welcome to the 28 th hpc user forum meeting april 2008
TRANSCRIPT
Welcome To The 28th HPC User Forum
MeetingApril 2008
Monday EventsMonday Events
Monday afternoon:
We are using a new format of doing an end-user survey and an extended IDC market update
All participants will receive a copy of the report executive summary
Let us know how you like the new approach
Monday Evening Vendor Technology Updates
Thank You To
Cray For Dinner!
Monday Dinner Vendor Updates Monday Dinner Vendor Updates
Qlogic, Data Direct Networks,
Cray, Intel, NetApp, Panasas,
SGI, SiCortex, Appro, Mellanox,
Mathworks, Luxtera, Hitachi
Welcome To The 28th HPC User Forum
MeetingApril 2008
Thank You To
Cray For Dinner!
Thank You To
SiCortex
For Breakfast
Introduction: LogisticsIntroduction: Logistics
Ask Mary if you need a receipt Meals and events
Tuesday dinner plans
We are trying a new approach of timing each presentation
Please help us keep on time!
Review handouts Agenda Attendee list ISC08 flyer Meeting notes, evaluation form and user survey
Important Dates For Your Calendar Important Dates For Your Calendar
HPC User Forum Meetings: September 8 to 10, 2008
– Tucson, Arizona October 13 to 16, 2008
– University of Stuttgart (Oct 13/14) – Imperial College, London (Oct 16)
ISC08 in Dresden, Germany June 17 to 20, 2008
Supercomputing08 in Austin November 17 to 21, 2008
Organizations Attending The April 2008 HPC User Forum Meeting Organizations Attending The April 2008 HPC User Forum Meeting
AMD Ford Motor Company Oak Ridge National LaboratoryAndrescavage Software Inc. General Motors Ohio Supercomputer CenterAppro International, Inc. HCS PanasasArgonne National Laboratory Hitachi Cable America, Inc. Pennsylvania State UniversityArmy Research Laboratory Holland Computing Center Pittsburgh Supercomputing CenterARS/UAF HP QLogic CorporationAtrato, Inc HPC Modernization Office Raytheon / ARL-MSRCBAE Systems Information Technology IBM Corporation Regional Computing Center ErlangenBP IDC SAIC-Frederick, Inc. / NCICapital Advanced Technology Services Imperial College / London San Diego Supercomputer CenterCD-adapco Indiana University Sandia National LaboratoriesCITI - Univ. of Michigan Intel Corporation Scarafino ConsultingCity Univ. Of New York Intelligent Light SGICouncil on Competitiveness Interactive Supercomputing SiCortex, Inc.Cray Inc. Koi Computers Inc. Silicon Informatics, Inc.DataDirect Networks Luxtera Sun MicrosystemsDell Inc. Mellanox Technologies The Boeing CompanyDept of Defense Microsoft The MathWorksDigital Rocket Science LLC Mitrionics The Portland GroupDoD HPCMP Myricom U of MN Supercomputing InstituteDOE / NNSA NASA Langley Research Center Univ. of NC / Chapel HillDS SIMULIA NAVAIR US Air Force SEEK EAGLE OfficeDTRA Naval Surface Warfare Center US Army RDECOM-TARDECDugway Proving Ground Network Appliance USC Information Sciences InstituteEMC Corporation Northrop Grumman IT - TASC Utah State UniversityeXludus Technologies NSWC Panama City Virginia TechFBA Inc Numerical Algorithms Group
Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning
8:10am Introductions and welcome by Paul Muzio, Vernon Turner and Earl Joseph
8:20am KEYNOTES: CFD TRENDS IN AEROSPACE AND FUTURE HPC REQUIREMENTS, Doug Ball, Boeing
