1 networks the internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. to describe...

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1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike other technologies, it does not do anything in the absence of the human mind – in fact, the human mind is the sole source of its viability. Accordingly, the destiny of the Net will be determined by the interaction of two adaptive agents: • The systems and software of the Net • Its human users Network Theory… and other stuff Source: Valovic, “Digital Mythologies”

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Page 1: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Networks

The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike other technologies, it does not do anything in the absence of the human mind – in fact, the human mind is the sole source of its viability. Accordingly, the destiny of the Net will be determined by the interaction of two adaptive agents:

• The systems and software of the Net

• Its human users

Network Theory… and other stuff

Source: Valovic, “Digital Mythologies”

Page 2: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Networks

The Web is a Network … Not only that, the Web is complex network… so says Sir Tim Berners-Lee (and just about every other scientist in the world who is doing research on networks or complexity theory).

So let’s take this as a given. The Web is a Complex Network

Network Theory… and other stuff

Page 3: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

Graphic view of the Web (by tracing links)

Each color on this Opte map represents a region; North America, blue; Europe/Middle East/Central Asia/Africa, green; Latin America, yellow; Asia Pacific, red; Unknown, white. (Image: Opte.org)

Source: NewScientist.com

Page 4: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Elements of complex systems •They are dynamic in the sense they are constantly changing.•They are adaptive, which is to say they evolve to benefit themselves and to insure their survival.•The adaptations are controlled to some extent by the interactions of the entities that comprise the system.•The control is typically highly dispersed. •They exhibit many levels of organisation.•They are comprised of many niches.•They are self-organising.•New elements or entities emerge from complex systems.•The emergent elements are not necessarily predictable from analysis of the individual parts of the system.•Complex systems are defined by relationships between components more than by describing its constituent parts.

Page 5: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Research published by scientists at Notre Dame in 1999 indicated that there were fundamental attributes of most networks, including the Internet and the Web, in that they:

•Exhibited rapid and/or consistent growth.

•Exhibited a power law distribution.

•Exhibited forms of preferential attachment.

Page 6: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Rapid and/or Consistent Growth

As the chart shows, the number of Websites has experienced three growth stages:

•1991-1997: Explosive growth, at a rate of 850% per year. •1998-2001: Rapid growth, at a rate of 150% per year. •2002-2006: Maturing growth, at a rate of 25% per year.

Source: Jakob Nielson

http://www.useit.com/alertbox/web-growth.html

Netcraft's latest Web survey found 101,435,253 websites in November 2006. Not all of these sites are live: some are "parked" domains, while others are abandoned weblogs that haven't been updated in ages. But even if only half the sites are maintained, there are still more than 100 M sites that people pay to keep running.

Total sites across all domains

Page 7: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Total sites across all domains

The 100 million site milestone caps an extraordinary year in which the Internet has already added 27.4 million sites, easily topping the previous full-year growth record of 17 million from 2005. The Internet has doubled in size since May 2004, when the survey hit 50 million.

Blogs and small business web sites have driven the explosive growth this year, with huge increases at free blogging services at Google and Microsoft. Domain industry juggernauts Go Daddy (U.S.) and 1&1 Internet (Germany) have also seen strong demand for low-priced domain names and shared hosting accounts.

Rapid and/or Consistent Growth

Network Theory… and other stuff

Page 8: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

What is a “Normal Distribution”?

Page 9: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

What is a “Normal Distribution”?

A normal distribution of data means that most of the examples in a set of data are close to the "average," while relatively few examples tend to one extreme or the other.

Page 10: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

Until relatively recently (the mid 1990’s) it was generally assumed that many (most?) networks exhibited a normal distribution of nodes and edges.

A normal distribution of data means that most of the examples in a set of data are close to the "average," while relatively few examples tend to one extreme or the other.

Page 11: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

By 1999 several scientist’s had published papers indicating the nodes of Web did NOT form a normal distribution when measured by the edges (or [inbound] links), but instead formed a ‘Power Law’ distribution.

Adamic and Huberman – “The Webs Hidden Order”, Communications of the ACM, 2001Barabasi and Albert – “Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks”, Science, Vol 256, Oct, 1999

Power laws as related to websites may be verbally represented as:

•a very few sites that rank very high in the number of inbound links;

•a larger number of sites with close to median numbers of inbound links;

•a great number of sites with very few inbound links.

Page 12: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

Power laws as related to websites may be verbally represented as:

•a very few sites that rank very high in the number of inbound links;

•a larger number of sites with close to median numbers of inbound links;

•a great number of sites with very few inbound links.

Page 13: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

Power laws as related to websites may be verbally represented as:

•a very few sites that rank very high in the number of inbound links;•a larger number of sites with close to median numbers of inbound links;•a great number of sites with very few inbound links.

806040200

count

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in-b

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ks

Linear representation of distribution of inbound links to websites categorized as ‘Business’ in the dot-com zone.

1001010.1

1E-5

count

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-0.1

in-b

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R Sq Linear = 0.61

Logarithmic scale of distribution of inbound links to

websites categorised as ‘Business’ in the dot-com zone

Page 14: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

806040200

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This is the Long Tail of the Power Law distribution

Shallow Web

Deep Web

Power Law Distribution

Page 15: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

Page 16: 1 Networks The Internet may be described as part technology and part human interaction. To describe it as one or the other is not quite accurate. Unlike

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Network Theory… and other stuff

Power Law Distribution

So the question is – WHY?...

Why is there a power law distribution?

Why is it important?