© global forecasting solutions ltd 2014, all rights reserved products & services offering

© Global Forecasting Solutions Ltd 2014, All rights reserved

Products & Services offering


Global Forecasting Solutions offers premium and specialized

forecasting solutions in different areas covering the economy,

business, technology, innovation, social media, population dynamics,

and virtually any growth process.

These solutions are targeted at improving your visibility of the future aiming to find a better, more

efficient, and simpler way to forecast trends, build possible scenarios, and optimize resources.

Activities


Our approach

We use mainstream

forecasting techniques

…and our own, published

forecasting framework,

the IS model

S-curve Bell-curve Kondratiev waves


A glimpse of our offering

Early predictability of the Global economic crisis

An analysis about the Future of Europe

Early predictability of The Rise of China and the Asian economies

What makes our world and the economy tick

Forecast of LinkedIn users’ base


Our proven record

Our approach has been proved right in several forecasting cases:

Early predictability of the Global economic crisis

A Forecast of the global economy: 2006-2030

Forecast of LinkedIn users’ base

Global warming: forecast of the rise of CO2 levels and Temperature increase


Our forecasting communityThe Forecasting Net

One of the most active LinkedIn groups

about forecasting and future trends

More than 1,200 international members

with high caliber profiles, including

professors, directors, researchers, and

professionals from every discipline and

industry

Follow us on LinkedIn: Forecasting Net group Like us on Facebook: Forecasting Net page


Our international presence


Products & Services portfolio The “TSO” services offering

• Trends: Forecasting emerging trends

• Scenarios: Modeling and future scenario planning for varying structural assumptions and inputs

• Optimization: best use of systems and resources for optimum results

Vertical markets projects

Products offering

• The Forecasting Tool: an easy to use, excel-based forecasting application utilizing

the s-curve forecasting model


Indicative offerings Business

• Customers installed base evolution

• New and lost customers modeling

• Company revenue forecasting

• Product sales value and quantity forecasting

• Product ageing

• Best time to launch new product or service

• Competition and market share analysis

• New technology adoption

Vertical markets special reports

• ICT sector

• Energy

• Social media

• Transportation

• Financial services

• Food industry

• Construction

• Hospitality

• Healthcare

• Retail / wholesale

• Clothing industry

• Not for profit organizations

• Public sector & local government

Macro economy

• Global economic outlook - long and short term trends

• Economic modeling for countries and regions

• Population dynamics


Physical model interpretationModel's inputs, outputs, and parameters have a physical significance within the confines of the actual system at hand and can be checked for consistency

Forecasting approachWhat aspects of the system a forecaster takes into consideration

System specific dynamicsMathematical modelling

Mathematical modelling System specific dynamics

AD

VAN

CED

AD

VAN

CED

Trend change alertUpfront alert of a major trend change Multi-population forecastingSimultaneous forecasting for many interacting populations (e.g. market shares between competitors) Scenario planningBuilding scenarios for the future based on varying assumptions OptimizationBest use of systems and resources for optimum results Control variablesSystem variables you can use to control the output of the system (e.g. use marketing spending as a control variable to ascertain sales impact)

Physical model interpretationModel's inputs, outputs, and parameters have a physical significance within the confines of the actual system at hand and can be checked for consistency

BASI

CA

DVA

NCE

DBA

SICA

DVA

NCED

Our’s vs. other forecasting methods

* Trends Scenarios Optimization (TSO) method based on the Interaction Systems (IS) and other proven forecasting models. Sophisticated measure of forecasting uncertainty based on prediction intervals depending on the forecast time horizon i.e. how far ahead we want to look into the future

** Standard time series analysis based on commonly used methods such as ARIMA, ARMA, exponential smoothing, linear regression, moving average, naïve method, drift method, etc. Measure of forecasting uncertainty based on standard error indices such as MAD, RMSE, MAPE etc.

*** Naked eye forecasting based on experience and unaided observation

FeatureOur

methodology*Standard

forecasting methods**"Naked eye"

approach***

Basic qualitative insightsVaguely ascertain general trend direction Quantified trend forecastingNumerical forecasts with measured uncertainty Standard measure of forecasting accuracyMeasure of forecasting uncertainty based on standard error indices such as MAD, RMSE, MAPE etc. Advanced measure for forecasting accuracy: prediction intervalsSophisticated measure of forecasting uncertainty based on prediction intervals depending on the forecast time horizoni.e. how far ahead we want to look into the future

Trend change alertUpfront alert of a major trend change

BASI

C BASIC


www.globalforecastingsolutions.com

www.forecastingnet.com

20-22 Wenlock RoadLondon N1 7GUUnited Kingdom Tel: 0044-2076085679

[email protected]