12 ch ken black solution

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 1 Chapter 12 Analysis of Categorical Data LEARNING OBJECTIVES This chapter presents several nonparametric statistics that can be used to analyze data enabling you to: 1. Understand the chi-square goodness-of-fit test and how to use it. 2. Analyze data using the chi-square test of independence. CHAPTER TEACHING STRATEGY Chapter 12 is a chapter containing the two most prevalent chi-square tests: chi- square goodness-of-fit and chi-square test of independence. These two techniques are important because they give the statistician a tool that is particularly useful for analyzing nominal data (even though independent variable categories can sometimes have ordinal or higher categories). It should be emphasized that there are many instances in business research where the resulting data gathered are merely categorical identification. For example, in segmenting the market place (consumers or industrial users), information is gathered regarding gender, income level, geographical location, political affiliation, religious preference, ethnicity, occupation, size of company, type of industry, etc. On these variables, the measurement is often a tallying of the frequency of occurrence of individuals, items, or companies in each category. The subject of the research is given no "score" or "measurement" other than a 0/1 for being a member or not of a given category. These two chi-square tests are perfectly tailored to analyze such data. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test examines the categories of one variable to determine if the distribution of observed occurrences matches some expected or theoretical distribution of occurrences. It can be used to determine if some standard or previously known distribution of proportions is the same as some observed distribution of

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Page 1: 12 ch ken black solution

Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 1

Chapter 12 Analysis of Categorical Data

LEARNING OBJECTIVES

This chapter presents several nonparametric statistics that can be used to analyze data enabling you to:

1. Understand the chi-square goodness-of-fit test and how to use it. 2. Analyze data using the chi-square test of independence.

CHAPTER TEACHING STRATEGY

Chapter 12 is a chapter containing the two most prevalent chi-square tests: chi-square goodness-of-fit and chi-square test of independence. These two techniques are important because they give the statistician a tool that is particularly useful for analyzing nominal data (even though independent variable categories can sometimes have ordinal or higher categories). It should be emphasized that there are many instances in business research where the resulting data gathered are merely categorical identification. For example, in segmenting the market place (consumers or industrial users), information is gathered regarding gender, income level, geographical location, political affiliation, religious preference, ethnicity, occupation, size of company, type of industry, etc. On these variables, the measurement is often a tallying of the frequency of occurrence of individuals, items, or companies in each category. The subject of the research is given no "score" or "measurement" other than a 0/1 for being a member or not of a given category. These two chi-square tests are perfectly tailored to analyze such data.

The chi-square goodness-of-fit test examines the categories of one variable to

determine if the distribution of observed occurrences matches some expected or theoretical distribution of occurrences. It can be used to determine if some standard or previously known distribution of proportions is the same as some observed distribution of

Page 2: 12 ch ken black solution

Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 2

proportions. It can also be used to validate the theoretical distribution of occurrences of phenomena such as random arrivals which are often assumed to be Poisson distributed. You will note that the degrees of freedom which are k - 1 for a given set of expected values or for the uniform distribution change to k - 2 for an expected Poisson distribution and to k - 3 for an expected normal distribution. To conduct a chi-square goodness-of-fit test to analyze an expected Poisson distribution, the value of lambda must be estimated from the observed data. This causes the loss of an additional degree of freedom. With the normal distribution, both the mean and standard deviation of the expected distribution are estimated from the observed values causing the loss of two additional degrees of freedom from the k - 1 value.

The chi-square test of independence is used to compare the observed frequencies

along the categories of two independent variables to expected values to determine if the two variables are independent or not. Of course, if the variables are not independent, they are dependent or related. This allows business researchers to reach some conclusions about such questions as is smoking independent of gender or is type of housing preferred independent of geographic region. The chi-square test of independence is often used as a tool for preliminary analysis of data gathered in exploratory research where the researcher has little idea of what variables seem to be related to what variables, and the data are nominal. This test is particularly useful with demographic type data.

A word of warning is appropriate here. When an expected frequency is small, the

observed chi-square value can be inordinately large thus yielding an increased possibility of committing a Type I error. The research on this problem has yielded varying results with some authors indicating that expected values as low as two or three are acceptable and other researchers demanding that expected values be ten or more. In this text, we have settled on the fairly widespread accepted criterion of five or more.

CHAPTER OUTLINE

16.1 Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test Testing a Population Proportion Using the Chi-square Goodness-of-Fit

Test as an Alternative Technique to the z Test

16.2 Contingency Analysis: Chi-Square Test of Independence

KEY TERMS

Categorical Data Chi-Square Test of Independence

Chi-Square Distribution Contingency Analysis Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test Contingency Table

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 3

SOLUTIONS TO CHAPTER 16

12.1 f0 0

20 )(

f

ff e− fe

53 68 3.309 37 42 0.595 32 33 0.030 28 22 1.636 18 10 6.400 15 8 6.125 Ho: The observed distribution is the same as the expected distribution. Ha: The observed distribution is not the same as the expected distribution.

