yemen: cholera outbreak weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 highlights • during week...

8
1 Highlights During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths were reported in Yemen. Since the beginning of this outbreak second wave (from 27 April to 2 July 2017), 262,650 suspected cholera cases, and 1 587 deaths (CFR: 0.6%) have been reported in 21 of the country 23 governorates (91%), and in 86% of the districts (287/333). For the first time since the beginning of the outbreak second wave, two cases were reported in Mukkala governorate, and tested positive with rapid diagnostic tests. The apparent overall decline of suspected cases reported in the last weekly bulletin was not confirmed, and the apparent decline in the curve shown figure 1 should be interpreted with caution 1 . But a decline seems to have started since week 25 in the two most affected governorates, Amanat Al Asimah and Al Hudaydah. 1 Given the huge number of back log cases reported every day YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin Week 26 - 2017

Upload: others

Post on 31-Mar-2020

4 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

1

Highlights

• Duringweek26(from25Juneto1July2017),43282suspectedcholeracasesand147deathswerereportedinYemen.

• Sincethebeginningofthisoutbreaksecondwave(from27Aprilto2July2017),262,650suspectedcholeracases,and1587deaths(CFR:0.6%)havebeenreportedin21ofthecountry23governorates(91%),andin86%ofthedistricts(287/333).

• Forthefirsttimesincethebeginningoftheoutbreaksecondwave,twocaseswerereportedinMukkalagovernorate,andtestedpositivewithrapiddiagnostictests.

• Theapparentoveralldeclineofsuspectedcasesreportedinthelastweeklybulletinwasnotconfirmed,andtheapparentdeclineinthecurveshownfigure1shouldbeinterpretedwithcaution1.Butadeclineseemstohavestartedsinceweek25inthetwomostaffectedgovernorates,AmanatAlAsimahandAlHudaydah.

1Giventhehugenumberofbacklogcasesreportedeveryday

YEMEN:choleraoutbreakWeeklyepidemiologybulletinWeek26-2017

Page 2: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

2

GeographicaldistributionofcasesThefourmostaffectedgovernorateswereAmanatAlAsimah,AlHudaydah,HajjahandAmranwith48.4%(127023/262650)ofthecasesreportedsince27April2017.Amrangovernoratehadthehighestattackrate(18.3‰),followedbyAlMahwitgovernorate(17.4‰)(seetable1andfigure2).Table1:Numberofcholeracasesandattackratebygovernorate,Yemen,27April–2July2017

Governorate Cases AttackRate(‰)AmanatAlAsimah 37981 11.5Al-Hudaydah 31889 9.5Hajjah 29095 13.1Amran 28058 18.3Sana'a 21157 16.9Ibb 19993 6.5Taizz 19079 6.3Dhamar 15443 7.3AlMahwit 13228 17.4AlDhale'e 12360 16.4AlBayda 8067 10.5Aden 7939 8.3Abyan 5976 9.8Raymah 4937 7.8Lahj 3597 3.4Al_Jawf 1933 3.0Ma'areb 1048 2.9Sa'ada 415 0.5ALMahrah 293 1.8Shabwah 160 0.2Moklla 2 0.0Total 262650 8.9Since27June2,29587suspectedcasesand103deathsofcholerawerereportedin20governoratesand259districts(seetable2).ThehighestnumbersofcaseswerereportedinAlHudaydahandAmrangovernorates,andinthedistrictsofAlHali(AlHudaydahgov.,928cases,2deaths),Kanfir(Abyangov.,796cases,1death)andUtmah(Dhamargov.,614cases,1death).2Previousweeklyepibulletinwasreleasedon26June

Page 3: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

3

Table2:Numberofcholeracasesanddeathsbygovernorate,Yemen,27June–2July2017

Governorate Cases DeathsAl-Hudaydah 3208 19Amran 2964 2Dhamar 2954 12Ibb 2702 20Sana'a 2434 4AlDhale'e 2254 5Taizz 2230 13AmanatAlAsimah 1983 -AlMahwit 1766 4Abyan 1505 3Hajjah 1305 9Aden 1097 -AlBayda 867 1Raymah 779 8Lahj 504 2Al_Jawf 495 1Ma'areb 316 -Sa'ada 91 -ALMahrah 79 -Shabwah 54 -Total 29587 103

