1 population dynamics (chapter 10) 1950. 2 estimating patterns of survival three main methods of...

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1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950

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Page 1: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Population Dynamics (Chapter 10)

1950

Page 2: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Estimating Patterns of Survival

• Three main methods of estimation: Cohort life table

Identify individuals born at same time and keep records from birth.

Static life table Record age at death of individuals.

Age distribution Calculate difference in proportion of

individuals in each age class. Assumes differences from mortality.

Page 3: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Survivorship Curves

• Type I: Majority of mortality occurs among older individuals. Dall Sheep

• Type II: Constant rate of survival throughout lifetime. American Robins

• Type III: High mortality among young, followed by high survivorship. Sea Turtles

Page 4: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Page 5: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Page 6: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Page 7: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Page 8: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Age Distribution

• Age distribution of a population reflects its history of survival, reproduction, and growth potential.

Page 9: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Age Distribution

• Rio Grande Cottonwood populations (Populus deltoides wislizenii) are ….

Page 10: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Dynamic Population in a Variable Climate

• Grant and Grant studied Galapagos Finches.• Responsiveness of population age structure to

environmental variation.

Page 11: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Blacknose dace (Rhinichthys atratulus)South Branch Codorus Creek

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Page 12: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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700 Million Years of Eating DNA: A Conserved Competence Regulon in Gamma-Proteobacteria.

 Dr. Andrew Cameron

Microbiology DepartmentUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C.

 Tuesday, March 6th, at 4:30 – 5:30 p.m.Ruhl Student Center, Community Room

700 Million Years of Eating DNA: A Conserved Competence Regulon in Gamma-Proteobacteria.

 Dr. Andrew Cameron

Microbiology DepartmentUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C.

 Tuesday, March 6th, at 4:30 – 5:30 p.m.Ruhl Student Center, Community Room

Page 13: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Rates of Population Change

• Birth Rate: Number of young born per female; seeds per individual plant.

• Fecundity Schedule: Tabulation of birth rates for females of different ages.

• “Life Table” of survivorship per age grouping (see above) combined with fecundity schedule can be used to calculate net reproductive rates.

Page 14: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Estimating Rates for an Annual Plant

• Phlox drummondii (phlox) Ro = Net reproductive rate; Average number

of seeds produced by an individual in a population over lifetime (“birth rate”).

Ro=∑ lxmx

X= Age interval in days. lx = % pop. surviving to each age (x).

mx= Average number seeds produced by each individual in each age category.

Page 15: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Page 16: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Estimating Rates for an Annual Plant

• Because P. drummondii has non-overlapping generations, we can estimate growth rate. Geometric Rate of Increase (λ):

λ=N t+1 / Nt

N t+1 = Size of population at future time.

Nt = Size of population at some earlier time.

Page 17: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Estimating Rates when Generations Overlap

• Common Mud Turtle (K. subrubrum) About half turtles nest each year. Average generation time:

T = ∑ xlxmx / Ro

X= Age in years Per Capita Rate of Increase:

r = ln Ro / T ln = Base natural logarithms

fwie.fw.vt.edu/VHS/Kinosternon_subrubrum.htm

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10_02.jpg

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Dispersal

• Africanized Honeybees Honeybees (Apis melifera) evolved in

Africa and Europe and have since differentiated into many locally adapted subspecies.

Africanized honeybees disperse much faster than European honeybees.

Within 30 years they occupied most of South America, Mexico, and all of Central America.

Page 20: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Africanized Honeybees

Page 21: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Collared Doves

• Collared Doves, Streptopelia decaocto, spread from Turkey into Europe after 1900. Dispersal began suddenly.

Not influenced by humans. Took place in small jumps.

45 km/yr

Page 22: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Collared Doves

Page 23: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Rapid Changes in Response to Climate Change

• Tree species began to spread northward about 16,000 years ago following retreat of glaciers and warming climate. Evidence found in preserved pollen in lake

sediments. Movement rate 100 - 400 m/yr.

Page 24: 1 Population Dynamics (Chapter 10) 1950. 2 Estimating Patterns of Survival Three main methods of estimation:  Cohort life table  Identify individuals

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Rapid Changes in Response to Climate Change

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Dispersal in Response to Changing Food Supply

• Holling observed numerical responses to increased prey availability. Increased

prey density led to increased density of predators.

Birds moved.