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  • 8/6/2019 110604 - Weekly

    1/17

    Saturday, June 04, 2011

    1Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Headlines

    (Global Economy) Canada's GDP expanded at a 3.9% in the first quarter of 2011

    (Indian Economy) India's economy grew by 7.8% in the Q4FY11

    (Economic Calendar)

    (Global and Domestic Stock Markets)

    (Derivative Analysis) Nifty May Futures closed at 5523.50

    (Technical Analysis) Nifty Support levels are at 5460-5400 and Resistance 5610-5710.

    (Weekly Recommendations) Tata Power & Tata Global

    (Sector & Company Highlights)

    (MF Industry update)

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    2Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Global Economy

    U.S household spending rose 0.4% after a revised 0.5% March

    gain. The number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously

    owned homes fell 12% last month. The report also showed incomes

    climbed 0.4% in April & savings rate held at 4.9%. The Institute for

    Supply Managements factory index fell to 53.5 last month, from

    60.4 in April. Companies in the U.S. added 38,000 workers last month

    according to ADP Employer Services & planned firings dropped

    4.3% to 37,135 last month from May 2010. Also the ISMs production

    ndex decreased to 54 from 63.8 in April. Canadas GDP expanded

    at a 3.9% annualized pace from January through March after a

    previous 3.1% expansion. The central bank predicts growth will

    slow to a 2% pace in the April-June quarter, and exports are

    hreatened by a strong dollar and auto production curbed by

    Japans earthquake and tsunami.

    European Union leaders will decide on additional aid for Greece by

    he end of June and have ruled out a total restructuring of the

    nations debt. The IMF and the ECB are set to wrap up a review of

    Global Economic Indicators (As on June 2, 2011)

    Commodities and Currencies

    Gold futures rose in a week on speculation that the Federal Reserve

    will keep interest rates low to stimulate the U.S. economy. Gold

    futures for August delivery settled at USD 1,542.40 an ounce on

    he Comex division climbing 0.3% this week. The Bloomberg-

    Source: Economist

    Greeces progress in meeting the terms of last years EURO 110 bn

    (USD 158 bn) bailout in coming days. Under the terms of the rescue

    package, Greece was due to return to financial markets and sell

    about EURO 30 bn of bonds next year. With its 10-year bonds yielding

    16.4%, more than twice that of the time of the bailout, the EU has

    indicated Greece will need more aid to plug its financing gap.

    German unemployment fell in May as export-driven growth and

    increased spending by businesses and consumers extended a jobs

    boom. The number of people out of work dropped a seasonally

    adjusted 8,000 to 2.97 mn & the jobless rate declined to 7%. Declining

    unemployment in Europes biggest economy underscores German

    resilience in the face of a clampdown on budget deficits by euro-

    area governments buffeted by the debt crisis and rising fuel prices

    that crimp household spending. Retail sales edged up in April after

    declining in March.

    JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index, which tracks the 10 most-active

    currencies, climbed 0.2% for the week as demand for the dollar

    waned after Moodys Investors Service said the U.S. risks losing its

    top credit rating.

    Economic Indicators (%) US EU Japan UK China Brazil Russia

    GDP 2.3 2.5 -1.0 1.8 9.7 5.00 4.1

    Industrial Production 5.0 5.3 -14.0 0.7 13.4 -1.3 4.5

    Consumer Price Index 3.2 2.7 0.3 4.5 5.3 6.5 9.6

    Unemployment Rate 9.0 9.9 4.7 7.7 6.1 6.4 7.2

    Current Account Balance % of GDP -3.4 -0.4 2.7 -2.0 3.3 -2.8 5.6

    Trade Balance -677.7 -25.4 75.4 -151.6 179.0 23.1 158.8

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    3Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Indian Economy

    Indias economy grew by just 7.8% in the Q4FY11 as against 9.4% in

    Q4FY10. However, it improved to 8.5% in FY11 from 8% in FY10.

    During Q4FY11, growth in the manufacturing sector slowed down

    o 5.5% from 15.2% in Q4FY10. In addition, the mining and quarrying

    sector grew by only 1.7% in Q4FY11, as against 8.9% in Q4FY10.

    Furthermore, the trade, hotels, transport and communications

    segment grew by 9.3% in Q4FY11, as against 13.7% expansion in

    Q4FY10. Farm output grew by 7.5% during Q4FY11 compared to a

    meagre 1.1% in Q4FY10.