Observed ∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ = 18.095

df = k - 1 = 6 - 1 = 5, α = .05 χ2

.05,5 = 11.07 Since the observed χ2 = 18.095 > χ2

.05,5 = 11.07, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. The observed frequencies are not distributed the same as the expected frequencies.

12.2 f0 fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

19 18 0.056 17 18 0.056 14 18 0.889 18 18 0.000 19 18 0.056 21 18 0.500 18 18 0.000 18 18 0.000 Σfo = 144 Σfe = 144 1.557

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 4

Ho: The observed frequencies are uniformly distributed. Ha: The observed frequencies are not uniformly distributed.

8

1440 == ∑k

fx = 18

In this uniform distribution, each fe = 18 df = k – 1 = 8 – 1 = 7, α = .01 χ2

.01,7 = 18.4753

Observed ∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ = 1.557

Since the observed χ2 = 1.557 < χ2

.01,7 = 18.4753, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis

There is no reason to conclude that the frequencies are not uniformly distributed.

12.3 Number f0 (Number)(f0)

0 28 0 1 17 17 2 11 22 3 5 15 54 Ho: The frequency distribution is Poisson. Ha: The frequency distribution is not Poisson.

λ = 61

54=0.9

Expected Expected Number Probability Frequency 0 .4066 24.803 1 .3659 22.312 2 .1647 10.047 > 3 .0628 3.831

Since fe for > 3 is less than 5, collapse categories 2 and >3:

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 5

Number fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

0 28 24.803 0.412 1 17 22.312 1.265 >2 16 13.878 0.324 61 60.993 2.001 df = k - 2 = 3 - 2 = 1, = .05 χ2

.05,1 = 3.84146

Calculated ∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ = 2.001

Since the observed χ2 = 2.001 < χ2

.05,1 = 3.84146, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

There is insufficient evidence to reject the distribution as Poisson distributed. The conclusion is that the distribution is Poisson distributed.

12.4

Category f(observed) Midpt. fm fm2 10-20 6 15 90 1,350 20-30 14 25 350 8,750 30-40 29 35 1,015 35,525 40-50 38 45 1,710 76,950 50-60 25 55 1,375 75,625 60-70 10 65 650 42,250 70-80 7 75 525 39,375 n = Σf = 129 Σfm = 5,715 Σfm2 = 279,825

129

715,5==∑∑

f

fmx = 44.3

s = 128

129

)715,5(825,279

1

)( 222 −

=−

−∑∑

nn

fMfM

= 14.43

Ho: The observed frequencies are normally distributed. Ha: The observed frequencies are not normally distributed.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 6

For Category 10 - 20 Prob

z = 43.14

3.4410− = -2.38 .4913

z = 43.14

3.4420− = -1.68 - .4535

Expected prob.: .0378 For Category 20-30 Prob for x = 20, z = -1.68 .4535

z = 43.14

3.4430− = -0.99 -.3389

Expected prob: .1146 For Category 30 - 40 Prob for x = 30, z = -0.99 .3389

z = 43.14

3.4440− = -0.30 -.1179

Expected prob: .2210 For Category 40 - 50 Prob for x = 40, z = -0.30 .1179

z = 43.14

3.4450− = 0.40 +.1554

Expected prob: .2733 For Category 50 - 60 Prob

z = 43.14

3.4460− = 1.09 .3621

for x = 50, z = 0.40 -.1554 Expected prob: .2067

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 7

For Category 60 - 70 Prob

z = 43.14

3.4470− = 1.78 .4625

for x = 60, z = 1.09 -.3621 Expected prob: .1004 For Category 70 - 80 Prob

z = 43.14

3.4480− = 2.47 .4932

for x = 70, z = 1.78 -.4625 Expected prob: .0307 For < 10: Probability between 10 and the mean, 44.3 = (.0378 + .1145 + .2210 + .1179) = .4913. Probability < 10 = .5000 - .4913 = .0087 For > 80: Probability between 80 and the mean, 44.3 = (.0307 + .1004 + .2067 + .1554) = .4932. Probability > 80 = .5000 - .4932 = .0068 Category Prob expected frequency < 10 .0087 .0087(129) = 0.99 10-20 .0378 .0378(129) = 4.88 20-30 .1146 14.78 30-40 .2210 28.51 40-50 .2733 35.26 50-60 .2067 26.66 60-70 .1004 12.95 70-80 .0307 3.96 > 80 .0068 0.88 Due to the small sizes of expected frequencies, category < 10 is folded into 10-20 and >80 into 70-80.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 8

Category fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

10-20 6 5.87 .003 20-30 14 14.78 .041 30-40 29 28.51 .008 40-50 38 32.26 .213 50-60 25 26.66 .103 60-70 10 12.95 .672 70-80 7 4.84 .964 2.004

Calculated ∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ = 2.004

df = k - 3 = 7 - 3 = 4, α = .05 χ2

.05,1 = 9.48773 Since the observed χ2 = 2.004 > χ2

.05,4 = 9.48773, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to declare that the observed frequencies are not normally distributed.

