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www.cranfield.ac.uk Water Footprint of FF&V Innovating global fruit and vegetable food systems to help bring sustainable nutrition security Tim Hess 31 July 2018

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Page 1: 0731 0920 Water footprint of FF&V - agci.org · Water&Footprint&of& FF&V Innovatingglobalfruit&andvegetablefood& systemsto&help&bring&sustainable nutritionsecurity Tim0Hess 310July2018

www.cranfield.ac.uk

Water  Footprint  of  FF&V

Innovating  global  fruit  and  vegetable  food  systems  to  help  bring  sustainable  nutrition  security

Tim  Hess31  July  2018

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Large  quantities  of  water  are  required  to  grow  fruit  &  vegetables

240  litres  of  water

600g  of  tangerinesfrom  S  Africa

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©  Cranfield University3

Blue  and  Green  Water

• Water  used  at  the  point  where  rain  falls– rainfed agriculture

Green  Water

• Water  abstracted  from  rivers,  lakes  and  groundwater  – irrigated  agriculture

Blue  Water

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©  Cranfield University4

Large  quantities  of  water  are  required  to  grow  fruit  &  vegetables

240  litres  of  water

100  litres140  litres

600g  of  tangerinesfrom  S  Africa

(Plus   relatively  small  amounts  associated  with  inputs,  processing,   retail  and  consumption)

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©  Cranfield University5

Blue  &  Green  Water

• Green  water,  by  definition,  can  only  be  used  in  the  place  where  the  rain  falls  and  is  therefore  tied  to  land• Blue  water  is  a  shared  resource  with  a  high  opportunity  cost• Large  volumes  of  blue  water  are  used  to  irrigate  FF&V• Irrigation  is  a  consumptive  water  use• Using  blue  water  to  irrigate  FF&V  contributes  to  local  water  scarcity

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©  Cranfield University6

Water  Scarcity  Footprint  (WSF)

• An  indicator  of  the  potential  impact  of  an  activity  on  blue  water  scarcity

• Depends  on• Mass  of  product  produced  in  a  given  location  (kg)• Volume  of  blue  water  required  to  produce  product  (l/kg)• Vulnerability  of  the  water  source

𝑊𝑆𝐹$,& = 𝑀$,&𝑥𝑊$,&𝑥𝐶𝐹&

M  =  Mass  of  product  i grown  in  location  j (t)  W  =  Water  consumption  of  product  i grown  in  location  j (m3/t)  CF  =  Characterisation  factor  for  location  j (-­)

After  ISO14046

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©  Cranfield University7

Potential  impact  of  FF&V  supply  on  other  water  users  /  uses

What  does  WSF  tell  us?

15  Sept  2010

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©  Cranfield University8

Exposure  to  drought  /  water  scarcity  risk

• Identify  hotspots  where  water  risks  are  greatest• Engage  with  value  chain  to  mitigate  risk• Policy  changes  to  influence  diet  (?)

What  does  this  tell  us?

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©  Cranfield University9

www.cranfield.ac.uk

The  WSF  of  the  UK’s  supply  of  FF&V

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©  Cranfield University10

My  trip  to  the  supermarket  …

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©  Cranfield University11

Where  does  UK’s  FF&V† come  from?

Country %  by  massUK 34%Spain   18%Netherlands   8%Costa  Rica   4%South  Africa   4%Colombia   3%France   3%Dominican  Rep   3%Germany   2%Ecuador   2%†  excluding  potatoes.  97%  of  potatoes  are  domestically  grown.

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©  Cranfield University12

Where  does  the  water come  from?

• Growing  FF&V† for  the  UK  consumes  510  mil  m3/year  of  freshwater• 21  litres/person/day

Peru(34

Chile(5%)

Morocco(4%)

Spain  (30%)

Egypt  (6%)

S  Africa  (16%)

Israel(2%)

UK(13%)

†  excluding  potatoes

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©  Cranfield University13

Where  does  the  footprint fall?