    Exports jumped 34.42% in April 2011 to USD 23.8 bn & Imports, to

    rise at a lower pace at 14.13% to USD 32.8 bn. The trade deficit for

    April 2011 was estimated at USD 8.98 bn which was lower than the

    deficit of USD 11.02 bn during April 2010. Oil imports during April,

    2011 were valued at USD 10.18 bn which was 7.7% higher than oil

    mports of USD 9.45 bn in the corresponding period last year. Non-

    oil imports during April, 2011 were estimated at USD 22.64 bn which

    was 17.3% higher than non-oil imports of USD 19.31 bn in the

    previous year.

    Indian Debt Markets

    RBI sold INR 120 bn of bonds, the bank set a cut-off price of INR97.75 at the auction of the 8.13%, 2022 bonds, yielding 8.4401%. The

    Source: CCIL

    Source: CCIL

    Indian Currency Movement

    Rupee completed its first weekly gain since April as overseas

    nvestors pumped money into the nations stocks.

    The output of six core infrastructure industries rose at its slowest

    pace in last five month. The output of six infrastructure industries

    rose 5.2% in April 2011 against 7.4% expansion in March. The

    moderation in growth is mostly a result of negative growth in

    cement, -1.1%, and significantly slower growth in finished steel,

    down to 4.3% from 12.9% in April last year. In addition, petroleum

    refinery products and coal both performed better this April than in

    2010. The former grew at 6.6% compared to 5.3% last year and the

    latter at 2.9% compared to -2.9%.

    Indias food price index rose 8.06% for the week ended May 21,

    slowing down from an annual rise of 8.55% a week ago. The fuel

    price index climbed 12.54% compared with a rise of 12.11% a week

    earlier. The primary articles price index was up 10.87%, compared

    with an annual rise of 11.6% a week earlier. The weekly food inflation

    has slowed from the double-digit rise for much of 2010, but headline

    inflation at 8.66% in April remains considerably above the central

    banks comfort level and will pressure rates higher.

    cut-off price for the 7.59 percent 2016 bonds came in at INR 96.80,yielding 8.4027%. The 10-year benchmark bond yield was at 8.28%.

    The rupee gained 0.8% this week to 44.815 per dollar.

    Annualized Rate

    (current)

    Annualized Rate

    (last month)

    Headline Inflation

    (WPI)8.66

    Primary Products 12.05 12.96

    Fuel Power and

    Lubricants13.32 12.92

    Manufactured

    Goods6.18 6.21

    Headline Inflation by WPI (%) (Apr11)

    8.98

    Internals

    Current 1 Week

    Change

    Weekly 1 Year

    Change

    annual

    USD 44.85 45.21 (0.79) 46.54 3.63

    GBP 73.29 74.31 (1.37) 67.78 (8.12)

    Euro 64.89 64.4 0.76 57.38 (13.08)

    Yen 55.59 55.79 (0.35) 51.05 (8.89)

    1 Year Gilt 8.16

    Debt Market Yields (%)

    INR Exchange Rate (As on June 3, 2011)

    10 year Gilt 8.28

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    4Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Economic Calendar

    Date Event Period Prior

    9-Jun Food Articles WPI YoY 28-May 8.06%

    9-Jun Fuel Power Light WPI YoY 28-May 12.54%

    9-Jun Primary Articles WPI YoY 28-May 10.87%

    10-Jun Industrial Production YoY APR 7.30%

    India US

    Date Event Period Prior

    7-Jun IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism JUN 42.80

    8-Jun Consumer Credit APR $6.016B

    8-Jun MBA Mortgage Applications 3-Jun -4.00%

    9-Jun Initial Jobless Claims 3-Jun 422K

    9-Jun Trade Balance APR -$48.2B

    9-Jun Wholesale Inventories APR 1.10%

    10-Jun Import Price Index (MoM) MAY 2.20%10-Jun Import Price Index (YoY) MAY 11.10%

    Gold/Silver(Spot)

    800

    900

    1000

    1100

    1200

    1300

    1400

    1500

    1600

    1700

    Jun- 10 J ul-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11

    Gold($/OZ)

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    Silver($/OZ)

    Silver Gold

    CrudeOil

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 O ct-10 N ov-10 Dec-10 Feb -11 Mar-11 May-11

    Price(USD)

    300

    310

    320

    330

    340

    350

    360

    370

    380

    390

    400

    (MillionBarrels)

    Inventory

    Inventory CrudeOil

    Currencies

    1.1

    1.15

    1.2

    1.25

    1.3

    1.35

    1.4

    1.45

    1.5

    1.55

    Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 O ct -10 N ov -10 Dec -10 Feb-11 M ar-11 M ay-11