12.5 Definition fo Exp.Prop. fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

Happiness 42 .39 227(.39)= 88.53 24.46 Sales/Profit 95 .12 227(.12)= 27.24 168.55 Helping Others 27 .18 40.86 4.70 Achievement/ Challenge 63 .31 70.34 0.77 227 198.48 Ho: The observed frequencies are distributed the same as the expected frequencies. Ha: The observed frequencies are not distributed the same as the expected frequencies. Observed χ2 = 198.48 df = k – 1 = 4 – 1 = 3, α = .05 χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 9

Since the observed χ2 = 198.48 > χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. The observed frequencies for men are not distributed the same as the expected frequencies which are based on the responses of women.

12.6 Age fo Prop. from survey fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

10-14 22 .09 (.09)(212)=19.08 0.45 15-19 50 .23 (.23)(212)=48.76 0.03 20-24 43 .22 46.64 0.28 25-29 29 .14 29.68 0.02 30-34 19 .10 21.20 0.23 > 35 49 .22 46.64 0.12 212 1.13 Ho: The distribution of observed frequencies is the same as the distribution of expected frequencies. Ha: The distribution of observed frequencies is not the same as the distribution of expected frequencies. α = .01, df = k - 1 = 6 - 1 = 5 χ2

.01,5 = 15.0863 The observed χ2 = 1.13 Since the observed χ2 = 1.13 < χ2

.01,5 = 15.0863, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to declare that the distribution of observed frequencies is different from the distribution of expected frequencies.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 10

12.7 Age fo m fm fm2 10-20 16 15 240 3,600 20-30 44 25 1,100 27,500 30-40 61 35 2,135 74,725 40-50 56 45 2,520 113,400 50-60 35 55 1,925 105,875 60-70 19 65 1,235 80,275 231 Σfm = 9,155 Σfm2 = 405,375

231

155,9== ∑n

fMx = 39.63

s = 230

231

)155,9(375,405

1

)( 222 −

=−

−∑∑

nn

fMfM

= 13.6

Ho: The observed frequencies are normally distributed. Ha: The observed frequencies are not normally distributed. For Category 10-20 Prob

z = 6.13

63.3910− = -2.18 .4854

z = 6.13

63.3920− = -1.44 -.4251

Expected prob. .0603 For Category 20-30 Prob for x = 20, z = -1.44 .4251

z = 6.13

63.3930− = -0.71 -.2611

Expected prob. .1640 For Category 30-40 Prob for x = 30, z = -0.71 .2611

z = 6.13

63.3940− = 0.03 +.0120

Expected prob. .2731

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 11

For Category 40-50 Prob

z = 6.13

63.3950− = 0.76 .2764

for x = 40, z = 0.03 -.0120 Expected prob. .2644 For Category 50-60 Prob

z = 6.13

63.3960− = 1.50 .4332

for x = 50, z = 0.76 -.2764 Expected prob. .1568 For Category 60-70 Prob

z = 6.13

63.3970− = 2.23 .4871

for x = 60, z = 1.50 -.4332 Expected prob. .0539 For < 10: Probability between 10 and the mean = .0603 + .1640 + .2611 = .4854 Probability < 10 = .5000 - .4854 = .0146 For > 70: Probability between 70 and the mean = .0120 + .2644 + .1568 + .0539 = .4871 Probability > 70 = .5000 - .4871 = .0129 Age Probability fe < 10 .0146 (.0146)(231) = 3.37 10-20 .0603 (.0603)(231) = 13.93 20-30 .1640 37.88 30-40 .2731 63.09 40-50 .2644 61.08

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 12

50-60 .1568 36.22 60-70 .0539 12.45 > 70 .0129 2.98 Categories < 10 and > 70 are less than 5. Collapse the < 10 into 10-20 and > 70 into 60-70.

Age fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

10-20 16 17.30 0.10 20-30 44 37.88 0.99 30-40 61 63.09 0.07 40-50 56 61.08 0.42 50-60 35 36.22 0.04 60-70 19 15.43 0.83 2.45 df = k - 3 = 6 - 3 = 3, α = .05 χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473 Observed χ2 = 2.45 Since the observed χ2 < χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is no reason to reject that the observed frequencies are normally distributed.

