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Wind and Rain MCC Synoptic Week 11-15 March 2013, UCD

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Page 1: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Wind and Rain

MCC Synoptic Week11-15 March 2013, UCD

Page 2: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Surface Weather Systems Weather systems in the northern hemisphere generally move

from west to east due to the earth’s rotation. Movement of tropical systems such as hurricanes are more variable.

In the northern hemisphere, winds blow anti-clockwise around lows such as depressions, and clockwise around highs.

When the isobars (lines of equal pressure) become more closely spaced, then winds increase. That is, the closer the isobars over a particular area, the higher the wind speed.

Page 3: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

1000

1004

1008

Low

High

P

Geostrophic wind• Typically the wind speed at 2000 feet / 600m• Assume air parcel moves from rest• P is pressure gradient force• Co is Coriolis = 2 Ω SinΦ• Co acts at right angles

Co

Page 4: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Balanced Geostrophic flow

Low

High

P

Co

Vg1000

1004

1008

• Balance when P=Co, ie equal and opposite• Vg is the Geostrophic wind• Blows parallel to isobars in free atmosphere• Forecasters measure Vg from scale

Page 5: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

This is the chart for Monday

Page 6: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Cyclonic curved flow

Clic k to add title

Clic k to ad d tex t

Low

HighCo

PVg

Ce

Vgr

•Ce is centrifugal force due to circular motion

• Ce reduces P

• Co must reduce to maintain balance

•Vg must reduce to Vgr which is the gradient wind

• Forecasters make correction for curvature to get Vgr

• Example eye of a storm

Page 7: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Anticyclonic curved flow

High

Low

P

Co

Ce

Vgr

Vg

•Ce acts in unison with P•Co must increase to

maintain balance

•Vg must increase to Vgr• Forecaster makes

correction for radius of curvature to get Vgr

• Example periphery of a winter High

Page 8: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Another complication !• A difference between

curvature of isobars and trajectories occurs when systems in motion

• Strongest winds on south flank of eastwards moving depression

• Strongest winds on north flank of westwards moving depression

• Similar for mobile anticyclones

L

L

Page 9: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Surface wind flow

• Near ground friction(F) reduces wind speed

• Co must reduce

• Balance upset

• Vectors realign so that P+Co=F

• V-the real wind is reduced and blows towards low pressure

P

FCo

Vg

High

1004

1008

1012

Low

V

Page 10: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Surface wind flow

• Over the Sea V=2/3 Vgr, and is backed approximately 15 degrees to the isobars(depending on stability)

• Over the Land V =1/2 Vgr and is backed as much as 40 degrees to the isobars(depending on roughness of ground and stability)

H

L

15 0

40 0

L

H

Page 11: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Measuring Wind

• A confusion of units!–Beaufort Forces

–Knots (Nautical Miles per hour)

–Miles per hour

–Kilometres per hour

–Metres per second

Page 12: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Windy or Calm?Admiral Francis Beaufort

•Born in Navan•Hydrographer to the Royal Navy•Devised one of the first wind scales in 1805, from Force 0 to Force 12•http://www.mii.connect.ie/history/beaufort/beaufort.html

Page 13: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Beaufort Scale on Land and SeaForce

Wind(Knots)

WMOClassification Appearance of Wind Effects

On the Water On Land0 Less than 1 Calm Sea surface smooth and mirror-like Calm, smoke rises vertically

1 1-3 Light Air Scaly ripples, no foam crestsSmoke drift indicates wind direction, still wind vanes

2 4-6 Light BreezeSmall wavelets, crests glassy, no breaking

Wind felt on face, leaves rustle, vanes begin to move

3 7-10 Gentle BreezeLarge wavelets, crests begin to break, scattered whitecaps

Leaves and small twigs constantly moving, light flags extended

4 11-16Moderate Breeze

Small waves 1-4 ft. becoming longer, numerous whitecaps

Dust, leaves, and loose paper lifted, small tree branches move

5 17-21 Fresh BreezeModerate waves 4-8 ft taking longer form, many whitecaps, some spray

Small trees in leaf begin to sway

6 22-27 Strong BreezeLarger waves 8-13 ft, whitecaps common, more spray

Larger tree branches moving, whistling in wires

7 28-33 Near GaleSea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers

Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind

8 34-40 Gale

Moderately high (18-25 ft) waves of greater length, edges of crests begin to break into spindrift, foam blown in streaks