    USD/EUR

    1.4

    1.45

    1.5

    1.55

    1.6

    1.65

    1.7

    1.75

    1.8

    USD/GBP

    USD/EUR USD/GBP

    Currencies

    0.0095

    0.01

    0.0105

    0.011

    0.0115

    0.012

    0.0125

    0.013

    Ju n- 10 J ul -10 A ug -10 Oct-10 N ov-10 D ec-10 F eb -11 M ar-11 M ay -11

    USD/JPY

    0.7

    0.75

    0.8

    0.85

    0.9

    0.95

    1

    1.05

    1.1

    1.15

    USD/AUD

    USD/JPY USD/AUD

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    5Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Global and Domestic Stock Markets

    Global

    Global markets continued to trade with negative bias with weak disappointing

    data. Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P 500 were all lower for the week. European markets

    also ended negative. Similar volatility was seen in Asian markets with Hangseng

    and Nikkei ending negative. In the commodities market, NYMEX Crude traded

    below the $100 levels and Gold traded higher near $1541 levels in the week. On

    the economic front, Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 54,000 in May, below analyst

    expectations, the unemployment rate rose to 9.1% from 9.0% in April. The small

    gain in employment is the weakest monthly job growth since September. The

    job report gives gloomy picture of the US economy and bearish in the markets

    is likely to continue in short term. US Data to watch next week: Consumer Credti,Initial Jobless Claims, Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Import Price

    Index.

    Domestic Performance of Sectoral Indices

    The Indian bourses remained volatile with positive and negative news in

    domestic markets affecting the investor sentiments. Nifty and Sensex gained

    0.6% and 0.7% respectively. BSE Midcap and Smallcap gained 2.5% and 1.6%

    respectively. Among the BSE sectoral indices, IT (+0.9%), Bankex (0.7%) gained

    marginally, while Auto (-1.9%), Metals (-0.6%) ended negative. On the BSE100index, Rcom, Rel Capital were the gainers, while Tata Motors, M&M lost on

    weak auto sales data. DIIs were net sellers while FIIs were net buyers in cash

    market. Data to watch next week: Food Articles WPI YoY, Fuel Power Light WPI

    YoY, Primary Articles WPI YoY, Industrial Production YoY.

    Outlook

    June series began with some upsides in the market as FIIs turned net buyers

    after the May correction in markets. But weak global markets affected the

    sentiments in later trading sessions of the week. ADAG companies remained

    volatile during the week. Involvement of political minister in 2G scam also

    affected some stocks viz. Sun TV, Spicejet. Reliance disappointed investors as

    no special investment plans were announced and the scrip saw selling on

    Friday. Food Inflation for the last week came in at 8.06% vs. 8.55%, which still

    remains above comfort level. GDP figures of 7.8% also were below expectation,

    the effects of which will be seen in coming months in markets. The next week is

    likely to remain volatile as Industrial Production data will be keenly watched.

    Below 5500, Nifty is likely to see some more downsides.

    Close% Change

    (week)

    Dow Jones 12,151.30 -2.3%

    NASDAQ 2,732.80 -2.3%

    S&P 500 1,300.20 -2.3%

    FTSE 5,855.00 -1.4%

    DAX 7,109.00 -0.8%

    Hang Seng 22,949.60 -0.7%

    Nikkei-225 9,492.20 -0.3%

    Indices Close% Change

    (week)

    BSE SENSEX 18,376.50 0.6%

    NSE NIFTY 5,516.80 0.7%

    BSE MIDCAP 6,896.10 2.5%

    BSE SMALL CAP 8,238.70 1.6%

    BSE AUTO 8,807.10 -1.9%

    BSE METALS 15,082.60 -0.6%

    BSE BANKEX 12,309.30 0.7%

    BSE IT 6,003.70 0.9%

    RCom 93.4 9.9%

    Rel Capital 524.65 7.6%

    Tata Motors 1025.1 -5.8%

    M&M 667.2 -5.0%

    BSE 136.5

    NSE CASH 548.0

    NSE F&O 3996.4

    Institutions Net Inflow

    FII 24.4

    DIIs -12.7

    Institutional Activity in INR Bn (Weekly)

    Key Indices Global

    Sectoral Indices

    Key Indices (Indian)

    Weekly Gainers (BSE 100)

    Weekly Losers (BSE 100)

    Weekly Turnover (in INR Bn)

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    6Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Derivative Analysis

    Top 5 Price Losers

    Top 10 Volume Gainers

    Top 5 Price Gainers

    Market Snapshot

    Nifty June Futures closed at 5523.50 (Premium of 6.75 over the Nifty spot)

    Open interest Nifty FUTIDX (Expiry 30 June): 24.80 mn.

    Open interest BankNifty FUTIDX (Expiry 30 June): 1.48 mn.

    India VIX for the week ended at 17.61, up 0.36 from previous weeks close

    (17.25). In the week VIX touched low of 16.36 and high of 18.87.