Page 4: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

4

Thismapshowsthesuspectedcholeraattackrate(‰)perdistrict

Since27April86,2%ofalldistricts(287/333)havebeenaffected.Figure3showsthe45mostaffecteddistrictswhere52.9%(137941/260520)3ofthecaseshavebeenreported.ThehighestnumberofcaseswerereportedinAlHali(AlHudaydahgov.,11518cases,21deaths),BaniAlHarith(AmanatAlAsimahgov.,7464cases,10deaths)andMa’ain(AmanatAlAsimahgov.,7330cases,7deaths).ZulaymatHabur(Amrangov.)andAlHali(AlHudaydahgov.)hadthehighestattackrates(respectively50.3‰and45.7‰).

32130missingvalues

Page 5: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

5

Figure4:Epidemiccurvesofmostaffectedgovernoratesanddistricts,Yemen,27April–2July2017

4

4Hajjahgovernorateanddistrictcurvesshouldbeinterpretedwithcautionsincethereareusuallyreportinglate

Page 6: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

6

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

Case

Week

Numberofsuspectedcholeracases,governorateofSana'a,Yemen,2017

Page 7: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

7

Casefatalityratio,andageandsexdistributionTable3:Numberofcholeracasesandcasefatalityratio(CFR),Yemen,27April–2July2017

Governorate Numberofcases

Proportionofcases(%)

Numberofdeaths CFR(%)

AmanatAlAsimah 37981 14.5 53 0.1Al-Hudaydah 31889 12.1 184 0.6Hajjah 29095 11.1 288 1.0Amran 28058 10.7 144 0.5Sana'a 21157 8.1 103 0.5Ibb 19993 7.6 216 1.1Taizz 19079 7.3 134 0.7Dhamar 15443 5.9 109 0.7AlMahwit 13228 5.0 101 0.8AlDhale'e 12360 4.7 57 0.5AlBayda 8067 3.1 21 0.3Aden 7939 3.0 46 0.6Abyan 5976 2.3 25 0.4Raymah 4937 1.9 73 1.5Lahj 3597 1.4 16 0.4Al_Jawf 1933 0.7 11 0.6Ma'areb 1048 0.4 4 0.4Sa'ada 415 0.2 1 0.2ALMahrah 293 0.1 1 0.3Shabwah 160 0.1 - -Moklla 2 0.0 - -Total 262650 100.0 1587 0.6From27Aprilto2July,theoverallcasefatalityratio(CFR)was0.6%(1587/262650).ThehighestCFRwerestillreportedinRaymahandIbbgovernorates,respectively1.5%and1.1%,(seetable3andfigure5).

Since27June,theoverallCFRwas0.3%(103/29587)andwasthehighestinRaymahgovernorate(1.0%,8/779)(seefigure6).

Page 8: YEMEN: cholera outbreak Weekly epidemiology bulletin · 2017-07-10 · 1 Highlights • During week 26 (from 25 June to 1 July 2017), 43 282 suspected cholera cases and 147 deaths

8

Themale/femalesexratiowas0.9.Thehighestproportionofcaseswasstillseeninthe15-29yearagegroup(i.e.28.1%).Patientsagedunder18yearsoldwere46.7%ofthetotal.Peopleover60yearsoldweremoreatriskofdying(CFR:2.9%),followedbycasesinthe45-60yearagegroup(CFR:1.1%)(seetable4).CFRwasslightlyhigherinmalethaninfemalecases(respectively0.7%and0.6%).Table4:Distributionofcholeracasesanddeathsbyage,Yemen,27April–2July2017

Age(y.o.) Cases Deaths

Male Female Total* %ofcases Male Female Total** CFR(%)

<5 25858 21739 47597 18.2 142 104 246 0.55-14 31027 28129 59156 22.7 119 118 237 0.415-29 30199 43027 73226 28.1 59 87 146 0.230-44 17712 25299 43011 16.5 94 119 213 0.545-60 8807 11922 20729 7.9 121 108 229 1.1>60 7987 9282 17269 6.6 258 244 502 2.9Total 121590139398260988 100.0 793 780 1573 0.6*1662missingvalues **14missingvalues Forfurtherinformation:DrXavierdeRadiguèsC:[email protected]:Thisbulletinisnowreleasedonceaweek.Ashorterupdateisproposeddaily.YoucanfindthemonEMROwebsite.