www.transman.hu cost 355 – wg3 meeting the household survey of budapest and its surroundings...

www.transman.hu

COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting

The household survey of The household survey of Budapest and its surroundingsBudapest and its surroundings

TRANSMANTRANSMANConsulting for Transport System ManagementConsulting for Transport System Management1051 Budapest Hercegprímás u. 10.Tel.: +36-1-353-1484 Fax: +36-1-311-0265E-mail: [email protected]: http://www.transman.hu

Zsolt Berki

The theoretical background and technology of the household survey

www.transman.hu 2Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN


ObjectivesObjectives Investigation of modal-split

characteristics to support transport policy of Budapest and strategy of BKV

Harmonisation of supply based on the measured flows within network planning

Brush up marketing by collecting the opinions/judgments on public transport services

Calibration of performance factors (average number of boardings, average trip length, etc.) used to calculate the number of passengers and passenger performances by ticket type



Determination of the key drivers of Determination of the key drivers of mode choicemode choice



Theoretical diagram of mode choice Theoretical diagram of mode choice decision making processdecision making process

?

T S

T

K T S

K T S

…

…

…

…

T => Time

K => Cost

S => Service



Survey Survey ‘book’ outline‘book’ outline



Survey sheet of private hoSurvey sheet of private homemess

semi-proper address number of inhabitants home type conveniences income category available transport means



Survey sheet of vehiclesSurvey sheet of vehicles

category age parking place ownership usage frequency engine size (ccm) fuel type



Survey sheet of personsSurvey sheet of persons

SM

1..s HT/SA

1/SMa

sex age activity educational level driving licence pass holding legitimacy of

concessionary fee employers’ subsidy Internet, car usage



Survey sheet of tripsSurvey sheet of trips

UT

0..u/SM

from to trip purpose departure time mode of travel detailed questions

for trip legs depending on mode choice



Trip definitionTrip definition



Trip definitionTrip definition - 2 - 2



Trip definitionTrip definition - 3 - 3



Survey sheet of tripsSurvey sheet of trips

UT

0..u/SM

from to trip purpose departure time mode of travel detailed questions

for trip legs depending on mode choice



Judgments and decision Judgments and decision making factorsmaking factors

judgment of burdens caused by city-life mode choice satisfaction with BKV alternative operators (MÁV and VOLÁN) judgment of fare dodgers at car users:

Why?In which case would you choose other means

of transport?Would you mind to use P+R facilities?

DS

1/SM



465 communal home

43858 tenants (HCSO, 2001)

disproportionate area distribution

concentrated, partly homogeneous transport demand

decisive local role

Distribution of communal Distribution of communal homes in Budapesthomes in Budapest

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Development of the market Development of the market research software (CAPI)research software (CAPI)

More accurate No need for coding, recording and

the extra costs caused by them (time, personal, mistakes) can be avoided

Cheaper, ~ 20% less Homogeneous computer farm More details and better quality More efficient post processing

capabilities Developer: CData (T-SYSTEMS) under

supervision of TRANSMAN



Program characteristicsProgram characteristics RDBMS

(Ms Access) Digital map based Internalization of PT

services (encoding) System design based

on the survey book



Sample sizeSample size Statistical analysis/tests on sample size (1%,

2%, 4%, 8%), confidence levels and probable deviation

Confidence level (90% and 95%) The deviation is

pretty low on trip rates, 1% sample size – less 2% deviationpretty high deviation on interzonal trafficincluding mode choice the deviation is higher

than 120%. Therefore appropriate processing and usage

of the data is at least so important as the sample size



Age of challengesAge of challenges

Commercialization of BKV Methodology of model building Survey technique



Thanks for your attention!

www.transman.hu cost 355 – wg3 meeting the household survey of budapest and its surroundings...

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