12.8 Number f (f)⋅ (number)

0 18 0 1 28 28 2 47 94 3 21 63 4 16 64 5 11 55 6 or more 9 54 Σf = 150 Σf⋅(number) = 358

λ = 150

358=⋅

∑∑

f

numberf = 2.4

Ho: The observed frequencies are Poisson distributed. Ha: The observed frequencies are not Poisson distributed.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 13

Number Probability fe 0 .0907 (.0907)(150 = 13.61 1 .2177 (.2177)(150) = 32.66 2 .2613 39.20 3 .2090 31.35 4 .1254 18.81 5 .0602 9.03 6 or more .0358 5.36

fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

18 13.61 1.42 28 32.66 0.66 47 39.66 1.55 21 31.35 3.42 16 18.81 0.42 11 9.03 0.43 9 5.36 2.47 10.37 The observed χ2 = 10.27 α = .01, df = k – 2 = 7 – 2 = 5, χ2

.01,5 = 15.0863 Since the observed χ2 = 10.27 < χ2

.01,5 = 15.0863, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the observed frequencies are Poisson distributed. 12.9 H0: p = .28 n = 270 x = 62 Ha: p ≠ .28

fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

Spend More 62 270(.28) = 75.6 2.44656 Don't Spend More 208 270(.72) = 194.4 0.95144 Total 270 270.0 3.39800

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 14

The observed value of χ2 is 3.398 α = .05 and α/2 = .025 df = k - 1 = 2 - 1 = 1 χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389 Since the observed χ2 = 3.398 < χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. 12.10 H0: p = .30 n = 180 x= 42 Ha: p ≠ .30

f0 fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

Provide 42 180(.30) = 54 2.6666 Don't Provide 138 180(.70) = 126 1.1429 Total 180 180 3.8095 The observed value of χ2 is 3.8095 α = .05 and α/2 = .025 df = k - 1 = 2 - 1 = 1 χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389 Since the observed χ2 = 3.8095 < χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 15

12.11 Variable Two Variable One

203 326 529 178 68 110

271 436 707 Ho: Variable One is independent of Variable Two. Ha: Variable One is not independent of Variable Two.

e11 = 707

)271)(529( = 202.77 e12 =

707

)436)(529( = 326.23

e21 = 707

)178)(271( = 68.23 e22 =

707

)178)(436( = 109.77

Variable Two Variable One

(202.77) 203

(326.23) 326

529 178

(68.23) 68

(109.77) 110

271 436

707

χ2 = 77.202

)77.202203( 2− +

23.326

)23.326326( 2− +

23.68

)23.668( 2− +

77.109

)77.109110( 2− =

.00 + .00 + .00 + .00 = 0.00 α = .05, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (2-1)(2-1) = 1 χ2

.05,1 = 3.84146 Since the observed χ2 = 0.00 < χ2

.05,1 = 3.84146, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Variable One is independent of Variable Two.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 16

12.12

Variable Two

Variable One

24 13 47 58 142 583 93 59 187 244

117 72 234 302

725

Ho: Variable One is independent of Variable Two. Ha: Variable One is not independent of Variable Two.

e11 = 725

)117)(142( = 22.92 e12 =

725

)72)(142( = 14.10

e13 = 725

)234)(142( = 45.83 e14 =

725

)302)(142( = 59.15

e21 = 725

)117)(583( = 94.08 e22 =

725

)72)(583( = 57.90

e23 = 725

)234)(583( = 188.17 e24 =

725

)302)(583( = 242.85

Variable Two

Variable One

(22.92) 24

(14.10) 13

(45.83) 47

(59.15) 58

142 583

(94.08) 93

(57.90) 59

(188.17) 187

(242.85) 244

117 72 234 302

725

χ2 = 92.22

)92.2224( 2− +

10.14

)10.1413( 2− +

83.45

)83.4547( 2− +

15.59

)15.5958( 2− +

08.94

)08.9493( 2− +

90.57

)90.5759( 2− +

17.188

)17.188188( 2− +

85.242

)85.242244( 2− =

.05 + .09 + .03 + .02 + .01 + .02 + .01 + .01 = 0.24

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 17

α = .01, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (4-1)(2-1) = 3 χ2

.01,3 = 11.3449 Since the observed χ2 = 0.24 < χ2

.01,3 = 11.3449, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. Variable One is independent of Variable Two. 12.13

Social Class Number of Children

Lower Middle Upper 0 1 2 or 3 >3

7 18 6 31 70 189 108

9 38 23 34 97 58 47 31 30

97 184 117 398 Ho: Social Class is independent of Number of Children. Ha: Social Class is not independent of Number of Children.

