workshop with key h2020 projects on heating &...

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This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989. www.heatroadmap.eu @HeatRoadmapEU Brian Vad Mathiesen [email protected] / @ brianvad Sustainable Energy Planning Research Group Aalborg University Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Cooling Tools and methods for strategic analyses in heating and cooling 11 th September 2017, Bloxhub, Copenhagen, Denmark www.heatroadmap.eu @HeatRoadmapEU

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Page 1: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Brian Vad [email protected] / @brianvad

Sustainable Energy Planning Research Group

Aalborg University

Workshop with key H2020 projects on

Heating & Cooling

Tools and methods for strategic analyses in heating and cooling

11th September 2017, Bloxhub, Copenhagen, Denmark

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Page 2: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4

• Creating scientific evidence to support long-term energy strategies at local, national, and EU level

• By quantifying the impact of various future alternatives using energy savings, renewable energy and energy efficiency in the heating and cooling system as part of the energy system

Page 3: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Today’s Energy System

Mobility

Electricity

Cooling

Heating

Fossil Fuel Power Plants

Power Exchange

Resources Conversion Demands

Fuel Storage

Combustion Engines

Electricity Storage

Boilers

Page 4: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Future Smart Energy System(www.SmartEnergySystem.eu)

Mobility

Flexible Electricity

Cooling

Heating

Solar etc.

Bioenergy Fuels

Combined Heat & Power

Power Exchange

Resources Conversion Demands

Heat Pump

Fluctuating Heat

Fluctuating Electricity

Thermal

Storage

Wind etc.

Fuel Storage

Electric Vehicles

Electrofuels

Combustion Engines

Electricity Storage

Page 5: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Heating and Cooling(% of Final Energy Demand)

Source: Mapping and analyses of the current and future

heating-cooling fuel deployment, DG Energy, 2016

Current share of Heating & Cooling of

final energy demand- Largest Consumption

- Large for All Member States

(not just the ‘cold’ North)

- Cooling share in general is 10-15%

Page 6: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Heat Roadmap Europe

1, 2, 3, and 4

• Study 1 (2012): will district heating play a role in the decarbonisation of the European energy system?

• Study 2 (2013): what is the balance between heat savings and heat supply at an EU level?

• Study 3 (2015, STRATEGO WP2): low-carbon heating and cooling strategies for 5 member states

• Study 4 (2016-2019): low-carbon heating and cooling strategies for 14 member states

4.2016-2019

Page 7: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Key Recommendations for

the Heat Sector

Everywhere

Heat Savings

Balance Savings vs. Supply

30-50% Total Reduction

Urban Areas

District Heating Networks

High Heat Density Areas

Supply ~50% of the Heat Demand

Rural Areas

Primarily Electric Heat Pumps

Smaller Shares of Solar Thermal & Biomass

Boilers

Remaining ~50% of the Heat Demand

Page 8: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Making an Impact at Member State Level

(www.heatroadmap.eu)

Technical Outputs

• Profiling

• Maps

• Models

• Technology Data

• Low-Carbon Heating &

Cooling Strategies

Communication

• Website

• Videos

• Newsletter

• Twitter

• LinkedIn

• Workshops

• Scientific Papers

90% of EU heat demand

Page 9: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Case Study: Middlesbrough, UK (350,000 People)

Heat Demand Suitable for DH

10 PJ/Year

Excess Heat35 PJ/Year

Pan-European Thermal Atlas (Peta4): www.heatroadmap.eu

10 km

Page 10: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Heat synergies map in PETA4 example:

Netherlands

• Heat demands: 296 PJ/y

• Excess heat: 560 PJ/y

• District heating share: 5%

• Renewable energy in

heating: 3%

- Not a Technical barrier to

improve energy efficiency

Page 11: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Proven Technology!

Renewable Energy vs. District Heating

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Ren

ewab

le E

ner

gy S

har

e in

Hea

tin

g &

C

oo

ling

(%)

District Heating Share (%)

Austria Belgium

Bulgaria Croatia

Cyprus Czech Republic

Denmark Estonia

Finland France

Germany Greece

Hungary Ireland

Italy Latvia

Lithuania Luxembourg

Malta Netherlands

Poland Portugal

Romania Slovak Republic

Slovenia Spain

Sweden United Kingdom

Page 12: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Non-H/C49% Process

heating16%

Process cooling1%

Space heating

27%

Space cooling

1%

Hot water4%

Other heating2%

Heating and cooling

51%

From 2015 to 2050?

• Total final energy in 2015 (EU28)

H&C about 50%

• Demands and

ressources in 2050?

Page 13: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Heat Savings?

District Heating?

Renewable Gas?

Heat Pumps?

Biomass Boilers?

Wind Power? Solar?Fuel Prices?

New Technologies?

Smart Grids?

CHP?

Hydrogen?

Insulation?

Page 14: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

HRE4 Methodolgy

WP6:

Heating and

Cooling

scenarios for

the 14

Member

States in

EU28 (AAU,

JRC, PE,

UZ)

WP1: Management (AAU)

WP7: Communication, Dissemination, Exploitation*

(ICLEI, EHP, BPIE, EHPA, PE, AAU)

Page 15: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Integrating Wind Power with Thermal Storage (~€1-3/kWh) is

much cheaper than Electricity Storage (~€125/kWh)

Mobility(Vehicles)

Flexible Electricity

Cooling

Heating

Solar etc.

FuelsCHP

(or Quad)

Power Exchange

Resources Conversion Exchange and Storage

DemandRelocation

Heat Pump Electric Boiler

Fluctuating Heat

Fluctuating Electricity

Electricity

Storage

Thermal

Storage

Wind etc.

Fuel Storage

Synthetic Fuel

Engines & Motors

Page 16: Workshop with key H2020 projects on Heating & Coolingheatroadmap.eu/resources/1_HRE_20170911_HRE4_Project_Presentat… · The aim in Heat Roadmap Europe 4 ... Bioenergy Fuels Combined

This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 695989.

www.heatroadmap.eu

@HeatRoadmapEU

Project Participantswww.heatroadmap.eu/project-partners.php