    Weekly Open Interest Analysis (Nifty Option)

    Across all expiries, open interest is highest at the 5800, 5600, 5700 call options,

    while open interest in the put options is highest at 5000, 5300, 5400 strike

    prices, suggesting 5300-5800 to be the trading zone for Nifty index in short

    term.

    Sector Wise OI Change:

    Banking, Capital Goods, Auto, and Pharma sectors saw gains in Open

    Interest.

    Cash Future Cash Future

    PUNJLLOYD 12.99% 12.82% 21.60% 113.10% 6.23%

    FSL 10.88% 10.48% 10.41% 266.77% 6.86%TTML 10.53% 10.13% 121.52% 539.81% 3.84%

    RCOM 9.76% 9.63% 5.77% 149.87% 1.75%

    RENUKA 9.36% 9.06% -42.70% 2.66% -1.75%

    SCRIPS % Change - Price %Change - Volume % Change

    in OI

    Cash Future Cash Future

    SUNTV -26.93% -26.77% 3888.39% 7192.87% 343.64%

    BEML -7.20% -7.61% 15.10% 22.27% 51.22%

    DCHL -5.47% -7.34% -22.04% -71.92% -1.14%

    TATAMOTORS -5.97% -5.73% -47.21% -50.32% 15.43%GMRINFRA -4.39% -5.07% -29.27% 86.43% 15.43%

    SCRIPS % Change - Price %Change - Volume % Change

    in OI

    % Change Volumes

    Price Open Interest (Delivery Based)

    SUNTV -26.93% 343.64% 7192.87%

    BOSCHLTD 4.16% 85.00% 692.36%

    MRPL 6.98% 10.26% 541.65%

    TTML 10.53% 3.84% 539.81%

    GESHIP 6.21% 57.22% 496.32%

    GLAXO 2.47% 39.02% 425.93%

    SCI 2.42% 1.95% 390.61%

    CESC 4.40% -6.08% 298.31%

    COLPAL 1.16% 94.15% 281.07%

    FSL 10.88% 6.86% 266.77%

    SCRIPS % Change in F&O

    OIAnalysis

    -

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000

    7,000,000

    8,000,000

    9,000,000

    10,000,000

    5000

    5100

    5200

    5300

    5400

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    6000

    Strike

    OI

    CallOption

    PutOption

    ChangeinOI

    (2,000,000)

    (1,000,000)

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5000

    5100

    5200

    5300

    5400

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    6000

    Strike

    OIChange

    CallOption

    PutOption

    -100%

    -50%

    0%

    50%

    100%

    150%

    200%

    250%

    300%

    350%

    400%

    Power

    Bank

    Realty

    Oil&Gas

    Metal&Mining

    Auto

    Pharma

    IT

    CapitalGoods

    Cement

    Sectors

    %ChangeinOI

    NiftyPCRatio

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    1.4

    1.5

    30-May

    31-May

    1-Jun

    2-Jun

    3-Jun

    Date

    PCR

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    7Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Technical Analysis

    Source: Iris)

    Conclusion

    Last week Nifty shut on a marginal positive note @ 5517 and up by 41 points from the previous week's close. Technically Nifty on weekly

    chart has formed doji candle stick pattern, which shows sideways to positive sentiment in coming sessions. Nifty spot on weekly hasopened at 5494 and made a low of 5458 and made a high of 5605 then finally closed positive at 5517. Stochastics and the RSI are slightly

    oversold signaling that buying pressure at support levels are possible short-term. The close below the 65 day moving average (5606)

    ndicates the short term trend could be turning sideways. Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to reinforce a move higher

    especially if support levels are taken out. The market setup is somewhat sideways trend with trading range between 5450-5600. The next

    area of resistance is around 5605-5710. So Nifty appears to be sideways trading on weekly chart having supports at 5450-5370 levels. For

    short term trading long positions, stop loss of 5350 is advisable.

    Weekly Nifty has resistance at 5605-5710 and supports at 5450-5375.

    Weekly Bank Nifty has resistance at 10960-11160 and supports at 10580-10445.

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    8Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    TATA POWER LTD

    LTP 1249.00.

    View: Positive

    Oscillators Analysis: Stochastics and RSI are positive crossover and are in oversold territory on weekly chart reading, which indicate

    positive sentiment in stock momentum with decent volume support.

    Pattern Analysis: A clear multiple support zone at 1200, , which indicates stock may upside till resistance level, is a confirmation of a trend

    n that direction.

    Technical Analysis:

    Tata Power Ltd has bullish candle stick on weekly chart with decent volume support. Stock has 20 day moving average support at 1225

    evels. Weekly RSI has shown positive crossover into oversold territory which will tend to supports reversal action if it occurs. The

    market tilt is positive with the close above multiple supports at 1200 on weekly chart basis. The next area of resistance is around 1350,

    while 1st support hits at 1225 and below there at 1200. It is also heading towards resistance zone at 1350.00.