e11 = 398

)97)(31( = 7.56 e31 =

398

)97)(189( = 46.06

e12 = 398

)184)(31( = 14.3 e32 =

398

)184)(189( = 87.38

e13 = 398

)117)(31( = 9.11 e33 =

398

)117)(189( = 55.56

e21 = 398

)97)(70( = 17.06 e41 =

398

)97)(108( = 26.32

e22 = 398

)184)(70( = 32.36 e42 =

398

)184)(108( = 49.93

e23 = 398

)117)(70( = 20.58 e43 =

398

)117)(108( = 31.75

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 18

Social Class Number of Children

Lower Middle Upper 0 1 2 or 3 >3

(7.56) 7

(14.33) 18

(9.11) 6

31 70 189 108

(17.06) 9

(32.36) 38

(20.58) 23

(46.06) 34

(87.38) 97

(55.56) 58

(26.32) 47

(49.93) 31

(31.75) 30

97 184 117 398

χ2 = 56.7

)56.77( 2− +

33.14

)33.1418( 2− +

11.9

)11.96( 2− +

06.17

)06.179( 2− +

36.32

)36.3238( 2− +

58.20

)58.2023( 2− +

06.46

)06.4634( 2− +

38.87

)38.8797( 2− +

56.55

)56.5558( 2− +

32.26

)32.2647( 2− +

93.49

)93.4931( 2− +

75.31

)75.3130( 2− =

.04 + .94 + 1.06 + 3.81 + .98 + .28 + 3.16 + 1.06 + .11 + 16.25 + 7.18 + .10 = 34.97 α = .05, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (3-1)(4-1) = 6 χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916 Since the observed χ2 = 34.97 > χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Number of children is not independent of social class.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 19

12.14

Type of Music Preferred Region

Rock R&B Coun Clssic 195 235 202 632

NE 140 32 5 18 S 134 41 52 8 W 154 27 8 13 428 100 65 39

Ho: Type of music preferred is independent of region. Ha: Type of music preferred is not independent of region.

e11 = 632

)428)(195( = 132.6 e23 =

632

)65)(235( = 24.17

e12 = 632

)100)(195( = 30.85 e24 =

632

)39)(235( = 14.50

e13 = 632

)65)(195( = 20.06 e31 =

632

)428)(202( = 136.80

e14 = 632

)39)(195( = 12.03 e32 =

632

)100)(202( = 31.96

e21 = 632

)428)(235( = 159.15 e33 =

632

)65)(202( = 20.78

e22 = 632

)100)(235( = 37.18 e34 =

632

)39)(202( = 12.47

Type of Music Preferred Region

Rock R&B Coun Clssic 195 235 202 632

NE (132.06) 140

(30.85) 32

(20.06) 5

(12.03) 18

S (159.15) 134

(37.18) 41

(24.17) 52

(14.50) 8

W (136.80) 154

(31.96) 27

(20.78) 8

(12.47) 13

428 100 65 39

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 20

χ2 = 06.132

)06.132141( 2− +

85.30

)85.3032( 2− +

06.20

)06.205( 2− +

03.12

)03.1218( 2− +

15.159

)15.159134( 2− +

18.37

)18.3741( 2− +

17.24

)17.2452( 2− +

50.14

)50.148( 2− +

80.136

)80.136154( 2− +

96.31

)96.3127( 2− +

78.20

)78.208( 2− +

47.12

)47.1213( 2− =

.48 + .04 + 11.31 + 2.96 + 3.97 + .39 + 32.04 + 2.91 + 2.16 + .77 + 7.86 + .02 = 64.91 α = .01, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (4-1)(3-1) = 6 χ2

.01,6 = 16.8119 Since the observed χ2 = 64.91 > χ2

.01,6 = 16.8119, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Type of music preferred is not independent of region of the country. 12.15

Transportation Mode Industry

Air Train Truck 85 35 120

Publishing 32 12 41 Comp.Hard. 5 6 24 37 18 65

H0: Transportation Mode is independent of Industry. Ha: Transportation Mode is not independent of Industry.

e11 = 120

)37)(85( = 26.21 e21 =

120

)37)(35( = 10.79

e12 = 120

)18)(85( = 12.75 e22 =

120

)18)(35( = 5.25

e13 = 120

)65)(85( = 46.04 e23 =

120

)65)(35( = 18.96

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 21

Transportation Mode Industry

Air Train Truck 85 35 120

Publishing (26.21) 32

(12.75) 12

(46.04) 41

Comp.Hard. (10.79) 5

(5.25) 6

(18.96) 24

37 18 65

χ2 = 21.26

)21.2632( 2− +

75.12

)75.1212( 2− +

04.46

)04.4641( 2− +

79.10

)79.105( 2− +

25.5

)25.56( 2− +

96.18

)96.1824( 2− =

1.28 + .04 + .55 + 3.11 + .11 + 1.34 = 6.43 α = .05, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (3-1)(2-1) = 2 χ2

.05,2 = 5.99147 Since the observed χ2 = 6.431 > χ2

.05,2 = 5.99147, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Transportation mode is not independent of industry.

