0910 osaka / mitsubishi visit
DESCRIPTION
A call to action for Osaka to not allow Silicon Valley to supplant Kansai Areas global leadership in Energy Efficiency, Environmental and Industrial Electronics Cleantech markets. A presentation made 10/27/2009 at Plug and Play Sunnyvale to visitors from Osaka government, Osaka University and Mitsubishi EstateTRANSCRIPT
Helping Japanese StartupsRealize their Global Potential
Allen MinerFounder and Sponsor, Global Venture HabitatFounder and General Partner, SunBridge Group www.sunbridge.com [email protected] [email protected]
SunBridge Founding Goals (2000)SunBridge Founding Goals (2000)
• Create a Dynamic Venture Habitat that combines the best features of Silicon Valley and Japan
• to influence and improve Japan’s Venture Ecosystem, helping to create
• World-class Global Ventures, and
• World-class (top-quartile) investment returns
Incubator Incubator HabitatHabitat
• The most suitable environment in which to naturally grow and thrive
• A complex ecosystem
• Intensive care, or• Mass production
Silicon Valley Silicon Valley as Venture Habitatas Venture Habitat
•Area: 4801km2•Pop: 2.52 million•Jobs: 1.41 million•Avg. Income:$79K (vs. $50K US)
•Pop: 0.8% of US•GDP: 2.1% of US•VC: 29% of US
•18% hold graduate degrees (10% in US)
•36% are foreign-born(57% of those from Asia)
Silicon Valley Silicon Valley as Venture Habitatas Venture Habitat
日本• Favorable Rules of the Game ×→△• Knowledge Intensity →◎ ◎• Open Business Environment ○→○• High Quality → ◎ ◎
Mobile Workforce ×→△• Results-oriented Meritocracy ×→△• Climate that Rewards Risk-taking ×→×
and Tolerates Failure• Collaborations among Universities, ×→△
Business, government, NPOs• High Quality of Life →×△• Specialized Business Infrastructure ×→△
SunBridge Venture HabitatSunBridge Venture Habitat
AffiliatedAffiliatedVentureVenture
Sales & MarketingSolutions
Technology Services
IT VendorsIT VendorsIntegratorsIntegrators
ISPsISPsEnd UsersEnd Users
ConsultantsConsultantsPR FirmsPR Firms DesignersDesignersAgenciesAgencies
VCsVCs 、、 BanksBanksAccountantsAccountants
LawyersLawyersIncubatorsIncubators RecruitersRecruiters
UniversitiesUniversitiesNPOsNPOsEtc.Etc.
AffiliatedAffiliatedVentureVenture
UnrelatedUnrelatedVentureVenture
EstablishedEnterprise
Alliance
Information exchangeand collaboration
Human Resource Services
AllianceAlliance
EstablishedEnterpriseVenture
Capitaland
StrategicSupport
Information exchangeand collaboration
Industry-Industry-focusedfocused
RichRichServicesServices
High-Potential Venture Ecosystems High-Potential Venture Ecosystems Have Rich Services & Tight FocusHave Rich Services & Tight Focus
BroadBroadServicesServices
Bus. Mgt.Bus. Mgt.StrategyStrategySalesSalesMktg.Mktg.Tech.Tech.FinanceFinanceLegalLegalAcctgAcctgAdmin.Admin.FacilitiesFacilities
and Deepand Deep
OutOutSourceSource
SupportSupport
Intro.Intro.
Relevant Experience and Relevant Experience and Industry FocusIndustry Focus
Added Value of
Added Value of
The Ecosystem
The Ecosystem
(or Incubator)
(or Incubator)
All All IndustriesIndustries
FewFewServicesServices
NoneNone NarrowNarrow
Why Why Japan?Japan?
