Welcome to Welcome to A Brave New WorldA Brave New WorldHonors 222D/263DHonors 222D/263D

Plan for today:Plan for today: Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about

computer science and a few of the topics we computer science and a few of the topics we will be discussing this quarter.will be discussing this quarter.

AdministriviaAdministrivia Short video on robotics and discussionShort video on robotics and discussion QuestionnaireQuestionnaire Hand out robots -- see Alicen in CSE 546Hand out robots -- see Alicen in CSE 546

Some slides from Bernard Chazelle and Ed LazowskaSome slides from Bernard Chazelle and Ed Lazowska

What is this course about?What is this course about? The big ideas, the coolest applications and the deepest The big ideas, the coolest applications and the deepest

principles in computer scienceprinciples in computer science The mathematical foundations of computingThe mathematical foundations of computing The World Wide Web and its economic and social ramificationsThe World Wide Web and its economic and social ramifications Computers and their impact on the artsComputers and their impact on the arts How computational thinking can help cure cancerHow computational thinking can help cure cancer Secrets and lies, knowledge and trustSecrets and lies, knowledge and trust The mystery of intelligence: What is knowledge? Can compuers The mystery of intelligence: What is knowledge? Can compuers

think? Will computers ever be considered conscious? Where will think? Will computers ever be considered conscious? Where will all this progress take us?all this progress take us?

The futureThe future How is the way we do science going to change?How is the way we do science going to change? How is our economic system going to change?How is our economic system going to change? How is our society going to change?How is our society going to change? How are our brains going to change as a result of all this How are our brains going to change as a result of all this

interaction with technology?interaction with technology?

Albert Einstein ( 1932 )

“ There is not the slightest indication that

nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. "

Lord Kelvin ( 1824-1907 )

“ X-rays will prove to be a hoax"

“ Radio has no future. "

“ There’s nothing to be discoveredin physics today. "

"I think there is a world market

for maybe five computers."

Thomas WatsonIBM Chairman

(1943 )

``There is no reason why anyone would want to have a

computer in their home.”

Popular Mechanics, 1949

``Where… ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future

may have 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh just one-half ton.”

Ken Olsen, President of

Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977

“Computing power doubles

every two years."

Gordon MooreIntel Co-founder

(1965 )

Moore’s LawMoore’s Law Moore’s LawMoore’s Law

Exponential GrowthExponential Growth

First commercial computer 1950: 100,000 additions/secFirst commercial computer 1950: 100,000 additions/sec Fastest computer in 2000: 2.1 trillion additions/secFastest computer in 2000: 2.1 trillion additions/sec Factor of 21 millionFactor of 21 million

Comparison:Comparison: First airplane 1903: 10mphFirst airplane 1903: 10mph Fastest today: ~ 2500 mphFastest today: ~ 2500 mph

Exponential GrowthExponential Growth

Exponential growth example: doubling every year.Exponential growth example: doubling every year.

Would you take a job where your salary started at $16/year and Would you take a job where your salary started at $16/year and doubled every year?doubled every year?2 years $64/year2 years $64/year10 years: $16,00010 years: $16,00020 years: ~ 17 million20 years: ~ 17 million25 years: > 500 million25 years: > 500 million

This is what happened in the computer industry!This is what happened in the computer industry!

Aside: exponential growth is not unique to computer technology -- Aside: exponential growth is not unique to computer technology -- happens whenever the rate of increase of a quantity is happens whenever the rate of increase of a quantity is proportional to the size of the quantity proportional to the size of the quantity

Other examples: compound interest, unconstrained biological Other examples: compound interest, unconstrained biological population growth.population growth.

Exponential progressExponential progress

Gordon Moore, 1965Gordon Moore, 1965

10,000,000,000,000,10,000,000,000,000,000,000 grains of 000,000 grains of

ricerice Ten Ten

quintillion: quintillion: 10*1010*101818

The number of The number of grains of rice grains of rice harvested in harvested in 20042004

Ten quintillion: Ten quintillion: 10*1010*101818

The number of grains The number of grains of rice harvested in of rice harvested in 20042004

The number of The number of transistors fabricated transistors fabricated in 2004in 2004

10,000,000,000,000,000,10,000,000,000,000,000,000 transistors000 transistors

Today: More than 1 Today: More than 1 billion PCs in use …billion PCs in use …

Representing less than 2% Representing less than 2% of all processors!of all processors!

