1 thinking module 23. 2 3 thinking overview thinking concepts solving problems making decisions...

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1 Thinkin g Module 23

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1

Thinking

Module 23

3

Thinking Overview

Thinking Concepts

Solving Problems

Making Decisions and Forming Judgments

4

Thinking Cognition

mental activities associated with thinking, knowing, remembering, and communicating

Cognitive Psychologists study these mental activities

concept formation problem solving decision making judgment formation

5

Thinking

Concept mental grouping of similar objects, events,

ideas, or people

6

In Class Exercise on Prototypes

• Number your paper 1-10

7Triangle (definition) Bird (mental image)

Daniel J. C

ox/ Getty Im

ages

J. Messerschm

idt/ The Picture C

ube

PrototypeMental image or best example of a category.

Matching new items to the prototype provides a quick and easy method for including items in a

category (as when comparing feathered creatures to a prototypical bird, such as a robin)

8

Category Hierarchies

We organize concepts into category hierarchies.

Courtesy of C

hristine Brune

9

Categories

Once we place an item in a category, our memory shifts toward the category prototype.

A computer generated face that was 70 percentCaucasian led people to classify it as Caucasian.

Cou

rtesy o

f Olive

r Co

rne

ille

10

Problem SolvingProblem solving strategies include:

1. Trial and Error2. Algorithms3. Heuristics4. Insight

11

Thinking Algorithm

methodical, logical rule or procedure that guarantees solving a particular problem

contrasts with the usually speedier–but also more error-prone--use of heuristics

12

Algorithms

Algorithms, which are very time consuming, exhaust all possibilities before arriving at a

solution. Computers use algorithms.

S P L O Y O C H Y G

If we were to unscramble these letters to form a word using an algorithmic approach, we would face

907,200 possibilities.

13

Heuristics

Heuristics are mental shortcuts that allow us to make judgments and

solve problems efficiently. Heuristics

are less time consuming, but more

error-prone than algorithms.

Heuristics with the psych files 15:12

B2M

Productions/D

igital Version/G

etty Images

14

Heuristics

Heuristics make it easier for us to use simple principles to arrive at solutions to problems.

S P L O Y O C H Y GS P L O Y O C H G YP S L O Y O C H G YP S Y C H O L O G Y

Put a Y at the end, and see if the wordbegins to make sense.

15

InsightInsight involves a sudden

novel realization of a solution to a problem.

Humans and animals have insight.

Chimp Problem solving: Link 1:03

Crow Problem solvingLink :48

Rook Prob solvingLink 1:40

Grande using boxes toobtain food

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Try to connect these dots with three lines, without lifting your pencil from the paper or retracing any of the lines you draw. You must also end the drawing where you began it. You can take up to three minutes.

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Insight (it can be seen in the brain before you are

conscious of it)Brain imaging and

EEG studies suggest that when an insight

strikes (the “Aha” experience), it

activates the right temporal cortex (Jung-

Beeman & others, 2004). The time

between not knowing the solution and

responding is about 0.3 seconds.

From M

ark Jung-Beekm

an, Northw

estern U

niversity and John Kounios, D

rexel University

20

Thought Puzzle #1

• Predict the next number in this sequence.

• In your notes, write down your thought process. Include any “dead ends.”

• Don’t talk about your process or your answer so that everyone can work on the puzzle.

Sequence

8 5 9 1 7 2 ____

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Thought Puzzle #1

Sequence

8 5 9 1 7 2 ____

Now think about the words rather than the numbers

Eight Five Nine One Seven Two _____

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Thought Puzzle #1

What got in the way of solving this problem?

Mental Set - Old pattern of problem solving is applied to a new problem.

Functional Fixedness – A tendency to think about familiar objects in familiar ways which may prevent more creative use of those objects to solve the problem.

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Where should we put the armor… where are the missing

bullet holes???

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Section of plane Bullet holes per square foot

Engine 1.11

Fuselage l.73

Fuel system 1.55

Rest of the plane 1.8

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Thought Puzzle #2 – Connect the dots with no more than 4 straight lines without

lifting your pen.

* * ** * ** * *

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Thought Puzzle #2 – Connect the dots with no more than 4 straight lines

without lifting your pen.

* * ** * ** * *

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Thought Puzzle #2 – Connect the dots with no more than 4 straight lines

without lifting your pen.Many people suffer from the Mental Set which states that they must stay within the square defined by the dots.

Functional Fixedness keeps most people in a “connect the dots” mode.

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What path will the marble follow when it leaves the curved tube?

Figure 8.7: Applying a Mental Model

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Are these pairs of objects the same or different?

Manipulating Images

Return

36

Obstacles in Solving Problems

Confirmation Bias: A tendency to search for information that confirms a personal bias.

2 – 4 – 6

Discover the rule

37

Fixation

Fixation: An inability to see a problem from a fresh perspective. This impedes

problem solving and creativity. An example of fixation is functional fixedness.

The Matchstick Problem: How would

you arrange six matches to form four equilateral triangles?

