1 jack j. phillips, ph.d. measuring roi: progress, trends, and outlook

56
1 Jack J. Phillips, Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook Trends, and Outlook

Upload: magdalen-paul

Post on 26-Dec-2015

222 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

1

Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D.Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D.

Measuring ROI: Progress, Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and OutlookTrends, and Outlook

Page 2: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

2

Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives

• Review/discuss status and trends of ROI use

• Use the key steps and principles in the ROI methodology to improve your organization’s measures

• Apply elements of a successful implementation to your own initiatives

Page 3: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

The Many Applications of the ROI Methodology

Communications Policies/Procedures

Consulting/OD Procurement/Supply Chain

Educational Systems Public Policy Programs

Human Resources/Human Capital

Public Relations / Public Affairs

Leadership and Coaching Quality / Six Sigma

Learning and Development Research and Development

Marketing/Advertising Social Programs

Meetings and Events Technology / Systems

3

Page 4: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

The “New” Definition of Value

Value Must:• Be balanced, with qualitative and quantitative data• Contain financial and non-financial perspectives• Reflect strategic and tactical issues• Represent different time frames• Satisfy all key stakeholders• Be consistent in collection and analysis• Be grounded in conservative standards• Come from credible sources• Reflect efficiency in its development• Create a call for action

4

Page 5: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

The Changing Face of Value Old New

Activity cost center Results profit center

Expense control Maximize Value

Human Resources as expenses Human capital as investment

Rule centered Client centered

We value what IBM and GE value Our value systems are unique

Tolerate overhead Outsource or automate overhead

Add value with small pieces Add value with integrated applications

Most of us are in a support role All of us are in a sales role

Our measures are based on benchmarking

Our measures are based on what we need

We view value from one perspective We view value from everyone’s perspective

Just another days work in the cubicle We do something of value

A job A performance

Treat old ideas as new ideas Treat old ideas as old ideas

5

Page 6: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

The “Show Me” EvolutionTerm Issue

Show Me! Collect Impact Data

Show Me the Money! And Convert Data to Money

Show Me the Real Money!And Isolate the Effects of the

Project

Show Me the Real Money, And Make Me Believe it!

And Compare the Money to the Cost of the Project

6

Page 7: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Results• reacted very positively to the program and found it to be

very relevant to their work;• learned new skills and gained new insights about

themselves;• utilized the skills and insights routinely with their teams,

although they had some difficulty in a few areas;• improved several important work unit measures, with

some measures improving as much as 28%;• achieved an impressive 105% return on investment; and• reported an increase in job satisfaction in the work unit.

7

Page 8: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Key Issues with this Key Issues with this Level of AnalysisLevel of Analysis

• Objectives?• Credibility of data?• Source of data?• Consistent methodology?• Scope?• Standards?• Use of data?• Cost of process?• Fear of data?

8

Page 9: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Project or Program Value ChainProject or Program Value ChainLevel Measurement Focus

0. Input Measures input such as volume and efficiencies

1. Reaction & Planned Action

Measures participant reaction to the program and captures planned actions

2. Learning Measures changes in knowledge, skills, and attitudes

3. Application Measures changes in on-the-job behavior or actions and progress with actions

4. Business Impact Captures changes in business impact measures

5. ROI Compares program benefits to the costs

Page 10: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Global Trends in Global Trends in Measurement and Evaluation Measurement and Evaluation

• Organizations are moving up the value chain in their evaluation strategies

• Investment is increasing to 3-5% of the budget

• Increase focus is driven by clients and sponsors

• ROI is the fastest growing metric

10

. . . and

Page 11: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Global Trends in Global Trends in Measurement and Evaluation Measurement and Evaluation

• Evaluation data is used to drive improvement and secure funding

• Evaluation is addressed early and often in the implementation cycle

• Processes are systematic and methodical, often designed into the delivery and implementation processes

