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4Q11 Results Presentation February,15 2012 [email protected] www.tam.com.br/ir

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Page 1: Webconference ingles   4 t11

4Q11 Results Presentation

February,15 2012

[email protected] www.tam.com.br/ir

Page 2: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Warning - Information and Projection

This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of the Company’s management and involve risks and uncertainties The Company is not responsible for investment operations ormanagement, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These estimates are subject to changes without prior notice.

This material has been prepared by TAM S A (“TAM“ or the “Company”) includes certain forward-looking statements thatThis material has been prepared by TAM S.A. ( TAM or the Company ) includes certain forward looking statements that are based principally on TAM’s current expectations and on projections of future events and financial trends that currently affect or might affect TAM’s business, and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition and results of operations to differ materially from those set out in TAM’s forward-looking statements. TAM undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements.

This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy ll iti l t d fi i l i t t Lik i it d t i d h ld t b t t d i ior sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should not be treated as giving

investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.

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1. Highlights

2. LATAM

Agenda 3. Financial Results

3

3

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1 Hi hli ht1. Highlights

4

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With focus on profitability, we revised our fleet plan

Former Fleet Plan

127124

Operational  Narrow Body  Fleet

159 164 171 179

plan

104107

119124

127 132 137 143

32 32 34 36

85

98

2012 2013 2014 2015

157 162 169 176

Revised Fleet Plan65

74 74

124 129 134 140

33 33 35 36

157

2012 2013 2014 2015

124 129 1342003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2012 is the first of ten years , that the domestic fleet reduces compared to

the previous year

2012 is the first of ten years , that the domestic fleet reduces compared to

the previous year

5

Narrow Body Wide Bodythe previous yearthe previous year

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We believe in a strong, growing and profitable market in 2012market in 2012

Guidance for 2012

Domestic Market Demand Growth (RPK) 8% 11%

Min. Max.

Supply growth(ASK) 1% 3%

Domestic 0% 2%

International 1% 3%International 1% 3%

Load Factor 76% 78%

Domestic 72% 74%

International 83% 85%

Average WTI USD 95Assumptions

Average US dollar rate 1.74

6

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Passenger demand will continue to grow, and there is spare capacity at off peak hoursspare capacity at off peak hours

Although our supply will grow up to 2%, we have spaces on our aircraft to absorb the increasing demandLoad factor* X Hour

71%

73% Peak Hours

PeakHours

67%

69%

63%

65%

59%

61%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Even with the increase in the load factor outside of peak hours, we believe the yields will follow the recovery trend started in 2012

Even with the increase in the load factor outside of peak hours, we believe the yields will follow the recovery trend started in 2012

7*Domestic flights at weekdays in 2011

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The load factor of the Brazilian market is significantly lower than the North Americansignificantly lower than the North American

Domesic Load factorBrazil x United States

80%

85%

70%

75%13 p.p.

65%

12 p.p.

55%

60%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

USA Brazil

We believe in the improvement of airports, due to the Government's determination to conduct privatization in addition to the budget investments

PAC d U i b d t

We believe in the improvement of airports, due to the Government's determination to conduct privatization in addition to the budget investments

PAC d U i b d t

8

on PAC and Union budgeton PAC and Union budget

Page 9: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Highlights of our business units

•Yields recovery, looking for offsetting higher costs TAM y g g gexpected for 2012

•Consumidor Moderno magazine award

•Record in sales in the domestic and

TAM Linhas Aéreas

•Increased from 11 to 26 the number of partners in

•Record in sales in the domestic and international markets

MultiplusTAM pthe coalition in 2011

•Capillarity via Redecard

EASA tifi ti f li

MultiplusCargo

•More than doubled the number of stores in 2011. We

d d th ith 160 it

•EASA certification for line maintenance

•Focus on independent management

•LEAN Method TAMTAM ended the year with 160 units•Certification for ATR-72

•Preparation for certification of Embraer aircraft

TAMVacations

TAM MRO

9

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1 D t1. Destaques2. LATAM

10

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Status of the deal

Aug 13, 2010: We announced

March 1, 2011: ANAC approved the

Antitrust Brazil•SEAE (Ago 2011)