Twigs breaking off trees, generally impedes progress

9 41-47 Strong GaleHigh waves (23-32 ft), sea begins to roll, dense streaks of foam, spray may reduce visibility

Slight structural damage occurs, slate blows off roofs

10 48-55 Storm

Very high waves (29-41 ft) with overhanging crests, sea white with densely blown foam, heavy rolling, lowered visibility

Seldom experienced on land, trees broken or uprooted, "considerable structural damage"

11 56-63 Violent StormExceptionally high (37-52 ft) waves, foam patches cover sea, visibility more reduced

12 64+ HurricaneAir filled with foam, waves over 45 ft, sea completely white with driving spray, visibility greatly reduced

Page 14: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

  Velocity conversions           

    0.621 0.54 0.278  

  km/h mph Kts m/s Beaufort

  2 1.2 1.1 0.6 1

  4 2.5 2.2 1.1 1

  5 3.1 2.7 1.4 1

  6 3.7 3.2 1.7 2

  8 5.0 4.3 2.2 2

  10 6 5 3 2

  15 9 8 4 3

  20 12 11 6 4

  25 16 13 7 4

  30 19 16 8 4

  35 22 19 10 5

  40 25 22 11 6

Page 15: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Thomas Romney Robinson

•  Born Dublin, 1792

•  longtime director of the Armagh Astronomical Observatory

•  4-cup anemometer design, 1846

http://star.arm.ac.uk/history/instruments/Robinson-cup-anemometer.html

Page 16: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

William Henry Dines

• Born London, 1855• Dines Pressure Tube

Anemometer• Pressure difference

between tube mouth and sides moves float in sealed chamber

• Allows instrument to be remote to recorder.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1256/wea.38.05/pdf

Page 17: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Fundamentals of Wind• Measured at 10m above the ground

• (Always be aware that Malin Head is much higher. Treat wind readings from oil platforms, ships etc with caution).

• Mean Speed – average over a ten-minute period

• Gust Speed – highest instantaneous wind speed

• Gusts normally do the damage!!

Page 18: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately
Page 19: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Wind Speed and Gusts

• Wind speed mentioned in marine observations, forecasts, and warnings is the average speed over a 10 minute interval.

• Wind gusts may be up to 70% higher than the average wind speed.

• For example, if the average wind speed is 25 knots, occasional gusts up to 40 knots can be expected, depending on stability of the air-mass.

Page 20: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Surface wind• Speed: 1knot = 0. 514 m/s = 1. 15 mph

• Direction: Direction from which wind blows measured clockwise from true North

• A veer is a clockwise change

• A back is an anticlockwise change

• Mean speed is average over 10 minute period

• Gusts and lulls are rapid fluctuations due to obstacles and instability which are called turbulence

Speed

Time

Page 21: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Pressure and drawing of Isobars

• Plotted values are reduced to MSL

• Isobars join areas of equal pressure

• Back to wind, low pressure to the left (Buy’s Ballots Law)

• On large Atlantic charts-4hPa intervals

• On hourly charts –1 hPa intervals

• A pascal =1 Pa = 1N/m2• A hecto Pascal = 100 Pa = 10

N /m2• 100Pa = 1mb = 1 hPa

X 997

X 999

X 1002

X 1013

X 1008

X 998

High

X 1005

Low

X 1008x1002

Page 22: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

The Sea Breeze

• An onshore breeze which develops in coastal areas on a warm day.

• Differential heating between the land and sea.

Page 23: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Sea breeze formation

Two columns of airAt dawn:

Page 24: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Sea breeze formation

As land heats up a circulation develops

Page 25: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

How… and When?

• Land temperatures need to be at least 3.5 oC warmer than sea temperatures …

• They are very common and strong in tropical regions

• In Ireland generally from March to late September.

Page 26: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Land breeze

• Another thermally driven circulation.

• Sea warmer than land at night.

• Usually weaker than the sea breeze.

• Very rarely exceeds 10 kt.

Page 27: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

It’s not just a coastal thing

• Sea breezes can occasionally penetrate over 50km inland

• Sea breezes can enhance convection due to convergence, particularly on peninsulas

Page 28: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Sea breeze front

• Offshore wind opposes sea breeze

• Enhanced convergence

• Tightening temperature and humidity gradients

Page 29: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Sea Breeze Summary

• Nice cooling breeze on the coast.