12.16 Number of Bedrooms Number of Stories

< 2 3 > 4 274 575

1 116 101 57 2 90 325 160 206 426 217 849

H0: Number of Stories is independent of number of bedrooms. Ha: Number of Stories is not independent of number of bedrooms.

e11 = 849

)206)(274( = 66.48 e21 =

849

)206)(575( = 139.52

e12 = 849

)426)(274( = 137.48 e22

= 849

)426)(575( = 288.52

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 22

e13 = 849

)217)(274( = 70.03 e23 =

849

)217)(575( = 146.97

χ2 = 52.139

)52.13990( 2− +

48.137

)48.137101( 2− +

03.70

)03.7057( 2− +

52.139

)52.13990( 2− +

52.288

)52.288325( 2− +

97.146

)97.146160( 2− =

χ2 = 36.89 + 9.68 + 2.42 + 17.58 + 4.61 + 1.16 = 72.34 α = .10 df = (c-1)(r-1) = (3-1)(2-1) = 2 χ2

.10,2 = 4.60517 Since the observed χ2 = 72.34 > χ2

.10,2 = 4.60517, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Number of stories is not independent of number of bedrooms.

12.17 Mexican Citizens Type of Store

Yes No 41 35 30 60

Dept. 24 17 Disc. 20 15 Hard. 11 19 Shoe 32 28

87 79 166 Ho: Citizenship is independent of store type Ha: Citizenship is not independent of store type

e11 = 166

)87)(41( = 21.49 e31 =

166

)87)(30( = 15.72

e12 = 166

)79)(41( = 19.51 e32 =

166

)79)(30( = 14.28

e21 = 166

)87)(35( = 18.34 e41 =

166

)87)(60( = 31.45

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 23

e22 = 166

)79)(35( = 16.66 e42 =

166

)79)(60( = 28.55

Mexican Citizens Type of Store

Yes No 41 35 30 60

Dept. (21.49) 24

(19.51) 17

Disc. (18.34) 20

(16.66) 15

Hard. (15.72) 11

(14.28) 19

Shoe (31.45) 32

(28.55) 28

87 79 166

χ2 = 49.21

)49.2124( 2− +

51.19

)51.1917( 2− +

34.18

)34.1820( 2− +

66.16

)66.1615( 2− +

72.15

)72.1511( 2− +

28.14

)28.1419( 2− +

45.31

)45.3132( 2− +

55.28

)55.2828( 2− =

.29 + .32 + .15 + .17 + 1.42 + 1.56 + .01 + .01 = 3.93

α = .05, df = (c-1)(r-1) = (2-1)(4-1) = 3 χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473 Since the observed χ2 = 3.93 < χ2

.05,3 = 7.81473, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. Citizenship is independent of type of store.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 24

12.18 α = .01, k = 7, df = 6

H0: The observed distribution is the same as the expected distribution Ha: The observed distribution is not the same as the expected distribution Use:

∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ

critical χ2

.01,7 = 18.4753

fo fe (f0-fe)2

0

20 )(

f

ff e−

214 206 64 0.311 235 232 9 0.039 279 268 121 0.451 281 284 9 0.032 264 268 16 0.060 254 232 484 2.086 211 206 25 0.121 3.100

∑−=

e

e

f

ff 202 )(χ = 3.100

Since the observed value of χ2 = 3.1 < χ2

.01,7 = 18.4753, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. The observed distribution is not different from the expected distribution.

12.19

Variable 2 Variable 1

12 23 21 56 8 17 20 45 7 11 18 36

27 51 59 137 e11 = 11.00 e12 = 20.85 e13 = 24.12 e21 = 8.87 e22 = 16.75 e23 = 19.38

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 25

e31 = 7.09 e32 = 13.40 e33 = 15.50

χ2 = 04.11

)04.1112( 2− +

85.20

)85.2023( 2− +

12.24

)12.2421( 2− +

87.8

)87.88( 2− +

75.16

)75.1617( 2− +

38.19

)38.1920( 2− +

09.7

)09.77( 2− +

40.13

)40.1311( 2− +

50.15

)50.1518( 2− =

.084 + .222 + .403 + .085 + .004 + .020 + .001 + .430 + .402 = 1.652

df = (c-1)(r-1) = (2)(2) = 4 α = .05 χ2

.05,4 = 9.48773 Since the observed value of χ2 = 1.652 < χ2

.05,4 = 9.48773, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

12.20 Location

NE W S Customer Industrial 230 115 68 413

Retail 185 143 89 417 415 258 157 830

e11 = 830

)415)(413( = 206.5 e21 =

830

)415)(417( = 208.5

e12 = 830

)258)(413( = 128.38 e22 =

830

)258)(417( = 129.62

e13 = 830

)157)(413( = 78.12 e23 =

830

)157)(417( = 78.88

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 26

Location NE W S

Customer Industrial (206.5) 230

(128.38) 115

(78.12) 68

413

Retail (208.5) 185

(129.62) 143

(78.88) 89

417

415 258 157 830

χ2 = 5.206

)5.206230( 2− +

38.128

)38.128115( 2− +

12.78

)12.7868( 2− +

5.208

)5.208185( 2− +

62.129

)62.129143( 2− +

88.78

)88.7889( 2− =

2.67 + 1.39 + 1.31 + 2.65 + 1.38 + 1.30 = 10.70 α = .10 and df = (c - 1)(r - 1) = (3 - 1)(2 - 1) = 2 χ2

.10,2 = 4.60517 Since the observed χ2 = 10.70 > χ2

.10,2 = 4.60517, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis.