Tokyo and Osaka as Tokyo and Osaka as leaders of the “Spiky World”leaders of the “Spiky World”
• #1 and #9: World’s largest metropolitan areas
• Fortune 500 Headquarters#1 Tokyo: 51#8 Osaka: 7
• Global patent leaders
• Leading per capita GDP
Japan is a Technology SuperpowerJapan is a Technology SuperpowerContrary to popular myths, in Japan, as everywhere else, innovation is driven by individual ‘heroes’ – not by industry associations or government. Increasingly, these ‘heroes’ are innovating in entrepreneurial settings rather than corporate or government laboratories.
•Creators of next-generation IT•Consumer lifestyle IT (not enterprise-productivity) drives global tech innovation and growth today
•and an endless list of key enabling component technologies
•A rich technology ecosystem•World-class talent in corporate labs
•DISPROPORTIANTELY IN KANSAI!
(Source: Eurostat, OECD)
R&D Intensity (%)
R&D IntensityAAGR (%)
R&D Intensity (R&D expenditure as a % of GDP) in 2004 and average annual growth rate (AAGR) of R&D Intensity (’99-’04)
Japan R&DInvestment: 3.3% and growing
2004 patentsJapan: 342,726 vs. US: 167,183
0 10 20 30 40
Tokyo 1stExchange
Jasdaq
Mothers,Hercules
Median Years from Company formation to IPOby Exchange (2002 - 6/2005)
(Source: Asia Shoken Publishing,IPO no Sekai)
Mothers andHercules IPOs2002 322003 382004 722005 59
Japan’s entreprenurial Habitat Has Japan’s entreprenurial Habitat Has Undergone Dramatic ImprovementUndergone Dramatic Improvement
From the perspective of entrepreneurs starting companies and the Venture firms backing them, Japan’s regulatory environment, capital markets, labor mobility and social attitudes have changed so dramatically in the past 6 or 7 years as to be nearly unrecognizable to someone who’s knowledge of Japan is rooted in the common sense of the 1980s bubble era or 1990s lost decade.
2000-04 Dramatic structural change
•Commercial code and IPO rule changes
•Shift in domestic VC focus from very late stage to very early stage
•University TLOs, spinouts encouraged
•Restructurings, Layoffs- end of lifetime employment
2004-6 Recovery•Economy, Nikkei•Emergence of
“Serial Entrepreneurs”2008-09 Collapse of IPO markets- J-Sox, Global Financial Crisis
Over 20,000 1-yen companies registered in first two years after regulation changes allowed them.
Quicker exitson new markets. Better IRRsfor VCs & LPs
New access toWorld-class R&D
Dramatic regulatory changes
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
Founding year of Japanese PublicCompanies
1/3 (599) were formedin the 1948-53 GHQera of dramatic socialchange and economicrecov ery
Top 5 Waseda 65Osaka 46Keio 43Kyoto 37Tokyo 33
EntrepreneurialRenaissance?
Where High Growth Companies areWhere High Growth Companies areBeing Formed TodayBeing Formed Today
Because of the world-famous examples of such companies as Oracle, Cisco, Google, and Salesforce.com, it is widely believed that Silicon Valley creates more high-growth companies than any other region in the world. It may create the biggest and most famous but Tokyo actually produces more.
Number of public companies formed after 1997 which had sales greater than $50M in 2007 and three consecutive years of growth above 50% from 2005-2007.
