what's next. ons economic forum oct 2014

15

Click here to load reader

Upload: statisticsons

Post on 29-May-2015

136 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 2: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

What’s next

ONS Economic Forum

8 October 2014

2

Page 3: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Flow of Funds

Nick Vaughan:

Director, National Accounts & Economic Statistics

3

Page 4: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Objectives of session

• The Flow of Funds – what is it and why is it

important?

• What do we want to develop?

• Current and future plans – How will we get

there?

4

Page 5: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

What is Flow of Funds?

• Measures financial flows and levels across sectors of

the economy - provides information on debtor/creditor

relationships and changes in financial assets &

liabilities

• Exists to some extent already in the UK Economic

Accounts publication – ONS publish financial

accounts and balance sheets for each sector of the

economy on a quarterly and annual basis;

- Sectors include; Public Corps, Private Non

Financial Corps, Financial Corps, Government,

Households, NPISH, Rest of the World

5

Page 6: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

6

Page 7: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Why is it important?

The recent financial crisis exposed a significant lack of

information within the financial sector.

Expanding Flow of Funds is essential for:

• identifying the build-up of risks in the financial sector

• detecting emerging imbalances between sectors

• investigating trends in balance sheet positions

• macroeconomic & macro-prudential policymaking

7

Page 8: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

What do we want to develop?

• The UK accounts do not currently show counterpart

data

• Want to implement Flow of Funds matrices for each

financial instrument that show counterpart

information, ie accounts published on a whom-2-

whom basis

• Develop 2 new accounts; Revaluation (nominal

holdings & gains) and Change in Volume of Assets &

Liabilities; part of the full sequence of accounts

8

Page 9: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

A Flow of Funds matrix – example

9

Page 10: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

How will we get there?

• Publishing new tables as part of Blue Book 2014 – dedicated Flow

of Funds chapter (14)

• Tables will show data already published in the accounts BUT in a

different format as requested by key users

• Work with our users; Bank, Treasury, BIS and OBR – includes

launch of working group and allocation of resources in both ONS

and Bank of England

• Re-development of ONS suite of financial surveys

• Investigation into use of administrative data/Big data

• Learn from other National Statistical Institutions through liaison

with EU member states and wider

• For more information please e-mail

[email protected]

10

Page 11: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Economic wellbeing

Valerie Fender - Economic Adviser, Economic Wellbeing

ONS Economic Forum

8 October 2014

11

Page 12: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Economic Well-being: Background

• GDP inevitably and correctly plays a central role in monetary

and fiscal policy

• Traditional measures of progress such as GDP are

increasingly considered an incomplete picture of well-being

• Additional economic, social and environmental measures are

needed alongside GDP to provide a complete picture of how

society is doing

• UK’s Measuring National Well-being (MNW) Programme was

launched in November 2010 to take this work forward

12

Page 13: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Economic Well-being: Work to date

• Economic Well-being article in April 2014

• Development Measuring National Well-being

domains – Economy and other relevant

• Development of a framework for economic

well-being

• Selection of an indicator set

13

Page 14: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

14

Objective and Subjective measures

Emphasising the Household Perspective

Economic Well - being

Current Future Equality

Page 15: What's next. ONS Economic Forum Oct 2014

Way forward

• Methods and concepts article published in

November 2014

• Regular publication of the additional

measures – Quarterly release from 23rd

December 2014.

• Continue to develop and refine additional

measures

• natural and human capital

• measures of unpaid household work

• Review headline measures of Measuring

National Well-being

15