Peru(2%)

Chile(8%)

Morocco(6%)

Spain  (46%)

Egypt  (12%)

S  Africa  (12%)

Israel(4%)

†  excluding  potatoes

UK(3%)

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©  Cranfield University14

Blue  water  scarcity  footprint  

Region Fruit Vegetables Potatoes Total

Europe 30% 17% 1% 48%

Africa 27% 3% 2% 32%

Americas 10% 1% 0% 10%

Asia 5% 1% 2% 8%

UK 0% 1% 2% 3%

Total 72% 22% 6% 100%

Relative  blue  water  scarcity  footprint  of   fresh  fruit  and  vegetable  supply   to  the  UK(2011  – 2015)  by  region   (Hess  &  Sutcliffe,  2018)

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©  Cranfield University15

WSF  is  increasing

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©  Cranfield University16

www.cranfield.ac.uk

Trends  in  WSF  of  fruit  supplied  to  the  UK

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©  Cranfield University17

Increased  fruit  supply per  capita  (1996  – 2015)

20  kg/person/year

35  kg/person/year

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©  Cranfield University18

What  fruit  we  eat  and  where  it  comes  from

Large  increase  in  ‘exotics’

Small  increase  in  ‘traditional’   fruit

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©  Cranfield University19

Change  in  what  fruit  we  eat  (kg/year)

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©  Cranfield University20

Impact  of  what  fruit  we  eat  (WSF)

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©  Cranfield University21

Impact  of  where  it  comes  from  (WSF)

This  Photo by  Unknown  Author  is  licensed  under  CC  BY-­‐SA

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©  Cranfield University22

WSF  per  capita

Water  consumption   and  WSF  are  increasing  faster  than  supply

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©  Cranfield University23

www.cranfield.ac.uk

Future  changes?

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©  Cranfield University24

FF&V  as  part  of  a  healthy  diet

• A  range  of  “healthier”  UK  diet  scenarios  tested  (assuming  same  F&F  mix  and  sourcing)• Small  increase  in  total  diet  WSF• Significant  increases  on  off-­shore  WSF

Increased  FF&V  consumption

©  Dan  Hess

Hess  et  al.  (2015)

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©  Cranfield University25

Changing  preference

This  Photo by  Unknown  Author  is  licensed  under  CC  BY-­‐SA

WSF  of  avocado  supply   to  the  UK

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©  Cranfield University26

Changing  global  climate

Jiménez  Cisneros  et  al.  (2014)  IPCC  Fifth  Assessment  Report

Chile(5%)

Morocco(4%)

S  Africa  (16%)

Spain  (30%)

Israel(2%)

Projected  change  in  mean  annual  streamflow  (2°C)

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©  Cranfield University27

Conclusions

• Growing  fruit  &  vegetables  (F&V)  consumes  large  volumes  of  freshwater• F&V  are  often  grown  in  water  scarce  locations• F&V  has  a  high,  and  growing,  water  scarcity  footprint  (WSF)• Global  trade  in  F&V  has  the  potential  to  exacerbate  water  scarcity  in  distant  locations.  Are  we  • ‘Out-­sourcing’  our  environmental  impacts?• ‘Importing  food  &  exporting  drought’?

• In  the  UK,  increasing  consumption  of  F&V,  especially  exotic  fruits  is  increasing  the  country’s  WSF• Projected  dietary  and  climate  changes  will   intensify  water  risks  and  offshore  environmental  impacts  of  F&V  production

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©  Cranfield University28

Acknowledgement

This  work  is  funded  through  the  Global  Food  Security’s  ‘Resilience  of  the  UK  Food  System  Programme’,  with  support  from  BBSRC,  ESRC,  NERC  and  Scottish  Government

Hess,  T.M.  and  Sutcliffe,  C.  (in  press)  The  exposure  of  a  fresh  fruit  and  vegetable  supply  chain  to  global  water-­‐related  risks.  Water  International.Hess,  T.M.,  Andersson,  U.,  Mena,  C.  and  Williams,  A.  (2015)  The  impact  of  healthier  dietary  scenarios  on  the  global  blue  water  scarcity  footprint  of  food  consumption  in  the  UK.  Food  Policy,  50:  1-­‐10.