Nov 15, 2011F4 SEC filing

Jan 18, 2012Edital CVM filingannounced

the intention tocombine with LAN

ANAC approved the proposed corporate structure

•SEAE (Ago 2011)•SDE (Ago 2011)•CADE (Dec 2011)

F4 SEC filing(preliminaryversion)

Edital CVM filing(preliminaryversion)

Jan 18, 2011: LAN and TAM signedbinding agreements

Antitrust Europe•Germany(Jul 2011)•Italy (Aug 2011)•Spain(Oct 2011)

Antitrust Chile•TDLC (Sep 2011)•Supreme Court•(pending)

Shareholders Meeting•LAN (Dec 2011)•TAM (Jan 2012)p ( ) (p g) TAM (Jan 2012)

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We will have synergies between US$ 600 million and US$ 700 million annualyand US$ 700 million annualy

Revenue: Cargo ~$120-125M, Pax ~$240-285M Cost: ~$240-290M Lower boundUpper boundSynergy

source RationaleValue US$ Millions

Synergy source Rationale

Value US$ Millionssource Rationale

New service, sharing of best practices

US$ Millions source RationaleUS$ Millions

Cargo 125120 30Airports 35 Consolidation of functions in overlapping stations

Improved access to joint hubs and combined network appeal

Network relevance 8575 70Procurement 100

Leveraging economies of scale in contracts

Combined network creates new city pairs and increased service

New and increased connectivity

8070 20Corporate 20Streamlining of corporate overhead and some functions

Combined network supports new flights and hubs

Includes consolidation of Other

New flights 4545 65IT 70 Efficiencies of common IT

platforms

Leveraging economies andpartner airline contracts and increased utilization

Consolidation of the

Other passenger revenue

50

Frequent

35 20 25Maintenance

Efficiency of combined sales

Leveraging economies and efficiencies of scale

12

programs and sharing of best practices

15 25Frequent flyer 35 40Sales Efficiency of combined sales

efforts

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3 Fi i l R lt3. Financial Results

13

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Multiplus Highlights

Operating highlights

Item 4Q11 vs 4Q10 vs 3Q11

Points issued 20.6 billion +28.4% +3.2%

d d b ll

Fi i l hi hli ht

Points redeemed 17.4 billion +126.2% +39.9%

Breakage ratio 24.1% +150bps +10bps

Financial highlightsItem 4Q11 vs 4Q10 vs 3Q11

Gross Billings of points R$433 6 million +33 3% +9 1%Gross Billings of points R$433.6 million +33.3% +9.1%

Net Revenue R$398.3 million +93.8% +23.9%

EBITDA R$61.0 million +46.2% ‐21.9%EBITDA(15.3% margin)

46.2% 21.9%

Adjusted EBITDA R$92.9 million(23.2% margin)

+55.1% +12.8%

N t I R$70.9 million 63 8% 38 1%

14

14Net Income R$70.9 million

(17.8% margin)+63.8% +38.1%

Page 15: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Multiplus — Strong Growth

Number of partnersMillion Number of partners

Members

8 6 8,9 9,4 190

6,9 7,2 7,6 8,0 8,3 8,6 8,9

121 125 133151

166 161 168

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

564

“Non-air” redemptionsGross Billings R$ million in million of points

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

397434

248

425

in million of points

230264

300325 340 355

397

33 57 73 89 101

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q111Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

15

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

NOTE: it includes points issued before 2010 (TAM’s inventory)

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

Page 16: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Yield and RASK grew both in annual and quarterly comparisoncomparison