8:50am KEYNOTES: THE CREATE PROGRAM -- DEVELOPING THE NEXT GENERATION OF HPC APPLICATION SOFTWARE, Doug Post, DoD HPCMP
9:30am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND STRUCTURES (CFD AND FEA)* FULL SHIP SHOCK TEST MODELING, E. Thomas Moyer, Naval Surface Warfare Center
10:00am Short vendor technology updates (IBM, Microsoft, Sun)10:30am Break (event sponsored by Appro)10:45am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND
STRUCTURES (continued) * DESIGN OF ADVANCED ROTORCRAFT SYSTEMS, Matt Floros, Army Research Laboratory* APPLICATION OF HPC TO SHIP AIR WAKE EFFECTS, Susan Polsky, Naval Air Weapons Center
11:45am HPC USER UPDATE: HPC AT ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY, Bob Rosner
12:00pm Lunch (event sponsored by NetApp)
IDC HPC
Market Update
HPC: Strong Growth Since 2002HPC: Strong Growth Since 2002
All HPC Servers
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
$ B
illio
ns
HPC hit an all-time high of $11.5 billion in 2007 19% CAGR in server factory revenue over last 4 years Clusters continue to gain shares across all segments
New Approach For Competitive Segments(2007 Data) New Approach For Competitive Segments(2007 Data)
Departmental ($250K - $50K)
$4.2B
Divisional ($250K - $500K)
$1.8B
Supercomputers(Over $500K)
$3.0B
Workgroup(under $100K)
$2.6B
HPC Servers $11.5B
HPC Revenue by New Competitive SegmentsHPC Revenue by New Competitive Segments
Competitve Segment Price Range 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Supercomputer >$500K 2,401,478 2,630,877 2,881,105 2,566,886 2,982,811
Technical Divisional $250K - $499.9K 543,830 977,380 1,197,234 1,420,357 1,780,539
Technical Departmental $100K - $249.9K 946,886 1,116,730 2,561,422 3,323,051 4,193,089
Technical Workgroup $0K - $99.9K 1,805,662 2,668,372 2,568,446 2,744,283 2,606,812
Vendor Shares in 2007Vendor Shares in 2007
IBM32.9%
Other7.8%
Dawning0.2%
NEC0.4%
SGI1.9%
Cray1.1%
Dell17.8%
Sun4.6%
Bull0.2%
HP32.9%
Total HPC Revenue by Processor Type Total HPC Revenue by Processor Type
X86 based systems took a 72% share in 2007!0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
HP
C R
even
ue b
y P
roce
ssor
Typ
e
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
x86-64
x86-32
Vector
RISC
Prop
EPIC
Total HPC Revenue by OSTotal HPC Revenue by OS
Linux systems accounted for 74% of the total revenue in 2007!
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rev
enue
Per
cent
age
by O
/S
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Linux
Unix
W/NT
Other
HPC Technical
Computing Compared
To All Other Servers
HPC Technical
Computing Compared
To All Other Servers
HPC Compares to All Servers HPC Compares to All Servers
Table 3
HPC As A Ratio Of All Servers
2003 2004 2005 2006 est. 2007
Unadjusted Revenue ($B) 12.3% 15.0% 18.0% 19.2% 21.0%
Adjusted Revenues (Apples-to-apples) 11.1% 13.5% 16.2% 17.3% 18% to 19%
Unadjusted System Units (Nodes) 7.8% 11.6% 17.2% 19.0% 27%*
Adjusted Node Range 6% to 7% 7% to 10% 13% to 16% 13% to 17% 20% to 25%
Unadjusted Processors Shipped 11.6% 16.4% 22.6% 26.1% 32.0%
Adjusted Processors Range 10% to 11% 12% to 15% 18% to 21% 20% to 24% 22% to 30%
* Note: The calculation process for nodes was changed for 2007.
Source: IDC 2007
Why Has Technical Computing Grown So Quickly? Why Has Technical Computing Grown So Quickly?
