yellow dots are nodes in the network
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Gathering Global Awareness Are we seeing a Consciousness Field?. Yellow dots are nodes in the network. http://noosphere.princeton.edu Roger Nelson [email protected]. The EGG Project (aka the Global Consciousness Project). International collaboration 75 Scientists, Artists, Friends, … - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Yellow dots are nodes in the network
http://noosphere.princeton.eduRoger Nelson [email protected]
Gathering Global AwarenessAre we seeing a Consciousness Field?
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The EGG Project(aka the Global Consciousness
Project)
International collaboration75 Scientists, Artists, Friends, …Network of host sites world wide
The tools: REG technology, Field applicationMake an EEG for the earth, an ElectroGaiaGramIdentify engaging moments of global events
The question: Can we capture a Glimmering of Global Consciousness?
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When you put a thing in order, and give it a name, and you are all in accord, it becomes.
- - From the Navajo, Masked Gods, Waters, 1950
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The technology is only now availableElectronics, Computers, Networking
REG/RNG devices run continuously
Synchronized computers and software
Internet transfer of data to central server
Automatic archiving, public access
Formal analyses and explorations
Background, methods, poetic history
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A Random Event Generator (REG or RNG)
Mindsong REG
Orion RNG
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How it works: Here’s 1000 Trials Each trial is the sum of 200 bits
Like flipping 200 coins and counting heads
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The binomial distribution of 1000 200-bit trials, compared with
Theoretical normal distribution
100 is expected
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What happens in such data over time?Plot cumulative deviation from expectation
A General Case GCP Standard Analysis
Should be a Random Walk (a “Drunkard’s Walk”)
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Laboratory Experiments, PEAR:Intention to change the REG behavior
High and Low both depart from expectation
HI
LO
BL
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Field REG Experiments: No Intentions We simply collect data in the situationWe find departures from expectation
Queens Chamber
GrandGallery
KingsChamber
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Departures from expectation correlate with Coherent or Resonant group consciousness
Deeply engaging ideas and emotions
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The next step: A prototype collaborationColleagues in Europe and the US
Collected 12 independent data streams
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How About a Global Network?Might we see Effects of Engaging Events?
Natural disastersTerrible accidents
The beginning of warThe Pope’s pilgrimage
Grand celebrations Political excitement
Astrological hot spotsWorld-wide meditations
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A network of “eggs” around the world: A computer, special software, an REG/RNG
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Internet transfer of data to Princeton Here we see the combined dataFor a whole day, from 48 eggs
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We can see better what’s happening by Plotting the cumulative deviations ( df)
Correlation Tilts … Variance Spreads
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Combine all eggs and plot cumulative deviation May show a trend if there is a common Influence or correlation among the eggs
( df)
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When we make a composite across eggs, the cumulative deviation may show a trend
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Maybe a trend in the cumulative Deviation is Meaningful?
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So far, sporting events seem Not to produce big deviations
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The Pope’s 6-day pilgrimage to the middle eastAn occasion of hope for resolution of differences
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Political events, even big ones, are not necessarily of interest to the EGG
Clinton Impeachment Acquittal
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We’ll try anything once. Significant correlations with astrologically determined “hot” times
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Tearing the Social Fabric
Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats
Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing
Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure
September 11 Enters History of the Earth
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Major disasters that engage us powerfullyOften correlate with big deviations
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Context explorations: Six hours of dataAround the beginning of bombing in Kosovo
Cumulative deviation of Zs2 or 2
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The Buddhas of Bamiyan
Before March 12 2001
After
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The destruction of a world treasureApproximate time, noon in Afghanistan
noon
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The World Trade Center
Fall, 2001
Carol M. Highsmith Al Dove
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The World Trade Center
September 11 2001
Tamara Beckwith
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The destruction of the World Trade TowersSept 11 2001
A 50-hour trend followed the attacks
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Sept 11 prediction: Inter-egg Variance will fluctuate
Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom
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Autocorrelation on Sept 11Structure where there should be none
Calculations: Peter Bancel
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What is there to say?
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Repairing, Restoring The Social Fabric
HealingMeditationsPrayer VigilsCeremonies
Holidays
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Chicago, Moment of Silence September 14 2001
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Three Minutes of Silence September 14 2001
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Focused Siddhi Meditations September 23 to 27, 2001
Peak Day, Maximum Numbers
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Synchronized Johrei Ceremonies Around the World, April 1 2001
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Four Million People Pilgrimage For Ritual and Prayer
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A Substantial Agreement on Getting Our Ecological Act Together
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Natural DisastersAnd Accidents
Earthquakes, FloodsPlanes, Trains, Ships
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The Great Earthquake in Turkey August 17 1999
Variance Analysis, Bierman
Standard Analysis
US vs Europe, Bierman
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Volcano in Nairobi January 17 2002
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Typhoon in Orissa, India October 29 1999
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The Concorde Crash July 25 2000
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The Kursk Submarine Disaster August 12 2000
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Train Crash in India August 2 2001
All Eggs, 4 hrs
Nearby Eggs, 1.5 hrs
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The Lighter Side
Celebrations: What better example than
New Years?
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Global Attention: Sharing New Year’s Eve
All over the world, people celebrate the change to a New Year. Since 1998, we have recorded data from a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”). Here we look at what happens at midnight around the world.