• Technology is significantly enhancing processing

11

Page 12: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

12

Activity Based Results Based

• No business need for the program

• Program linked to specific business

• No assessment of performance issues

• Assessment of performance effectiveness

• No specific measurable objectives

• Specific objectives for behavior & business impact

• No effort to prepare program participants to achieve results

• Results expectations communicated to participants

Shifting ParadigmsShifting Paradigms

. . . and

Page 13: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

13

Activity Based Results Based

• No effort to prepare the work environment to support application

• Environment prepared to support application

• No efforts to build partnerships with key managers

• Partnerships established with key managers and clients

• No measurement of results or ROI analysis

• Measurement of results and ROI analysis

• Planning and reporting is input focused

• Planning and reporting is outcome focused

Shifting ParadigmsShifting Paradigms

Page 14: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

14

The ROI ProcessThe ROI ProcessCollects Six Types of Data:Collects Six Types of Data:

•Reaction and Planned Actions

•Learning and Confidence

•Application and Implementation

•Business Impact

•Return on Investment

•Intangible Measures

….and includes a technique to isolate the effects

of the program or solution.

Page 15: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

15

The use of the Impact / ROI The use of the Impact / ROI Process is ImpressiveProcess is Impressive

• Process refined over a 25-year period

• Thousands of impact studies conducted each year

• More than 100 case studies published

• More than 15,000 have attended a two-day ROI workshop

• More than 3,000 individuals certified

• More than 16 books developed to support the process

• ROI Process adopted by hundreds of organizations in 44 countries

- See ROI Fact Sheet-

Page 16: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Why Use Impact and ROI Why Use Impact and ROI Analysis?Analysis?

16

•Show contributions of selected programs

•Justify/defend budgets

•Identify inefficient programs that need to be redesigned or eliminated

Reactive

Page 17: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Why Use Impact and ROI Why Use Impact and ROI Analysis?Analysis?

17

•Aligns learning to business needs

•Earn respect of senior management / administrators

•Improve support for projects

•Enhance design and implementation processes

•Identify successful programs that can be implemented in other areas

•Earn a “seat at the table”

Proactive

Page 18: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

ROI QuizROI Quiz

18

Page 19: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

An EvaluationAn EvaluationFrameworkFramework

Case ApplicationsCase Applicationsand Practiceand Practice

A ProcessA ProcessModelModel

OperatingOperatingStandards andStandards and

PhilosophyPhilosophy

ImplementationImplementation

Basic ElementsBasic Elements

Page 20: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Reaction & Planned Action

Learning & Confidence

Application & Implementation

Impact

ROI

Isolate the Effects of the Program

Chain of ImpactChain of Impact

Intangible Benefits

Page 21: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Needs ProgramAssessment Objectives Evaluation

Business Impact BusinessNeeds Objectives Impact

Job Performance Application ApplicationNeeds Objectives

Skills/Knowledge Learning LearningNeeds Objectives

Preferences Satisfaction ReactionObjectives

4 4

3 3

2 2

1 1

Potential ROI ROIPayoffs Objectives5 5

Page 22: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

22

CollectCollectData DuringData During

SolutionSolutionImplementationImplementation

CollectCollectData DuringData During

SolutionSolutionImplementationImplementation

Develop Develop Objectives ofObjectives ofSolution (s)Solution (s)

Develop Develop Objectives ofObjectives ofSolution (s)Solution (s)

Develop Develop EvaluationEvaluationPlans andPlans and

Baseline DataBaseline Data

Develop Develop EvaluationEvaluationPlans andPlans and

Baseline DataBaseline Data

CollectCollectData AfterData AfterSolutionSolution

ImplementationImplementation

CollectCollectData AfterData AfterSolutionSolution

ImplementationImplementation

Level 2:Learning and Confidence

Level 4:Business Impact

Level 1: Reaction and Planned Actions

Level 3:Application andImplementation

EvaluationPlanning

Data Collection

THE ROI PROCESS

Calculating the Return on Investmentof a Business Performance Solution

Page 23: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

23

Level 5: ROI

Intangible Measures

Data Analysis Reporting

IdentifyIdentifyIntangibleIntangibleMeasuresMeasures

IdentifyIdentifyIntangibleIntangibleMeasuresMeasures

Calculate theCalculate theReturn on Return on InvestmentInvestment

Calculate theCalculate theReturn on Return on InvestmentInvestment

Tabulate CostsTabulate Costsof Solutionof Solution

Tabulate CostsTabulate Costsof Solutionof Solution

GenerateGenerateImpactImpactStudyStudy

GenerateGenerateImpactImpactStudyStudy

Convert DataConvert Datato Monetaryto Monetary

ValueValue

Convert DataConvert Datato Monetaryto Monetary

ValueValue

Isolate the Isolate the EffectsEffects

Isolate the Isolate the EffectsEffects

Page 24: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

24

Collecting Follow-up DataCollecting Follow-up Data

•Surveys/QuestionnairesSurveys/Questionnaires

•Observation On the JobObservation On the Job •InterviewsInterviews •Follow-Up Focus GroupsFollow-Up Focus Groups •Action PlanningAction Planning