1. Price and price/peak performance of clusters has redefined the cost of technical computing
– >6x better than RISC, >70x better than vectors
2. At the same time, “live” science and “live” engineering costs have escalated
– Plus time-to-solution is months faster with simulations
3. Global competitiveness is driving R&D and better product designs -- Even for SMBs
4. At the same time, x86 performance on many technical applications is weaker than RISC or vectors
– Driving buyers to purchase a larger number of processors
5. New materials and approaches require rewriting the “books and tables” which takes years – making simulations a faster solution
– e.g. nano technologies, new metals/plastics/composites – e.g. use of multidisciplinary physics and combined analysis
New HPC Research Areas New HPC Research Areas
• Extreme Computing
• Adding performance and price/performance to Qview
• New end-user Qview
• Workgroup MCS
• Market share by application/industry
• HPC Storage special analysis report series
• Data Center assessment and benchmarking
Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning
8:10am Introductions and welcome by Paul Muzio, Vernon Turner and Earl Joseph
8:20am KEYNOTES: CFD TRENDS IN AEROSPACE AND FUTURE HPC REQUIREMENTS, Doug Ball, Boeing
8:50am KEYNOTES: THE CREATE PROGRAM -- DEVELOPING THE NEXT GENERATION OF HPC APPLICATION SOFTWARE, Doug Post, DoD HPCMP
9:30am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND STRUCTURES (CFD AND FEA)* FULL SHIP SHOCK TEST MODELING, E. Thomas Moyer, Naval Surface Warfare Center
10:00am Short vendor technology updates (IBM, Microsoft, Sun)10:30am Break (event sponsored by Appro)10:45am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND
STRUCTURES (continued) * DESIGN OF ADVANCED ROTORCRAFT SYSTEMS, Matt Floros, Army Research Laboratory* APPLICATION OF HPC TO SHIP AIR WAKE EFFECTS, Susan Polsky, Naval Air Weapons Center
11:45am HPC USER UPDATE: HPC AT ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY, Bob Rosner
12:00pm Lunch (event sponsored by NetApp)
Thank YouTo Appro
For The Break
Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Morning
8:10am Introductions and welcome by Paul Muzio, Vernon Turner and Earl Joseph
8:20am KEYNOTES: CFD TRENDS IN AEROSPACE AND FUTURE HPC REQUIREMENTS, Doug Ball, Boeing
8:50am KEYNOTES: THE CREATE PROGRAM -- DEVELOPING THE NEXT GENERATION OF HPC APPLICATION SOFTWARE, Doug Post, DoD HPCMP
9:30am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND STRUCTURES (CFD AND FEA)* FULL SHIP SHOCK TEST MODELING, E. Thomas Moyer, Naval Surface Warfare Center
10:00am Short vendor technology updates (IBM, Microsoft, Sun)10:30am Break (event sponsored by Appro)10:45am THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS AND
STRUCTURES (continued) * DESIGN OF ADVANCED ROTORCRAFT SYSTEMS, Matt Floros, Army Research Laboratory* APPLICATION OF HPC TO SHIP AIR WAKE EFFECTS, Susan Polsky, Naval Air Weapons Center
11:45am HPC USER UPDATE: HPC AT ARGONNE NATIONAL LABORATORY, Bob Rosner
12:00pm Lunch (event sponsored by NetApp)
Lunch BreakThanks to
NetApp
Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
Lunch BreakThanks to
NetApp
Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
Thank You To NetAppFor Lunch
Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Afternoon Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Afternoon
1:00pm PANEL ON HPC STORAGE TRENDS AND DIRECTIONS, Moderator: Steve Finn, BAE Systems
