1 trefica of honduras andres hernandez sharon udani tianyuan wang
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TREFICA OF TREFICA OF HONDURASHONDURAS
Andres HernandezAndres Hernandez
Sharon UdaniSharon Udani
Tianyuan WangTianyuan Wang
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COMPANY PROFILECOMPANY PROFILE
►Trefiladora Centroamericana►Production and commercialization of
wire-related products►Actively participates in the U.S.,
Mexican, Caribbean, South American and Central American markets
►Strategically located in Choluteca, Choluteca, HondurasHonduras
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LOCATIONLOCATION
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COMPANY PROFILECOMPANY PROFILE
►Annual plant capacity exceeds 72,000 metric tons
►Galvanize over 36,000 metric tons of wire
►8,400 metric tons in barb wire►18,000 metric tons of wire rod and
rebar
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PRODUCTS & BRANDSPRODUCTS & BRANDS
Chain-link fencing
High-resistance rebar
Nails
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EMERGING MARKETEMERGING MARKET
► Profit from a substantial economic growth Profit from a substantial economic growth based onbased on• significant productivity gainssignificant productivity gains• technological changetechnological change• change in their economic philosophy change in their economic philosophy
► Frequently characterized byFrequently characterized by• political instabilitypolitical instability• strong currency turbulencestrong currency turbulence• high foreign debthigh foreign debt
High risk and returnHigh risk and return
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COMPANY BACKGROUNDCOMPANY BACKGROUND
►Founded in 1969Founded in 1969►Sold to the Vente family in the 1980sSold to the Vente family in the 1980s►Virtual monopoly in Honduras, El Virtual monopoly in Honduras, El
Salvador and Nicaragua in the 1980sSalvador and Nicaragua in the 1980s►Short-term, high interest loans to Short-term, high interest loans to
increase capacity in the 1990sincrease capacity in the 1990s►Main supplier LAEI acquired 45% Main supplier LAEI acquired 45%
ownership to lower interestownership to lower interest
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OVERVIEWOVERVIEW
► Increasing losses and cash flow Increasing losses and cash flow shortfallsshortfalls
► Foreign competitorsForeign competitors► International competitionInternational competition► Family-owned businessFamily-owned business► Decision on capitalization and futureDecision on capitalization and future
SELLSELL or or RESTRUCTURERESTRUCTURE
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ISSUESISSUES
► Financing ResourcesFinancing Resources► Ownership & Ownership &
ControlControl
► Foreign CompetitionForeign Competition► Quality StandardsQuality Standards► Local EconomyLocal Economy► Marketing StrategyMarketing Strategy► COGSCOGS
IMMEDIATE BASIC
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IMMEDIATE ISSUE MATRIXIMMEDIATE ISSUE MATRIX
Importance
Urgency
Ownership Ownership &&
ControlControlFinancing Financing ResourcesResources
LOW HIGH
LOW
HIGH
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BASIC ISSUE MATRIXBASIC ISSUE MATRIX
Importance
Urgency
Marketing Marketing Strategy &Strategy &
Local EconomyLocal EconomyCOGSCOGS
Quality Quality StandardsStandards
Foreign Foreign CompetitionCompetition
LOW HIGH
LOW
HIGH
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COMBINED ISSUE MATRIXCOMBINED ISSUE MATRIX
Importance
Urgency
Marketing Marketing StrategyStrategy
COGSCOGS
Ownership & Ownership & ControlControl
FINANCING FINANCING RESOURCESRESOURCES
LOW HIGH
LOW
HIGH
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MARKET DOMINANCE 1984–MARKET DOMINANCE 1984–19921992
Virtual Monopoly
Lack of Competition
High Tariffs High Import Duties
Running at Full Capacity
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EXPORTSEXPORTS
Opened Borders
Government Exports Strategy
Tariff Structure
Accelerated Local-currency
Depreciation
Exports Growth
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GLOBAL TRANSITION 1993-GLOBAL TRANSITION 1993-19961996
International Quality
Standards
Opened Borders
Additional Production Capacity
Anemic Local Economy
Illiquid Financial Sector
Foreign Banks (Regional
Political Risk)
Borrow LocallyShort-term Financing
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BORROWING LOCALLYBORROWING LOCALLY
High Political
Risk
No Foreign Banks
Devaluating Currency
High Inflation Rates
Illiquid Financial Sector
High Interest Rates
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INCURRING LOSSINCURRING LOSS
Big Expansio
n
Machinery
High Interest Loans
Reneged Government Aid
Reluctant Investors
Accounting Loss
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PRECENT OF SALES PRECENT OF SALES COMPARISIONCOMPARISION
BenchmarkBenchmark TreficaTrefica
Net SalesNet Sales 100.0%100.0% 100.0%100.0%
COGSCOGS 89.489.4 79.779.7
Gross profitGross profit 10.610.6 20.320.3
Selling ExpSelling Exp 1.31.3 8.88.8
G&A ExpG&A Exp 5.15.1 3.63.6
Op IncomeOp Income 4.24.2 7.97.9
Interest ExpInterest Exp 2.22.2 10.810.8
Currency FluctuationsCurrency Fluctuations 0.00.0 0.40.4
Income b/taxIncome b/tax 4.84.8 -3.3-3.3
TaxTax 1.31.3 0.00.0
Net IncomeNet Income 3.53.5 -3.3-3.3
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ALTERNATIVESALTERNATIVES
1.1. Stay the courseStay the course
