Winner - Runoff Contest Picks

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Winner - Runoff Contest Picks

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    63 65 69 70 72 7324 28 30 33 37 45 47 51 55 562 3 7 11 13 14 16 18 20 22

    Less than 51%

    Mayoral margin

    51.00% 51.99%

    52.00% 52.99%

    53.00% 53.99%

    54.00% 54.99%

    55.00% 55.99%

    56.00% 56.99%

    57.00% 57.99%

    58.00% 58.99%

    59% or higher

    7 10 14 16 20 45 73

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    6 18 22 24 25 34 38 41 42 43 62 69 72

    4 11 13 17 26 27 39 48 50 62 63 70 74

    1 5 9 12 23 29 36 52 56 59 65

    8 35 40 46 60 64 75

    15 31 44 66

    21 32 71

    19 68

    Incumbent w/ HIGHEST % Incumbent w/ LOWEST %

    Non-Incumbent w/ HIGHEST % Non-Incumbent w/ LOWEST %

    20 7 12 16 23 26

    41 4 27 28 35

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    Alyx Pattison

    Brian Hopkins

    Michele Smith (i)

    Caroline Vickrey

    James Cappleman (i)

    Amy Crawford

    Natashia Holmes (i)

    Gregory Mitchell

    John Pope (i)

    Susan Sadlowski-Garza

    Patrick Thompson

    John Kozlar

    Rafael Yaez

    Raymond Lopez

    Toni Foulkes

    Stephanie Coleman

    Lona Lane (i)

    Derrick Curtis

    Willie Cochran (i)

    Kevin Bailey

    Howard Brookins (i)

    Marvin McNeil

    Vetress Boyce

    Michael Scott Jr.

    Deborah Graham (i)

    Chris Taliaferro

    Milly Santiago

    Ray Suarez (i)

    Omar Aquino

    Gilbert Villegas

    Emma Mitts (i)

    Tara Stamps

    Mary OConnor (i)

    Anthony Napolitano

    John Arena (i)

    John Garrido

    58 60 61 62 64 65 6722 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 3112 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 211 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41

    Rahm Emanuel (i)

    Jesus Chuy Garcia

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    66

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    60

    6546

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    11

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    67

    The Aldertrack Election Prognostication Contest

    Runoff Edition

    Seventy-five individual contestants completed the contest survey by 10pm, Friday, April 3rd

    .

    Each contestant was assigned a number 1 through 75 and their choices are presented below.

    The winner(s) will be contacted by email soon after preliminary election results are announced.

    Contestants will remain anonymous unless they choose otherwise.

    A Professional Guide To

    Chicago Politics Since 2007

    aldertrack.com

    74

    66

    68% of contestants expect Hopkins to win

    72% of contestants expect Holmes to win

    61% of contestants expect Pope to win

    89% of contestants expect Thompson to win

    61% of contestants expect Lopez to win

    69% of contestants expect Foulkes to win

    69% of contestants expect Curtis to win

    83% of contestants expect Cochran to win

    79% of contestants expect Brookins to win

    93% of contestants expect Scott to win

    67% of contestants expect Graham to win

    55% of contestants expect Santiago to win

    57% of contestants expect Aquino to win

    52% of contestants expect Stamps to win

    73% of contestants expect OConnor to win

    69% of contestants expect Smith to win

    65

    88% of contestants expect Arena to win

    68% of contestants expect Cappleman to win

    65% of contestants expect Emanuel to win

    68 72

    69 75

    74

    71

    70

    73

    68 71

    73

    69

    70

    75

    72

    7420

    69 70 71 75

    72

    73

    68

    74

    69 70 75

    68

    70

    15

    71

    72

    74

    09% expect this outcome

    19% expect this outcome

    17% expect this outcome

    19% expect this outcome

    15% expect this outcome

    09% expect this outcome

    05% expect this outcome

    04% expect this outcome

    03% expect this outcome

    61

    Contestant #61

    Ben Capellupo

    Exec Director

    SEIU IL Council

    WINNER!

    WINNER - RUNOFF CONTEST PICKS.vsdPage-1