world energy consumption, 1970-2020
DESCRIPTION
World Energy Consumption, 1970-2020. Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999. World Gross Domestic Product by Region, 1970-2020. Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999. World Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2020. Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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284309
344366
403454
504555
612
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
World Energy Consumption, 1970-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
10
20
30
40
Industrialized
Developing
EE/FSU
History Projections
World Gross Domestic Product by Region, 1970-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
50
100
150
200
250
300
Industrialized
Developing
EE/FSU
History Projections
World Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
50
100
150
200
250
Oil
Natural Gas
Coal
Renewables
Nuclear
History Projections
World Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
2.4
2.8 3.0
3.5
3.9
0.8
1.3
0.8 0.9 1.0
0.7
1.6
2.2
3.5
4.9
1970 1990 1996 2010 20200.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0Industrialized EE/FSU Developing
World Carbon Emissions by Region, 1970-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
10
20
30
40
50
60 History Projections
Transportation
All Other Uses
Petroleum Use for Transportation and Other Purposes, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Share of Petroleum Use
Share of Total Primary Energy Use
History Projections
Transportation’s Share of Primary Energy Use, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
20.923.3
33.7
3.31.8
3.3
6.89.6
24.2
1990 1996 20200.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0Industrialized EE/FSU Developing
Transportation Energy Use by Region, 1990, 1996, and 2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
5
10
15
20
25
30
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet Fuel
Residual Fuel
Other
History Projections
World Transportation Energy Use by Fuel, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
5
10
15
20
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet Fuel
Residual Fuel
Other
History Projections
Transportation Energy Use in the Industrialized Countries, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet Fuel
Residual Fuel
Other
History Projections
Transportation Energy Use in the EE/FSU, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
3
6
9
12
15
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet FuelResidual Fuel
Other
History Projections
Transportation Energy Use by Fuel in the Developing World, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
17.3
22.3
28.5
37.4
45.2
2.8 3.7 4.46.6
9.6
4.8 5.0 5.1 5.8 6.5
1980 1990 2000 2010 20200.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0Road Air Other
Transportation Energy Use by Mode, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
12.7
15.6
19.2
22.5
24.6
1.8 2.5 3.24.4
5.7
2.8 2.7 2.7 3.1 3.4
1980 1990 2000 2010 20200.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0Road Air Other
Transportation Energy Use by Mode in the Industrialized Countries, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1,495
1,985
1,293
1,895
2,142
513 477
223325
455
831 848
599667
738
1980 1990 2000 2010 20200
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500Road Air Other
Transportation Energy Use by Mode in the EE/FSU, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
3.1
4.7
8.0
13.1
18.4
0.4 0.6 1.01.9
3.4
1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4
1980 1990 2000 2010 20200.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0Road Air Other
Transportation Energy Use by Mode in the Developing World, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
235
192
82
57
50
31
16
16
325
226
98
91
175
98
47
43
North America
Western Europe
Industrial Asia
EE/FSU
Developing Asia
Central and South America
Middle East
Africa
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
1996 2020
Road Vehicle Populations by Region, 1996 and 2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
7.7
9.2
12.1
2.7
1.6
2.9
0.5 0.71.4
1980 1996 2020 1980 1996 2020 1980 1996 20200.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0 Industrialized EE/FSU Developing
Annual Energy Use Per Capita in the Transportation Sector, by Region, 1980, 1996, and 2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
481535
617
767
15 22 5290
128
UnitedKingdom
Japan Australasia UnitedStates
DevelopingAsia
Africa MiddleEast
LatinAmerica
EE/FSU0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Industrialized Nonindustrialized
Average World = 115
Motorization in Selected Countries and Regions, 1995
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
797691686
638626636
587422
287348
190226
1033239
United StatesAustralasia
CanadaJapan
GermanyFrance
United KingdomSouth Korea
Eastern EuropeMexico
FSUBrazil
Middle EastAfrica
China and India
0 200 400 600 800 1000
1996 2020
Motorization Rates in Selected Regions and Countries, 1996 and 2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
200
400
600
800
1,000History Projections
United States
Canada
United KingdomJapan
Netherlands
Motorization Trends in Selected Industrialized Countries, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200
100
200
300
400
500 History Projections
South Korea
Turkey
Brazil
ChinaIndia
Motorization Trends in Selected Developing Countries, 1980-2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
118 10160
278
175142
90
407
218191
124
534
DevelopingAsia
LatinAmerica
Middle Eastand Africa
TotalDeveloping
0
100
200
300
400
500
600Low Economic Growth
Reference Case
High Economic Growth
Vehicle Population in Three Economic Growth Cases, 2020
Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 1999
The transportation sector increases its share of world oil use over the next two decades. By 2020, transportation accounts for 51 percent of total oil consumption worldwide.
Road vehicles maintain a dominant share of transportation energy use over the forecast, but air travel is the fastest growing mode of transportation. Energy use for air travel rises 3.7 percent per year between 1996 and 2020, compared to 2.4 percent per year for road energy use.
The world population of road vehicles passes 1.1 billion by 2020, 425 million above the 1996 level.
Highest grow rates of motor vehicle fleets are expected to occur in developing Asia and Central and South America which are projected to account for 52 percent of the increase in the world's vehicle population.
EIA’s Outlook for the International Transportation Sector