2.2. Find a US partnerFind a US partner
3.3. Sell control to a Mexican SupplierSell control to a Mexican Supplier
4.4. Sell control to LAEISell control to LAEI
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1. STAY THE COURSE1. STAY THE COURSE
ProsPros► 55% ownership55% ownership
► Maintain controlMaintain control
► Wait for better Wait for better opportunitiesopportunities
ConsCons► Too much high Too much high
interest debtinterest debt
► Potential loss of Potential loss of market sharemarket share
► Potential Potential bankruptcybankruptcy
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2. FIND A U.S. PARTNER2. FIND A U.S. PARTNER
ProsPros► Maintain controlMaintain control
► Access to U.S. Access to U.S. financial marketsfinancial markets
► Increase in U.S. Increase in U.S. market sharemarket share
► Rationalizing Rationalizing productionproduction
ConsCons► Loss of 20% Loss of 20%
ownershipownership
► Not enough Not enough investment to relief investment to relief debt burdendebt burden
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Historical Interest RatesHistorical Interest Rates
Short Short term term lempira lempira debtdebt
32.10%32.10%
Short Short term USD term USD debtdebt
12.50%12.50%
Long Long term USD term USD debtdebt
12.50%12.50%
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3. SELL CONTROL TO A MEXICAN 3. SELL CONTROL TO A MEXICAN SUPPLIERSUPPLIER
ProsPros► $4 million $4 million
investment to investment to relieve debt burdenrelieve debt burden
► Cheaper COGSCheaper COGS
► Stay competitive in Stay competitive in Central AmericaCentral America
ConsCons► Loss of 21% Loss of 21%
ownershipownership
► Potential loss of Potential loss of PresidencyPresidency
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4. SELL CONTROL TO LAEI4. SELL CONTROL TO LAEI
ProsPros► Walk away with $ 5 Walk away with $ 5
millionmillion
ConsCons► Complete loss of Complete loss of
ownership & controlownership & control
► Possibly bring Possibly bring shame to the familyshame to the family
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DECISION CRITERIADECISION CRITERIA
Market AccessibilityMarket Accessibility Ownership & ControlOwnership & Control Debt StructureDebt Structure
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MARKET ACCESSIBILITYMARKET ACCESSIBILITY
AlternativeAlternative MarketsMarkets
Stay the courseStay the course --
U.S. PartnerU.S. Partner U.S. and U.S. U.S. and U.S. financial marketsfinancial markets
Control to Mexican Control to Mexican suppliersupplier
MexicoMexico
Control to LAEIControl to LAEI --
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OWNERSHIP & CONTROLOWNERSHIP & CONTROL
AlternativAlternativee
VenteVente LAEILAEI U.S. U.S. PartnerPartner
Mexican Mexican SupplierSupplier
Stay the Stay the coursecourse
55%55% 45%45% 0%0% 0%0%
U.S. U.S. PartnerPartner
35%35% 45%45% 20%20% 0%0%
Control to Control to Mexican Mexican suppliersupplier
34%34% 0%0% 0%0% 66%66%
Control to Control to LAEILAEI
0%0% 100%100% 0%0% 0%0%
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55%
45%
35%
45%
20%
34%
66%
100%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Stay thecourse
U.S.Partner
Sell toMexicanSupplier
Sell toLAEI
Mexican SupplierU.S ManufacturerLAEIVentes
OWNERSHIP DISTRIBUTION
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Common Shares in Lempiras 85,000,000
Exchange Rate (Lempiras/USD) 13.50
Common Shares in USD
85,000,000 / 13.50 = $6,296,296.30
% Equity Sold (True)Value:
U.S. Partner $6,296,296.30 * 20% = $1,259,259.26
Mexican Supplier $6,296,296.30 * 66% = $4,155,555.56
Sell to LAEI $6,296,296.30 * 55% = $3,462,962.65
EQUITY VALUE
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Investment Investment OfferOffer
Equity Equity ValueValue
DifferenceDifference
Stay the Stay the CourseCourse
N/AN/A N/AN/A N/AN/A
U.S. PartnerU.S. Partner $1,900,000.0$1,900,000.000
$1,259,259.26
$640,740.74$640,740.74
Sell to Sell to Mexican Mexican SupplierSupplier
$4,000,000.0$4,000,000.000
$4,155,555.56
($155,555.5($155,555.56)6)
Sell to LAEISell to LAEI $4,000,000.0$4,000,000.000
$3,462,962.65
$537,037.35$537,037.35
EQUITYEQUITY
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PROPOSED DEBT STRUCTUREPROPOSED DEBT STRUCTUREDebt Structure: 1997 1998
Short term debt 90% 35%
% Lempiras 66% 65%
% US$ 34% 35%
Long term debt 10% 65%
Total debt 100% 100%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
%
1997 1998
Year
Debt Structure
Long term debt
Short term debt
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PREFERRED ALTERNATIVEPREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
AlternativeAlternative Market Market AccessibilitAccessibilit
yy
Ownership Ownership & Control& Control
Debt Debt StructurStructur
ee
TotalTotal
Stay the courseStay the course 00 44 00 44U.S. U.S.
PARTNERPARTNER44 33 55 1212
Control to Control to Mexican Mexican suppliersupplier
33 22 33 88
Control to LAEIControl to LAEI 00 00 00 00
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IMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATION
►Let U.S. Partner invest 20% equityLet U.S. Partner invest 20% equity►Pay off short term debtPay off short term debt►Long term debt with lower interest Long term debt with lower interest
raterate►Rationalize productionRationalize production
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QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?