    We recommended the stock at market and in the range of 1210-1228 with stop loss at 1180 (closing basis) for a target of Rs. 1350.

    Weekly Recommendations

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    9Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Tata Global Beverages Ltd.

    LTP 93.60.

    View: Positive

    Oscillators Analysis: Stochastics and RSI are positive crossover and are in oversold territory on weekly chart reading, which indicate

    positive sentiment in stock momentum.Pattern Analysis: A clear double bottom formation pattern and trend line supports are at 87-88 levels, which indicates stock upside, is a

    confirmation of a trend in that direction with good volume support.

    Technical Analysis:

    On weekly chart Tata Global has been trading above medium term moving average (65 MMA) at 84.50 levels, which indicates positive

    sentiment in short term trading and strong buying pressure above support zone around Rs.87, we expect the momentum to continue till

    105-110 on the upside (resistance zone). And any genuine correction should see in stock price around supports at 90-88, which should be

    used as a buying opportunity for the potential target 105.00.

    We recommended the stock at market and in the range 88-90, with stop loss below at 84.50(on closing basis) for a target of Rs. 110.00.

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    10Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    -7- Sector & Company Highlights

    Metal & Mining

    Two leading steel makers, JSW and Essar Steel, have hiked rates for flat products by up to INR 1,000 per tonne in the wake of rising rawmaterial costs. The price of coking coal and iron ore, have shot up to USD 330 a tonne and USD 180 per tonne, respectively, in recent

    times. While the rise in coking coal prices is attributed to the floods in Australia, which contributes around 80 % of Indias imports, the

    spurt in iron ore prices is mainly due to increased global demand.

    Prices of key inputs such as coking coal and iron ore, which had almost doubled over the past year, are beginning to soften as marginal

    cost steel producers are cutting output to maintain economic viability. This could lower the cost burden on steel producers; it may not

    immediately translate into price reductions of steel products as the quantum of price increases of the resources had been very sharp.

    SAIL follow-on public offer delayed due to the unfavorable market condition.

    Cement

    ACC shipments in May rose 13.7% from a year earlier to 1.99MnT. Production in May rose to 2.01MnT from 1.82MnT a year ago. Double

    digit growth is positive for the largest cement producer.

    Oil & Gas

    Oil India is looking to buy oil-producing assets overseas but did not provide any details on the likely locations. Neutral, as the outcome

    would depend on valuation that company would pay.

    IOC may raise petrol prices by Rs 1.35/litre, positive forONGC and IOC companies are expected to gain if fuel prices are raised again.

    Petronet LNG has signed a preliminary deal with the marketing arm of Russias Gazprom to buy as much as 2.5MnT per year of

    liquefied natural gas (LNG) for up to 25 years. Positive, as this would drive volume growth of the company.

    Power

    Areva T&D India, has demerged its distribution business into a new company, Smartgrid Automation Distribution and Switchgear

    Limited. Areva T&D India Ltds promoters, Alstom Sextant 5 SAS, has made an open offer to the public shareholders of the company,

    stating that the transmission activities (high voltage systems, equipment, power electronics and automation) will be separated from

    the distribution activities (medium voltage systems, equipment and related automation).

    Fertiliser

    Coromandel would pick up 73% in Sabero for Rs 450 crore. The company, part of the $3.8 billion Murugappa Group, will purchase a

    42.21% stake from Saberos promoters for Rs 284 crore and, additionally, will make an open offer for a 31% stake. The deal would be

    funded through internal accruals - its cash reserves last year stood at Rs 1,500 crore.

    Infrastructure, Capital Goods & Engineering

    IVRCL has secured several contracts worth INR 8930Mn. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility of the company.

    Unity Infra has secured contracts worth INR 1437.1Mn, mainly into roads and building segment. Positive, as it improves the revenue

    visibility of the company.

    Hindustan Dorr Oliver has bagged order from Konkan Copper Mines worth USD 85Mn. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility

    of the company.

    PBA Infrastructure in a JV (49:51) has bagged road project on Build Operate and Transfer basis worth INR 4250 Mn in the State of

    Gujarat on Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT) Basis.

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    11Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.Email: [email protected]

    Punj Lloyd has bagged contract of INR 8900Mn from a company based in Abu Dhabi for onshore oil operations. Positive, as it improves

    the revenue visibility of the company.

    BHEL has secured an order worth ~INR 620Mn for setting up solar power project for Karnataka Power Corporation Limited in

    Karnataka. Neutral, given the quantum of contract value is small. However, this would be positive as company diversifies. With this

    order, the company is presently executing SPV-based power projects of various capacities totalling 16MW.