(source: SunBridge analysis of Bloomberg data)
By Country:China 27US 22Japan 12India 10
By Region:Tokyo 10Silicon Valley 6Shanghai 4
Top Quartile Vintage 2000 VC Funds (IRR)
49.50%
8.45%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
SunBridge
Average Top Quartile
Top Quartile Vintage 2001 VC Funds (IRR)
10.4%
8.1%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Equitek
Average Top Quartile
Top Quartile Vintage 2002 VC Funds (IRR)
24.3%
6.8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
SunBridge 2002
Average Top Quartile
3.9x net to date
1.3x net to date
1.3x net to date
SunBridge Results to dateSunBridge Results to date•Founded 1999 by former Oracle Japan
execs•Team of 150+ VC and Service
Professionals•44 Japanese, 19 US companies in
portfolio•Key Successes:
•High success ratio (7 IPOs to date)•Repeated Japan Market Entry
successes• Industry-leading VC investment
returns•#40 on 2007 Forbes “Midas List”•Reputation for value above and
beyond capital
IT Media
Japan
Top 20 2004 IPOs (US and Japan, by Initial Market Cap., $Ms)
$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000
GoogleSMIC
DreamWorks AnimationCabela's
Salesforce.comEyeTech Pharmaceuticals
Bill Barrett CorpShanda Interactive Entertainment
NetPrice (#1 in Japan)Shicoh Engineering (#2 in Japan)
InPhonicLipman Electronic Engineering
Archipelago HoldingsMCJ (#3 in Japan)
Kanbay InternationalAtheros Communications
Macromill (#4 in Japan)Fujipream (#5 in Japan)
Shopping.comDipping (#6 in Japan)
Top 20 Venture-Backed Acquisitions 2001 to 2005 ($Ms)
$843$805
$775$665
$625$550
$527$525$525
$501$486
$466$450
$421$415
$400$385
$370$355
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000
Skype, 3Q05Antero Resources, 2Q05
Flarion, 3Q05Seisint, 3Q04
Hotwire.com, 4Q03VMWare, 1Q04
VxTel, 1Q01Angiosyn, 2Q05Shopzilla, 2Q05
Lynk Systems, 3Q04Interactive Search, 2Q04
ESP Pharma, 1Q05Catena Networks, 2Q04
Airespace, 1Q05Amber Networks, 3Q01
Viva Inc, 1Q05LightLogic, 2Q01TradeWeb, 2Q04Brightmail, 2Q04
Ocular Networks, 1Q02
Shicoh
How Am I doing on My Goals?How Am I doing on My Goals?
A Dynamic Venture Habitat that borrows best practices from both Silicon Valley and Japan
to influence and improve Japan’s Venture Ecosystem, helping to create
World-class Global Ventures, and
World-class (top-quartile) investment returns
×
Why did I move back to Why did I move back to Silicon Valley?Silicon Valley?
• To help Japanese startups go global• Domestically oriented, IPO-focused
startups– Japanese markets are big enough to support creation of substantial domestic businesses
–Excessive focus on IPO as a goal and pressure to go public too quickly
–Public market expectations preclude investment in rapid growth
–Result: higher probability of smaller successes
• Lack of recent globalization success stories–Most Japanese VCs and entrepreneurs lack the skills and network to create global companies
–Most common causes of failure – Wrong leader, underinvestment.
Why I Chose to Locate in Plug & Play ?Why I Chose to Locate in Plug & Play ?
• The most active, dynamic hub for startup activity and related industry interaction in Silicon Valley.
• Continuous flow of local and international visitors that provides high-value networking opportunities
• Enough capacity to host multiple Japanese market entrants
More Japanese companies in Silicon More Japanese companies in Silicon Valley than from any other countryValley than from any other country
Change BringsChange BringsOpportunity Opportunity (For Osaka)(For Osaka)
Footnote:Footnote:
Industry Focus of Silicon ValleyIndustry Focus of Silicon Valley
Through the 1950s, Silicon Valley was the 10th largest AGRICUTURAL region in the US.
Industry Focus of Silicon ValleyIndustry Focus of Silicon Valley
Today, employment is concentrated (about 30%) in IT and Venture services
Silicon Valley – Now attempting to lead Silicon Valley – Now attempting to lead the Next Big Thing – “Cleantech”the Next Big Thing – “Cleantech”
Battling for Global Battling for Global CleanTech leadershipCleanTech leadership
Shouldn’t this industry be emerging in the greater Osaka area instead?•Tradition of energy efficiency
•Leadership in•Photovoltaics
•Batteries•LED lighting•Advanced Materials, etc.
More Japanese companies in Silicon More Japanese companies in Silicon Valley than from any other countryValley than from any other country