Domestic Passengers

P R R$ Milli

ASK11,871 12,232 12,168

ASK, RPK and Load Factor2%

-1%

Passenger Revenue - R$ Million

4%

5%

RPK8,225

8,227

8,2781%

1%1,581 1,561 1,641

5%

4Q10 3Q11 4Q11LoadFactor 69% 67% 68%

4Q10 3Q11 4Q11

Yield - R$ Cents

3%

RASK - R$ Cents

5%

1%

19.2 19.0 19.8

5%12.7 12.1 12.7

16

4Q10 3Q11 4Q11 4Q10 3Q11 4Q11

Page 17: Webconference ingles   4 t11

In the annual comparison, international passenger revenue increased by 21% and the RASK 15% in dollarsrevenue increased by 21% and the RASK 15% in dollars

International Passengers

ASK7,209

7,820 7,619

ASK, RPK and Load Factor

R$833

R$1,025 R$1,071

Passenger Revenue - Million29%

4%

6%

4%

RPK5,749

6,541 6,089U$490

U$625 U$595

$ 4%

5%

21%6%

7%

4Q10 3Q11 4Q11LoadFactor 80% 84% 80%

4T10 3T11 4T11

Avg US DollarR$11.6

R$13.1R$14.1

RASK - Cents

22%

7%R$ 14.5

R$ 15.7R$ 17.6

Yield - Cents 21%

12%

1.70 1.64 1.80

6%

10%

g

U$6.8 U$8.0 U$7.82%

15%

U$ 8.5 U$ 9.6 U$ 9.82%

14%

17

4T10 3T11 4T114Q10 3Q11 4Q114Q10 3Q11 4Q11

Page 18: Webconference ingles   4 t11

We recorded an EBIT margin of 8.3%

4Q11 vs 4Q10

4Q11 vs 3Q11

In Reais 4Q11 4Q10 3Q11

3,579

3,281 

298

11%

9%

37%

8%

19%

‐46%

3,319

2,766 

553

3,225 

3,006 

218

Net Revenue (million)

Operating Expenses (million)

EBIT ( illi ) 298

8.3%

612

37%

1,6p.p.

21%

46%

‐8.3p.p.

‐28%

553

16.7%

852

218

6.8%

507

EBIT (million)

EBIT Margin

EBITDAR (million)

17.1%

(78)

96

1,4p.p.

‐36%

‐8.6p.p.

25.7%

(1,382)

(620)

15.7%

66

150

EBITDAR Margin

Net Results (million)

Financial Result + Others* (million)

18.1

16.6

10 4

7%

5%

‐5%

9%

20%

7%

16.6

13.8

9 7

16.9

15.8

10 9

Total RASK (cents)

CASK (cents)

CASK ex fuel (cents) 10.4

9.2

5.8

‐5%

‐1%

‐10%

7%

9%

‐3%

9.7

8.4

5,9

10.9

9.3

6.4

CASK ex‐fuel (cents)

CASK USD (cents)

CASK USD ex‐fuel (cents)

18*Others includes “Movements in fair value of fuel derivatives” and “Gains (losses) on aircraft revaluation

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Liquidity and debt profile

3 000

Adequate debt profile Liquidity Position

R$ Milhõ

1 800

2,100

2,400

2,700 2,4532,607

1,9142,145

2,568 2,567

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000R$ Milhões

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

995

0

500

1,000

Cash 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20210

300

Debentures, bonds and othersLeasing on the balance sheetAdjusted Net Debt / EBITDAR

10%3.8

5.66.3 6.5

3.84.3

4 0

6.0

8.0Debt mix by currencyR$

90%2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2.1

0.0

2.0

4.0

US$

19

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011US$

Obs.1: Net Debt Adjusted includes annual operating leases x 7Obs.2: Debt is considered in US GAAP for 2005 and 2006 and in IFRS since 2007

Page 20: Webconference ingles   4 t11

WTI Hedge

We understand that our coverage level and price contracts are appropriate to business needs and market reality

We understand that our coverage level and price contracts are appropriate to business needs and market reality