•Performance ContractingPerformance Contracting

•Performance MonitoringPerformance Monitoring

Level 3 Level 4MethodType of Data

Page 25: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

25

MethodMethod11

1.Comparison Group Analysis 35%

2.Trend/Forecasting Analysis 20%

3.Expert Estimation 50%

4.Other 20%

11 Listed by credibility Listed by credibility22 Percentages exceed 100% Percentages exceed 100%

Best Practice Best Practice UseUse22

Isolating the Effects of Isolating the Effects of the Program the Program

Page 26: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

26

Converting Data to MoneyConverting Data to Money

Credibility

Resources Needed

Standard values High Low

Records/Reports analysis High High

Databases Moderate Moderate

Expert Estimation Low Low

Page 27: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Direct• Program Materials• Coaching Fees• Facilities• Travel

Indirect• Needs Assessment• Program Development• Participant Time• Administrative Overhead• Evaluation

27

Tabulating Program CostsTabulating Program Costs

Page 28: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

28

Intangible BenefitsIntangible Benefits

Complaints

Conflicts

Stress

Job Satisfaction

Commitment

Teamwork

Customer Service

Engagement

Page 29: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

29

Defining the Return on Defining the Return on InvestmentInvestment

Benefits/Cost Ratio

ROI

Monetary Benefits

Program Costs

Net Monetary Benefits

Program Costs=

=

X 100

Page 30: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

ROI ExampleROI Example

30

$240,000$80,000

$240,000 - $80,000$80,000

BCR =

ROI = X 100

= 3.00

= 200%

Page 31: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

31

ROI Target OptionsROI Target Options

•Set the value as with other investments, e.g.15%

•Set slightly above other investments, e.g. 25%

•Set at break even - 0%

•Set at client expectations

Private sector organizations usually go with option #2; public sector organizations prefer #3.

Page 32: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

ROI Best Practices ROI Best Practices

1. Implemented as a process improvement tool not a performance evaluation tool

2. Impact studies are conducted involving 5-10% of the projects and programs

3. A variety of data collection methods is used

4. The effects of the program are isolated

5. Business impact data are converted

32

Page 33: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

ROI Best Practices ROI Best Practices

6. ROI evaluation targets are developed

7. The ROI methodology generates a micro level scorecard

8. Data are being integrated to create a macro scorecard

9. Implemented for about 3-5% of the budget

10. Routine ROI forecasting

11. Used as a tool to strengthen/improve33

Page 34: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

34

• Plan for evaluation early in the process

• Build evaluation into the process

• Share the responsibilities for evaluation

• Require participants to conduct major steps

• Use short-cut methods for major steps

• Use sampling to select the most appropriate programs for ROI analysis

Cost-Saving Approaches Cost-Saving Approaches

and . . .

Page 35: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

35

• Use estimates in the collection and analysis of data

• Develop internal capability to implement the ROI process

• Streamline the reporting process

• Utilize web-based software to reduce time

Cost-Saving Approaches Cost-Saving Approaches

Page 36: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

ROI

Impact

Application

Learning

Reaction and Satisfaction

Level 5: 5-10%

Level 1: 90-100%

Level 2: 40-60%

Level 3: 30%

Level 4: 10-20%

36

Evaluation Targets

Page 37: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

37

Criteria for Selecting Programs Criteria for Selecting Programs for Levels 4 & 5for Levels 4 & 5

• Expected life cycle of the program

• The importance of the program in meeting the organization’s goals

• Cost of the program

• Visibility of the program

• The size of the target audience

• Extent of management interest

Page 38: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

38

What Happens If We What Happens If We Maintain a Status Quo?Maintain a Status Quo?

•Budget?Budget?

•Influence?Influence?

•Support?Support?

•Other Issues? Other Issues?