    Auto

    Bajaj Auto's Total vehicle sales of the company in May 2011, stood at 3,58,849 showing a growth of 19.84 % YoY while, it has also

    registered its best sales figures for May in the three-wheeler segment during the last month at 40,860 units, showing a jump of 36.41 %

    YoY. Again the company has reported highest ever motorcycle sales for May at 3, 17,989 units in last month, registering a jump of 18

    %. BAL recorded its highest ever exports for May at 1, 26,818 units registering a growth of 32.15 %.

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    Mutual Fund Insights

    Scheme Update

    ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund has decided to revise the exit load structure under

    ICICI Prudential Gilt Fund - Treasury Plan. Accordingly, any fresh purchase or

    additional purchase or switch-ins made under the scheme will not attract any

    exit load during their redemptions or switch outs with effect from 1st June 2011.

    HSBC Mutual Fund has announced change in the fund management

    responsibilities. Mr Dhimant Shah Vice President and Fund Manager, resigned

    from the services. Accordingly, HSBC India Opportunities Fund and HSBC Unique

    Opportunities Fund will be managed by Mr. Jitendra Sriram and HSBC Midcap

    Equity Fund and HSBC Small Cap Fund will be managed by Mr. Dhiraj Sachdev.

    HSBC Tax Saver Fund will be managed by Mr. Jitendra Sriram and Aditya Khemani

    while Mr. Aditya Khemani and Mr. Jitendra Sriram will manage the equity portion

    of HSBC MIP Savings and& Regular Plan and the fixed income portion will be

    managed by Mr. Sanjay Shah and Mr. Ruchir Parekh. with effect from 31st May

    2011.

    Mutual Funds (MFs) made investments worth Rs 726.40 crore and sold off Rs

    644.30 crore worth of equities on May 31, 2011, according to data released by the

    Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Thus, MFs stood as net buyers ofRs 82.10 crore in equities on that day. In the month of May, MFs have made total

    investments of Rs 12205.80 crore and sold off Rs 11770.90 crore worth of equities.

    Source: Accord Fintech

    Source: Accord Fintech

    Weekly Activity

    Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales

    Mutual Fund Activity

    2-Jun-11 4.64 6.07 -1.43 22.90 18.27 4.63

    1-Jun-11 3.48 3.22 0.26 22.66 19.71 2.94

    30-May-11 4.47 2.96 1.52 23.62 32.06 -8.44

    FII Activity

    3-Jun-11 17.91 16.40 1.51 6.96 1.54 5.41

    2-Jun-11 24.67 17.78 6.90 3.50 6.16 -2.67

    1-Jun-11 61.66 49.05 12.61 6.11 7.42 -1.31

    31-May-11 24.40 23.22 1.19 12.34 6.57 5.77

    30-May-11 27.04 24.50 2.54 8.88 17.79 -8.91

    DateEquity (INR in Bn) Debt (INR in Bn)

    -10 -5 0 5 10 15

    30-May

    31-May

    1-Jun

    2-Jun

    3-Jun

    FIITradingActivity(InBillions)

    Debt Equity

    -10 -5 0 5 10

    30-May

    31-May

    1-Jun

    2-Jun

    MFTradingActivity(InBillions)

    Debt Equity

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    New Fund Offers

    Fund Opens Closes Structure Fund Manager Investment Objective Benchmark

    Edelweiss FMP-91D-

    1(G)3-Jun 6-Jun

    Close

    endedMr. Kapil Punjabi

    To generate regular income through investments

    in Debt andMoney Market Instruments maturing

    on or before the Maturity Date of the Scheme.

    Crisil Liquid Fund

    Index

    Tata FMP-35-B(G) 31-May 6-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Murthy

    Nagarajan

    To generate income and / or capital appreciation

    by investing in widerange of Debt and Money

    Market instruments having maturity in line with

    the maturity of the respective schemes..

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    SBI DFS-180D-19(G) 3-Jun 6-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Rajeev

    Radhakrishnan

    To provide regular income, liquidity and returns

    to the investors through investments in a

    portfolio comprising of debt instruments such as

    Government Securities, PSU & Corporate Bonds

    and Money Market Instruments maturing on or

    before the maturity of the scheme.

    Crisil Liquid Fund

    Index

    ICICI Pru FMP-55-

    16M-B(G)1-Jun 6-Jun

    Close

    ended

    Mr. Chaitanya

    Pande

    To generate regular returns by investing in a

    portfolio of fixed income securities/ debt

    instruments maturing on or before the maturity

    of the Plan under the Scheme.

