where were ware wear
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Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA. a. Where Were Ware Wear. bles. The next 20 years will see more change that the previous 200… …this is the nature of exponential change. Beyond maps & mapping…. …and beyond satellite images…. Home made maps & activity tracking. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
WhereWereWareWear ables
Peter Cochrane
ConceptLabs CA
The next 20 years will see more change that the previous 200…
…this is the nature of exponential change
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Beyond maps & mapping….
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…and beyond satellite images…
Home made maps
& activity tracking
USA amateurs are now venturing into 3D maps with panoramic camera additions of specific locations + vidcam feeds and data from sensors
My prediction
Positioning systems will become as essentialas communication nets in the future economy
People look at problems through one of these:
When they actually need one of these:
Faster & faster wealth generation
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New
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US$Bn
PCInternet
Year
Mobile
Prediction
2015
Super iPod
Every music track ever recorded on a single device in your shirt pocket…
…& 10 years later every movie…
Change takes time…
Mobile phones > Fixed line = 12 yearsDigital Fax > Analogue Fax = 8 yearsColour TV > B&W TV = 11 yearsCD > Audio Tape = 9 yearsDVD > VHS Tape = 7 yearsDigital Nets > Analogue Nets = 15 yearsOptical Fibre > Copper + Microwave = 20 years
Society Companies Consumers Technologies
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Change
Time
Years
Business
TechnologyPeople
HotSpot
Where the action always is!
Echo- System
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A commonly held view…more of the same… …but better!
Today: Big growth areas in mobile...
• Gambling
• Ring Tones
• Wallet
• Pic sharing
•Music sharing
•Movie sharing
Tomorrow: Big growth areas in mobile...
• Positioning
• Tracking
• Monitoring
• Sensors
• Healthcare
•Navigation
• Security
watch
Phone
Game Console
GPS Device
Television
Walkie-Talkie
Rolodex
FM Radio
Camcorder
Camera
PDA
Pager
PortableMP3/Video
PC
What is All This Garbage?Let’s converge into one device
Or a nightmare offeature death…doing everythingbadly?
Personal Space
Bluetooth
UWB
RFID
LAN MAN WANPAN
City
Community
WMAN
WiMAX
Beam Forming
Cellular/Satellites
International
HSDPA
WCDMA
UMTS
WLAN 802.11X
WiFi
Campus, Office, Airport, Home
The dream….…seamless access!
3m 30m 3km Ubiquitous
Cameras - VOIP - Sensors - Positioning
RFID will revolutionize every aspect of the supply chain - from raw materials to manufacture, logistics, supply & support.
In the field of healthcare RFID will save lives, increase efficiency and reduce costs.
A retail revolution - RFID &WiFi in every EPOS
RFID + multiple sensor chips + nano gyroswill also fit inside mobile phones
Cell Phone also becomes: a wallet, transaction centre, passport, ID and passport, insurance/medical record + locator and tracking device
Location by: triangulation, GPS, RFID, EPOS, WiFi, BlueTooth, NanoGyros - inertial record….
If time = money......then so does position!
Current GPS Applications
PowerTelecommunicationLaw EnforcementEmergency ServicesWeather ScientificConstructionCensusRecreationAsset Tracking
AviationMaritimeHighwayRailroadMass TransitCrime PreventionSurveyingAgricultureBankingDefenc(s)e
2015
2005 = GPS Alone ~100 - 10m….military ~1m 2010 = GPS + GSM~1m…… military ~10cm2015 = GPS + GSM+ EPOS + MEMS ~1cm
Ford Escape HEV Ford Escape HEV
The destruction of the insurance industryby RFID + GPS +++?
Where are my things?
Who has them?
What are they doing?
One of the biggest opportunities… …risk mitigation in logistics…
Things sometimes go abit wrong!
>10,000 containersper yearpushed overboardin stormy weather…
…or lost atsea by somemechanism
RFID
Packs
Containers
Goods
Higher orders of complexity
to come!
Average truck fill in the UK ~17%
In the next phase RFID + GPS +AI takes over….
…and > $2T may be saved!
On-Line Monitoring Anywhere Anytime Any Activity
Sporting
Working
Zzzzzzz...
Surrogate surgery
Dublin
Sheffield
MM, VR, Telepresence will change...
...the way service is delivered& education & training isprovided
A world of opportunity & risk….
Thank you,
cochrane.org.ukconceptlabs.net