Type of customer is not independent of geographic region.

12.21 Cookie Type fo

Chocolate Chip 189 Peanut Butter 168 Cheese Cracker 155 Lemon Flavored 161 Chocolate Mint 216 Vanilla Filled 165 Σfo = 1,054 Ho: Cookie Sales is uniformly distributed across kind of cookie. Ha: Cookie Sales is not uniformly distributed across kind of cookie.

If cookie sales are uniformly distributed, then fe = 6

054,1

.0 =∑

kindsno

f = 175.67

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 27

fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

189 175.67 1.01 168 175.67 0.33 155 175.67 2.43 161 175.67 1.23 216 175.67 9.26 165 175.67 0.65 14.91 The observed χ2 = 14.91 α = .05 df = k - 1 = 6 - 1 = 5 χ2

.05,5 = 11.0705 Since the observed χ2 = 14.91 > χ2

.05,5 = 11.0705, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis.

Cookie Sales is not uniformly distributed by kind of cookie.

12.22

Gender M F

Bought Car

Y 207 65 272 N 811 984 1,795

1,018 1,049 2,067 Ho: Purchasing a car or not is independent of gender. Ha: Purchasing a car or not is not independent of gender.

e11 = 067,2

)018,1)(272( = 133.96 e12 =

067,2

)049,1)(27( = 138.04

e21 = 067,2

)018,1)(795,1( = 884.04 e22 =

067,2

)049,1)(795,1( = 910.96

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 28

Gender

M F Bought Car

Y (133.96) 207

(138.04) 65

272

N (884.04) 811

(910.96) 984

1,795

1,018 1,049 2,067

χ2 = 96.133

)96.133207( 2− +

04.138

)04.13865( 2− +

04.884

)04.884811( 2− +

96.910

)96.910984( 2− = 39.82 + 38.65 + 6.03 + 5.86 = 90.36

α = .05 df = (c-1)(r-1) = (2-1)(2-1) = 1 χ2

.05,1 = 3.841

Since the observed χ2 = 90.36 > χ2.05,1 = 3.841, the decision is to reject the

null hypothesis.

Purchasing a car is not independent of gender.

12.23 Arrivals fo (fo)(Arrivals)

0 26 0 1 40 40 2 57 114 3 32 96 4 17 68 5 12 60 6 8 48 Σfo = 192 Σ(fo)(arrivals) = 426

λ = 192

426))((

0

0 =∑

∑f

arrivalsf = 2.2

Ho: The observed frequencies are Poisson distributed. Ha: The observed frequencies are not Poisson distributed.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 29

Arrivals Probability fe 0 .1108 (.1108)(192) = 21.27 1 .2438 (.2438)(192) = 46.81 2 .2681 51.48 3 .1966 37.75 4 .1082 20.77 5 .0476 9.14 6 .0249 4.78

fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

26 21.27 1.05 40 46.81 2.18 57 51.48 0.59 32 37.75 0.88 17 20.77 0.68 12 9.14 0.89 8 4.78 2.17 8.44 Observed χ2 = 8.44 α = .05 df = k - 2 = 7 - 2 = 5 χ2

.05,5 = 11.0705 Since the observed χ2 = 8.44 < χ2

.05,5 = 11.0705, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the observed frequency of arrivals is Poisson distributed.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 30

12.24 Ho: The distribution of observed frequencies is the same as the distribution of expected frequencies.

Ha: The distribution of observed frequencies is not the same as the distribution of expected frequencies.

Soft Drink fo proportions fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

Classic Coke 361 .206 (.206)(1726) = 355.56 0.08 Pepsi 272 .145 (.145)(1726) = 250.27 1.89 Diet Coke 192 .085 146.71 13.98 Mt. Dew 121 .063 108.74 1.38 Dr. Pepper 94 .059 101.83 0.60 Sprite 102 .062 107.01 0.23 Others 584 .380 655.86 7.87 ∑fo = 1,726 26.03 Calculated χ2 = 26.03 α = .05 df = k - 1 = 7 - 1 = 6 χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916 Since the observed χ2 = 26.03 > χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. The observed frequencies are not distributed the same as the expected frequencies from the national poll. 12.25

