[webinar] optimizing industrial assets with digital twins on predix
TRANSCRIPT
Op#mizingIndustrialAssetswithDigitalTwinsonPredixfromGE
Copyright©2017OAGAnaly6cs
February 15, 2017
Data Science for Oil & Gas
DomainExper#se
MachineLearning
SoBwareEngineering
NorthAmericanOilRenaissance• Conven#onal(19th&20thcentury)
• Drilldown,hopetohitoil• Unconven#onal(21stcentury)
• Thecombina6onofhorizontaldrilling&mul6-stagefrackingenabledaccesstolargereservesthatwerepreviouslyinaccessible
• Theindustrystandardis1unconven6onalwellper~25-100sq.miles• Highlyvariablewellperformanceisaquality
problemthatisunimaginableinvirtuallyanyotherindustry
• 2014OAGenablesloca6onspecificwellop6miza6onwithself-servicedatascience• 2016OAGpartnerswithGEDigitalanddeploystoPredix
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HistoryoftheOilandGasIndustryOilpriceisvola#le,successfulfirmsadoptnewtechnologyindownturns
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
75,000
80,000
85,000
90,000
95,000
100,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Thou
sand
sofB
arrelsofOilProd
ucesperDay
3DSeismic ShaleOil
Oilpricecollapse
OAG
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Oilpricecollapse
WellsinNorthDakota-“TheBakken”
Tensofthousandsofwellsalreadydrilled,eachproducingterabytesofunuseddata
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BakkenOilfieldfromSpaceTheseoilfieldsaresolargethattheycanbeseenfromspaceandare
biggerthanmajorci#es
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OAGOilfieldDigitalTwinsWhatwedo:BeUerData,BeUerResultsImprovewellprofitability&assetvalua#onsusingproprietarydatascience
• Profitabilityandproduc6onanalysisfor1,000’sofloca6on-op6mizedwellsfasterthan1“typewell”(theoldway)
• Over25%moreaccurateproduc6onforecasts(proprietarypredic6veanaly6cs)
• Upto300%more“signal”aboutsystemdrivers(advancedmachinelearning)
• 20%moreaccurateassetvalua6onsinhoursnotdays• Tailored,well-specificAFEprepara6onandevalua6on• Data-driveninsightsdrivevalue:é5%profit,ê$400kperwell
Whereweplay:NorthAmerica,NorthSea,Europe,Africa,Australia,Asia
HowdoesOAGfitwithPredix• Upstreamplanning• Down-holeexecu6on• PurposebuiltDataServices• AutomatedAnaly6cServices(ML)• Self-serviceDataScienceApplica6on
Predix-OAGSynergies• Thevalueofequipmentop6miza6onis
higherforgoodwellsthanbadones• Aprovencoreplanningsolu6onisa
forcemul6plierforPredixinoil&gas• SynergiesamongGE,BakerHughes,and
OAGcouldtransformtheO&Gindustry
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Data Analy#cs Decisions
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3.Validatepredic6veaccuracy,datasupport,anduncertaintyreduc6onprovidedbyOAGmachinelearningvs.rawdata
Demo
1.Maximizeinforma6ongainfromeachparameterusingadvancedfeatureengineeringanddistribu6onop6miza6on
4.Isolateeffectsofcapitalalloca6ononproduc6on,calculatetotaloil&gasproduc6on(EUR),op6mizeprofitability(IRR)
IndependentVariable
Depe
nden
tVariable
IncreaseRevenue
ReduceRisk
7
2.Navigatenetworkofautocorrela6onstoop6mizedimensionalityreduc6onofmachinelearningmodels
GE+OAGFutureUseCase
Mutualsynergiescouldenableaseconddata-driventransforma#oninunconven#onalreservoirsthroughouttheworld• GEhasextensiveexperiencecapturingpressure&flowdata• PredixwasbuilttocapturedataproducedbyGEequipment• OAG’swellop6miza6onplajormisdeployedonPredix• Currentalterna6vestocapturestage-specificdataarecostprohibi6ve
Stage-SpecificOp#miza#on
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• White Paper: Operationalizing Big Data in Complex Systems • http://www.slideshare.net/oaganalytics/operationalizing-big-data-to-reduce-risk-of-high-consequence-decisions-in-
complex-systems
• Press Release: Two former British Petroleum (BP) executives join Big Data efforts with OAG Analytics • http://www.prweb.com/releases/2016/03/prweb13243297.htm
• Energy Media Group • http://eaglefordtexas.com/news/id/159275/taming-big-data-a-strategic-approach-to-unconventional-analysis-in-
unconventional-reservoirs/
• CIO Story • http://ciostory.com/cxo-perspectives/big-data-leadership-for-the-oil-and-gas-industry
• Oil & Gas Investor • http://www.oilandgasinvestor.com/big-data-gives-operators-advantages-hotly-contested-plays-801216
• McKinsey: An Executive’s Guide to Machine Learning
• http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/high_tech_telecoms_internet/an_executives_guide_to_machine_learning
• GE & Accenture: Industrial Internet Insights report
• http://www.geautomation.com/content/industrial-internet-insights-report-pn
• Manhattan Institute: Shale 2.0 Technology and the Coming Big-Data Revolution in America’s Shale Oil Fields • http://www.manhattan-institute.org/pdf/eper_16.pdf
Addi#onalInforma#onAboutOAG
DataScienceintheNews
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844-OAG-WELL
www.OAGanalytics.com
Data Science for Oil & Gas