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What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

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Page 1: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies?

John German

American Honda Motor Co., Inc.

Advanced Powertrain Forum

August 5, 2005

Page 2: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Energy Supply & DemandEnergy Supply & DemandSustainabilitySustainability

Urban Air QualityUrban Air Quality

Climate ChangeClimate Change

3 Issues for the Future Automobile:

Page 3: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Climate ChangeClimate Change

Key IssuesKey Issues

Air PollutionAir Pollution

EnergyEnergySustainabilitySustainability

So

cial

Co

nce

rns

So

cial

Co

nce

rns

Transportation’s Social Issues

Page 4: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Honda is Committed to Clean and Efficient Gasoline Vehicles

• Technically advanced F.E. leading models in the market

• Popular mass-market models with continual efficiency improvement

• Highest CAFE of major OEMs

Page 5: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Honda’s Environmental Leadership

1975Civic CVCC

1st to meet ’70’s Clean Air Act,without a catalyst

1986Civic CRX-HF

1st to top 50-mpg mark

Seemingly-incompatibleachievement of --

1. Strong performance2. Low emissions3. High fuel economy

1990VTEC engine introduced

Page 6: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Honda’s Power Train Roadmap

20101990 2000

i-VTEC

2020

Improvement of ICEImprovement of ICE

C V T

VTEC-E

FCV

Accord Accord I M AI M A

Accord Accord I M AI M A

Alternative Fuel VehicleAlternative Fuel Vehicle

Hydrogen fueled FCVHydrogen fueled FCV

CNGi-DSI

++

Eff

icie

ncy

/ C

O2

Red

uct

ion

Eff

icie

ncy

/ C

O2

Red

uct

ion

I M AI M A

INSIGHTINSIGHT

Integrated Motor AssistIntegrated Motor Assist

I. C. Engine Technologies Civic

IMA

Page 7: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

CLEAN GASOLINE

Future Building Block • LEV, ULEV, SULEV Leadership• Infrastructure is perfect• Reasonable cost• Catalyst technology

PURE ELECTRICFuture Building Blocks• EV know-how• Infrastructure Issues• Home Refueling• Customer Habits

CNGFuture Building Blocks• Working with Government• Understanding Fleet Customers• Infrastructure Challenges • Gaseous Fuel know-how

Honda’s Building Blocks for the Future

Page 8: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Combines BEV with ULEV• Infrastructure is perfect• Cost is affordable• Good Customer AcceptanceFuture Building Block:• Electric Energy Mgmt & Safety...

GASOLINE-ELECTRIC HYBRIDS

HOME REFUELED AFV

Combines CNG with BEV attributes:• Home Refueling• As Clean as a BEV• Lower Cost potentialFuture Building Block:• Potential Infrastructure Solution• Gaseous Fuel know-how

Honda’s Building Blocks for the Future

PURE ELECTRIC

CNG

CLEAN GASOLINE

Page 9: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Honda’s Future Dream

CNG

HOME REFUELED AFV

GASOLINE-ELECTRIC HYBRIDS

CLEAN GASOLINE

PURE ELECTRIC

Built on Core Honda Technologies:• EV and HEV vehicle know-how• Gaseous Fuel know-how• Catalyst know-how • Infrastructure innovation• Technology innovation (Ultra-Cap)

FUEL CELL VEHICLES

Page 10: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Conventional Technology

Page 11: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

‘91 ‘95 ‘03

50%

Application %Application %

• HIGHER EFFICIENCYHIGHER EFFICIENCY

• LOWER EMISSIONSLOWER EMISSIONS

• GREATER PERFORMANCEGREATER PERFORMANCE

(Variable valve Timing and lift, Electronically Controlled)Honda VTEC Combustion:

Page 12: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Vehicle speedVehicle speed

CruiseCruise

DecelDecel

AccelAccel

6 Cylinder operation

3 Cylinder operation

Variable Cylinder ManagementVariable Cylinder Management

Page 13: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Honda Announced Improvements• 2006 Civic VTEC

– Delays intake valve closure timing during cruising and other low-load conditions

• Throttle-by-wire used for larger throttle opening and a major reduction in pumping loss

– Switches valve timing for excellent acceleration

• Advanced VTEC– Continuously variable intake valve timing and lift– + 13% efficiency (vs. 2005 i-VTEC engine

• Advanced VCM– Increased flexibility to expand range of driving

conditions– Improved active control engine mounts– + 11% efficiency (vs. 2005 Honda V-6 engine)

Page 14: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Transmission Advances

• Dual-clutch automated manual– Smooth shifting and potentially cheaper– But launch concerns (no torque converter), huge investment

• Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT)– Excellent city efficiency and extremely smooth– Can deliver steady-state engine speeds to facilitate HCCI– But torque limited, highway efficiency lower (belt friction), huge

investment

• Improved shift points and lock-up strategies– Low investment

• Lapillier 6-speed automatic

Computer controls are enabling a variety of improved transmission designs

Not yet clear which is most cost-effective – all may co-exist

Page 15: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Incremental FE Technology• Engine technology

– High specific output (including 4 valve/cylinder)

– Variable valve timing/lift– Cylinder deactivation– Direct injection– Precise air/fuel metering

• Transmission efficiency– 5/6 speed-AT/6-speed MT– CVT– Dual-clutch automated MT

• Reduced losses– Lightweight materials– Low drag coefficient– Low resistance tires– Lower accessory losses

Cost and value issue• These technologies are

continuously being incorporated into vehicles.

• However, consumers value other attributes more highly, such as performance, safety, utility, and luxury.

• Putting in technologies just to improve fuel economy may not be valued by customers.

Fuel Economy Improvement - ???Depends on how much is already incorporated into fleet and synergies (or lack of synergy) between technologies

Page 16: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Worldwide Fuel Control

• On a systems basis, good fuel is needed to enable many technologies

• Growing countries, such as India and China, need to improve fuel quality– Sulfur– Heavy metals– Aromatics– Deposit additives– etc

Page 17: What Does the Future Hold for Advanced Technologies? John German American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Advanced Powertrain Forum August 5, 2005

Diesels