From

“Problem

Solving” by M

. Scheerer. C

opyright © 1963 by

Scientific A

merican, Inc. A

ll Rights R

eserved.

38

Functional Fixedness

A tendency to think only of the familiar functions of an object.

?

Problem: Tie the two ropes together. Use a screw driver, cotton balls and a matchbox.

39

Using these materials, how would you mount the candle on a bulletin board?

Candle-Mounting Problem

From

“Problem

Solving” by M

. Scheerer. C

opyright © 1963 by

Scientific A

merican, Inc. A

ll Rights R

eserved.

40

The Three-Jugs Problem

Using jugs A, B, and C, with the capacities shown, how would you measure out the volumes indicated?

41

Fig. 8-6, p. 311

42

Fig. 8-7, p. 312

43

The Matchstick Problem: Solution

From

“Problem

Solving” by M

. Scheerer. C

opyright © 1963 by

Scientific A

merican, Inc. A

ll Rights R

eserved.

44

Candle-Mounting Problem: Solution

45

The Three-Jugs Problem

Solution: a) All seven problems can be solved by the equation shown in (a): B - A - 2C = desired volume.

b) But simpler solutions exist for problems 6 and 7, such as A - C for problem 6.

46

Making Decision & Forming Judgments

Each day we make hundreds of judgments and decisions based on our

intuition, seldom using systematic reasoning.

Link How to make better decisions

47

Heuristics

There are two kinds of heuristics, representative heuristics and

availability heuristics.

Amos Tversky Daniel Kahneman

Courtesy of G

reymeyer A

ward, U

niversity of L

ouisville and the Tversky fam

ily

Courtesy of G

reymeyer A

ward, U

niversity of L

ouisville and Daniel K

ahneman

49

Probability that that person is a truck driver is far greater than an ivy league professor just because there are more truck drivers than

such professors.

Representativeness Heuristic

Judging the likelihood of things or objects in terms of how well they seem to represent, or

match, a particular prototype.

If you meet a slim, short, man who wears glasses and likes poetry, what do you think his profession would be?

More likely an ivy league classics professor or a truck driver?

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52

Heuristics

Availability Heuristic estimating the likelihood of events

based on their availability in memory if instances come readily to mind

(perhaps because of their vividness), we presume such events are common

Example: airplane crash

54

55

OverconfidenceOverconfidence: tendency to

overestimate the accuracy of our beliefs and judgments.

In the stock market, both the

seller and the buyer may be

confident about their decisions on

a stock.Mind over Money at NOVA 52:52

56

• …overconfidence increases with action. As we actively engage, we become more confident in what we are doing.

57

You might steal more when asked NOT to…

• Sign posted that condemned the fact that many visitors steal the wood from Petrified Forest National Park.

• In the absence of the sign 3% stole wood

• In the presence of the sign 8% stole wood

• Messages that condemn yet highlight undesired social norms are common, and that they invite counterproductive results

58

Exaggerated Fear

Exaggerated fear: about what may

happen. Such fears may be unfounded. This is opposite of

having overconfidence.

The 9/11 attacks led to a decline in air travel due to fear.

AP

/ Wide W

orld Photos

59

We often fear the wrong things…• What is most likely to kill someone your

age…15-24.– Murder? – Criminal violence?– Accidents, mostly car wrecks…

• As a group you are more likely to kill yourself than to be murdered!

• Are you more likely to be burglarized or steal from your work?

60

• California State University Professor Mike Orkin points out that if a person drives ten miles to buy a lotto ticket, he or she is about sixteen times more likely to get killed in a car crash than to win the lotto.

• The Making of the Fittest: DNA and the Ultimate Forensic Record of Evolution by Sean B. Carroll

61

62

Thinking Framing

the way an issue is posed how an issue is framed can

significantly affect decisions and judgments

Example: What is the best way to market ground beef--as 25% fat or 75% lean?

63

Thinking and Belief

Belief Bias the tendency for one’s preexisting beliefs to

distort logical reasoning sometimes by making invalid conclusions

seem valid or valid conclusions seem invalid

Belief Perseverance clinging to one’s initial conceptions after the

basis on which they were formed has been discredited

Magic and the Brain at PBS

66

Belief Bias example

God is love.

Love is blind

Ray Charles is blind.

Ray Charles is God.Anonymous graffiti

67

Fluency Effect

• If the form of information is difficult to assimilate, that affects our judgments about the substance of that information.

• Subjects rated the exercise as harder and said they were less likely to try it when the instructions were printed in a font that was hard to read.

68

Perils & Powers of IntuitionIntuition may be perilous if unchecked, but

may also be extremely efficient and adaptive…it allows quick decisions.

Irrational behavior linkMyers on Intuition

70

Predictably Irrational

• The power of FREE!• Truffle at 15 cents Kiss at 1 cent,• 73% chose truffle 27% chose kiss• Truffle at 14 cents Kiss at free• 31% chose truffle 69% chose kiss• The price difference in both cases is the

same… 14 cents• So…free can make you miss something…

73

End