• Can bring in offshore stratus to spoil a sunny day right on the coast

• Useful for yachtsmen and inshore fishermen

• Enhanced convection can lead to some severe weather.

Page 30: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

A good sea breeze day

Page 31: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Mountain Airflow

• Modification of broadscale windsDeflection, channelling and shelter Effect on depressions and fronts

• Lee waves

• Locally induced winds Katabatic and anabatic windsValley wind circulations

• Downslope winds Föhn and Chinook windsBora wind

Page 32: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Deflection• Factors favouring deflection

over mountain barrier: Long barrierPerpendicular wind flow Concave barrierUnstable air

• Factors favouring deflection around mountain barrier: Short barrierOblique wind flowConvex barrier Stable air

Page 33: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Channelling

Gaps in barrier strengthen wind flowe.g. Mistral (between Alps & Massif Centrale)

Page 34: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Katabatic wind

• Down-slope wind, usually nocturnal

• Speed: a few knots

• Depth: typically ~100 m

• Best on even, gentle slopes

Cooling

Page 35: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

• Day-time up-slope wind

• Speed: 5–10 knots

• Depth: up to 200 m

• Best on smooth, hot slopes

Anabatic wind

Heating

Page 36: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Föhn / Chinook winds

CoolWarm

Condensation & release of latent 

heat

Page 37: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Wind Flow over Mountains

The Irish Meteorological Service                        www.met.ie

Page 38: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Mountain Waves from Above

The Irish Meteorological Service                        www.met.ie

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Lenticular Altocumulus

The Irish Meteorological Service                        www.met.ie

Page 40: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Fog, Rain, Drizzle and Showers

• Fog, Drizzle and Rain distinguished by DROP SIZE

• If droplets are suspended in the air (not falling) then we have FOG or MIST (drop size up to 0.2mm diameter)

• Falling droplets from 0.2mm to 0.5mm are termed DRIZZLE

• Drops of greater size constitute RAIN

Page 41: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Rain and Drizzle Rates

RAIN Light Moderate Heavy

Intermittent < 2.0 mm/hr 2.0-6.0 mm/hr >6.0 mm/hr

Continuous < 2.0 mm/hr 2.0-6.0 mm/hr >6.0 mm/hr

DRIZZLE Light Moderate Heavy

Intermittent < 0.3 mm/hr 0.3-0.5 mm/hr >0.5 mm/hr

Continuous < 0.3 mm/hr 0.3-0.5 mm/hr >0.5 mm/hr

Page 42: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Rain and Showers

• Rain– Primarily large geographical scale

– Origin in dynamical processes

• Showers– Small spatial scale (500m – 20Km)

– Convective in origin– Much higher rates of rainfall– Can be embedded in larger scale rain bands

Page 43: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Fronts Versus Showers

Showers - small Scale •20km

•last 10-20mins•Convective -

•develop over warm sea in winter

Fronts -give widespread rain

•Warm

•Cold 

•Occlusion

Page 44: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

•Air forced to rise•Stratus cloud forms on higher ground•Drizzle or rain likely 

Forced Ascent

Page 45: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Convection - creates instability

WarmCooler

Cooler

Air in contact with high ground is warmer than free air at the same 

height. 

Warm air rising Warm air rising

Hot Hot

Page 46: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Convection

Hot Hot

Warm

Cooler Cooler

Showers and thunderstorms

Page 47: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

• There is a clear statistical link between average rainfall and altitude.

• The higher the site, the heavier the rainfall.

• Mechanisms leading to the increase.– Forced Ascent– Enhanced Convection

Orographic Rainfall

Page 48: Wind and Rain - maths.ucd.ie€¦ · Sea heaps up, waves 13-19 ft, white foam streaks off breakers Whole trees moving, resistance felt walking against wind 8 34-40 Gale Moderately

Irish Rainfall Rates

• Range from about 800mm/yr (Dublin) to about 3000mm/yr (Kerry Mountains)

• Very variable in nature

• Greatest rainfall totals:– Hourly 97mm Co. Antrim 1887– Daily 243.5mm Co. Kerry 1993

– Monthly 790mm Co. Waterford 1996

• Hourly totals of > 10mm are uncommon in Ireland

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Rainfall Records

3,965 mm Ballaghbeena Gap, Ireland 1960

22,987 mm Cherrapunji, India, 1861