Page 39: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

39

ROI RealityROI Reality

• Information is desired by clients/executives

• The process provides a balanced, credible approach with six types of data

• All types of organizations are routinely using Impact/ROI

• The process can be implemented without draining resources

• The process is a long-term goal for many organizations

Page 40: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Impact / ROI Impact / ROI StandardsStandards

40

Page 41: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Southeast Corridor Bank

• Program Title: Managing Retention

• Target Group: Bank Tellers

• Solution: Skills Based Pay System to Reduce Employee Turnover

41

Page 42: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Southeast Corridor Bank• Level 1: Reaction

• Composite Rating: 4.2 out of 5

• Level 2: Learning• Positive self assessment on program

understanding• Positive self assessment on each course with

few exceptions (only two failed to be promoted because of performance in training)

42

Page 43: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 3: Application• 95% participation rate• 86 requests for training compared to 46 the year

before• 138 review situations• 257 promotions compared to 139 the year before

• Level 4: Impact• Turnover reduced from 71% to 35%• Staffing level reduced by 4%

43

Southeast Corridor Bank

Page 44: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 5: ROI • BCR: 3.58• ROI: 258%

• Intangible Benefits• Customer Satisfaction• Job Satisfaction• Product Sales• Cross Selling

44

Southeast Corridor Bank

Page 45: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Technique to Isolate Effects of Program: Estimates from branch managers and branch staff, adjusted for error

• Technique to Convert Data to Monetary Value: External studies at similar institutions and standard values (for staffing)

• Fully-loaded Program Costs: $857,196 First year; $433,200 Second year

45

Southeast Corridor Bank

Page 46: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Sprint/Nextel

• Program Title: Diversity

• Target Group: Managers and Employees

• Solution: All-Inclusive Workforce Program (AIW)

46

Page 47: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Sprint/Nextel

• Level 1: Reaction• Composite Rating: 4.39 out of 5 (for six

items)

• Level 2: Learning• Averaged 4.28 out of 5 (for learning on six

objectives)

47

Page 48: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 3: ApplicationManagers:• Supports AIW (87%)• Addresses Problems (81%)• Encourages Staff (78%)Employees:• Supports AIW (65%)• Identifies Differences (63%)• Encourages Staff (60%)

• 91% of Managers successful completed action plans 48

Sprint/Nextel

Page 49: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 4: Impact• Attrition Rate Improvement = 9.77%

• Level 5: ROI • BCR: 2.6• ROI: 163%

• Intangible Benefits• Employee• Satisfaction• Communication• Cooperation• Diversity Mix• Teamwork

49

Sprint/Nextel

Page 50: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Sprint/Nextel

• Technique to Isolate Effects of Program: Manager’s estimate, adjusted for error

• Technique to Convert Data to Monetary Value: Standard cost item ($89,000 per Turnover)

• Fully-loaded Program Costs: $1,216,836

50

Page 51: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Healthcare, Inc.

• Program Title: Preventing Sexual Harassment

• Target Group: Primary First and Second Level Managers (655) Secondary: All employees through group meetings (6,844)

• Solution: Workshops and meetings on company policy and sexual harassment regulations

51

Page 52: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Healthcare, Inc.

• Level 1: Reaction• Overall rating 4.11 out of 5• 93% provided action items

• Level 2: Learning• 65% increase post-test versus pre-test • Skill practice demonstration

52

Page 53: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 3: Application• 96% conducted meetings and completed meeting record• 4.1 out of 5 on behavior change survey• 68% report all action items complete• 92% report some action items complete

• Level 4: Impact• Turnover reduction: $2,840,632 • Complaint reduction: $360,276 • Total improvement: $3,200,908

53

Healthcare, Inc.

Page 54: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Level 5: ROI • 1,051%

• Intangible Benefits• Job Satisfaction• Absenteeism• Stress Reduction• Better Recruiting

54

Healthcare, Inc.

Page 55: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

• Technique to Isolate Effects of Program: Trendline analysis; participant estimation

• Technique to Convert Data to Monetary Value: Historical costs; internal experts

• Fully-loaded Program Costs: $277,987

55

Healthcare, Inc.

Page 56: 1 Jack J. Phillips, Ph.D. Measuring ROI: Progress, Trends, and Outlook

Sample of Published Sample of Published ROI StudiesROI Studies

56