USD 130

USD 150 

60%

70%

USD 110 

USD 130 

40%

50%

Prices

ge Level

USD 90 

20%

30%

Stike P

Coverag

USD 50 

USD 70 

0%

10%

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14

According to our hedging policy defined by

1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14

Minimum Maximum Current Position Average Strike

20

According to our hedging policy, defined by the risk committee

Page 21: Webconference ingles   4 t11

2011 Guidance

Domestic

Guidance for2011

Actual2011

Demand growth (RPK) 15% - 18% 16%

Supply growth (ASK) 10% - 13% 9,7%

Domestic Market

Domestic 10% - 14% 9,5%

International 10% 10,1%

Load Factor 73% - 75% 73,4%

Domestic 67,5% - 70% 68,8%

International 83% 81 5%International 83% 81,5%

New international frequency or destination 2 3

CASK ex-fuel -5% -2,4%

Average WTI USD 93 USD 95

Average US dollar rate R$ 1,78 1,67Assumptions

21

Average WTI in R$ R$ 166 R$ 159

Page 22: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Excluding one time effects, we reduce the CASK ex-fuel by 4 3%0%

ex-fuel by 4.3%

-1Impact of salary

readjustment higher than

-2.4%

0.2%-2

Adjust of the PIS and Adjust from

Differences of the maximum takeoff weight average fleet

f i t

inflation

-0.7%

-0.5%

0 5%4

-3PIS and

COFINS credit the line airport

fees

Expenses related to the merger

Adjust from the lower

growth of ASK according to our estimates

referring to previous years

Impact of new values of domestic -0.5%

-0.2%-0.2% -4.3%

-5

-4 gvalues of domestic fees in force since

mar/2011

PublishedCASK

variation*

PIS andCofinscredit

Personnel Airportsfees

Infraerotaxes

Dilutioneffects

LATAM AdjustedCASK

variation

22 * Excludes the impact from the additional tariff reversal.

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In 2012 we remain focused in cost control and reductionreduction

Total Costs

Fixed Variables

Total Costs

OverheadThird-Party

ServicesAircraft Expenses

Passengers expenses

• Implementation of • Contracts • Reduction of fuel • Reduced spendingImplementation of internal benchmarks to reduce expenses

Contracts renegotiation with suppliers

• Implementation of

Reduction of fuel consumption (reduction of weight on board, compressor washing

Reduced spending on airport contingencies

• Reduced spending • Management

study of the source of the spending

targets for law firms

• System modernization

compressor washing, use of external sources on the ground)

on materials at airports

• Reduce costs with b d i

• Consultancies reduction

• Optimization of spare parts purchasing and inventory

on-board service with suppliers

23

management

Page 24: Webconference ingles   4 t11

Teremos sinergias entre US$ 600 milhões e US$ 700 milhões anuais700 milhões anuais

Fonte da Valor Fonte da Valor

Receitas: Carga US$120-125 Milhões, Pax US$240-285 Milhões Custos US$240-290Milhões

sinergia

Novos serviços, compartilhamento de melhores práticas

US$ milhões

Carga 125 Aeroportos Consolidação de funções em aeroportos em que ambas operam

120 30

Justificativa sinergia US$ milhões Justificativa

85Maior acesso a hubs conjuntos e atratividade da rede combinadaRelevância

da rede Procurement Aproveitamento de economias de escala em contratos75 70 100Q&A80

Rede combinada cria novos pares de cidades e mais serviçosNova e maior

conectividade CorporativoRacionalização dos gastos corporativos gerais e algumas funções

70 20Q&A45

A combinação da rede suporta novos destinos e hubs

Incluindo a consolidação de

Novos voos TI Eficiências em plataformas comuns45 65 70

50 Incluindo a consolidação de contratos com companhias aéreas associadas e aumento da utilização

Consolidação dos programas e Passageiro

Outras receitas com passageiros Manutenção

Eficiência com esforços de vendas

Aproveitamento de economias de escala e de eficiências35 2520

4035

[email protected]

www.tam.com.br/ir

24

25 Consolidação dos programas e compartilhamento das melhores práticas

Passageirofrequente Vendas Eficiência com esforços de vendas

combinados15 4035

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