Position Manager

Programmer

Operator

Systems Analyst

Years

0-3 6 37 11 13 67 4-8 28 16 23 24 91 > 8 47 10 12 19 88

81 63 46 56 246

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 31

e11 = 246

)81)(67( = 22.06 e23 =

246

)46)(91( = 17.02

e12 = 246

)63)(67( = 17.16 e24 =

246

)56)(91( = 20.72

e13 = 246

)46)(67( = 12.53 e31 =

246

)81)(88( = 28.98

e14 = 246

)56)(67( = 15.25 e32 =

246

)63)(88( = 22.54

e21 = 246

)81)(91( = 29.96 e33 =

246

)46)(88( = 16.46

e22 = 246

)63)(91( = 23.30 e34 =

246

)56)(88( = 20.03

Position Manager

Programmer

Operator

Systems Analyst

Years

0-3 (22.06) 6

(17.16) 37

(12.53) 11

(15.25) 13

67

4-8 (29.96) 28

(23.30) 16

(17.02) 23

(20.72) 24

91

> 8 (28.98) 47

(22.54) 10

(16.46) 12

(20.03) 19

88

81 63 46 56 246

χ2 = 06.22

)06.226( 2− +

16.17

)16.1737( 2− +

53.12

)53.1211( 2− +

25.15

)25.1513( 2− +

96.29

)96.2928( 2− +

30.23

)30.2316( 2− +

02.17

)02.1723( 2− +

72.20

)72.2024( 2− +

98.28

)98.2847( 2− +

54.22

)54.2210( 2− +

46.16

)46.1612( 2− +

03.20

)03.2019( 2− =

11.69 + 22.94 + .19 + .33 + .13 + 2.29 + 2.1 + .52 + 11.2 + 6.98 + 1.21 + .05 = 59.63

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 32

α = .01 df = (c-1)(r-1) = (4-1)(3-1) = 6 χ2

.01,6 = 16.8119 Since the observed χ2 = 59.63 > χ2

.01,6 = 16.8119, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Position is not independent of number of years of experience.

12.26 H0: p = .43 n = 315 α =.05 Ha: p ≠ .43 x = 120 α/2 = .025

fo fe 0

20 )(

f

ff e−

More Work, More Business 120 (.43)(315) = 135.45 1.76

Others 195 (.57)(315) = 179.55 1.33 Total 315 315.00 3.09 The calculated value of χ2 is 3.09 α = .05 and α/2 = .025 df = k - 1 = 2 - 1 = 1 χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389 Since χ2 = 3.09 < χ2

.025,1 = 5.02389, the decision is to fail to reject the null hypothesis.

12.27

Type of College or University Community College

Large University

Small College

Number of Children

0 25 178 31 234 1 49 141 12 202 2 31 54 8 93 >3 22 14 6 42

127 387 57 571 Ho: Number of Children is independent of Type of College or University. Ha: Number of Children is not independent of Type of College or University.

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 33

e11 = 571

)127)(234( = 52.05 e31 =

571

)127)(93( = 20.68

e12 = 571

)387)(234( = 158.60 e32 =

571

)387)(193( = 63.03

e13 = 571

)57)(234( = 23.36 e33 =

571

)57)(93( = 9.28

e21 = 571

)127)(202( = 44.93 e41 =

571

)127)(42( = 9.34

e22 = 571

)387)(202( = 136.91 e42 =

571

)387)(42( = 28.47

e23 = 571

)57)(202( = 20.16 e43 =

571

)57)(42( = 4.19

Type of College or University Community College

Large University

Small College

Number of Children

0 (52.05) 25

(158.60) 178

(23.36) 31

234

1 (44.93) 49

(136.91) 141

(20.16) 12

202

2 (20.68) 31

(63.03) 54

(9.28) 8

93

>3 (9.34) 22

(28.47) 14

(4.19) 6

42

127 387 57 571

χ2 = 05.52

)05.5225( 2− +

6.158

)6.158178( 2− +

36.23

)36.2331( 2− +

93.44

)93.4449( 2− +

91.136

)91.136141( 2− +

16.20

)16.2012( 2− +

68.20

)68.2031( 2− +

03.63

)03.6354( 2− +

28.9

)28.98( 2− +

34.9

)34.922( 2− +

47.28

)47.2814( 2− +

19.4

)19.46( 2− =

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Chapter 12: Analysis of Categorical Data 34

14.06 + 2.37 + 2.50 + 0.37 + 0.12 + 3.30 + 5.15 + 1.29 + 0.18 + 17.16 + 7.35 + 0.78 = 54.63 α = .05, df= (c - 1)(r - 1) = (3 - 1)(4 - 1) = 6 χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916 Since the observed χ2 = 54.63 > χ2

.05,6 = 12.5916, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. Number of children is not independent of type of College or University.

12.28 The observed chi-square is 30.18 with a p-value of .0000043. The chi-square goodness-of-fit test indicates that there is a significant difference between the observed frequencies and the expected frequencies. The distribution of responses to the question are not the same for adults between 21 and 30 years of age as they are to others. Marketing and sales people might reorient their 21 to 30 year old efforts away from home improvement and pay more attention to leisure travel/vacation, clothing, and home entertainment.

12.29 The observed chi-square value for this test of independence is 5.366. The associated p-value of .252 indicates failure to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence here to say that color choice is dependent upon gender. Automobile marketing people do not have to worry about which colors especially appeal to men or to women because car color is independent of gender. In addition, design and production people can determine car color quotas based on other variables.