Number of computers Number of computers connected to Internetconnected to Internet

1970: 101970: 10 1975: 1001975: 100 1980: 2001980: 200 1985: 2,0001985: 2,000 1990: 350,0001990: 350,000 1995: 10,000,0001995: 10,000,000 2000: 100,000,0002000: 100,000,000 2005: 400,000,0002005: 400,000,000

A connected region – 30 A connected region – 30 years agoyears ago

A connected region – nowA connected region – now

The Computer: The Computer: Time Time Magazine’sMagazine’s

1982 “Machine of the 1982 “Machine of the Year”Year”

““In medicine, the computer, In medicine, the computer, which started by keeping which started by keeping records and sending bills, records and sending bills, now suggests diagnoses. The now suggests diagnoses. The process may sound process may sound dehumanized, but in one dehumanized, but in one hospital … a survey of hospital … a survey of patients showed that they patients showed that they found the machine ‘found the machine ‘more more friendly, polite, relaxing and friendly, polite, relaxing and comprehensible’ than the comprehensible’ than the average physicianaverage physician.’”.’”

““When the citizen of tomorrow When the citizen of tomorrow wants a new suit, one wants a new suit, one futurist futurist scenarioscenario suggests, his personal suggests, his personal computer will take his computer will take his measurements and pass them on to measurements and pass them on to a robot that will cut his choice of a robot that will cut his choice of cloth with a laser beam and provide cloth with a laser beam and provide him with a perfectly tailored him with a perfectly tailored garment.”garment.”

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

vacuum your carpet

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

wash your floor

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

scrub your pool

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

clean your gutters

““In the home, computer enthusiasts In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imaginingdelight in imagining machines machines performing domestic chores.”performing domestic chores.”

amuse your pet

“ “ Computing will be the Computing will be the most most disruptive scientific disruptive scientific paradigmparadigm since quantum since quantum mechanics." mechanics."

“Lord” Chazelle (2006)

Sciences of The Formula

math, physics, chemistry

Sciences of The Future

NeuroscienceGenomics

Climate sciences

“ “ The future belongs to The future belongs to those who understand those who understand computation: its computation: its scientific, economic and scientific, economic and social impact.” social impact.”

“Lady” Karlin (2009)

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

My goals for the courseMy goals for the course

I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist.computer scientist.

I’d like you to leave the course understanding I’d like you to leave the course understanding that advances in computing have changed the that advances in computing have changed the world in a deep and profound way.world in a deep and profound way.

I’d like for you to leave the course understanding I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are.ambitions are.

The future is full of The future is full of opportunityopportunity

Driving advances in all fields of Driving advances in all fields of science and engineeringscience and engineering

Revolutionizing transportationRevolutionizing transportation Personalized educationPersonalized education The Smart GridThe Smart Grid Predictive, preventive, Predictive, preventive,

personalized medicinepersonalized medicine Quantum computingQuantum computing Empowerment of the Empowerment of the

developing worlddeveloping world Personalized health monitoring Personalized health monitoring

=> quality of life=> quality of life NeuroboticsNeurobotics Synthetic biologySynthetic biology

My goals for the courseMy goals for the course

I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist.computer scientist.

I’d like you to leave the course understanding I’d like you to leave the course understanding how advances in computing have changed the how advances in computing have changed the world in such a deep and profound way.world in such a deep and profound way.

I’d like for you to leave the course understanding I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are.ambitions are.

I’d like you to have fun!!!I’d like you to have fun!!!

A Brave New WorldA Brave New World Instructor: Anna Karlin (Instructor: Anna Karlin (karlin@cskarlin@cs..

washingtonwashington..eduedu) office hour right after ) office hour right after class on Fridays and by appt.class on Fridays and by appt.