    Crisil Composite

    Bond Fund Index

    HDFC FMP-XVIII-

    92D-June 2011(1)-(G) 2-Jun 6-Jun Closeended Mr. Bharat Pareek, /Mr. Miten Lathia

    To generate income through investments in Debt

    / Money Market Instruments and Government

    Securities maturing on or before the maturity

    date of the respective Plan(s).

    Crisil Short-TermBond Fund Index

    DWS FTF-83(G) 26-May 6-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Kumaresh

    Ramakrishnan

    To generate Objective regular income by

    investing in debt and money market instruments

    maturing on or before the date of the maturity of

    the Scheme.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    Birla SL FTP-DD(G) 26-May 6-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Kaustubh

    Gupta

    To generate income by investing in a portfolio of

    fixed income securities maturing on or before the

    duration of the scheme.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    Religare Nifty ETF 23-May 6-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Pranav

    Gokhale

    To generate returns which closely correspond to

    the returns generated by securities as

    represented by S&P CNX Nifty Index, subject to

    tracking error, if any.

    S&P CNX Nifty

    ICICI Pru FMP 55-6M-

    D(G)30-May 7-Jun

    Close

    ended

    Mr. Chaitanya

    Pande

    To generate regular returns by investing in a

    portfolio of fixed income securities/ debt

    instruments maturing on or before the maturity

    of the Plan under the Scheme.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    HDFC FMP-XVIII-

    370D-June 2011(1)-(G)2-Jun 7-Jun

    Closeended

    Mr. Bharat Pareek /Mr. Miten Lathia

    To generate income through investments in Debt

    / Money Market Instruments and Government

    Securities maturing on or before the maturity

    date of the respective Plan(s).

    Crisil Short-TermBond Fund Index

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    Source: Accord Fintech

    Fund Opens Closes Structure Fund Manager Investment Objective Benchmark

    Reliance FHF-XIX-

    20(G)25-May 8-Jun

    Close

    endedMr. Amit Tripathi

    To generate regular returns and growth of

    capital by investing in a diversified portfolio ofCentral and State Government securities and

    Other fixed income/ debt securities maturing on

    or before the date of maturity of the scheme with

    the objective of limiting interest rate volatility.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    Kotak FMP 49(G) 2-Jun 8-JunClose

    ended

    Mr. Deepak

    Agrawal / Mr.

    Abhishek Bisen

    To generate returns through investments in debt

    and money market instruments with a view to

    significantly reduce the interest rate risk. The

    Scheme will invest in debt and money market

    securities, maturing on or before maturity of the

    scheme.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    Principal Pnb FMP

    91D-XXX(G)3-Jun 9-Jun

    Close

    endedMr. Shobit Gupta

    To build an income oriented portfolio and

    generate returns through investment in

    Debt/Money Market Instruments and

    Government Securities.

    Crisil Liquid Fund

    Index

    L&T FMP - III (June

    366D)-A(G)3-Jun 14-Jun

    Close

    ended

    Mr. Bekxy

    Kuriakose

    To achieve growth of capital through

    investments made in a basket of debt/ fixed

    income securities maturing on or before the

    maturity of the Scheme.

    Crisil Short-Term

    Bond Fund Index

    ICICI Pru CPO-I(G) 3-Jun 17-JunClose

    endedMr. Amit Tripathi

    To protect capital by investing a portion of the

    portfolio in good quality debt securities & money

    market instruments and also to provide capital

    appreciation by investing the balance in equity

    and equity related securities. The securities

    would mature on or before the maturity of the

    Plan under the scheme.

    Crisil MIP Blended

    Index

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    Source: Accord Fintech

    NAV CAGR (In %)

    Scheme Name (04 Jun 11) 1 Week 1 Month 1 Year Since Inception

    ICICI Pru Dynamic(G) 107.25 0.68 -0.20 10.92 31.79 0.64 0.02 1.84

    Fidelity Equity(G) 34.98 0.69 -0.17 9.81 22.98 0.79 0.01 1.85

    ICICI Pru Discovery(G) 49.15 0.76 0.94 10.60 26.38 0.67 0.02 1.92

    Franklin India Bluechip(G) 213.10 0.96 -0.02 11.89 25.18 0.78 0.01 1.83

    Principal Large Cap(G) 28.05 1.01 -0.74 6.13 20.38 0.82 0.00 2.27

    DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 99.52 0.77 0.49 9.87 32.17 0.78 0.01 1.86

    Birla SL MIP(G) 26.61 0.09 0.35 6.01 9.73 0.13 0.01 2.09

    ICICI Pru Child Care Plan-Study Plan 29.72 0.31 0.96 8.19 11.81 0.11 0.02 1.50

    Tata MIP Plus(G) 16.00 0.42 0.28 3.76 6.73 0.29 0.00 2.00

    Birla SL '95(G) 308.90 0.77 0.14 10.51 23.42 0.45 0.03 2.31

    DSPBR Balanced(G) 65.67 0.91 0.20 8.63 16.94 0.49 0.02 2.10

    Tata Balanced(G) 82.68 1.04 0.92 8.61 16.69 0.59 0.03 2.34

    Category: Balanced Funds

    Category: Largecap

    Category: Monthly Income Plans

    Weekly Recommendations (Equity & Hybrid)