The scientific prediction is that there will be a pattern of increased correlation among the eggs. We test for trends away from the expected “random walk”. We have learned to expect reductions in the variation across the eggs.
The figures on this page almost speak for themselves. They are pictures of our engagement with each other.
Variance Drop, Midnight, 1999-2000
In the first year, 1998-1999, we looked for a change in the average deviation, and compared Maxi- and Mini-celebration time zones.
Then, for the infamous Y2K transition, we looked at a measure of the variability among the eggs and predicted it would decrease as we all focused on midnight.
We predicted the same pattern for the following year.
And again for last year. The pattern is replicated for the third time.
More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu
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An obvious prediction: New Years celebrations Concatenation across all (24) time zonesCumulative excess deviation of means
Weak Replication
Model Prediction
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Taking the Electrogaiagram metaphor to heartMaxi-celebrating time zones, Signal averaging
Figure by Richard Broughton
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Evoked Response in the Electrogaiagram:Signal averaging: Mini-Celebrating time zones
Figure by Richard Broughton
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Y2K New Year 1999-2000: Coherent engagement? Radin makes an independent prediction
Reduction of Variance across eggs
Odds, GMT
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New Years 2000-2001: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized, Squared, Smoothed
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New Years 2001-2002: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized as Z-scores, Smoothed
5-Min Smoothing Window
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New Years 2002-2003: Variance ReductionShows ambiguous response,
But Meanshift is significant again
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Questions outnumber answersGreat numbers contribute
Deep engagement is powerfulbut
Does distance from the focus matter?How about relevance to local people?Is human consciousness necessary?
Are “experimenter effects” the source? What kinds of events are “strongest”?Is the effect repeatable and reliable?
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Columbia Explodes: Seven astronauts lost But the eggs apparently do not respond
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Why do we sometimes see no effect?
Perhaps we do, But not in the form we expect
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The Columbia Explosion:Viewing through a different instrument
Note, however, about 1/3 of permutationsHave such an extreme deviation sometime in 24 hours
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Categories: What seems to touch The Global Consciousness?
Calculations, Dean Radin
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Does the distance of the eggsFrom the event make a difference?
September 11 2001Effect Size as a function of Distance
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
NorthAmerica
SouthAmerica
Europe Australia Asia
Increasing Distance
Z-s
core
Calculations, Dean Radin
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Does the distance of the eggsFrom the event make a difference?
Effect vs Dist, Stouffer Z, Full Day, Sept 11
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
USEastern
US Middle
USWestern
England,Scandin
WesternEurope
Israel,India,Brazil
Africa,Austral,
New ZealIncreasing Distance from NYC
Effe
ct S
ize
(r)
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Current Result: Formal Database132 global events over 4.5 years
Odds: about 100,000 to 1
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What do we have in hand?Where do we want to go with it?
Four years of data
55 eggs around the world
More than 130 formal studies
About 65% positive outcome
About 18% individually significant
Many analyses remain to be done
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Bigger Picture: What is our aspiration?
Sharpen and focus our questions
Aim for theoretical understanding
Capture insight about creative mindConsider evidence that we are one
Contribute to better future for culture
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We think the world apart. What would it be like to think the world together?
-- Parker Palmer, educator
http://noosphere.princeton.edu
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Homepage
StatusDay Sum ResultsExtract
Magic Buttons
Primary Links Menu at Bottom
http://noosphere.princeton.edu
Berger: Web Design
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Barry Fenn 1950 – 2000
A memorial assessmentof GCP data
Perhaps the eggs
Respond to their hosts
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A respectful, exploratory look at the death of egg host Barry Fenn
All 28 eggs
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Same time period, Barry’s egg only.After he passes, a 20 hour falling trend
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Symmetry in the data, maybe even meaning: Barry’s egg and that of his friend, Sze Tan
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A total solar eclipse was of Special interest to people in the path
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For most of the formal predictionsWe specify a “Standard Analysis”
Normalized signed deviation of mean, zi = (mi-)/ Composite across eggs: Stouffer Zs = (zi)/N1/2
Composite Z is squared for 2 distributed statistic
Large cumulative sum of Zs2 – 1 or 2 – df
Reflects inter-egg correlation, or Consistent large deviations, or both
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Global Emotion: Transfixed by Tragedy
On September 11 2001, early in the morning, a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”) took on a striking trend. By 8:45 the non-random behavior was unmistakable. It peaked at about 10:30 with odds against chance of a thousand to one. See the red trace below.
Other measures also deviated from expectation on that day, creating an unmistakable pattern where there should be none. The eggs became linked across distance and time in some subtle way that we do not yet know how to explain.
This is not a physical or electromagnetic effect. It’s not due to extraordinary mobile phone use, or saturation TV.It appears to be related to our profound engagement.
On 9/11 deviations began that persisted for 2 days
On 9/11 the data showed extraordinary moments
On 9/11 the data contained unique sequential structure
The jagged red line shows three days of a measure (squared cumulative deviation of variance) that represents the composite randomness of 37 eggs.
On September 11, the data show clear structure where there should be none.
am
am
am
More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu
…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…….…………………. Normal range of variation
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Squared Cumulative Variance, Sept 10 - 12The departure begins nearly 4 hours before the first attack
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Bottom Line Comparison:Formal outcome sequence versus Random draws from distribution