TAs: TAs: Michael Bayne (Michael Bayne (mdb@csmdb@cs..washingtonwashington..eduedu) ) Kate Moore (Kate Moore (kfm@cs.washington.edukfm@cs.washington.edu))

Computer Access in basement of Computer Access in basement of Communications. B027 is reserved for us:Communications. B027 is reserved for us: Monday 3:30 -- 4:30Monday 3:30 -- 4:30 Wednesday 2:30 -- 4:30Wednesday 2:30 -- 4:30 Thursday 6-8pmThursday 6-8pm

A Brave New WorldA Brave New World Course information on webCourse information on web

http://www.cs.washington.edu/BraveNewWorldhttp://www.cs.washington.edu/BraveNewWorld

Class mailing list: Class mailing list:

cse190x@cs.washington.educse190x@cs.washington.edu Administrative homework:Administrative homework:

If you have access to a PC check if it has a serial port

Very little programming Very little programming in this course!in this course!

Not necessary for conceptual understandingNot necessary for conceptual understanding

Gives us more time for a broader coverage of Gives us more time for a broader coverage of computer science, inside and outside.computer science, inside and outside.

No advantage to those who have No advantage to those who have

prior programming experienceprior programming experience

Some labs/lectures use “pseudocode”

GradingGrading Final (in class): 15%Final (in class): 15% Lab reports and homework: 40%Lab reports and homework: 40% Participation (in class, on blog): 30%Participation (in class, on blog): 30% Project: 15Project: 15%%

Attendance at lectures is expected.Attendance at lectures is expected. No book.No book.

Some more detailsSome more details Readings for almost every lectures. Please be sure to do Readings for almost every lectures. Please be sure to do

them!them! Occasional videos in class.Occasional videos in class. First lab this week: Web 2.0First lab this week: Web 2.0 Blog posts -- somewhat open ended.Blog posts -- somewhat open ended.

At least 2 longer posts a quarter (~ 3-4 paragraphs)At least 2 longer posts a quarter (~ 3-4 paragraphs) At least 6 comments (a few sentences to a paragraph)At least 6 comments (a few sentences to a paragraph) (Project in form of longer blog post: ~2000 words)(Project in form of longer blog post: ~2000 words)

Several guest speakers on various topics, including, for Several guest speakers on various topics, including, for example:example: Digital audio and computer musicDigital audio and computer music Computing and the developing worldComputing and the developing world Protein foldingProtein folding How computers can help improve the environment.How computers can help improve the environment. Visit to neurobotics labVisit to neurobotics lab

Project IdeasProject Ideas Explore a computational problem in the field of your choice.Explore a computational problem in the field of your choice. Explore a policy issue, e.g., electronic voting, privacy, etc.Explore a policy issue, e.g., electronic voting, privacy, etc. Write a book report (e.g., The Google Story, Number Crunchers, Write a book report (e.g., The Google Story, Number Crunchers,

The Singularity is Near, The Universal Computer: From Leibniz to The Singularity is Near, The Universal Computer: From Leibniz to Turing, The Code Book)Turing, The Code Book)

Read or watch a bunch of sci-fi and discuss whether what you see Read or watch a bunch of sci-fi and discuss whether what you see will be possible in 25 years or not and why.will be possible in 25 years or not and why.

Discuss how technology is affecting your favorite art form.Discuss how technology is affecting your favorite art form. Study the Unabomber Manifesto and discuss what you agree with Study the Unabomber Manifesto and discuss what you agree with

and what you disagree with.and what you disagree with.

Projects will be due on Tuesday during the last week of classes. Projects will be due on Tuesday during the last week of classes. We’ll pick a couple of the most interesting projects and discuss We’ll pick a couple of the most interesting projects and discuss them in class on the final day.them in class on the final day.

Questions?Questions?

Next: Rod Brooks TED talk Next: Rod Brooks TED talk How Robots Will Invade our LivesHow Robots Will Invade our Lives