2:15pm COUNCIL ON COMPETITIVENESS HPC UPDATE, Suzy Tichenor
2:45pm Break (event sponsored by EMC)3:00pm THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS
AND STRUCTURES (continued) * THE ROLE OF CFD IN AIRCRAFT STORES CERTIFICATION, Scott Morton, USAF SEEK EAGLE Office* PRESENT CHALLENGES IN NASA AEROSCIENCES DISCIPLINE, Dave Schuster, NASA-Langley * ADVANCED MESHING TECHNIQUES FOR FLUID STRUCTURE INTERACTION, Andrew Johnson, Digital Rocket Science
4:15pm Short vendor technology updates (HP, EMC, Mitrionics)4:45pm HPC APPLICATION SOFTWARE CONSORTIUM SUMMIT,
Bob Graybill, USC–ISI5:05pm IHEC (INTEGRATED HIGH END COMPUTING) PROGRAM
UPDATE, Candy Culhane6:00pm SPECIAL DINNER EVENT (HP and AMD)
Thank YouTo EMC
For The Break
Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Afternoon Agenda: Day One, Tuesday Afternoon
1:00pm PANEL ON HPC STORAGE TRENDS AND DIRECTIONS, Moderator: Steve Finn, BAE Systems
2:15pm COUNCIL ON COMPETITIVENESS HPC UPDATE, Suzy Tichenor
2:45pm Break (event sponsored by EMC)3:00pm THE USE OF HPC IN COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS
AND STRUCTURES (continued) * THE ROLE OF CFD IN AIRCRAFT STORES CERTIFICATION, Scott Morton, USAF SEEK EAGLE Office* PRESENT CHALLENGES IN NASA AEROSCIENCES DISCIPLINE, Dave Schuster, NASA-Langley * ADVANCED MESHING TECHNIQUES FOR FLUID STRUCTURE INTERACTION, Andrew Johnson, Digital Rocket Science
4:15pm Short vendor technology updates (HP, EMC, Mitrionics)4:45pm HPC APPLICATION SOFTWARE CONSORTIUM SUMMIT,
Bob Graybill, USC–ISI5:05pm IHEC (INTEGRATED HIGH END COMPUTING) PROGRAM
UPDATE, Candy Culhane6:00pm SPECIAL DINNER EVENT (HP and AMD)
HP and AMDSponsored
Dinner Event
WelcomeTo Day 2 Of TheHPC User Forum
Meeting
Thank You
To HP and AMD
For Dinner
Thank You To
Microsoft
For Breakfast
Important Dates For Your Calendar Important Dates For Your Calendar
HPC User Forum Meetings: September 8 to 10, 2008
– Tucson, Arizona October 13 to 16, 2008
– University of Stuttgart (Oct 13/14) – Imperial College, London (Oct 16)
ISC08 in Dresden, Germany June 17 to 20, 2008
Supercomputing08 in Austin November 17 to 21, 2008
Agenda: Day Two, Wednesday Morning Agenda: Day Two, Wednesday Morning
8:00am INVITATION TO JOIN IN THE NEXT HPC EUROPEAN MEETINGS, Simon Burbidge NEW OIL/GAS HPC USER MEETINGS, Keith Gray
8:15am KEYNOTES:* NATIONAL LAB HPC DIRECTIONS AT ORNL, Doug Kothe, ORNL* EXASCALE COMPUTING AND THE INSTITUTE FOR ADVANCED ARCHITECTURES AND ALGORITHMS, Sudip Dosanjh, Sandia National Laboratories
9:15am PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS, MODELING AND BENCHMARKS IN THE US AND EUROPE: * DOD HPCMP ACQUISITIONS, PERFORMANCE MODELING PREDICTION AND BENCHMARKING, Cray Henry, DoD High Performance Computing Modernization Program * PERFORMANCE MODELING IN GERMANY, Gerhard Wellein, University of Erlangen
10:15am Break (event sponsored by Mellanox) 10:30am PANEL ON HPC INTERCONNECT TECHNOLOGY
DIRECTIONS, Moderator: Alex Akkerman, Ford12:00pm Lunch (event sponsored by IBM)
Thank YouTo Mellanox
For The Break
Agenda: Day Two, Wednesday Morning Agenda: Day Two, Wednesday Morning
8:00am INVITATION TO JOIN IN THE NEXT HPC EUROPEAN MEETINGS, Simon Burbidge NEW OIL/GAS HPC USER MEETINGS, Keith Gray
8:15am KEYNOTES:* NATIONAL LAB HPC DIRECTIONS AT ORNL, Doug Kothe, ORNL* EXASCALE COMPUTING AND THE INSTITUTE FOR ADVANCED ARCHITECTURES AND ALGORITHMS, Sudip Dosanjh, Sandia National Laboratories
