Workshop Session 1.1ESPON Seminar Krakow, Nov. 2011

Bernd Schuh (OIR)

ARTS – Assessment of Regional and

Territorial Sensitivity

ESPON ARTS: The Task

• to develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of

Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA)

• to analyse the impact of EU policy proposals

taking the sensitivity of regions into account

• testing the TIA quick check with a set of 12 directives

• supplying policy makers with an operational procedure that

could work as a “evidence based policy support”

The theoretical approach

Policies Regions

Exposure Territorial sensitivity

Territorial impact

The vulnerability concept

Exposure:

the intensity by which EU directives and policies

involve particular “fields” of the territorial realm (e.g.

surface water quality, emissions, sectoral production)

(Territorial) Sensitivity:

how single regions are sensitive to, or evaluate,

impacts in specific exposure fields, due to their socio-

economic and geographical characteristics

Territorial Impact :

the potential effect (in the future) of a given EU policy

as a consequence of exposure and regional sensitivity

The result: TIA Quick Check

• a user-friendly methodology that allows to make a ‘quick and

dirty’ ex-ante analysis of the potential impact of EU

policy proposals on the development of regions

• combining

• a standardised indicator-based Excel –tool with

• a means to systematically collect expert knowledge

in a workshop setting

An excel tool and a procedure

The TIA quick check

(1) The conceptual model : How do a directive affect the

development of regions?

(2) Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains (branching)

(3) Which types of regions are affected? (regional exposure)

(4) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields?

(5) What is the territorial impact on regions?

(6) Do the results make sense? (plausibility and quality check)

(7) Which regions are affected in which fields? (mapping t)

(8) What are the policy implications? (adaptive capacity discussion)

(9) How to communicate the results (write-up)

9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals

Result Maps

Effects of Directive of

recognition of qualification on

migration balance in

countries of origin

Some results – TIA of directive

Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch a) economic growth (GDP/ cap.)

Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch b) pollutants in air

Experiences of the Project:

The standard TIA quick check • helps to identify the relevant thematic fields that are effected

by a policy proposal. • allows to select NUTS2 regions with a potentially high

positive or negative impact. • helps to set a focus an further and more detailed impact

analysis.

The advanced TIA quick check • allows users to define special indicators describing the

exposure to policy proposals and the regional sensitivity• provides the technical framework for the vulnerability analysis• can serve for a more detailed analysis of a specific potential

impact of policy proposals.

Development of an excel tool and a procedure