    Absolute Return (In %)BETA ALPHA

    Expense

    Ratio

    Weekly Recommendations (Debt)

    NAV CAGR (In %)

    Scheme Name (04 Jun 11) 1 Week 1 Month 1 Year Since Inception

    Category: Floating Rate

    Birla SL FRF-LT(G) 17.08 0.17 0.74 7.31 6.92 8.87 51.10 51.10 0.14

    Reliance FRF ST(G) 15.91 0.14 0.64 6.61 5.93 0.00 167.90 149.65 0.80

    LICMF FRF-STP(G) 16.21 0.14 0.57 6.25 6.96 0.00 2.16 2.04 0.64

    Category: Income - Long term

    Birla SL Dynamic Bond-Ret(G) 16.54 0.16 0.43 5.56 7.83 9.30 547.50 547.50 0.79

    ICICI Pru Income-Reg(G) 31.14 0.03 0.00 2.75 9.16 9.14 1324.95 949.00 2.11

    DSPBR Govt. Sec(G) 33.27 0.69 0.44 2.17 10.84 0.00 3766.80 2120.65 1.25

    Category: Income - Short term

    Kotak Bond-STP(G) 18.73 0.17 0.72 4.00 7.15 9.50 182.50 167.90 0.89

    Templeton India ST Income(G) 1981.76 0.14 0.63 5.89 7.60 10.41 379.60 244.55 1.30

    UTI ST Income(G) 16.95 0.13 0.42 6.70 6.87 0.00 635.10 0.00 0.59

    Category:Ultra Short Term Fund

    Templeton India Ultra-ST-Ret(G) 12.70 0.17 0.72 7.30 7.14 8.61 40.15 36.50 0.65

    Kotak Floater-ST(G) 16.29 0.16 0.73 7.22 6.38 8.90 47.45 47.45 0.57

    Tata Floater(G) 14.90 0.17 0.74 7.54 7.19 8.65 20.52 0.00 0.25

    Category: Liquid

    Templeton India TMA-Reg(G) 2437.81 0.15 0.68 6.78 7.04 8.23 40.15 36.50 0.85

    SBI Magnum InstaCash-Cash(G) 22.09 0.16 0.70 7.17 6.80 7.98 18.25 18.25 0.35

    Tata Liquid-RIP(G) 2274.19 0.16 0.70 6.80 6.65 8.88 16.44 0.00 0.65

    YTMAverage

    Maturity In

    Modified

    Duration in

    Absolute Return (In %) Expense

    Ratio

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    Source: Accord Fintech

    Dividend Declaration

    Scheme Name Category Record Date Gross Corporate Non-Corporate

    Baroda Pioneer 90D-FMP-1(D) Debt 7-Jun-11 0.14 0.14 0.14

    Birla SL FTP-CA-Reg(D) Debt 8-Jun-11 9.17 9.17 9.17

    Birla SL ST FMP-11(D) Debt 8-Jun-11 0.52 0.52 0.52

    ICICI Pru Inv II-Qtrly-D-Inst(D) Debt 8-Jun-11 0.16 0.16 0.16

    ICICI Pru Inv II-Qtrly-D-Inst(D) Debt 7-Jun-11 0.13 0.13 0.13

    ICICI Pru Qrtly Inv II-D-Inst(QD) Debt 8-Jun-11 0.16 0.16 0.16

    ICICI Pru Qrtly Inv II-D-Inst(QD) Debt 7-Jun-11 0.13 0.13 0.13

    ICICI Pru Qrtly Inv II-D-Ret(D) Debt 8-Jun-11 0.16 0.16 0.16

    ICICI Pru Qrtly Inv II-D-Ret(D) Debt 7-Jun-11 0.13 0.13 0.13

    IDFC Arbitrage Plus-Inst(D) Hybrid 8-Jun-11 0.20 0.20 0.20

    IDFC Arbitrage Plus-Reg(D) Hybrid 8-Jun-11 0.20 0.20 0.20

    IDFC Asset Alloc-Cons(D) Hybrid 8-Jun-11 0.20 0.20 0.20Reliance Inv-Qrtly-III-Inst(D) Debt 6-Jun-11 2.11 2.11 2.11

    Reliance Inv-Qrtly-III-Ret(D) Debt 6-Jun-11 2.07 2.07 2.07

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    Disclaimer

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