9:15am PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS, MODELING AND BENCHMARKS IN THE US AND EUROPE: * DOD HPCMP ACQUISITIONS, PERFORMANCE MODELING PREDICTION AND BENCHMARKING, Cray Henry, DoD High Performance Computing Modernization Program * PERFORMANCE MODELING IN GERMANY, Gerhard Wellein, University of Erlangen
10:15am Break (event sponsored by Mellanox) 10:30am PANEL ON HPC INTERCONNECT TECHNOLOGY
DIRECTIONS, Moderator: Alex Akkerman, Ford12:00pm Lunch (event sponsored by IBM)
Lunch BreakThanks To IBM
Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
Lunch BreakThanks To IBM
Please Return Promptly at 1:00pm
Thank You
To IBM
For Lunch
Agenda: Day Two, Thursday Afternoon Agenda: Day Two, Thursday Afternoon
1:00pm DATA-CENTRIC COMPUTING, SCIENCE GATEWAYS, AND THE TERAGRID, Craig Stewart
1:20pm PANEL DISCUSSION ON CFD AND STRUCTURES APPLICATION REQUIREMENTS AND THE USER FORUM PLANS TO ADDRESS THEM, Moderator: Doug Ball, Boeing
2:20pm Break (event sponsored by Qlogic) 2:35pm PANEL ON HPC OS DIRECTIONS AND REQUIREMENTS,
Moderator: Vince Scarafino4:00pm HPC RESEARCH IN BIO–LIFE SCIENCES, Jack Collins, NCI 4:15pm HPC RESEARCH ON THE MARS MISSION: "MARS ENTRY
AND DESCENT”, Scott Striepe, NASA Langley Research Center 4:45pm IDC'S NEW 5 YEAR HPC MARKET FORECASTS, Jie Wu5:00pm MEETING WRAP-UP AND FUTURE MEETING DATES
Thank YouTo Qlogic
For The Break
Agenda: Day Two, Thursday Afternoon Agenda: Day Two, Thursday Afternoon
1:00pm DATA-CENTRIC COMPUTING, SCIENCE GATEWAYS, AND THE TERAGRID, Craig Stewart
1:20pm PANEL DISCUSSION ON CFD AND STRUCTURES APPLICATION REQUIREMENTS AND THE USER FORUM PLANS TO ADDRESS THEM, Moderator: Doug Ball, Boeing
2:20pm Break (event sponsored by Qlogic) 2:35pm PANEL ON HPC OS DIRECTIONS AND REQUIREMENTS,
Moderator: Vince Scarafino4:00pm HPC RESEARCH IN BIO–LIFE SCIENCES, Jack Collins, NCI 4:15pm HPC RESEARCH ON THE MARS MISSION: "MARS ENTRY
AND DESCENT”, Scott Striepe, NASA Langley Research Center 4:45pm IDC'S NEW 5 YEAR HPC MARKET FORECASTS, Jie Wu5:00pm MEETING WRAP-UP AND FUTURE MEETING DATES
Important Dates For Your Calendar Important Dates For Your Calendar
HPC User Forum Meetings: September 8 to 10, 2008
– Tucson, Arizona October 13 to 16, 2008
– University of Stuttgart (Oct 13/14) – Imperial College, London (Oct 16)
ISC08 in Dresden, Germany June 17 to 20, 2008
Supercomputing08 in Austin November 17 to 21, 2008
Thank YouFor Attending The 28th
HPC User ForumMeeting
IDC’s HPC TeamIDC’s HPC Team
Earl Joseph IDC Research Vice President and Executive Director HPC User Forum
Jie WuHPC research specialist, census and forecasts, China research, interconnects and grids
Lloyd CohenDirector workstation market and data analysis
Steve ConwayHPC User Forum, consulting, primary end-user research and white papers
Charlie Hayes Government HPC issues and special studies
Mary Rolph Conference planning and logistics
Richard WalshIn-depth technical analysis, special studies, processor trends
Dan LeeIn-depth technical analysis, special studies, HPC and storage
©2007 IDC 50
HPC User ForumSteering Committee
MeetingApril 2008
How Did The Meeting Go?How Did The Meeting Go?
What worked well?
What needs to be changed or improved?
Date and location for the next Steering Committee meeting?
Important Dates For Your Calendar Important Dates For Your Calendar
HPC User Forum Meetings: September 8 to 10, 2008
– Tucson, Arizona October 13 to 16, 2008
– University of Stuttgart (Oct 13/14) – Imperial College, London (Oct 16)
ISC08 in Dresden, Germany June 17 to 20, 2008
Supercomputing08 in Austin November 17 to 21, 2008
