  DS  mortality  

•  ↓  Intensity/Freq  of  F/U  •  ↓  TSH  suppression    

Biochemical  Incomplete  

Uns=mulated  ≥  1    S=mulated  >  10  Rising  Tg  AB  

•  30%  resolved  spontaneously  •  20%  NED  aher  more  treatment  •  20%  -­‐>  structure  disease  •  <  1%  DS  mortality  

•  Con=nuous  observa=on  •  TSH  suppression  •  Addi=onal  inves=ga=on  if  

needed,  and  possibly  treatment  

Structure    Incomplete  

Structural  or  func=onal  

•  50-­‐85%  persistent  disease  aher  more  treatment  

•  11%  DS  mortality    

•  Con=nuous  observa=on  •  TSH  suppression  •  Addi=onal  treatment  

Indeterminate   Uns=mulated  <  1  S=mulated  <  10  

Nonspecific  findings  

•  15-­‐20%  -­‐>  structure  disease  •  <  1%  DS  mortality  

•  Con=nuous  observa=on  •  Serial  imaging  

ATA  2015  Guidelines/Thyroid  2016  

Thyroid  Hormone  Suppression  Risk  Adapted  &  Response  Adapted  Management  

Ini=al        

•  Low  Risk  (Total  thyroidectomy)  •  0.5-2.0 mU/L If NED

•  0.1-0.5 mU/L

•  Low  Risk  (Lobectomy)  •  0.5-2.0 mU/L

•  Intermediate  Risk    •  0.1-0.5 mU/L

•  High  Risk  •  < 0.1 mU/L

•  0.1-0.5 mU/L x 5 years if no dz

Long  Term  

ATA  2015  Thyroid  2016  

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Paradigm  Shih  In  Management  of  Thyroid  Cancer  •  Risk  adapted  management    

•  Surgery, RAI use, degree of TSH suppression, and follow up •  Allows for more individualized approach

•  Many  subclinical  cases  of  low  risk,  low  to  intermediate  risk  thyroid  cancer  uncovered  through  imaging  

•  Avoid overtreatment in this population but treat appropriately in those high risk patients •  Candidates  appropriate  for  acJve  surveillance  

•  Lowest progression rates seen in older patients •  The  opJon  of  lobectomy  is  likely  to  stay  as  an  opJon  for  low  risk  tumors  •  Tg  and  neck  ultrasound  have  changed  how  we  monitor  our  paJents  

•  No need for more aggressive therapy to facilitate surveillance •  RAI  use  has  conJnued  to  be  controversial  in  the  low  and  low  intermediate  risk  paJents  

•  Greatest benefits are likely observed in higher risk patients