© BP 2005

Energy and Sustainability on Planet Earth

by

Mark Hope

Special Advisor, Shell Exploration and Production

Chairman, Woodend Arts Association

An inhabitant of Planet Earth

Y

© BP 2005

I am indebted to many different sources for the

material in this presentation

BUT

all views expressed are mine alone

Disclaimer No.1Y

© BP 2005

“He who knows does not speak

He who speaks does not know”

Lao Tzu ca. 550 bce

Disclaimer No. 2Y

Energy and Sustainability on Planet Earth

Where are we?

- present supply & consumption

- renewables & drivers for change

- IPCC reports

What needs to be different?

- mindset

- behaviours

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Oil section

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Proved oil reserves at end 2005

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Distribution of proved (oil) reserves 1985, 1995, 2005

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Oil reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios

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Oil consumption by area

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Oil consumption per capita

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Major oil trade movements

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Crude oil prices since 1861

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Gas section

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Proved natural gas reserves at end 2005

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Distribution of proved (natural gas) reserves 1985, 1995, 2005

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Natural gas reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios

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Natural gas consumption by area

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Natural gas consumption per capita

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Coal section

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Proved coal reserves at end 2005

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Coal production - Coal consumption

A fossil fuel summary:

There is no immediate threat of running out, but new supplies generally:

- take massive investments, years in advance,

- are often in unstable, inaccessible and/or environmentally sensitive places, remote from markets,

- are increasingly energy-intensive to produce, and

- generate CO2 . . .

A fossil fuel summary:

There is no immediate threat of running out, but new supplies generally:

- take massive investments, years in advance,

- are often in unstable, inaccessible and/or environmentally sensitive places, remote from markets,

- are increasingly energy-intensive to produce, and

- generate CO2 . . .

HOWEVER, we are seriously hooked on them

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Nuclear energy section

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Nuclear energy consumption by area

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Hydroelectricity section

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Hydroelectricity consumption by area

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Primary energy section

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World primary energy consumption

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Regional primary energy consumption pattern 2005

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Fossil fuel reserves-to-production (R/P) ratios at end 2005

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The stone age did not end because of a

lack of stones . . .

But remember . . . Y